Options Skew Analytics

APH options analytics

APH · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

APH options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 50.3%, a move of about ±14.4% over the next month. Its history here is 327 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta puts carry 5.62 volatility points more than the calls.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 6% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-27 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.3% and APH moved 61.2% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
50.31%

Prices a move of about ±14.4% over 30 days, or ±3.2% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+5.62

Puts carry 5.62 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.46

The wings carry 0.46 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.942

90-day volatility is 6% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 62 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$74.59
30-day implied forward
$74.27
60-day ATM IV
47.53%
90-day ATM IV
47.37%
180-day ATM IV
45.52%
Expirations used
7
Total open interest
253,007
Put / call open interest
1.73

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 327 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%2024-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-09-27 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2024-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 38%2024-10-17 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-10-18 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2024-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2024-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-11-04 — 30-day ATM IV 29%2025-01-22 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-07-18 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-07-21 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-07-22 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2025-07-24 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2025-08-20 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2025-08-21 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2025-08-22 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2025-08-25 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2025-08-27 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2025-08-28 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2025-09-02 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2025-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 34%2025-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2025-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2025-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2025-09-29 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2026-08-19 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-08-20 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-08-21 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-08-24 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-08-25 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-08-26 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-08-27 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-08-28 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-08-31 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-09-01 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-09-03 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-09-04 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-09-08 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-09-11 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2026-09-28 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-09-29 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-10-01 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2026-10-02 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-10-05 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-10-06 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-10-08 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 48%2026-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 52%2026-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 51%2026-10-26 — 30-day ATM IV 50%2026-10-27 — 30-day ATM IV 50%2026-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-10-29 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-10-30 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2026-11-02 — 30-day ATM IV 46%2026-11-03 — 30-day ATM IV 46%2026-11-04 — 30-day ATM IV 46%2026-11-05 — 30-day ATM IV 56%2026-11-06 — 30-day ATM IV 50%18 Sep22 Aug27 Aug30 Sep6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0650.31%+5.620.942$74.59
2026-11-0556.28%+9.420.862$71.64
2026-11-0446.34%+3.720.966$79.01
2026-11-0346.43%+4.240.966$84.19
2026-11-0245.95%+4.200.968$79.84
2026-10-3045.39%+4.550.964$79.30
2026-10-2941.18%+1.921.005$82.08
2026-10-2842.67%+1.400.983$80.96
2026-10-2750.17%+2.340.879$78.21
2026-10-2650.07%+3.200.854$75.27
2026-10-2351.20%+2.920.863$74.09
2026-10-2252.14%+3.390.857$73.07
2026-10-2147.53%+3.220.866$79.20
2026-10-20———$79.32
2026-10-19———$80.28
2026-10-16———$79.35
2026-10-15———$81.49
2026-10-14———$82.69
2026-10-13———$85.89
2026-10-09———$87.24
2026-10-0843.90%+1.610.933$85.32
2026-10-07———$87.55
2026-10-0642.85%+1.480.952$88.62
2026-10-0543.54%+1.810.966$87.27
2026-10-0243.85%+1.300.985$86.96
2026-10-0145.17%+1.610.974$85.67
2026-09-3044.43%+1.350.980$84.30
2026-09-2943.91%+1.480.981$84.34
2026-09-2843.75%+1.491.003$84.62
2026-09-2542.34%+1.501.028$84.09
2026-09-2443.88%+0.591.030$83.08
2026-09-2343.35%+0.021.030$82.19
2026-09-2243.17%-0.011.020$82.84
2026-09-2143.42%+1.451.035$80.72
2026-09-1841.06%+0.651.066$77.55
2026-09-1740.77%+0.971.107$78.37
2026-09-1642.49%+0.691.061$77.26
2026-09-15———$77.65
2026-09-14———$78.55
2026-09-1140.36%+0.781.128$83.92
2026-09-1041.80%+0.641.116$80.25
2026-09-09———$81.34
2026-09-0843.46%+1.971.079$81.76
2026-09-0441.65%-0.451.137$82.78
2026-09-0342.11%+4.441.075$82.07
2026-09-02———$160.08
2026-09-0141.73%+1.961.083$163.18
2026-08-3140.02%+1.271.145$158.55
2026-08-2841.12%+1.901.121$157.74
2026-08-2741.07%+1.541.142$161.38
2026-08-2641.33%+1.361.168$161.34
2026-08-2540.75%+1.111.155$158.78
2026-08-2442.41%+0.011.114$155.55
2026-08-2140.69%+1.651.170$157.01
2026-08-2041.50%+0.091.124$153.11
2026-08-1940.75%+1.851.059$156.04
2026-08-18———$159.57
2025-09-2936.70%+3.001.006$121.01
2025-09-26———$122.60
2025-09-2537.19%+2.871.025$122.33
2025-09-2435.92%+2.281.031$123.13
2025-09-2336.93%+0.841.017$125.40
2025-09-2235.27%+1.991.026$123.69
2025-09-1933.46%+1.761.053$123.94
2025-09-1833.77%+1.911.066$122.07
2025-09-17———$118.41
2025-09-16———$119.04
2025-09-15———$119.24
2025-09-12———$118.68
2025-09-11———$119.47
2025-09-10———$119.09
2025-09-09———$116.79
2025-09-08———$110.54
2025-09-05———$110.45
2025-09-04———$112.75
2025-09-03———$110.69
2025-09-0231.12%+4.071.050$109.25
2025-08-29———$108.86
2025-08-2827.93%+3.681.115$111.94
2025-08-2730.06%+3.871.068$110.13
2025-08-26———$109.90
2025-08-2530.60%+1.241.062$109.73
2025-08-2229.99%+3.581.065$109.36
2025-08-2131.36%+3.521.038$108.81
2025-08-2031.66%+3.901.012$108.65
2025-08-19———$109.98
2025-08-18———$111.06
2025-08-15———$109.21
2025-08-14———$110.74
2025-08-13———$109.83
2025-08-12———$111.85
2025-08-11———$109.81
2025-08-08———$109.98
2025-08-07———$108.55
2025-08-06———$109.50
2025-08-05———$107.93
2025-08-04———$108.63
2025-08-01———$104.31
2025-07-31———$106.51
2025-07-30———$105.49
2025-07-29———$105.31
2025-07-28———$106.70
2025-07-25———$105.02
2025-07-2428.27%+3.110.998$104.46
2025-07-23———$100.71
2025-07-2239.76%+6.390.888$101.78
2025-07-2136.18%+2.770.858$103.71
2025-07-1835.96%+4.010.860$103.34
2025-07-17———$101.96
2025-07-16———$100.55
2025-07-15———$99.44
2025-07-14———$100.21
2025-07-11———$98.76
2025-07-10———$98.31
2025-07-09———$98.21
2025-07-08———$97.41
2025-07-07———$98.55
2025-07-03———$99.46
2025-07-02———$98.52
2025-07-01———$97.39

The chart covers every session in the archive, 327 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 327 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.02024-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22024-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.12024-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92024-09-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52024-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.82024-10-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.82024-10-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92024-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92024-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92024-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52024-11-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92025-01-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.92025-07-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02025-07-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82025-07-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 6.42025-07-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.12025-08-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.92025-08-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52025-08-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62025-08-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.22025-08-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.92025-08-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72025-09-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12025-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92025-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82025-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02025-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82025-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32025-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92025-09-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.02026-08-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82026-08-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.12026-08-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.72026-08-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.02026-08-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-08-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-08-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-08-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92026-08-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.32026-09-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-09-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.42026-09-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.52026-09-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.62026-09-11 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82026-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.72026-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.02026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.72026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.02026-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.02026-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.62026-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-09-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-09-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-10-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62026-10-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.32026-10-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82026-10-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-10-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62026-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22026-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42026-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92026-10-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22026-10-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32026-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-10-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92026-10-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.62026-11-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.22026-11-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.22026-11-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72026-11-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 9.42026-11-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.618 Sep22 Aug27 Aug30 Sep6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

14d (2026-11-20) · 42d (2026-12-18) · 70d (2027-01-15)

40%50%60%70%2026-11-20 (14d) — 5Δ C — IV 50.87%2026-11-20 (14d) — 10Δ C — IV 51.48%2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ C — IV 51.77%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 51.72%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 51.69%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 52.39%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.37%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.14%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.92%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 55.67%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 56.44%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 57.12%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 57.57%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 58.01%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 58.97%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ P — IV 60.70%2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ P — IV 62.94%2026-11-20 (14d) — 10Δ P — IV 65.81%14d2026-12-18 (42d) — 10Δ C — IV 44.89%2026-12-18 (42d) — 15Δ C — IV 45.66%2026-12-18 (42d) — 20Δ C — IV 45.59%2026-12-18 (42d) — 25Δ C — IV 45.81%2026-12-18 (42d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.51%2026-12-18 (42d) — 35Δ C — IV 47.27%2026-12-18 (42d) — 40Δ C — IV 47.45%2026-12-18 (42d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.84%2026-12-18 (42d) — ATM — IV 48.87%2026-12-18 (42d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.62%2026-12-18 (42d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.23%2026-12-18 (42d) — 35Δ P — IV 49.08%2026-12-18 (42d) — 30Δ P — IV 49.99%2026-12-18 (42d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.96%2026-12-18 (42d) — 20Δ P — IV 52.48%2026-12-18 (42d) — 15Δ P — IV 53.70%42d2027-01-15 (70d) — 10Δ C — IV 43.73%2027-01-15 (70d) — 15Δ C — IV 43.95%2027-01-15 (70d) — 20Δ C — IV 43.23%2027-01-15 (70d) — 25Δ C — IV 43.91%2027-01-15 (70d) — 30Δ C — IV 44.50%2027-01-15 (70d) — 35Δ C — IV 44.94%2027-01-15 (70d) — 40Δ C — IV 44.65%2027-01-15 (70d) — 45Δ C — IV 46.86%2027-01-15 (70d) — ATM — IV 47.07%2027-01-15 (70d) — 45Δ P — IV 46.79%2027-01-15 (70d) — 40Δ P — IV 46.56%2027-01-15 (70d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.51%2027-01-15 (70d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.43%2027-01-15 (70d) — 25Δ P — IV 49.35%2027-01-15 (70d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.00%2027-01-15 (70d) — 15Δ P — IV 51.29%70d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta14d42d70d
5Δ call50.87%——
10Δ call51.48%44.89%43.73%
15Δ call51.77%45.66%43.95%
20Δ call51.72%45.59%43.23%
25Δ call51.69%45.81%43.91%
30Δ call52.39%46.51%44.50%
35Δ call53.37%47.27%44.94%
40Δ call54.14%47.45%44.65%
45Δ call54.92%47.84%46.86%
ATM55.67%48.87%47.07%
45Δ put56.44%48.62%46.79%
40Δ put57.12%48.23%46.56%
35Δ put57.57%49.08%47.51%
30Δ put58.01%49.99%48.43%
25Δ put58.97%50.96%49.35%
20Δ put60.70%52.48%50.00%
15Δ put62.94%53.70%51.29%
10Δ put65.81%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-2014$74.1755.67%58.97%51.69%+7.29-0.3412
2026-12-1842$74.3548.87%50.96%45.81%+5.15-0.4915
2027-01-1570$74.4547.07%49.35%43.91%+5.44-0.4416
2027-03-19133$75.3047.70%50.19%46.58%+3.62+0.6819
2027-04-16161$75.6645.94%48.81%43.66%+5.15+0.2920
2027-06-17223$76.5344.83%49.36%44.95%+4.41+2.3322
2027-09-17315$76.6746.97%48.90%44.84%+4.06-0.1025

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

7 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%45%50%55%60%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 55.67%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 48.87%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 47.07%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 47.70%2027-04-16 — 161 days — at-the-money IV 45.94%2027-06-17 — 223 days — at-the-money IV 44.83%2027-09-17 — 315 days — at-the-money IV 46.97%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-2014 days$74.1755.67%$74.6212
2026-12-1842 days$74.3548.87%$75.3815
2027-01-1570 days$74.4547.07%$76.0416
2027-03-19133 days$75.3047.70%$78.4919
2027-04-16161 days$75.6645.94%$79.2720
2027-06-17223 days$76.5344.83%$81.3722
2027-09-17315 days$76.6746.97%$84.3325

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
50.31%
60 days
47.53%
90 days
47.37%
180 days
45.52%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 327 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.402024-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092024-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012024-09-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972024-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.702024-10-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832024-10-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.802024-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832024-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.902024-11-04 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982025-01-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022025-07-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862025-07-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862025-07-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-07-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-08-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-08-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-08-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-08-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-08-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-08-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112025-09-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022025-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022025-09-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012026-08-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-08-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122026-08-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-08-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112026-08-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.152026-08-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-08-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142026-08-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122026-08-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.152026-09-01 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-09-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-09-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142026-09-08 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122026-09-11 — 90-day over 30-day 1.132026-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-09-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-10-01 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-10-02 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-10-05 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-10-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952026-10-08 — 90-day over 30-day 0.932026-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872026-10-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-26 — 90-day over 30-day 0.852026-10-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.882026-10-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-10-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012026-10-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.962026-11-02 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-11-03 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-11-04 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-11-05 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-11-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.9418 Sep25 Aug28 Aug30 Sep6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-27Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 5
40% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.3%
Mean move that happened
61.2%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-10-28Time not stated11.0%+1.4%0.13×
2026-07-29Time not stated———
2026-04-29Before the open———
2026-01-28Before the open———
2025-10-22Before the open———
2025-07-23Time not stated7.4%+58.4%7.89×
2025-04-23Before the open11.8%+8.2%0.69×
2025-01-22Time not stated8.1%+105.0%12.92×
2024-10-23Time not stated7.9%+133.1%16.77×
2024-07-24Time not stated———
2024-04-24Time not stated———
2024-01-24Time not stated———
2023-10-25Time not stated———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.