Options Skew Analytics

APA options analytics

APA · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

APA options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 46.8%, a move of about ±13.4% over the next month. That is higher than 69% of the 248 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 0.77 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-02-02 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 7 reports the options market priced an average move of ±4.5% and APA moved 70.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 7.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
46.77%

Prices a move of about ±13.4% over 30 days, or ±2.9% on a typical day.

Higher than 69% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.77

Puts carry 0.77 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 20% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.32

The wings carry 0.32 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.963

90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day.

Higher than 35% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 248 prior sessions (one-year window)

46.8% — 69th percentile
31.2%85.4%
IV percentile, 1 year
69%
IV rank, 1 year
29%
IV percentile, 2 years
68%
IV rank, 2 years
29%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$44.63
30-day implied forward
$44.92
60-day ATM IV
44.44%
90-day ATM IV
45.03%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
114,342
Put / call open interest
0.26

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 327 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%28 Aug26 Dec24 Apr21 Aug6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0646.77%+0.770.963$44.63
2026-11-0550.58%-0.220.932$43.48
2026-11-0450.16%+0.270.932$44.49
2026-11-0351.04%-0.170.919$47.77
2026-11-0251.13%+0.400.908$48.82
2026-10-3048.75%-1.470.938$52.82
2026-10-2947.52%+1.820.959$51.51
2026-10-2850.32%+0.790.916$51.11
2026-10-2750.73%+2.610.913$50.79
2026-10-2649.73%+1.470.956$51.66
2026-10-2349.61%+1.380.953$51.90
2026-10-2250.40%+2.060.908$49.44
2026-10-2149.45%-0.220.914$49.63
2026-10-2047.47%+1.790.930$49.90
2026-10-1947.87%+2.580.912$49.76
2026-10-1647.62%+0.800.938$49.15
2026-10-1547.37%-0.050.921$47.23
2026-10-1447.30%-1.750.933$47.37
2026-10-1347.16%+1.250.936$48.01
2026-10-0947.34%+1.950.947$45.88
2026-10-0848.16%-0.800.932$45.47
2026-10-0746.93%-0.140.956$43.81
2026-10-0646.79%+0.380.966$44.10
2026-10-0546.69%+0.850.968$43.85
2026-10-0244.66%+0.901.012$43.68
2026-10-0145.08%+0.851.017$43.34
2026-09-3044.20%+0.801.022$41.54
2026-09-2945.57%-0.771.008$42.19
2026-09-2846.29%-0.531.014$42.33
2026-09-2542.58%+2.121.051$42.74
2026-09-2445.03%+0.391.008$43.68
2026-09-2344.45%+0.921.041$43.70
2026-09-2244.69%+0.291.049$42.30
2026-09-2146.27%-0.351.015$43.81
2026-09-1843.84%+0.381.076$44.87
2026-09-1745.04%-0.131.055$45.46
2026-09-1645.99%+0.461.056$44.79
2026-09-1548.23%+0.241.003$47.41
2026-09-1446.38%+0.811.004$45.03
2026-09-1142.93%-0.011.060$44.73
2026-09-10———$44.53
2026-09-0944.08%-0.231.032$44.84
2026-09-0843.61%+1.611.023$43.55
2026-09-0440.79%+1.411.080$42.77
2026-09-0341.46%+0.531.061$44.18
2026-09-0242.53%-0.491.049$44.70
2026-09-0141.16%-1.051.066$44.30
2026-08-31———$43.15
2026-08-2841.75%+0.341.052$42.54
2026-08-2740.28%-1.551.103$42.38
2026-08-2641.77%-0.431.064$41.19
2026-08-2541.72%-0.211.080$41.35
2026-08-2442.87%+0.091.048$42.96
2026-08-2141.29%+0.821.071$43.39
2026-08-2041.67%+0.671.060$44.39
2026-08-19———$43.45
2026-08-1840.40%+0.441.038$42.37
2025-09-2943.85%+3.600.994$24.34
2025-09-2642.93%+2.490.983$24.69
2025-09-2544.29%+2.460.977$24.34
2025-09-2446.09%+4.910.954$24.42
2025-09-2344.69%+2.770.991$23.99
2025-09-2243.93%+0.110.987$23.61
2025-09-1944.32%+1.470.972$23.48
2025-09-1843.04%+2.281.007$23.90
2025-09-1745.09%+3.010.939$24.16
2025-09-1643.44%+1.260.964$24.51
2025-09-1542.83%+3.060.993$22.91
2025-09-1241.41%+3.311.027$22.84
2025-09-1142.78%-0.580.993$22.98
2025-09-1040.51%+2.100.989$23.29
2025-09-0941.47%+3.310.986$21.66
2025-09-0841.15%+2.140.994$22.26
2025-09-0541.07%+3.241.007$22.75
2025-09-0439.36%+2.891.031$23.44
2025-09-0340.33%+2.981.012$22.68
2025-09-0239.40%+2.371.015$23.84
2025-08-2936.91%+1.991.062$23.22
2025-08-2837.61%+2.971.045$22.98
2025-08-2738.17%+3.171.032$22.59
2025-08-2638.68%+3.131.027$22.12
2025-08-2538.28%+2.641.048$22.36
2025-08-2237.77%+3.541.047$21.64
2025-08-2140.06%+4.301.029$20.63
2025-08-2041.45%+3.990.994$20.34
2025-08-1938.85%+6.791.064$20.24
2025-08-1838.26%+6.081.080$20.41
2025-08-1540.41%+2.671.030$20.48
2025-08-1440.68%+1.541.027$20.49
2025-08-1341.31%+3.031.015$20.56
2025-08-1241.65%+1.691.029$20.44
2025-08-1143.61%+1.840.985$19.92
2025-08-0841.87%+2.501.016$20.01
2025-08-0745.75%+5.140.959$19.46
2025-08-0645.69%-0.231.039$18.06
2025-08-0548.20%+2.710.934$18.59
2025-08-0447.99%+2.390.954$18.27
2025-08-0148.90%+1.980.964$18.46
2025-07-3147.75%+2.600.947$19.29
2025-07-3044.12%+1.051.003$19.48
2025-07-2946.55%+2.100.954$19.68
2025-07-2845.37%+2.250.971$19.57
2025-07-2544.81%+4.120.966$19.10
2025-07-2446.02%+3.010.965$19.30
2025-07-2346.89%+3.340.970$19.20
2025-07-2247.79%+3.040.943$18.74
2025-07-2147.02%+6.130.931$18.60
2025-07-1842.53%+7.091.012$18.82
2025-07-1747.03%+3.560.969$18.84
2025-07-1645.82%+2.690.911$18.14
2025-07-1547.73%+2.720.937$18.65
2025-07-1447.11%+2.610.959$19.47
2025-07-1144.22%+1.850.974$20.11
2025-07-1046.10%+2.830.938$20.40
2025-07-0943.31%+2.741.001$20.45
2025-07-0844.42%+2.440.985$20.50
2025-07-0749.35%+7.680.925$19.41
2025-07-0346.37%+4.300.972$19.53
2025-07-0241.56%+3.321.055$19.49
2025-07-0145.31%+3.910.987$18.94

The chart covers every session in the archive, 327 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 327 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.028 Aug26 Dec24 Apr21 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

7d (2026-11-13) · 14d (2026-11-20) · 21d (2026-11-27)

44%46%48%50%52%54%56%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ C — IV 50.73%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 50.66%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 50.76%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.52%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 51.04%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 50.78%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 49.86%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 49.64%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 51.23%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 51.15%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 50.97%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 50.72%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.65%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ P — IV 51.63%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ P — IV 52.99%2026-11-13 (7d) — 10Δ P — IV 54.11%2026-11-13 (7d) — 5Δ P — IV 54.53%7d2026-11-20 (14d) — 5Δ C — IV 50.58%2026-11-20 (14d) — 10Δ C — IV 47.62%2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ C — IV 47.30%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 48.37%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.22%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 49.49%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 49.83%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 49.50%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 49.91%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 48.96%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 47.68%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 50.10%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.57%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 49.88%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.47%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ P — IV 51.27%2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ P — IV 51.34%14d2026-11-27 (21d) — 15Δ C — IV 47.80%2026-11-27 (21d) — 20Δ C — IV 46.85%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ C — IV 46.18%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ C — IV 45.93%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ C — IV 46.40%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ C — IV 46.56%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ C — IV 46.64%2026-11-27 (21d) — ATM — IV 46.68%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ P — IV 46.75%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ P — IV 46.88%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.08%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.53%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ P — IV 47.99%2026-11-27 (21d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.16%2026-11-27 (21d) — 15Δ P — IV 48.30%21d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta7d14d21d
5Δ call—50.58%—
10Δ call—47.62%—
15Δ call50.73%47.30%47.80%
20Δ call50.66%48.37%46.85%
25Δ call50.76%48.22%46.18%
30Δ call50.52%49.49%45.93%
35Δ call51.04%49.83%46.40%
40Δ call50.78%49.50%46.56%
45Δ call49.86%49.91%46.64%
ATM49.64%48.96%46.68%
45Δ put51.23%47.68%46.75%
40Δ put51.15%50.10%46.88%
35Δ put50.97%48.57%47.08%
30Δ put50.72%49.88%47.53%
25Δ put50.65%50.47%47.99%
20Δ put51.63%51.27%48.16%
15Δ put52.99%51.34%48.30%
10Δ put54.11%——
5Δ put54.53%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-137$44.8249.64%50.65%50.76%-0.11+1.0719
2026-11-2014$44.8148.96%50.47%48.22%+2.25+0.3819
2026-11-2721$44.8646.68%47.99%46.18%+1.81+0.4111
2026-12-0428$44.9246.79%47.64%46.95%+0.69+0.5112
2026-12-1135$44.9346.73%47.15%46.23%+0.92-0.058
2026-12-1842$44.9246.13%45.86%45.14%+0.71-0.639
2027-01-1570$45.1843.86%44.94%44.37%+0.57+0.809
2027-03-19133$45.2046.32%47.87%46.50%+1.37+0.8715
2027-04-16161$45.3145.62%46.98%44.94%+2.04+0.3415

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

42%44%46%48%50%52%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 49.64%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 48.96%2026-11-27 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 46.68%2026-12-04 — 28 days — at-the-money IV 46.79%2026-12-11 — 35 days — at-the-money IV 46.73%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 46.13%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 43.86%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 46.32%2027-04-16 — 161 days — at-the-money IV 45.62%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-137 days$44.8249.64%$44.9319
2026-11-2014 days$44.8148.96%$45.0219
2026-11-2721 days$44.8646.68%$45.1511
2026-12-0428 days$44.9246.79%$45.3012
2026-12-1135 days$44.9346.73%$45.408
2026-12-1842 days$44.9246.13%$45.489
2027-01-1570 days$45.1843.86%$46.029
2027-03-19133 days$45.2046.32%$47.0015
2027-04-16161 days$45.3145.62%$47.4315

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
46.77%
60 days
44.44%
90 days
45.03%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 327 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6028 Aug26 Dec24 Apr21 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-02-02Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 7 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 7
29% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
4.5%
Mean move that happened
70.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-04After the close7.0%-2.3%0.32×
2026-11-03Time not stated7.6%-6.9%0.90×
2026-10-07After the close3.6%+3.8%1.06×
2026-08-05After the close———
2026-07-08After the close———
2026-05-06After the close———
2026-04-14After the close———
2026-02-25After the close———
2026-01-20After the close———
2025-11-05After the close———
2025-10-08After the close———
2025-08-07Time not stated3.1%+117.7%37.87×
2025-05-08Time not stated3.4%+161.8%48.17×
2025-02-27Time not stated3.8%+107.5%27.94×
2024-11-07Time not stated3.0%+93.2%31.01×
2024-08-01Time not stated———
2024-05-02Time not stated———
2024-02-22Before the open———
2023-11-02Time not stated———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.