Options Skew Analytics

AMAT options analytics

AMAT · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

AMAT options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 66.2%, a move of about ±19.0% over the next month. That is higher than 98% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 6.44 volatility points more than the calls, which is further than on all but 10% of the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 11% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-12, after the close.

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±6.8% and AMAT moved 102.0% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
66.20%

Prices a move of about ±19.0% over 30 days, or ±4.2% on a typical day.

Higher than 98% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+6.44

Puts carry 6.44 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 90% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.69

The wings carry 0.69 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.887

90-day volatility is 11% below 30-day.

Higher than 7% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

66.2% — 98th percentile
27.9%76.1%
IV percentile, 1 year
98%
IV rank, 1 year
80%
IV percentile, 2 years
99%
IV rank, 2 years
80%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$370.55
30-day implied forward
$373.63
60-day ATM IV
59.90%
90-day ATM IV
58.69%
180-day ATM IV
57.14%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
378,506
Put / call open interest
1.42

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 331 sessions

20%40%60%80%26 Aug26 Dec28 Apr26 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0966.20%+6.440.887$370.55
2026-11-0672.83%+9.800.863$332.72
2026-11-0576.06%+8.120.847$319.25
2026-11-0463.61%+3.090.907$369.40
2026-11-0365.33%+4.040.873$381.92
2026-11-0265.68%+1.530.884$374.53
2026-10-3061.03%+2.230.923$390.09
2026-10-2956.59%+1.560.942$421.66
2026-10-2858.75%-1.030.917$416.00
2026-10-2757.24%+3.470.923$395.93
2026-10-2657.61%+0.570.911$387.59
2026-10-2358.52%+2.250.895$377.24
2026-10-2260.35%+2.730.875$375.58
2026-10-2157.12%+0.050.922$408.94
2026-10-2057.20%-0.230.903$404.98
2026-10-1955.96%+0.880.921$413.11
2026-10-1656.00%-1.420.929$409.29
2026-10-1557.05%+1.440.901$430.01
2026-10-1458.22%-0.220.894$446.63
2026-10-1354.76%+0.070.920$464.24
2026-10-0953.77%-0.350.985$507.03
2026-10-0854.07%-0.650.981$509.57
2026-10-0751.52%-0.971.038$520.65
2026-10-0650.54%-3.671.038$530.27
2026-10-0552.17%-0.861.024$542.28
2026-10-0251.55%-0.571.060$540.04
2026-10-0153.55%+0.681.040$529.30
2026-09-3055.94%-0.461.005$511.38
2026-09-2957.94%+1.030.997$512.01
2026-09-2853.93%-0.171.048$486.76
2026-09-2553.92%-0.861.031$485.00
2026-09-2455.92%-1.070.993$474.25
2026-09-2353.74%-0.761.047$474.38
2026-09-2251.67%-0.431.086$472.46
2026-09-2154.14%-1.721.047$464.24
2026-09-1849.67%-1.451.097$444.57
2026-09-1749.25%-0.141.083$417.40
2026-09-1649.32%+0.341.083$415.38
2026-09-1550.34%-0.271.074$421.17
2026-09-1452.22%-2.411.071$424.21
2026-09-1150.25%-0.041.128$456.49
2026-09-1052.44%-2.301.090$454.01
2026-09-0953.72%-3.371.077$468.85
2026-09-0854.57%-0.941.117$472.79
2026-09-0450.74%-2.021.124$454.71
2026-09-0348.04%-0.581.122$435.91
2026-09-0247.64%+0.361.121$438.46
2026-09-0148.00%-4.331.134$441.85
2026-08-3148.57%-2.221.110$458.39
2026-08-2849.42%-2.411.124$461.67
2026-08-2751.52%-0.451.124$482.36
2026-08-2653.76%-0.131.094$479.76
2026-08-2553.43%-1.331.115$480.04
2026-08-2454.91%-0.351.095$484.19
2026-08-2154.06%-0.331.119$492.32
2026-08-2055.67%+0.121.087$496.21
2026-08-1955.81%+0.601.095$496.17
2026-08-1858.00%+0.041.082$514.33
2026-08-1757.60%-1.281.075$535.31
2025-09-2937.73%+0.421.026$204.95
2025-09-2637.13%+1.831.030$203.92
2025-09-2538.69%+3.051.001$199.60
2025-09-2439.60%+1.440.989$201.44
2025-09-2342.19%+2.210.963$200.87
2025-09-2239.44%-1.041.008$200.52
2025-09-1935.81%+0.411.028$190.10
2025-09-1837.01%+0.811.025$189.76
2025-09-1734.79%+1.491.058$178.13
2025-09-1635.20%+1.141.023$173.54
2025-09-1534.79%+0.811.049$170.93
2025-09-1232.92%-0.441.075$167.80
2025-09-1131.39%+1.821.135$170.15
2025-09-1030.26%+2.011.151$163.42
2025-09-0929.79%+2.601.156$163.50
2025-09-0829.68%+1.331.162$162.05
2025-09-0529.93%+4.201.168$162.75
2025-09-0429.07%+3.071.189$158.24
2025-09-0329.55%+2.651.174$156.25
2025-09-0229.20%+3.101.209$157.57
2025-08-2929.21%+3.411.191$160.76
2025-08-2827.90%+2.281.197$165.27
2025-08-2731.54%+0.911.096$164.39
2025-08-2627.89%+2.571.153$164.51
2025-08-2528.29%+0.561.188$161.99
2025-08-2228.93%+2.191.157$162.49
2025-08-2130.84%+2.971.111$159.84
2025-08-2031.27%+2.461.099$160.96
2025-08-1930.11%+5.791.127$162.22
2025-08-1831.00%+1.961.105$163.53
2025-08-1533.26%+2.041.043$161.76
2025-08-1438.58%+1.540.913$188.24
2025-08-1338.90%+2.300.924$190.03
2025-08-1237.55%+3.350.934$188.45
2025-08-1138.86%+1.730.914$184.38
2025-08-0838.35%+3.400.937$184.87
2025-08-0740.77%+2.460.898$183.15
2025-08-0637.92%+1.370.953$178.14
2025-08-0540.00%+3.530.914$179.15
2025-08-0436.86%+7.110.953$182.82
2025-08-0140.82%+4.700.896$179.99
2025-07-3139.15%+3.530.915$180.06
2025-07-3038.48%+3.980.896$189.39
2025-07-2936.75%+4.600.949$188.41
2025-07-2836.23%+2.950.962$190.27
2025-07-2534.86%+4.280.958$185.69
2025-07-2436.20%+1.150.928$188.12
2025-07-2335.63%+3.990.928$187.01
2025-07-2236.79%+3.800.918$187.14
2025-07-2135.55%+3.100.948$192.61
2025-07-1834.79%+3.110.948$190.44
2025-07-1735.42%+2.750.947$192.52
2025-07-1635.79%+3.020.952$194.81
2025-07-1536.09%+3.290.972$199.29
2025-07-1434.75%+2.500.980$197.10
2025-07-1132.38%+0.091.045$197.93
2025-07-1031.13%+1.631.086$198.03
2025-07-0932.18%+2.211.072$195.39
2025-07-0832.47%+0.381.063$194.99
2025-07-0734.13%+3.601.039$190.78
2025-07-0332.97%+3.051.045$191.05

The chart covers every session in the archive, 331 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 331 sessions

-10.00.010.020.026 Aug26 Dec28 Apr26 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

60%80%100%120%140%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 103.18%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 102.63%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 103.18%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 104.62%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 104.69%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 104.67%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 106.84%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 106.99%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 108.00%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 106.70%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 108.94%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 108.36%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 108.70%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 110.47%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 112.62%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 112.01%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 115.57%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 118.07%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 124.85%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ C — IV 81.07%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 79.30%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 80.61%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 80.59%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 80.80%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 81.77%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 82.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 83.04%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 81.66%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 83.21%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 84.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 85.55%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 86.15%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 86.88%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 88.36%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 90.14%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 92.09%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 94.79%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 101.12%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 5Δ C — IV 69.98%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 68.33%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 68.20%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 68.79%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 69.59%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 68.51%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 69.94%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 71.07%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 70.60%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 70.78%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 72.80%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 71.77%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 73.96%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 75.11%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 75.33%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 76.26%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 79.79%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 81.34%2026-11-27 (18d) — 5Δ P — IV 87.14%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call103.18%81.07%69.98%
10Δ call102.63%79.30%68.33%
15Δ call103.18%80.61%68.20%
20Δ call104.62%80.59%68.79%
25Δ call104.69%80.80%69.59%
30Δ call104.67%81.77%68.51%
35Δ call106.84%82.29%69.94%
40Δ call106.99%83.04%71.07%
45Δ call108.00%81.66%70.60%
ATM106.70%83.21%70.78%
45Δ put108.94%84.02%72.80%
40Δ put108.36%85.55%71.77%
35Δ put108.70%86.15%73.96%
30Δ put110.47%86.88%75.11%
25Δ put112.62%88.36%75.33%
20Δ put112.01%90.14%76.26%
15Δ put115.57%92.09%79.79%
10Δ put118.07%94.79%81.34%
5Δ put124.85%101.12%87.14%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$373.13106.70%112.62%104.69%+7.92+1.9572
2026-11-2011$372.7283.21%88.36%80.80%+7.56+1.3773
2026-11-2718$372.9570.78%75.33%69.59%+5.74+1.6859
2026-12-0425$373.6767.60%71.71%65.30%+6.42+0.9147
2026-12-1132$373.6265.76%69.59%63.15%+6.45+0.6151
2026-12-1839$374.4262.89%67.50%60.95%+6.55+1.3437
2026-12-2445$374.2261.96%66.96%59.85%+7.11+1.4438
2027-01-1567$376.1259.23%62.80%56.95%+5.85+0.6444
2027-02-19102$376.8658.50%61.51%56.60%+4.91+0.5649
2027-03-19130$377.7457.88%60.72%56.76%+3.96+0.8655
2027-04-16158$379.6757.76%60.27%55.76%+4.51+0.2654
2027-06-17220$381.7756.32%59.85%55.22%+4.63+1.2172
2027-09-17312$385.0356.18%58.22%55.03%+3.20+0.4550

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%60%80%100%120%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 106.70%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 83.21%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 70.78%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 67.60%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 65.76%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 62.89%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 61.96%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 59.23%2027-02-19 — 102 days — at-the-money IV 58.50%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 57.88%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 57.76%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 56.32%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 56.18%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$373.13106.70%$375.4672
2026-11-2011 days$372.7283.21%$376.6373
2026-11-2718 days$372.9570.78%$377.5859
2026-12-0425 days$373.6767.60%$379.5647
2026-12-1132 days$373.6265.76%$380.7751
2026-12-1839 days$374.4262.89%$382.4137
2026-12-2445 days$374.2261.96%$383.1838
2027-01-1567 days$376.1259.23%$388.4344
2027-02-19102 days$376.8658.50%$395.3249
2027-03-19130 days$377.7457.88%$400.9755
2027-04-16158 days$379.6757.76%$408.1054
2027-06-17220 days$381.7756.32%$420.0772
2027-09-17312 days$385.0356.18%$440.6350

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
66.20%
60 days
59.90%
90 days
58.69%
180 days
57.14%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 331 sessions

0.800.901.001.101.201.3026 Aug26 Dec28 Apr26 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-12After the closeAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 4
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
6.8%
Mean move that happened
102.0%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-13After the close———
2026-05-14After the close———
2026-02-12After the close———
2025-11-13After the close———
2025-08-14After the close7.1%+184.4%26.12×
2025-05-15After the close6.8%+206.3%30.52×
2025-02-13After the close6.5%-8.2%1.25×
2024-11-14After the close6.9%-9.2%1.33×
2024-08-15After the close———
2024-02-15After the close———
2023-11-16After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.