Options Skew Analytics

AG options analytics

AG · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

AG options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 56.7%, a move of about ±16.2% over the next month. That is higher than 34% of the 190 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.72 volatility points more than the puts, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
56.67%

Prices a move of about ±16.2% over 30 days, or ±3.6% on a typical day.

Higher than 34% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.72

Calls carry 1.72 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 77% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.78

The wings carry 1.78 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.991

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Higher than 36% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 190 prior sessions (one-year window)

56.7% — 34th percentile
51.9%73.4%
IV percentile, 1 year
34%
IV rank, 1 year
22%
IV percentile, 2 years
29%
IV rank, 2 years
22%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$15.87
30-day implied forward
$15.97
60-day ATM IV
55.84%
90-day ATM IV
56.14%
180-day ATM IV
56.63%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
706,064
Put / call open interest
0.33

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 288 sessions

50%60%70%80%26 Sep26 Feb10 Jun4 Sep9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0956.67%-1.720.991$15.87
2026-11-0656.31%+1.211.024$15.16
2026-11-0556.90%-2.030.992$14.89
2026-11-0458.22%-0.230.986$15.39
2026-11-0359.68%-2.150.967$14.10
2026-11-0262.26%-4.240.919$14.32
2026-10-3060.34%-0.290.962$14.26
2026-10-2955.90%-3.020.992$15.33
2026-10-2860.22%-3.340.912$15.80
2026-10-2755.22%-4.850.988$15.64
2026-10-2657.88%-0.780.937$14.85
2026-10-2357.72%-0.800.945$14.77
2026-10-2259.25%-2.730.947$15.12
2026-10-2158.11%-0.440.962$16.09
2026-10-2057.55%-2.020.940$15.99
2026-10-1957.83%-0.800.937$15.98
2026-10-1656.12%-0.190.987$15.98
2026-10-1559.57%+0.170.904$16.09
2026-10-1459.86%-1.880.924$15.25
2026-10-1357.55%-3.490.943$16.33
2026-10-0960.24%-3.270.933$17.28
2026-10-0859.31%-1.210.929$16.98
2026-10-0757.42%-2.270.965$16.65
2026-10-0659.59%-3.390.953$17.54
2026-10-0555.48%-3.301.028$17.51
2026-10-0253.76%-1.171.071$17.67
2026-10-0157.04%-5.281.056$17.66
2026-09-3057.36%-2.491.057$17.69
2026-09-2960.59%-3.711.061$18.08
2026-09-2859.57%-4.291.056$17.95
2026-09-2558.84%-6.181.056$19.01
2026-09-2458.01%-3.091.078$18.76
2026-09-2359.10%-7.771.066$19.05
2026-09-2259.90%-6.771.070$20.32
2026-09-2157.89%-7.761.074$19.31
2026-09-1857.62%-4.961.096$19.84
2026-09-1759.31%-4.961.085$19.49
2026-09-1658.93%-4.871.081$18.33
2025-09-2974.59%-6.930.994$12.41
2025-09-2673.43%-9.560.994$12.14
2025-09-2572.17%-9.000.990$11.67
2025-09-2473.09%-14.570.951$11.41
2025-09-2370.93%-6.270.981$11.80
2025-09-2272.02%-12.580.939$12.14
2025-09-1961.56%-6.021.016$10.62
2025-09-1859.74%-5.831.028$9.94
2025-09-1760.96%-6.351.008$10.05
2025-09-1661.05%-5.881.041$10.37
2025-09-1562.03%-6.711.008$10.79
2025-09-1261.61%-7.771.015$10.54
2025-09-1159.19%-7.421.024$10.39
2025-09-1060.95%-8.371.023$9.43
2025-09-0960.93%-6.430.972$9.14
2025-09-0859.43%-6.281.000$9.44
2025-09-0557.73%-5.801.029$9.15
2025-09-0457.81%-5.991.023$9.07
2025-09-0361.07%-5.450.989$9.47
2025-09-0262.91%-7.120.962$9.61
2025-08-2954.89%-4.761.023$9.14
2025-08-2853.89%-3.161.023$8.96
2025-08-2753.34%-3.191.018$9.08
2025-08-2654.60%-6.311.009$9.01
2025-08-2553.53%-5.291.048$8.91
2025-08-2253.44%-5.111.014$9.00
2025-08-2154.44%-4.851.021$8.71
2025-08-2053.84%-3.701.015$8.53
2025-08-1954.97%-4.921.006$8.36
2025-08-1854.15%-5.611.046$8.80
2025-08-1555.92%-8.461.026$8.85
2025-08-1455.12%-6.081.058$8.86
2025-08-1363.16%-7.440.966$8.94
2025-08-1258.63%-3.731.030$8.95
2025-08-1161.64%-7.620.989$8.74
2025-08-0859.57%-7.961.022$8.61
2025-08-0760.73%-6.461.005$8.73
2025-08-0658.41%-5.051.019$8.38
2025-08-0559.17%-6.301.010$8.35
2025-08-0459.20%-6.091.020$8.19
2025-08-0158.91%-6.671.013$7.83
2025-07-3156.84%-5.241.028$7.95
2025-07-3056.72%-6.201.014$8.09
2025-07-2959.60%-2.610.973$8.39
2025-07-2859.80%-8.140.957$8.35
2025-07-2557.45%-5.330.995$8.57
2025-07-2458.82%-5.800.993$8.67
2025-07-2359.19%-8.030.994$8.82
2025-07-2259.86%-8.621.007$8.85
2025-07-2157.89%-5.491.029$8.69
2025-07-18———$8.28
2025-07-17———$8.48
2025-07-1657.80%-3.701.003$8.64
2025-07-1557.71%-3.171.049$8.93
2025-07-1458.77%-0.920.991$9.15
2025-07-1159.89%-3.080.905$9.27
2025-07-1056.55%-8.671.065$8.64
2025-07-09———$8.43
2025-07-0856.93%-2.990.981$7.99
2025-07-0756.42%-2.611.021$8.69
2025-07-0353.42%-1.071.044$8.46
2025-07-0254.85%-1.441.013$8.51
2025-07-0155.49%-1.031.006$8.36
2025-06-3055.80%-2.081.013$8.27
2025-06-2755.56%+3.831.011$8.02
2025-06-2655.89%-1.711.011$8.38
2025-06-2555.05%-1.281.028$8.15
2025-06-2455.20%-2.631.033$8.06
2025-06-2356.16%-1.751.029$8.09
2025-06-2059.01%-3.740.974$8.10
2025-06-1865.24%-5.170.922$8.35
2025-06-1758.63%-3.331.020$8.55
2025-06-16———$8.27
2025-06-13———$8.34
2025-06-1259.38%-2.311.010$8.24
2025-06-1158.59%-3.291.025$8.34
2025-06-1061.75%-3.910.970$8.37
2025-06-0962.19%-4.340.977$8.33
2025-06-0661.11%-3.690.983$8.27
2025-06-0565.74%-9.010.944$8.41
2025-06-0456.16%-3.081.017$7.28
2025-06-0356.36%-0.081.027$7.05

The chart covers every session in the archive, 288 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 288 sessions

-20.0-10.00.010.020.026 Sep26 Feb10 Jun4 Sep9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

50%60%70%80%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 71.99%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 66.67%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 65.42%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 65.60%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 66.44%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 66.96%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 66.81%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 66.45%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 66.18%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 66.16%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 66.23%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 66.35%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 66.51%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 66.77%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 67.20%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 67.83%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 68.99%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 71.28%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 77.91%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ C — IV 69.86%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 66.24%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 61.38%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 60.92%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 60.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 59.13%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 58.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 58.27%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 58.87%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 59.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 59.35%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 59.40%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 60.01%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 61.86%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 62.31%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 62.34%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 62.92%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 64.86%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 70.53%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 5Δ C — IV 63.37%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 59.06%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 58.65%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 58.74%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.05%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 56.17%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 56.68%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 56.80%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 56.57%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 56.00%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 56.10%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 56.47%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 56.61%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 56.72%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 57.83%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 58.71%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 58.43%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call71.99%69.86%63.37%
10Δ call66.67%66.24%59.06%
15Δ call65.42%61.38%58.65%
20Δ call65.60%60.92%58.74%
25Δ call66.44%60.02%55.05%
30Δ call66.96%59.13%56.17%
35Δ call66.81%58.29%56.68%
40Δ call66.45%58.27%56.80%
45Δ call66.18%58.87%56.57%
ATM66.16%59.29%56.00%
45Δ put66.23%59.35%56.10%
40Δ put66.35%59.40%56.47%
35Δ put66.51%60.01%56.61%
30Δ put66.77%61.86%56.72%
25Δ put67.20%62.31%57.83%
20Δ put67.83%62.34%58.71%
15Δ put68.99%62.92%58.43%
10Δ put71.28%64.86%—
5Δ put77.91%70.53%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$15.8866.16%67.20%66.44%+0.76+0.6611
2026-11-2011$15.9059.29%62.31%60.02%+2.28+1.8715
2026-11-2718$15.9456.00%57.83%55.05%+2.79+0.4411
2026-12-0425$15.9356.41%55.55%59.77%-4.23+1.2514
2026-12-1132$15.9856.75%58.22%59.17%-0.95+1.9412
2026-12-1839$15.9356.31%55.32%57.49%-2.17+0.0918
2026-12-2445$15.9656.83%56.11%56.13%-0.03-0.718
2027-01-1567$16.0255.53%54.27%57.99%-3.73+0.6121
2027-03-19130$16.1556.68%57.03%59.63%-2.60+1.6522
2027-04-16158$16.1955.25%55.88%59.75%-3.87+2.5620
2027-06-17220$16.3858.38%58.37%59.63%-1.25+0.6212
2027-09-17312$16.4856.99%57.01%59.80%-2.79+1.4111

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%55%60%65%70%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 66.16%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 59.29%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 56.00%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 56.41%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 56.75%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 56.31%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 56.83%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 55.53%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 56.68%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 55.25%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 58.38%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 56.99%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$15.8866.16%$15.9211
2026-11-2011 days$15.9059.29%$15.9815
2026-11-2718 days$15.9456.00%$16.0611
2026-12-0425 days$15.9356.41%$16.1114
2026-12-1132 days$15.9856.75%$16.2112
2026-12-1839 days$15.9356.31%$16.2118
2026-12-2445 days$15.9656.83%$16.288
2027-01-1567 days$16.0255.53%$16.4821
2027-03-19130 days$16.1556.68%$17.1022
2027-04-16158 days$16.1955.25%$17.3020
2027-06-17220 days$16.3858.38%$18.1512
2027-09-17312 days$16.4856.99%$18.9411

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
56.67%
60 days
55.84%
90 days
56.14%
180 days
56.63%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 288 sessions

0.800.901.001.101.2026 Sep12 Mar17 Jun8 Sep9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 2 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 2
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.1%
Mean move that happened
3.2%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-05Before the open7.1%-3.2%0.46×
2026-11-04Time not stated7.1%-3.2%0.46×

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.