Options Skew Analytics

AMAT options analytics

AMAT · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

AMAT options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 53.7%, a move of about ±15.4% over the next month. That is higher than 93% of the 235 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.76 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 94% of the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-12, after the close.

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±6.7% and AMAT moved 74.6% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
53.74%

Prices a move of about ±15.4% over 30 days, or ±3.4% on a typical day.

Higher than 93% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.76

Calls carry 0.76 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 6% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.49

The wings carry 0.49 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.047

90-day volatility is 5% above 30-day.

Higher than 62% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 235 prior sessions (one-year window)

53.7% — 93th percentile
29.5%68.9%
IV percentile, 1 year
93%
IV rank, 1 year
62%
IV percentile, 2 years
93%
IV rank, 2 years
62%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$474.38
30-day implied forward
$475.20
60-day ATM IV
57.52%
90-day ATM IV
56.27%
180-day ATM IV
56.49%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
340,241
Put / call open interest
1.02

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 236 sessions

20%40%60%80%26 Aug20 Nov19 Feb13 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2353.74%-0.761.047$474.38
2026-09-2251.67%-0.431.086$472.46
2026-09-2154.14%-1.721.047$464.24
2026-09-1849.67%-1.451.097$444.57
2026-09-1749.25%-0.141.083$417.40
2026-09-1649.32%+0.341.083$415.38
2026-09-1550.34%-0.271.074$421.17
2026-09-1452.22%-2.411.071$424.21
2026-09-1150.25%-0.041.128$456.49
2026-09-1052.44%-2.301.090$454.01
2026-09-0953.72%-3.371.077$468.85
2026-09-0854.57%-0.941.117$472.79
2026-09-0450.74%-2.021.124$454.71
2026-09-0348.04%-0.581.122$435.91
2026-09-0247.64%+0.361.121$438.46
2026-09-0148.00%-4.331.134$441.85
2026-08-3148.57%-2.221.110$458.39
2026-08-2849.42%-2.411.124$461.67
2026-08-2751.52%-0.451.124$482.36
2026-08-2653.76%-0.131.094$479.76
2026-08-2553.43%-1.331.115$480.04
2026-08-2454.91%-0.351.095$484.19
2026-08-2154.06%-0.331.119$492.32
2026-08-2055.67%+0.121.087$496.21
2026-08-1955.81%+0.601.095$496.17
2026-08-1858.00%+0.041.082$514.33
2026-08-1757.60%-1.281.075$535.31
2025-06-3033.78%+2.641.060$183.07
2025-06-2733.24%+3.601.078$183.21
2025-06-2630.96%+2.061.147$183.52
2025-06-2538.60%+1.640.942$183.07
2025-06-2433.94%+2.991.081$180.18
2025-06-2334.78%+5.601.078$171.96
2025-06-2037.88%+6.181.032$169.46
2025-06-1836.13%+3.631.057$172.84
2025-06-1736.99%+3.891.048$174.09
2025-06-1634.54%+3.111.079$176.55
2025-06-1335.89%+2.701.067$170.59
2025-06-1233.54%+2.681.123$175.00
2025-06-1134.06%+3.361.097$172.79
2025-06-1034.72%+2.561.080$173.77
2025-06-0934.11%+2.471.108$169.79
2025-06-0633.79%+2.771.124$166.74
2025-06-0536.96%+3.011.046$164.19
2025-06-0436.69%+3.071.031$161.93
2025-06-0335.37%+3.021.075$161.74
2025-06-0237.02%+4.871.035$157.27
2025-05-3034.87%+6.301.103$156.75
2025-05-2936.16%+2.861.054$159.48
2025-05-2837.58%+3.861.030$161.59
2025-05-2736.14%+3.311.061$161.83
2025-05-2336.86%+3.381.081$157.51
2025-05-2236.21%+3.111.071$160.52
2025-05-2136.44%+2.221.053$162.23
2025-05-2034.45%+2.961.092$165.73
2025-05-1936.04%+3.421.042$165.94
2025-05-1635.58%+1.141.032$165.57
2025-05-1541.01%+4.110.972$174.75
2025-05-1441.73%+3.260.938$174.14
2025-05-1340.03%+4.170.960$173.03
2025-05-1241.61%+5.050.916$167.99
2025-05-0944.99%+4.000.936$155.61
2025-05-0845.24%+6.270.940$156.00
2025-05-0745.81%+5.070.940$155.81
2025-05-0646.38%+8.180.945$153.03
2025-05-0547.02%+7.560.919$154.61
2025-05-0244.84%+4.080.942$155.10
2025-05-0146.37%+6.120.929$148.96
2025-04-3047.71%+5.550.900$150.71
2025-04-2946.26%+7.940.927$149.55
2025-04-2846.66%+5.970.912$150.79
2025-04-2545.79%+8.400.914$151.55
2025-04-2450.59%+8.850.849$150.17
2025-04-2348.60%+7.400.894$143.58
2025-04-2250.32%+13.520.889$138.30
2025-04-2154.26%+8.190.887$135.56
2025-04-1750.77%+10.170.892$137.46
2025-04-1652.28%+12.150.882$138.19
2025-04-1550.27%+10.690.879$145.45
2025-04-1452.85%+9.440.858$144.53
2025-04-1156.82%+12.030.880$144.94
2025-04-1060.54%+9.210.865$138.24
2025-04-0945.57%+12.070.988$149.73
2025-04-0868.91%+17.250.837$128.96
2025-04-0761.44%+15.770.841$132.85
2025-04-0464.74%+11.640.848$126.95
2025-04-0348.64%+8.480.925$135.51
2025-04-0240.97%+2.400.948$147.75
2025-04-0139.93%+3.760.982$145.66
2025-03-3142.01%+4.020.960$145.12
2025-03-2839.89%+4.841.011$145.06
2025-03-2738.15%+4.961.007$147.68
2025-03-2636.52%+4.861.043$150.68
2025-03-2535.82%+4.381.041$153.64
2025-03-2434.71%+5.091.071$154.95
2025-03-2138.39%+3.831.041$152.12
2025-03-2039.71%+3.681.006$154.38
2025-03-1939.24%+4.021.009$154.46
2025-03-1842.30%+4.810.981$153.51
2025-03-1739.34%+3.210.979$155.46
2025-03-1439.68%+5.991.030$155.66
2025-03-1343.48%+6.651.003$149.95
2025-03-1246.72%+5.320.932$149.06
2025-03-1147.44%+5.600.937$146.99
2025-03-1049.13%+6.970.915$149.99
2025-03-0742.52%+3.540.968$155.68
2025-03-0648.17%+7.240.906$151.54
2025-03-0543.26%+4.060.971$155.32
2025-03-0443.71%+4.960.978$152.87
2025-03-0343.99%+3.630.956$152.13
2025-02-2839.77%+2.221.011$158.07
2025-02-2742.76%+5.210.939$156.64
2025-02-2633.80%+4.501.120$168.51
2025-02-2538.71%+5.210.986$165.54
2025-02-2438.23%+2.641.006$168.57
2025-02-2136.78%+5.091.042$171.98
2025-02-2033.45%+2.171.092$176.01
2025-02-1933.82%+1.591.081$174.06
2025-02-1834.76%+1.531.039$172.00
2025-02-1434.79%+0.021.062$169.20

The chart covers every session in the archive, 236 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 236 sessions

-10.00.010.020.026 Aug20 Nov19 Feb13 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

50%55%60%65%70%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ C — IV 64.24%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 61.33%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 60.25%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 59.48%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 58.89%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 58.67%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 58.18%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 58.26%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 58.15%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 57.67%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 57.91%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 58.06%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 58.15%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 58.20%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 58.57%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 58.83%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 59.48%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 60.71%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 63.35%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ C — IV 59.24%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 58.07%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 55.63%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 53.90%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 53.87%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 53.52%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 52.89%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 53.83%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 53.32%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 53.08%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 55.17%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 52.53%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.98%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 53.70%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.92%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 55.75%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 55.21%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 56.92%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 58.75%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ C — IV 59.56%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 55.50%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 53.70%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 53.77%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 53.46%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 53.26%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.44%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 53.75%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 52.76%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 52.77%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 52.55%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 53.12%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.32%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 52.85%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 52.60%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 52.60%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 52.72%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ P — IV 53.68%2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ P — IV 57.68%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
5Δ call64.24%59.24%59.56%
10Δ call61.33%58.07%55.50%
15Δ call60.25%55.63%53.70%
20Δ call59.48%53.90%53.77%
25Δ call58.89%53.87%53.46%
30Δ call58.67%53.52%53.26%
35Δ call58.18%52.89%53.44%
40Δ call58.26%53.83%53.75%
45Δ call58.15%53.32%52.76%
ATM57.67%53.08%52.77%
45Δ put57.91%55.17%52.55%
40Δ put58.06%52.53%53.12%
35Δ put58.15%53.98%53.32%
30Δ put58.20%53.70%52.85%
25Δ put58.57%53.92%52.60%
20Δ put58.83%55.75%52.60%
15Δ put59.48%55.21%52.72%
10Δ put60.71%56.92%53.68%
5Δ put63.35%58.75%57.68%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$473.6357.67%58.57%58.89%-0.31+1.0639
2026-10-029$474.4253.08%53.92%53.87%+0.05+0.8163
2026-10-0916$474.5252.77%52.60%53.46%-0.86+0.2644
2026-10-1623$474.8054.42%54.47%55.81%-1.34+0.7254
2026-10-2330$475.2053.74%53.85%54.61%-0.76+0.4947
2026-10-3037$475.3054.61%52.99%55.62%-2.63-0.3155
2026-11-2058$477.0357.65%58.12%58.56%-0.44+0.6951
2026-12-1886$478.2656.39%56.34%57.52%-1.18+0.5453
2027-01-15114$478.8355.69%54.52%56.90%-2.38+0.0258
2027-02-19149$481.2556.54%56.02%57.59%-1.57+0.2666
2027-03-19177$482.6356.61%56.37%58.09%-1.72+0.6367
2027-04-16205$484.6655.62%55.03%56.94%-1.91+0.3645
2027-06-17267$488.8656.69%56.97%58.76%-1.79+1.1868

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

52%54%56%58%60%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 57.67%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 53.08%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 52.77%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 54.42%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 53.74%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 54.61%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 57.65%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 56.39%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 55.69%2027-02-19 — 149 days — at-the-money IV 56.54%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 56.61%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 55.62%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 56.69%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$473.6357.67%$474.0639
2026-10-029 days$474.4253.08%$476.0863
2026-10-0916 days$474.5252.77%$477.4344
2026-10-1623 days$474.8054.42%$479.2554
2026-10-2330 days$475.2053.74%$480.8747
2026-10-3037 days$475.3054.61%$482.5455
2026-11-2058 days$477.0357.65%$489.7951
2026-12-1886 days$478.2656.39%$496.5253
2027-01-15114 days$478.8355.69%$502.5958
2027-02-19149 days$481.2556.54%$513.7066
2027-03-19177 days$482.6356.61%$521.6267
2027-04-16205 days$484.6655.62%$528.6545
2027-06-17267 days$488.8656.69%$549.8368

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
53.74%
60 days
57.52%
90 days
56.27%
180 days
56.49%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 236 sessions

0.800.901.001.101.201.3026 Aug20 Nov19 Feb13 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-12After the closeAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
6.7%
Mean move that happened
74.6%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-13After the close———
2026-05-14After the close———
2026-02-12After the close———
2025-11-13After the close———
2025-08-14After the close———
2025-05-15After the close6.8%+206.3%30.52×
2025-02-13After the close6.5%-8.2%1.25×
2024-11-14After the close6.9%-9.2%1.33×
2024-08-15After the close———
2024-02-15After the close———
2023-11-16After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.