Options Skew Analytics

APA options analytics

APA · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

APA options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 44.7%, a move of about ±12.8% over the next month. That is higher than 61% of the 227 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 0.29 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-03 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±3.4% and APA moved 120.8% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
44.69%

Prices a move of about ±12.8% over 30 days, or ±2.8% on a typical day.

Higher than 61% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.29

Puts carry 0.29 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 18% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.00

The wings carry 1.00 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.049

90-day volatility is 5% above 30-day.

Higher than 67% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 227 prior sessions (one-year window)

44.7% — 61th percentile
31.2%85.4%
IV percentile, 1 year
61%
IV rank, 1 year
25%
IV percentile, 2 years
61%
IV rank, 2 years
25%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$42.30
30-day implied forward
$42.60
60-day ATM IV
48.12%
90-day ATM IV
46.88%
180-day ATM IV
46.75%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
132,981
Put / call open interest
0.26

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 232 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%28 Aug20 Nov14 Feb7 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2244.69%+0.291.049$42.30
2026-09-2146.27%-0.351.015$43.81
2026-09-1843.84%+0.381.076$44.87
2026-09-1745.04%-0.131.055$45.46
2026-09-1645.99%+0.461.056$44.79
2026-09-1548.23%+0.241.003$47.41
2026-09-1446.38%+0.811.004$45.03
2026-09-1142.93%-0.011.060$44.73
2026-09-10———$44.53
2026-09-0944.08%-0.231.032$44.84
2026-09-0843.61%+1.611.023$43.55
2026-09-0440.79%+1.411.080$42.77
2026-09-0341.46%+0.531.061$44.18
2026-09-0242.53%-0.491.049$44.70
2026-09-0141.16%-1.051.066$44.30
2026-08-31———$43.15
2026-08-2841.75%+0.341.052$42.54
2026-08-2740.28%-1.551.103$42.38
2026-08-2641.77%-0.431.064$41.19
2026-08-2541.72%-0.211.080$41.35
2026-08-2442.87%+0.091.048$42.96
2026-08-2141.29%+0.821.071$43.39
2026-08-2041.67%+0.671.060$44.39
2026-08-19———$43.45
2026-08-1840.40%+0.441.038$42.37
2025-06-3047.24%+2.910.956$18.29
2025-06-2744.60%+1.470.992$18.56
2025-06-2643.32%+0.021.038$18.45
2025-06-2543.65%+2.741.035$17.80
2025-06-2447.57%+0.280.963$18.18
2025-06-2345.79%+6.621.003$18.39
2025-06-2047.01%+2.331.002$19.97
2025-06-1848.26%+1.680.990$20.31
2025-06-1748.05%+3.110.998$20.78
2025-06-1646.15%+3.560.988$20.50
2025-06-13———$21.01
2025-06-1244.08%+3.831.040$19.95
2025-06-1144.04%+3.271.036$19.61
2025-06-1038.77%+7.901.150$19.28
2025-06-0943.11%+4.901.059$18.63
2025-06-0642.38%+4.021.072$18.50
2025-06-0546.01%+3.451.022$17.85
2025-06-0447.45%+0.981.006$17.92
2025-06-0339.12%+9.681.148$18.27
2025-06-0247.34%+2.930.973$17.33
2025-05-3045.22%+4.331.034$17.01
2025-05-2946.57%+5.401.038$17.34
2025-05-2848.95%+4.040.998$17.18
2025-05-2746.35%+4.791.002$17.31
2025-05-2345.52%+8.611.070$16.85
2025-05-2247.35%+5.151.015$16.74
2025-05-2149.57%+1.850.981$16.71
2025-05-2045.66%+3.461.023$17.25
2025-05-1946.82%+4.910.975$17.32
2025-05-1648.18%+7.030.955$17.59
2025-05-1543.05%+5.491.075$17.76
2025-05-1441.63%+2.501.074$18.17
2025-05-1343.93%+5.161.010$18.46
2025-05-1244.61%+5.621.037$17.71
2025-05-0952.14%+4.800.962$16.72
2025-05-0852.17%+15.730.948$16.18
2025-05-0758.13%+8.130.940$15.48
2025-05-0657.77%+8.900.934$15.73
2025-05-0558.93%+8.020.913$15.50
2025-05-0256.62%+10.340.922$16.46
2025-05-0155.08%+9.610.957$16.22
2025-04-3066.04%+19.350.837$15.54
2025-04-2954.78%+8.370.985$16.24
2025-04-2855.36%+6.950.944$16.55
2025-04-2564.92%+5.420.821$16.35
2025-04-2458.34%+2.210.849$16.26
2025-04-2359.75%+8.780.909$15.65
2025-04-2258.54%+12.040.940$15.86
2025-04-2165.20%+14.290.915$15.50
2025-04-1761.63%+13.910.908$16.11
2025-04-1666.20%+18.040.914$15.37
2025-04-1569.26%+14.940.884$14.89
2025-04-1468.29%+6.640.908$15.20
2025-04-1179.03%+20.200.853$15.04
2025-04-1083.76%+19.180.841$14.60
2025-04-0961.62%+7.280.925$16.71
2025-04-0881.94%+19.530.818$14.03
2025-04-0785.44%+16.890.748$14.96
2025-04-0472.00%+13.330.852$15.18
2025-04-0354.03%+8.030.867$17.74
2025-04-0239.41%+4.510.990$21.24
2025-04-0139.18%+3.191.006$21.13
2025-03-3141.02%+4.100.958$21.02
2025-03-2839.37%+4.651.008$20.92
2025-03-2737.20%+6.121.032$21.20
2025-03-2638.17%+3.451.015$21.10
2025-03-2537.87%+5.811.009$20.89
2025-03-2438.81%+4.621.015$20.84
2025-03-2139.35%+1.531.030$20.61
2025-03-2039.89%+3.091.032$20.57
2025-03-1942.47%+5.420.983$20.81
2025-03-1842.56%+4.210.990$20.17
2025-03-1742.72%-0.060.998$20.03
2025-03-1442.42%+3.501.023$19.61
2025-03-1343.02%+13.771.087$19.04
2025-03-1246.28%+2.710.969$19.65
2025-03-1147.44%+7.780.993$19.20
2025-03-1050.27%+5.190.947$19.02
2025-03-0746.33%+2.611.025$18.84
2025-03-0649.09%+4.960.977$18.75
2025-03-0548.62%+5.340.961$18.54
2025-03-0446.67%+5.330.973$18.57
2025-03-0347.73%+4.810.918$18.89
2025-02-2840.42%+1.050.954$20.70
2025-02-2744.14%+1.960.901$20.42
2025-02-2645.17%+0.370.909$22.01
2025-02-2545.87%+1.400.913$22.38
2025-02-2444.83%+1.810.937$22.87
2025-02-2146.07%+2.010.909$22.79
2025-02-2042.15%+0.090.979$23.62
2025-02-1944.08%+1.580.918$23.59
2025-02-1844.53%+1.470.935$23.57
2025-02-1443.26%+0.930.943$23.14
2025-02-1342.42%+1.310.951$22.49
2025-02-1242.68%+0.610.950$22.37

The chart covers every session in the archive, 232 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 232 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.028 Aug20 Nov14 Feb7 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

40%45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ C — IV 60.27%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 56.77%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 54.89%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 53.51%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 52.84%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 53.23%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.22%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 52.73%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 52.43%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 52.23%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 52.32%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 52.50%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 52.58%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 52.61%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 52.49%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 47.27%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 47.41%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 47.50%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 47.99%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.05%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.04%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 47.96%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 47.13%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 46.58%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.00%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.00%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 46.21%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 47.20%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 10Δ C — IV 47.13%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ C — IV 47.28%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 46.54%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 45.52%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.51%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 46.36%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 46.09%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 46.39%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 46.03%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 45.42%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 45.40%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 45.59%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 44.96%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 45.65%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 45.75%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 45.93%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
5Δ call60.27%——
10Δ call56.77%—47.13%
15Δ call54.89%—47.28%
20Δ call53.51%47.27%46.54%
25Δ call52.84%47.41%45.52%
30Δ call53.23%47.50%46.51%
35Δ call53.22%47.99%46.36%
40Δ call52.73%48.05%46.09%
45Δ call52.43%48.04%46.39%
ATM52.23%47.96%46.03%
45Δ put52.32%47.13%45.42%
40Δ put52.50%46.58%45.40%
35Δ put52.58%47.00%45.59%
30Δ put52.61%47.00%44.96%
25Δ put52.49%46.21%45.65%
20Δ put—47.20%45.75%
15Δ put——45.93%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$42.5152.23%52.49%52.84%-0.35+0.439
2026-10-0210$42.5447.96%46.21%47.41%-1.19-1.1514
2026-10-0917$42.5946.03%45.65%45.52%+0.13-0.4415
2026-10-1624$42.6145.38%44.78%44.97%-0.18-0.5025
2026-10-2331$42.6044.60%45.96%45.61%+0.35+1.1913
2026-10-3038$42.6344.80%45.98%45.93%+0.05+1.1513
2026-11-2059$42.6048.19%48.83%48.04%+0.79+0.259
2026-12-1887$42.7846.96%47.90%47.05%+0.85+0.5212
2027-01-15115$42.9146.41%47.23%46.52%+0.71+0.4613
2027-03-19178$42.9846.89%48.10%46.57%+1.52+0.4415
2027-04-16206$43.4545.07%46.83%46.55%+0.29+1.6212

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

42%44%46%48%50%52%54%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 52.23%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 47.96%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 46.03%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 45.38%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 44.60%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 44.80%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 48.19%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 46.96%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 46.41%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 46.89%2027-04-16 — 206 days — at-the-money IV 45.07%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$42.5152.23%$42.559
2026-10-0210 days$42.5447.96%$42.6714
2026-10-0917 days$42.5946.03%$42.8015
2026-10-1624 days$42.6145.38%$42.9025
2026-10-2331 days$42.6044.60%$42.9613
2026-10-3038 days$42.6344.80%$43.0813
2026-11-2059 days$42.6048.19%$43.419
2026-12-1887 days$42.7846.96%$43.9212
2027-01-15115 days$42.9146.41%$44.3913
2027-03-19178 days$42.9846.89%$45.3515
2027-04-16206 days$43.4545.07%$46.0112

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
44.69%
60 days
48.12%
90 days
46.88%
180 days
46.75%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 232 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6028 Aug20 Nov14 Feb7 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-03Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
3.4%
Mean move that happened
120.8%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-05After the close———
2026-07-08After the close———
2026-05-06After the close———
2026-04-14After the close———
2026-02-25After the close———
2026-01-20After the close———
2025-11-05After the close———
2025-10-08After the close———
2025-08-07Time not stated———
2025-05-08Time not stated3.4%+161.8%48.17×
2025-02-27Time not stated3.8%+107.5%27.94×
2024-11-07Time not stated3.0%+93.2%31.01×
2024-08-01Time not stated———
2024-05-02Time not stated———
2024-02-22Before the open———
2023-11-02Time not stated———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.