Options Skew Analytics

APO options analytics

APO · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

APO options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 35.8%, a move of about ±10.3% over the next month. That is higher than 59% of the 213 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.89 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-03 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±6.1% and APO moved 7.3% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
35.80%

Prices a move of about ±10.3% over 30 days, or ±2.3% on a typical day.

Higher than 59% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.89

Puts carry 2.89 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 37% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.40

The wings carry 0.40 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.037

90-day volatility is 4% above 30-day.

Higher than 67% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 213 prior sessions (one-year window)

35.8% — 59th percentile
27.4%83.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
59%
IV rank, 1 year
15%
IV percentile, 2 years
59%
IV rank, 2 years
15%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$124.15
30-day implied forward
$125.02
60-day ATM IV
38.12%
90-day ATM IV
37.13%
180-day ATM IV
36.04%
Expirations used
8
Total open interest
159,774
Put / call open interest
2.13

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 232 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%28 Aug15 Nov12 Feb8 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2235.80%+2.891.037$124.15
2026-09-2135.71%+1.731.035$127.91
2026-09-1834.18%+2.501.102$125.91
2026-09-1735.99%+2.661.045$126.00
2026-09-1635.26%+2.831.071$124.53
2026-09-15———$127.00
2026-09-1434.48%+1.361.114$128.31
2026-09-11———$128.98
2026-09-10———$127.91
2026-09-0935.26%+3.631.107$130.98
2026-09-0835.65%+2.461.053$131.81
2026-09-0435.03%+0.601.042$133.67
2026-09-0332.64%+3.241.119$134.49
2026-09-0234.68%+1.591.065$132.29
2026-09-0135.20%+2.251.061$131.69
2026-08-3133.65%+2.261.074$136.58
2026-08-2832.38%+2.171.074$135.04
2026-08-2733.96%+3.201.095$133.44
2026-08-2634.29%+1.441.043$133.67
2026-08-2538.03%+1.691.018$133.18
2026-08-2433.74%+2.721.108$132.79
2026-08-2134.09%+2.861.092$132.69
2026-08-20———$129.98
2026-08-1934.62%+1.151.046$133.63
2026-08-18———$133.85
2025-06-3033.38%+5.561.038$141.87
2025-06-27———$142.92
2025-06-2632.96%+4.471.066$139.35
2025-06-2534.64%+5.501.024$137.73
2025-06-24———$139.91
2025-06-2334.01%+2.971.066$134.03
2025-06-2034.98%+6.531.080$134.52
2025-06-1833.98%+6.431.097$133.09
2025-06-1734.83%+6.871.086$132.36
2025-06-1635.47%+5.531.058$134.10
2025-06-1335.71%+6.671.065$132.11
2025-06-1233.99%+7.421.062$138.11
2025-06-1132.63%+5.401.116$138.03
2025-06-1033.47%+5.301.074$135.62
2025-06-0932.18%+5.641.144$133.51
2025-06-0632.99%+5.111.114$133.45
2025-06-0534.74%+5.641.063$130.28
2025-06-0434.41%+5.691.068$130.30
2025-06-0335.05%+5.981.047$131.10
2025-06-0234.96%+8.051.063$130.52
2025-05-3036.46%+5.851.025$130.69
2025-05-2936.15%+6.291.021$131.70
2025-05-2836.06%+7.401.027$131.51
2025-05-2736.08%+6.641.013$133.17
2025-05-2338.93%+7.190.986$130.87
2025-05-2236.67%+8.101.012$130.81
2025-05-2136.29%+8.001.044$130.68
2025-05-2034.08%+6.101.029$139.29
2025-05-1933.00%+6.331.055$142.61
2025-05-1632.22%+5.501.050$143.84
2025-05-1532.56%+5.931.044$143.99
2025-05-1433.23%+5.561.035$144.24
2025-05-1332.53%+5.301.062$145.07
2025-05-1233.26%+6.051.034$143.45
2025-05-0937.07%+6.661.031$132.46
2025-05-0837.40%+5.761.036$133.19
2025-05-0739.56%+8.621.003$129.34
2025-05-0640.00%+7.481.020$129.31
2025-05-0539.70%+7.180.995$133.98
2025-05-0236.04%+6.171.047$135.37
2025-05-0145.65%+9.600.915$137.89
2025-04-3050.40%+9.330.875$136.48
2025-04-2947.15%+9.160.871$137.55
2025-04-2848.49%+9.600.907$136.36
2025-04-2549.06%+13.190.888$133.40
2025-04-2447.10%+9.090.970$133.32
2025-04-2354.49%+13.340.871$126.55
2025-04-2254.46%+14.050.852$123.71
2025-04-2160.77%+14.230.861$119.63
2025-04-1749.40%+11.330.912$126.78
2025-04-1653.97%+15.490.873$125.21
2025-04-15———$127.84
2025-04-14———$125.52
2025-04-1165.38%+30.550.780$125.92
2025-04-1068.88%+23.490.769$123.93
2025-04-09———$128.45
2025-04-0883.27%+25.440.755$110.41
2025-04-07———$112.36
2025-04-04———$108.68
2025-04-0357.46%+15.490.843$123.45
2025-04-0241.51%+5.890.959$141.52
2025-04-0142.80%+4.460.940$138.37
2025-03-3141.87%+6.940.977$136.94
2025-03-2838.34%+6.001.036$136.96
2025-03-2738.37%+2.830.986$142.03
2025-03-2636.44%+1.061.022$144.64
2025-03-2534.74%+4.551.059$147.90
2025-03-2437.95%+4.810.983$148.40
2025-03-2137.09%+3.851.069$143.41
2025-03-2038.26%+4.531.006$144.77
2025-03-1938.52%+4.660.975$143.40
2025-03-1840.48%+4.770.983$137.44
2025-03-1739.73%+0.300.930$138.70
2025-03-1439.87%+5.300.969$134.32
2025-03-1348.44%+5.520.864$130.24
2025-03-1243.61%+4.510.943$134.92
2025-03-1147.60%+8.300.912$130.42
2025-03-1052.20%+8.900.899$126.01
2025-03-0743.81%+7.380.950$132.40
2025-03-0643.06%+7.140.942$134.78
2025-03-0537.94%+7.541.023$140.53
2025-03-0441.32%+6.830.993$137.92
2025-03-0338.65%+3.820.961$144.58
2025-02-2836.02%+6.180.970$149.27
2025-02-2736.10%+3.810.981$147.44
2025-02-2634.02%+5.511.026$147.65
2025-02-25———$145.30
2025-02-2434.99%+3.710.980$147.87
2025-02-2133.10%+4.141.002$150.55
2025-02-2031.11%+2.751.027$156.79
2025-02-1932.48%+3.781.024$160.27
2025-02-1831.42%+3.981.011$162.06
2025-02-1429.74%+2.641.057$162.81
2025-02-1330.30%+3.501.033$157.92
2025-02-1230.95%+3.341.041$157.44

The chart covers every session in the archive, 232 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 232 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.040.028 Aug15 Nov12 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

10d (2026-10-02) · 24d (2026-10-16) · 59d (2026-11-20)

32%34%36%38%40%42%44%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 36.04%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 35.97%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 35.53%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 36.38%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 36.87%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 36.10%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.14%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.45%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.75%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 37.50%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 38.15%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 38.57%10d2026-10-16 (24d) — 15Δ C — IV 33.93%2026-10-16 (24d) — 20Δ C — IV 34.20%2026-10-16 (24d) — 25Δ C — IV 33.43%2026-10-16 (24d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.24%2026-10-16 (24d) — 35Δ C — IV 34.15%2026-10-16 (24d) — 40Δ C — IV 34.19%2026-10-16 (24d) — 45Δ C — IV 33.87%2026-10-16 (24d) — ATM — IV 34.53%2026-10-16 (24d) — 45Δ P — IV 34.70%2026-10-16 (24d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.08%2026-10-16 (24d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.37%2026-10-16 (24d) — 30Δ P — IV 35.82%2026-10-16 (24d) — 25Δ P — IV 36.51%2026-10-16 (24d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.71%24d2026-11-20 (59d) — 10Δ C — IV 36.91%2026-11-20 (59d) — 15Δ C — IV 36.68%2026-11-20 (59d) — 20Δ C — IV 36.70%2026-11-20 (59d) — 25Δ C — IV 37.23%2026-11-20 (59d) — 30Δ C — IV 37.74%2026-11-20 (59d) — 35Δ C — IV 37.86%2026-11-20 (59d) — 40Δ C — IV 37.69%2026-11-20 (59d) — 45Δ C — IV 37.75%2026-11-20 (59d) — ATM — IV 38.17%2026-11-20 (59d) — 45Δ P — IV 38.40%2026-11-20 (59d) — 40Δ P — IV 38.48%2026-11-20 (59d) — 35Δ P — IV 38.69%2026-11-20 (59d) — 30Δ P — IV 39.32%2026-11-20 (59d) — 25Δ P — IV 39.79%2026-11-20 (59d) — 20Δ P — IV 40.13%2026-11-20 (59d) — 15Δ P — IV 41.44%2026-11-20 (59d) — 10Δ P — IV 43.18%59d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta10d24d59d
10Δ call——36.91%
15Δ call—33.93%36.68%
20Δ call—34.20%36.70%
25Δ call36.04%33.43%37.23%
30Δ call35.97%34.24%37.74%
35Δ call35.53%34.15%37.86%
40Δ call36.38%34.19%37.69%
45Δ call36.87%33.87%37.75%
ATM36.10%34.53%38.17%
45Δ put36.14%34.70%38.40%
40Δ put36.45%36.08%38.48%
35Δ put36.75%36.37%38.69%
30Δ put37.50%35.82%39.32%
25Δ put38.15%36.51%39.79%
20Δ put38.57%37.71%40.13%
15Δ put——41.44%
10Δ put——43.18%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-0210$124.6536.10%38.15%36.04%+2.12+1.0014
2026-10-1624$125.0534.53%36.51%33.43%+3.08+0.4420
2026-11-2059$124.8538.17%39.79%37.23%+2.56+0.3412
2026-12-1887$125.1037.23%38.41%36.15%+2.26+0.0513
2027-01-15115$125.7136.47%37.56%35.56%+2.00+0.0915
2027-03-19178$126.2236.00%38.28%34.92%+3.35+0.6022
2027-06-17268$127.8337.27%39.14%34.77%+4.37-0.3121
2027-09-17360$128.4337.34%38.97%34.80%+4.17-0.4619

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

8 listed expirations produced a usable reading

34%35%36%37%38%39%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 36.10%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 34.53%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 38.17%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 37.23%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 36.47%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 36.00%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 37.27%2027-09-17 — 360 days — at-the-money IV 37.34%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-0210 days$124.6536.10%$124.8714
2026-10-1624 days$125.0534.53%$125.5420
2026-11-2059 days$124.8538.17%$126.3312
2026-12-1887 days$125.1037.23%$127.1913
2027-01-15115 days$125.7136.47%$128.3715
2027-03-19178 days$126.2236.00%$130.2822
2027-06-17268 days$127.8337.27%$134.5221
2027-09-17360 days$128.4337.34%$137.5819

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
35.80%
60 days
38.12%
90 days
37.13%
180 days
36.04%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 232 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4028 Aug15 Nov12 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-03Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 5
60% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
6.1%
Mean move that happened
7.3%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-24Time not stated———
2026-08-04Before the open———
2026-07-01After the close———
2026-05-06Before the open———
2026-04-01After the close———
2026-02-09Before the open———
2026-01-02After the close———
2025-11-04Before the open———
2025-10-02Before the open———
2025-08-05Before the open———
2025-07-01After the close———
2025-05-02Before the open9.4%-1.8%0.19×
2025-04-02After the close4.7%-5.4%1.17×
2025-02-04Before the open7.7%-2.7%0.35×
2025-01-02After the close1.6%-19.3%12.20×
2024-11-05Before the open7.2%+7.1%0.98×
2024-08-01Before the open———
2024-05-02Before the open———
2024-02-27After the close———
2024-02-08Before the open———
2023-11-01Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.