Options Skew Analytics

AFRM options analytics

AFRM · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

AFRM options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 52.5%, a move of about ±15.1% over the next month. That is higher than 4% of the 233 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.31 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 12% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-05 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±17.3% and AFRM moved 47.7% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
52.53%

Prices a move of about ±15.1% over 30 days, or ±3.3% on a typical day.

Higher than 4% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.31

Puts carry 2.31 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 55% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.24

The wings carry 0.24 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.123

90-day volatility is 12% above 30-day.

Higher than 72% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 233 prior sessions (one-year window)

52.5% — 4th percentile
49.7%121.1%
IV percentile, 1 year
4%
IV rank, 1 year
4%
IV percentile, 2 years
4%
IV rank, 2 years
4%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$71.57
30-day implied forward
$71.88
60-day ATM IV
62.46%
90-day ATM IV
58.99%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
143,000
Put / call open interest
0.92

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 234 sessions

40%60%80%100%120%140%28 Aug21 Nov20 Feb14 May24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2452.53%+2.311.123$71.57
2026-09-2351.27%-1.191.136$68.09
2026-09-2252.90%+0.691.108$71.77
2026-09-2151.13%+0.751.149$71.05
2026-09-1851.21%+1.781.120$71.21
2026-09-1751.23%+1.311.140$70.28
2026-09-1653.00%+1.801.129$71.58
2026-09-1553.69%+0.731.135$72.09
2026-09-1452.72%+0.731.127$73.38
2026-09-1152.24%+0.871.118$71.44
2026-09-1050.38%+3.691.171$67.99
2026-09-0954.41%-4.051.069$68.15
2026-09-0854.37%-0.201.103$72.08
2026-09-0449.86%+0.431.198$72.35
2026-09-0349.69%-0.981.163$74.30
2026-09-0253.24%-1.561.125$74.09
2026-09-0153.64%-0.221.084$69.94
2026-08-3150.98%+2.701.101$74.45
2026-08-2850.59%-0.041.180$77.76
2026-08-2765.94%+2.200.949$77.49
2026-08-2667.77%+5.330.936$76.46
2026-08-2568.74%+4.330.967$77.95
2026-08-2469.97%+2.560.880$76.88
2026-08-2169.65%+1.990.950$77.03
2026-08-2069.80%-1.730.965$75.05
2026-08-1969.57%-0.150.916$77.33
2026-08-1866.24%+2.290.982$73.56
2025-06-3055.61%+0.411.186$69.14
2025-06-2756.64%+0.571.161$68.06
2025-06-2654.31%+2.581.200$66.90
2025-06-2553.27%+0.761.250$66.25
2025-06-2455.39%+0.971.197$65.66
2025-06-2352.70%-2.531.267$62.19
2025-06-2058.23%+3.361.168$62.06
2025-06-1861.19%+4.431.114$61.68
2025-06-1759.63%+2.681.139$59.90
2025-06-1658.13%+1.661.147$60.85
2025-06-1360.69%+1.131.123$59.11
2025-06-1257.14%+1.101.162$61.05
2025-06-1156.34%+4.341.165$63.50
2025-06-1052.73%-3.341.231$61.00
2025-06-0958.85%+1.131.115$61.34
2025-06-0656.93%+2.711.134$58.92
2025-06-0559.38%+4.021.100$55.71
2025-06-0458.88%+4.411.092$54.33
2025-06-0358.07%+2.791.127$54.96
2025-06-0260.70%+2.211.067$52.90
2025-05-3057.43%+3.941.119$51.90
2025-05-2959.28%+6.241.097$52.05
2025-05-2859.36%+1.931.074$50.68
2025-05-2759.81%+7.701.061$51.18
2025-05-2364.29%+2.591.017$49.30
2025-05-2262.36%+2.701.011$48.97
2025-05-2161.99%+5.151.043$47.24
2025-05-2059.89%+2.361.026$49.74
2025-05-1958.30%+0.081.040$51.71
2025-05-1657.90%+3.461.028$52.57
2025-05-1559.53%+4.581.025$51.75
2025-05-1461.82%+0.380.989$56.55
2025-05-1360.58%+7.810.991$53.94
2025-05-1262.44%+3.510.954$53.74
2025-05-0964.35%+5.061.006$46.41
2025-05-0887.99%+4.460.828$54.26
2025-05-0797.66%-2.380.777$51.54
2025-05-0689.18%+7.500.848$51.00
2025-05-0592.10%+8.980.820$52.09
2025-05-0285.32%+1.150.862$52.34
2025-05-0185.44%+8.360.894$49.75
2025-04-3096.03%+4.160.813$49.76
2025-04-2995.06%+8.000.808$50.40
2025-04-2896.86%+14.830.813$49.17
2025-04-2595.49%+11.780.815$49.09
2025-04-2497.65%+11.070.835$48.20
2025-04-2398.67%+8.630.804$46.84
2025-04-22100.77%+18.010.827$43.82
2025-04-21105.34%+18.850.806$40.65
2025-04-17101.56%+18.290.815$42.10
2025-04-16106.36%+17.470.788$40.76
2025-04-15101.71%+19.120.810$41.59
2025-04-14110.08%+19.050.763$40.78
2025-04-11110.17%+24.330.863$40.49
2025-04-10120.41%+25.350.782$40.74
2025-04-0998.96%+20.500.852$44.30
2025-04-08118.71%+30.340.842$36.45
2025-04-07121.06%+27.040.832$37.57
2025-04-04100.68%+17.480.903$35.75
2025-04-03107.62%+11.950.839$38.91
2025-04-0272.17%+1.841.068$47.75
2025-04-0163.43%+10.151.239$45.51
2025-03-3173.84%+3.271.070$45.19
2025-03-2869.77%+8.401.104$46.20
2025-03-2768.12%+5.291.089$47.38
2025-03-2662.12%+8.691.218$48.32
2025-03-2562.75%+6.111.183$50.93
2025-03-2464.43%+3.471.160$52.54
2025-03-2169.06%+5.371.125$49.90
2025-03-2071.06%+6.921.060$47.95
2025-03-1972.42%+5.281.076$47.71
2025-03-1877.66%+6.671.032$43.70
2025-03-1774.72%+10.921.075$47.96
2025-03-1476.01%+5.791.043$50.08
2025-03-1383.54%+5.940.994$46.90
2025-03-1279.49%+13.361.024$48.81
2025-03-1191.56%+9.150.934$46.77
2025-03-1092.87%+9.970.930$46.40
2025-03-0778.64%+1.461.014$51.97
2025-03-0683.20%+7.230.955$52.64
2025-03-0578.73%+2.750.989$58.65
2025-03-0482.61%+5.930.972$57.01
2025-03-0373.55%+10.801.053$61.86
2025-02-2867.75%+5.941.099$64.15
2025-02-2768.97%+7.441.090$61.71
2025-02-2666.26%+10.331.110$64.54
2025-02-2565.17%+1.491.106$63.96
2025-02-2470.20%+4.301.029$66.51
2025-02-2165.37%+1.511.069$68.55
2025-02-2058.86%+1.351.157$74.61
2025-02-1958.01%-0.111.179$76.38
2025-02-1858.34%+0.661.214$80.98
2025-02-1460.73%-4.921.147$80.69

The chart covers every session in the archive, 234 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 234 sessions

-20.00.020.040.028 Aug21 Nov20 Feb14 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 8d (2026-10-02) · 15d (2026-10-09)

50%60%70%80%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 62.30%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 61.46%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 63.28%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 63.83%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 64.08%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 64.11%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 63.61%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 63.00%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 62.86%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 64.08%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 66.06%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 67.27%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 67.36%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 67.40%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 67.49%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 67.91%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 68.74%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 70.31%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 74.00%1d2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ C — IV 55.03%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ C — IV 56.09%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.57%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ C — IV 55.48%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ C — IV 56.19%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ C — IV 56.27%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ C — IV 56.18%2026-10-02 (8d) — ATM — IV 56.01%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ P — IV 55.09%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ P — IV 55.56%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ P — IV 56.65%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ P — IV 57.22%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ P — IV 57.04%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ P — IV 57.17%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ P — IV 56.83%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ P — IV 57.57%2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ P — IV 60.16%8d2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ C — IV 54.64%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ C — IV 55.39%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ C — IV 53.95%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ C — IV 53.91%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.90%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.31%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.30%2026-10-09 (15d) — ATM — IV 54.79%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ P — IV 52.67%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ P — IV 52.59%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ P — IV 52.62%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ P — IV 53.16%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.84%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ P — IV 53.08%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ P — IV 55.13%2026-10-09 (15d) — 10Δ P — IV 57.51%2026-10-09 (15d) — 5Δ P — IV 57.78%15d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d8d15d
5Δ call62.30%——
10Δ call61.46%——
15Δ call63.28%55.03%54.64%
20Δ call63.83%56.09%55.39%
25Δ call64.08%55.57%53.95%
30Δ call64.11%55.48%53.91%
35Δ call63.61%56.19%53.90%
40Δ call63.00%56.27%54.31%
45Δ call62.86%56.18%54.30%
ATM64.08%56.01%54.79%
45Δ put66.06%55.09%52.67%
40Δ put67.27%55.56%52.59%
35Δ put67.36%56.65%52.62%
30Δ put67.40%57.22%53.16%
25Δ put67.49%57.04%53.84%
20Δ put67.91%57.17%53.08%
15Δ put68.74%56.83%55.13%
10Δ put70.31%57.57%57.51%
5Δ put74.00%60.16%57.78%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$71.6064.08%67.49%64.08%+3.41+1.7011
2026-10-028$71.6456.01%57.04%55.57%+1.47+0.3016
2026-10-0915$71.6654.79%53.84%53.95%-0.11-0.8922
2026-10-1622$71.8254.32%55.21%53.85%+1.37+0.2130
2026-10-2329$71.9252.56%53.12%50.49%+2.63-0.7622
2026-10-3036$71.6252.37%54.99%54.15%+0.84+2.2022
2026-11-2057$72.1763.00%63.73%62.73%+1.00+0.2420
2026-12-1885$72.4259.36%60.35%59.67%+0.67+0.6523
2027-01-15113$72.7357.70%58.07%57.00%+1.07-0.1624
2027-02-19148$72.4757.71%60.94%60.28%+0.66+2.9026
2027-03-19176$73.0657.60%60.70%58.14%+2.56+1.8228

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%55%60%65%70%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 64.08%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 56.01%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 54.79%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 54.32%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 52.56%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 52.37%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 63.00%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 59.36%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 57.70%2027-02-19 — 148 days — at-the-money IV 57.71%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 57.60%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$71.6064.08%$71.6411
2026-10-028 days$71.6456.01%$71.8916
2026-10-0915 days$71.6654.79%$72.1022
2026-10-1622 days$71.8254.32%$72.4730
2026-10-2329 days$71.9252.56%$72.7222
2026-10-3036 days$71.6252.37%$72.6022
2026-11-2057 days$72.1763.00%$74.4420
2026-12-1885 days$72.4259.36%$75.4623
2027-01-15113 days$72.7357.70%$76.5724
2027-02-19148 days$72.4757.71%$77.5426
2027-03-19176 days$73.0657.60%$79.1528

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
52.53%
60 days
62.46%
90 days
58.99%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 234 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4028 Aug9 Dec6 Mar21 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-05Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 5
20% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
17.3%
Mean move that happened
47.7%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-27After the close14.0%+0.3%0.02×
2026-05-07After the close———
2026-02-05After the close———
2025-11-06After the close———
2025-08-28After the close———
2025-05-08After the close16.4%+35.6%2.16×
2025-02-06After the close17.3%+19.1%1.11×
2024-11-07After the close20.3%+50.8%2.50×
2024-08-28After the close18.7%+132.9%7.10×
2024-05-08Before the open———
2024-02-08After the close———
2023-11-08After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.