Options Skew Analytics

ABNB options analytics

ABNB · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

ABNB options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 35.8%, a move of about ±10.3% over the next month. That is higher than 60% of the 226 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 4.71 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 9% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-05 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±11.4% and ABNB moved 34.0% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
35.81%

Prices a move of about ±10.3% over 30 days, or ±2.3% on a typical day.

Higher than 60% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+4.71

Puts carry 4.71 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 82% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.23

The wings carry 1.23 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.088

90-day volatility is 9% above 30-day.

Higher than 41% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 226 prior sessions (one-year window)

35.8% — 60th percentile
24.9%65.8%
IV percentile, 1 year
60%
IV rank, 1 year
27%
IV percentile, 2 years
60%
IV rank, 2 years
27%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$151.39
30-day implied forward
$151.62
60-day ATM IV
41.37%
90-day ATM IV
38.95%
180-day ATM IV
39.42%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
154,375
Put / call open interest
1.12

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 234 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%70%28 Aug20 Nov13 Feb7 May24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2435.81%+4.711.088$151.39
2026-09-2336.53%+2.221.089$149.58
2026-09-2232.21%+0.991.154$161.81
2026-09-2132.31%+2.181.151$166.84
2026-09-1831.19%+1.601.161$166.22
2026-09-1732.18%+2.361.120$165.93
2026-09-1633.01%+2.171.140$167.51
2026-09-15———$168.32
2026-09-14———$170.65
2026-09-1130.48%+2.691.225$170.19
2026-09-10———$167.65
2026-09-09———$169.63
2026-09-08———$174.54
2026-09-04———$181.94
2026-09-0330.54%+1.611.154$185.25
2026-09-0230.46%+0.701.124$183.26
2026-09-01———$182.55
2026-08-3129.39%+1.211.154$183.22
2026-08-2827.98%+0.561.241$189.43
2026-08-2729.19%+0.421.192$184.40
2026-08-2628.54%+1.691.214$188.07
2026-08-2530.69%-0.811.167$190.50
2026-08-2432.62%+0.721.088$190.21
2026-08-2129.19%+1.341.226$187.30
2026-08-2029.10%+1.511.217$185.00
2026-08-1928.53%+1.431.225$186.39
2026-08-1829.46%-0.701.206$183.25
2025-06-3033.00%+1.831.098$132.34
2025-06-2734.19%+3.481.039$134.52
2025-06-2629.49%+2.751.217$133.72
2025-06-2531.27%+2.731.143$129.67
2025-06-2428.43%+3.901.262$132.15
2025-06-2331.94%+3.761.161$130.53
2025-06-2032.81%+4.351.156$131.73
2025-06-1832.39%+3.781.178$132.17
2025-06-1733.10%+2.181.157$133.37
2025-06-1630.02%+3.631.237$137.21
2025-06-1331.68%+3.751.194$135.54
2025-06-1230.12%+1.121.224$138.81
2025-06-1129.91%+4.471.227$138.06
2025-06-1028.44%+6.561.320$138.56
2025-06-0930.60%+3.361.217$139.01
2025-06-0630.68%+2.881.208$140.64
2025-06-0533.15%+3.391.138$137.29
2025-06-0428.42%+6.951.306$133.51
2025-06-0328.22%+1.741.290$132.90
2025-06-0227.77%+6.411.354$129.62
2025-05-3033.08%+4.101.155$129.00
2025-05-2933.92%+4.081.122$128.36
2025-05-2834.49%+9.441.123$128.67
2025-05-2734.70%+1.791.102$129.40
2025-05-2335.49%+1.851.116$126.72
2025-05-2232.85%+0.501.184$127.65
2025-05-2134.47%+3.461.129$127.52
2025-05-2032.51%+3.471.148$132.13
2025-05-1931.07%+3.281.142$136.60
2025-05-1629.99%+2.641.177$138.00
2025-05-1531.37%-1.021.120$136.79
2025-05-1433.58%+2.991.090$137.45
2025-05-1332.25%+3.081.103$138.05
2025-05-1231.24%+5.251.124$134.21
2025-05-0934.87%+4.761.078$127.04
2025-05-0836.26%+6.581.059$126.39
2025-05-0737.99%+6.701.031$123.12
2025-05-0638.89%+2.341.009$121.67
2025-05-0538.22%+4.421.019$124.89
2025-05-0234.69%+4.181.068$125.26
2025-05-0150.79%+8.650.938$124.01
2025-04-3052.73%+5.370.859$121.92
2025-04-2951.81%+5.430.825$125.49
2025-04-2850.82%+3.350.881$123.30
2025-04-2547.96%+8.950.886$122.51
2025-04-2451.00%+8.130.860$121.71
2025-04-2353.05%+11.940.849$118.28
2025-04-2260.16%+12.280.780$114.91
2025-04-2156.96%+13.590.830$111.61
2025-04-1756.32%+11.320.813$112.70
2025-04-1658.00%+13.070.808$112.64
2025-04-1555.68%+12.590.798$114.64
2025-04-1457.80%+12.490.808$113.22
2025-04-1159.60%+14.540.823$114.54
2025-04-1059.60%+11.210.857$113.91
2025-04-0954.68%+10.580.835$121.32
2025-04-0865.76%+17.660.833$105.69
2025-04-0761.62%+14.570.817$106.30
2025-04-0461.29%+8.870.829$106.66
2025-04-0348.07%+5.110.907$113.97
2025-04-0240.87%+3.830.993$122.80
2025-04-0142.18%+3.870.979$121.18
2025-03-3140.40%+3.921.027$119.46
2025-03-2838.10%+3.341.069$120.69
2025-03-2735.08%+3.991.111$125.65
2025-03-2633.21%+4.371.169$128.64
2025-03-2529.82%+4.081.291$129.88
2025-03-2430.96%+4.561.254$129.82
2025-03-2135.58%+2.631.137$128.80
2025-03-2036.22%+3.061.099$126.15
2025-03-1935.56%+5.391.135$126.00
2025-03-1837.45%+3.951.092$124.56
2025-03-1737.40%+4.071.067$126.94
2025-03-1439.10%+3.811.067$122.86
2025-03-1342.34%+5.981.020$119.38
2025-03-1239.63%+4.751.034$126.55
2025-03-1143.51%+2.370.969$125.44
2025-03-1042.95%+4.600.960$132.15
2025-03-0737.54%+4.721.011$134.39
2025-03-0635.58%+5.061.093$134.77
2025-03-0532.95%+4.091.114$142.58
2025-03-0433.29%+3.851.141$141.42
2025-03-0333.67%+7.251.103$140.98
2025-02-2832.28%+5.991.134$138.87
2025-02-2734.85%+2.681.069$139.45
2025-02-2629.68%+5.681.247$144.03
2025-02-2533.46%+3.791.103$141.55
2025-02-2431.66%+3.781.161$144.82
2025-02-2132.45%+3.331.154$146.07
2025-02-2029.15%+1.081.193$155.31
2025-02-1929.50%-0.251.143$157.98
2025-02-1828.68%+0.501.210$160.60
2025-02-1429.75%+0.251.197$161.42

The chart covers every session in the archive, 234 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 234 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.020.028 Aug20 Nov13 Feb7 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

8d (2026-10-02) · 15d (2026-10-09) · 22d (2026-10-16)

34%36%38%40%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ C — IV 37.14%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ C — IV 36.43%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ C — IV 35.84%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ C — IV 35.76%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ C — IV 36.32%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ C — IV 36.91%2026-10-02 (8d) — ATM — IV 37.21%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ P — IV 37.45%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ P — IV 37.74%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ P — IV 38.47%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ P — IV 38.34%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ P — IV 38.67%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ P — IV 39.03%8d2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ C — IV 35.28%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ C — IV 34.94%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.89%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ C — IV 35.15%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ C — IV 35.29%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ C — IV 35.28%2026-10-09 (15d) — ATM — IV 35.35%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ P — IV 35.73%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.23%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ P — IV 37.67%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ P — IV 39.08%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.01%15d2026-10-16 (22d) — 10Δ C — IV 35.10%2026-10-16 (22d) — 15Δ C — IV 35.04%2026-10-16 (22d) — 20Δ C — IV 34.83%2026-10-16 (22d) — 25Δ C — IV 34.76%2026-10-16 (22d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.80%2026-10-16 (22d) — 35Δ C — IV 34.89%2026-10-16 (22d) — 40Δ C — IV 34.94%2026-10-16 (22d) — 45Δ C — IV 35.11%2026-10-16 (22d) — ATM — IV 35.29%2026-10-16 (22d) — 45Δ P — IV 35.38%2026-10-16 (22d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.07%2026-10-16 (22d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.53%2026-10-16 (22d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.81%2026-10-16 (22d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.31%2026-10-16 (22d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.87%2026-10-16 (22d) — 15Δ P — IV 39.06%22d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta8d15d22d
10Δ call——35.10%
15Δ call——35.04%
20Δ call37.14%35.28%34.83%
25Δ call36.43%34.94%34.76%
30Δ call35.84%34.89%34.80%
35Δ call35.76%35.15%34.89%
40Δ call36.32%35.29%34.94%
45Δ call36.91%35.28%35.11%
ATM37.21%35.35%35.29%
45Δ put37.45%35.73%35.38%
40Δ put37.74%36.23%36.07%
35Δ put38.47%37.67%36.53%
30Δ put38.34%39.08%36.81%
25Δ put38.67%37.01%37.31%
20Δ put39.03%—37.87%
15Δ put——39.06%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-028$151.2937.21%38.67%36.43%+2.24+0.3411
2026-10-0915$151.4035.35%37.01%34.94%+2.06+0.6212
2026-10-1622$151.4535.29%37.31%34.76%+2.55+0.7522
2026-10-2329$151.6235.52%39.40%34.45%+4.95+1.4020
2026-10-3036$151.6037.13%39.33%35.77%+3.56+0.4220
2026-11-2057$152.1441.75%43.17%40.06%+3.11-0.1317
2026-12-1885$152.6839.19%40.80%37.90%+2.90+0.1621
2027-01-15113$153.2338.10%39.37%36.93%+2.45+0.0523
2027-03-19176$154.1639.62%40.41%37.91%+2.50-0.4626
2027-04-16204$155.0338.38%41.14%38.53%+2.61+1.4622
2027-06-17266$156.1139.89%41.79%38.18%+3.61+0.0931
2027-09-17358$157.4840.11%41.55%39.37%+2.18+0.3529

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

34%36%38%40%42%44%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 37.21%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 35.35%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 35.29%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 35.52%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 37.13%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 41.75%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 39.19%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 38.10%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 39.62%2027-04-16 — 204 days — at-the-money IV 38.38%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 39.89%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 40.11%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-028 days$151.2937.21%$151.5211
2026-10-0915 days$151.4035.35%$151.7912
2026-10-1622 days$151.4535.29%$152.0222
2026-10-2329 days$151.6235.52%$152.3820
2026-10-3036 days$151.6037.13%$152.6320
2026-11-2057 days$152.1441.75%$154.2217
2026-12-1885 days$152.6839.19%$155.4321
2027-01-15113 days$153.2338.10%$156.7123
2027-03-19176 days$154.1639.62%$160.1026
2027-04-16204 days$155.0338.38%$161.5422
2027-06-17266 days$156.1139.89%$165.4331
2027-09-17358 days$157.4840.11%$170.4129

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
35.81%
60 days
41.37%
90 days
38.95%
180 days
39.42%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 234 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6028 Aug20 Nov13 Feb7 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-05Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
11.4%
Mean move that happened
34.0%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-06After the close———
2026-05-07After the close———
2026-02-12After the close———
2025-11-06After the close———
2025-08-06After the close———
2025-05-01After the close9.6%+47.8%5.00×
2025-02-13After the close11.9%+29.9%2.52×
2024-11-07After the close12.6%+24.3%1.92×
2024-08-06After the close———
2024-05-08After the close———
2024-02-13After the close———
2023-11-01After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.