Options Skew Analytics

ASML options analytics

ASML · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

ASML options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 47.0%, a move of about ±13.5% over the next month. Its history here is 5 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.99 volatility points more than the puts.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 5% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-14, before the open.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
46.99%

Prices a move of about ±13.5% over 30 days, or ±3.0% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.99

Calls carry 0.99 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.60

The wings carry 0.60 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.952

90-day volatility is 5% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 5 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$1,747.90
30-day implied forward
$1,752.42
60-day ATM IV
45.84%
90-day ATM IV
44.76%
180-day ATM IV
44.81%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
111,397
Put / call open interest
0.75

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 5 sessions

43%44%45%46%47%48%2026-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2026-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 47%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 47%16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep21 Sep22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 5)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2246.99%-0.990.952$1,747.90
2026-09-2146.78%-0.090.951$1,711.32
2026-09-1844.44%-1.160.981$1,679.92
2026-09-1743.48%-0.430.980$1,629.67
2026-09-1645.45%-1.120.955$1,602.22

The chart covers every session in the archive, 5 in total. The table lists the most recent 5.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 5 sessions

-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.52026-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.12026-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.42026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.22026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.12026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.016 Sep17 Sep18 Sep21 Sep22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

40%42%44%46%48%50%52%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 47.29%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 46.57%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 46.07%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 46.50%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 45.78%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 45.94%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 45.70%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 45.71%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 45.71%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 45.67%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 45.70%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 45.79%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 45.79%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 46.14%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 46.60%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 46.28%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 47.27%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 49.73%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 5Δ C — IV 47.07%2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ C — IV 44.50%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 43.45%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 42.90%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 42.60%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 42.34%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 42.18%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.16%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 42.01%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 41.95%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 41.90%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.74%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 42.01%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 42.14%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 42.39%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 42.82%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 43.65%2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ P — IV 45.22%2026-10-02 (10d) — 5Δ P — IV 48.22%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 10Δ C — IV 45.96%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ C — IV 44.27%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 43.84%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 42.92%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 43.22%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 43.27%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.81%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 42.43%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 41.85%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 41.22%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 43.04%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 42.81%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 43.67%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 42.26%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 41.67%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 42.30%2026-10-09 (17d) — 10Δ P — IV 43.43%2026-10-09 (17d) — 5Δ P — IV 44.88%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
5Δ call—47.07%—
10Δ call47.29%44.50%45.96%
15Δ call46.57%43.45%44.27%
20Δ call46.07%42.90%43.84%
25Δ call46.50%42.60%42.92%
30Δ call45.78%42.34%43.22%
35Δ call45.94%42.18%43.27%
40Δ call45.70%42.16%42.81%
45Δ call45.71%42.01%42.43%
ATM45.71%41.95%41.85%
45Δ put45.67%41.90%41.22%
40Δ put45.70%41.74%43.04%
35Δ put45.79%42.01%42.81%
30Δ put45.79%42.14%43.67%
25Δ put46.14%42.39%42.26%
20Δ put46.60%42.82%41.67%
15Δ put46.28%43.65%42.30%
10Δ put47.27%45.22%43.43%
5Δ put49.73%48.22%44.88%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$1,750.2045.71%46.14%46.50%-0.35+0.6168
2026-10-0210$1,751.7541.95%42.39%42.60%-0.22+0.5497
2026-10-0917$1,750.2041.85%42.26%42.92%-0.65+0.7576
2026-10-1624$1,754.5947.11%47.45%48.12%-0.67+0.6878
2026-10-2331$1,752.0646.98%45.69%46.72%-1.04-0.7782
2026-10-3038$1,752.1046.57%47.14%47.58%-0.44+0.7955
2026-11-2059$1,759.8045.89%45.85%46.93%-1.07+0.50101
2026-12-1887$1,765.7144.89%44.85%46.00%-1.15+0.5390
2027-01-15115$1,771.8443.88%43.79%45.01%-1.22+0.51107
2027-02-19150$1,778.4744.89%44.96%46.19%-1.23+0.6882
2027-03-19178$1,784.2444.82%44.74%46.07%-1.33+0.59104
2027-04-16206$1,790.9644.74%44.81%46.09%-1.28+0.7195
2027-06-17268$1,802.6345.61%45.53%47.13%-1.60+0.72113

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%42%44%46%48%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 45.71%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 41.95%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 41.85%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 47.11%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 46.98%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 46.57%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 45.89%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 44.89%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 43.88%2027-02-19 — 150 days — at-the-money IV 44.89%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 44.82%2027-04-16 — 206 days — at-the-money IV 44.74%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 45.61%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$1,750.2045.71%$1,751.7068
2026-10-0210 days$1,751.7541.95%$1,755.9897
2026-10-0917 days$1,750.2041.85%$1,757.3576
2026-10-1624 days$1,754.5947.11%$1,767.4378
2026-10-2331 days$1,752.0646.98%$1,768.5582
2026-10-3038 days$1,752.1046.57%$1,771.9955
2026-11-2059 days$1,759.8045.89%$1,790.01101
2026-12-1887 days$1,765.7144.89%$1,808.6390
2027-01-15115 days$1,771.8443.88%$1,826.41107
2027-02-19150 days$1,778.4744.89%$1,853.6782
2027-03-19178 days$1,784.2444.82%$1,873.80104
2027-04-16206 days$1,790.9644.74%$1,895.0295
2027-06-17268 days$1,802.6345.61%$1,945.72113

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
46.99%
60 days
45.84%
90 days
44.76%
180 days
44.81%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 5 sessions

0.940.960.981.001.022026-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.962026-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.9516 Sep17 Sep18 Sep21 Sep22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-14Before the openAnnounced