Options Skew Analytics

BKNG options analytics

BKNG · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

BKNG options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 40.0%, a move of about ±11.5% over the next month. That is higher than 92% of the 192 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.44 volatility points more than the calls, closer together than on 92% of the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-27 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±7.2% and BKNG moved 3.1% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
39.95%

Prices a move of about ±11.5% over 30 days, or ±2.5% on a typical day.

Higher than 92% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.44

Puts carry 1.44 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 8% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.12

The wings carry 0.12 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.011

90-day volatility is 1% above 30-day.

Higher than 36% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 192 prior sessions (one-year window)

40.0% — 92th percentile
18.8%58.5%
IV percentile, 1 year
92%
IV rank, 1 year
53%
IV percentile, 2 years
92%
IV rank, 2 years
53%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$155.90
30-day implied forward
$156.40
60-day ATM IV
43.38%
90-day ATM IV
40.38%
180-day ATM IV
41.01%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
384,233
Put / call open interest
1.51

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 236 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug4 Nov24 Jan2 Apr23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2339.95%+1.441.011$155.90
2026-09-2238.28%+2.271.070$164.22
2026-09-2136.92%+0.721.084$168.52
2026-09-1836.13%+2.031.106$167.90
2026-09-1736.30%+2.781.089$170.52
2026-09-1634.75%+1.231.138$171.40
2026-09-15———$171.32
2026-09-14———$175.35
2026-09-11———$173.92
2026-09-10———$174.33
2026-09-09———$173.43
2026-09-08———$180.30
2026-09-0430.18%+6.071.140$193.29
2026-09-03———$195.13
2026-09-02———$199.60
2026-09-01———$195.69
2026-08-31———$199.09
2026-08-28———$205.63
2026-08-27———$202.56
2026-08-26———$208.89
2026-08-25———$213.78
2026-08-24———$213.36
2026-08-2128.96%+1.661.154$209.62
2026-08-20———$209.87
2026-08-19———$213.00
2026-08-18———$208.25
2026-08-17———$204.76
2025-06-30———$5,789.24
2025-06-2722.31%+5.811.211$5,693.13
2025-06-26———$5,596.00
2025-06-2521.95%+4.491.251$5,485.35
2025-06-24———$5,482.23
2025-06-23———$5,333.42
2025-06-2026.49%+4.721.095$5,304.03
2025-06-18———$5,286.26
2025-06-17———$5,301.05
2025-06-1623.67%+5.061.213$5,369.04
2025-06-1326.05%+4.281.155$5,298.38
2025-06-12———$5,461.95
2025-06-11———$5,466.28
2025-06-10———$5,487.98
2025-06-09———$5,539.41
2025-06-06———$5,614.61
2025-06-05———$5,570.52
2025-06-0423.60%+4.061.203$5,557.00
2025-06-0323.58%+3.561.228$5,475.07
2025-06-0224.98%+4.391.166$5,538.91
2025-05-3025.24%+4.131.167$5,518.93
2025-05-2925.64%+4.891.149$5,502.00
2025-05-2826.42%+3.981.138$5,475.26
2025-05-2725.60%+4.261.087$5,451.74
2025-05-23———$5,332.80
2025-05-22———$5,341.91
2025-05-2126.83%+4.761.138$5,293.31
2025-05-2024.40%+4.041.197$5,310.68
2025-05-1923.66%+4.591.221$5,378.00
2025-05-1622.38%+3.911.239$5,317.07
2025-05-15———$5,237.74
2025-05-14———$5,216.55
2025-05-1324.16%+2.551.093$5,262.42
2025-05-12———$5,194.99
2025-05-0927.87%+3.911.061$5,072.54
2025-05-0828.09%+3.681.061$5,165.27
2025-05-07———$5,196.24
2025-05-0628.56%+3.651.051$5,162.37
2025-05-0527.62%+3.871.072$5,191.12
2025-05-0227.16%+4.401.065$5,202.80
2025-05-01———$5,101.43
2025-04-30———$5,099.28
2025-04-2936.01%+4.950.898$4,909.23
2025-04-2838.30%+6.690.851$4,889.95
2025-04-2537.55%+6.000.857$4,838.44
2025-04-2440.39%+7.260.825$4,827.97
2025-04-2343.19%+7.340.822$4,731.03
2025-04-2243.97%+10.250.823$4,598.08
2025-04-2146.52%+8.250.804$4,437.63
2025-04-1742.24%+8.320.832$4,573.31
2025-04-1645.78%+10.750.800$4,540.84
2025-04-1543.70%+10.520.796$4,612.44
2025-04-1446.08%+8.410.782$4,556.84
2025-04-1150.54%+11.750.776$4,586.53
2025-04-1052.09%+13.830.786$4,494.64
2025-04-0944.68%+7.870.792$4,616.32
2025-04-0858.51%+12.820.779$4,164.15
2025-04-0756.83%+12.110.783$4,244.68
2025-04-0454.19%+9.830.787$4,284.02
2025-04-0344.57%+6.680.813$4,450.53
2025-04-0238.80%+5.530.815$4,689.30
2025-04-0137.01%+5.870.878$4,685.75
2025-03-3135.83%+5.730.910$4,606.91
2025-03-2834.73%+4.560.902$4,634.24
2025-03-2728.46%+3.991.063$4,752.80
2025-03-2626.75%+4.421.110$4,764.16
2025-03-2525.58%+3.491.145$4,777.91
2025-03-2426.49%+3.771.120$4,709.72
2025-03-2127.84%+4.691.107$4,617.26
2025-03-2027.06%+3.751.119$4,589.03
2025-03-1928.05%+4.201.092$4,591.89
2025-03-1830.37%+4.661.037$4,471.51
2025-03-1728.33%+4.471.080$4,563.39
2025-03-1429.85%+5.921.058$4,465.48
2025-03-1334.84%+6.520.954$4,295.40
2025-03-1233.52%+5.790.965$4,400.52
2025-03-1135.95%+6.340.931$4,353.41
2025-03-1033.76%+5.440.962$4,451.03
2025-03-0729.06%+2.811.022$4,673.38
2025-03-0629.80%+3.741.017$4,695.97
2025-03-0526.89%+3.541.062$4,917.46
2025-03-0427.78%+3.871.036$4,898.40
2025-03-0326.79%+3.431.053$4,946.15
2025-02-2824.35%+3.361.101$5,016.01
2025-02-2726.22%+2.171.061$4,918.13
2025-02-2624.94%+2.281.065$5,034.55
2025-02-2525.11%+3.471.065$5,033.83
2025-02-2424.69%+3.011.093$5,049.08
2025-02-2126.07%+1.461.061$4,990.64
2025-02-2034.77%+2.560.852$5,018.23
2025-02-1933.53%+2.620.871$5,110.60
2025-02-1833.89%+2.610.857$5,141.88
2025-02-1433.78%+3.030.855$5,044.40

The chart covers every session in the archive, 236 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 236 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.026 Aug4 Nov24 Jan2 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

38%40%42%44%46%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 42.70%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 42.13%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 42.08%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 42.54%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 43.01%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 43.44%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 43.12%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 42.37%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 43.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 44.23%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 43.91%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 44.65%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 44.96%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 44.23%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 40.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 40.08%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 40.46%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 41.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 41.96%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 41.62%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 41.47%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 41.51%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.31%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 41.49%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 41.96%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 41.73%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 40.98%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 39.50%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 38.81%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 40.94%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 42.08%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 39.46%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 40.38%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 41.36%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 40.91%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 40.27%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 38.96%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 41.87%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 41.86%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 42.10%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 41.76%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 41.96%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta9d16d23d
15Δ call——39.50%
20Δ call42.70%40.28%38.81%
25Δ call42.13%40.08%40.94%
30Δ call42.08%40.46%42.08%
35Δ call42.54%41.33%39.46%
40Δ call43.01%41.96%40.38%
45Δ call43.44%41.62%41.36%
ATM43.12%41.47%40.91%
45Δ put42.37%41.51%40.27%
40Δ put43.11%41.31%38.96%
35Δ put44.23%41.49%41.87%
30Δ put43.91%41.96%41.86%
25Δ put44.65%41.73%42.10%
20Δ put44.96%40.98%41.76%
15Δ put44.23%—41.96%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-029$156.2043.12%44.65%42.13%+2.52+0.279
2026-10-0916$156.1041.47%41.73%40.08%+1.65-0.5710
2026-10-1623$156.8040.91%42.10%40.94%+1.16+0.6284
2026-10-2330$156.4039.95%40.79%39.35%+1.44+0.1210
2026-10-3037$157.0642.58%42.33%40.70%+1.63-1.0711
2026-11-2058$156.9143.66%44.29%43.35%+0.94+0.1618
2026-12-1886$158.4540.84%45.15%40.83%+4.31+2.1554
2027-01-15114$160.3738.23%44.88%38.55%+6.32+3.4965
2027-03-19177$159.0841.06%42.77%40.30%+2.47+0.4782
2027-04-16205$159.9540.63%41.47%39.48%+1.99-0.1619
2027-06-17267$162.8840.77%43.19%39.89%+3.30+0.7885
2027-09-17359$163.6239.72%42.51%38.51%+4.00+0.7946

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

36%38%40%42%44%46%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 43.12%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 41.47%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 40.91%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 39.95%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 42.58%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 43.66%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 40.84%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 38.23%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 41.06%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 40.63%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 40.77%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 39.72%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-029 days$156.2043.12%$156.569
2026-10-0916 days$156.1041.47%$156.6910
2026-10-1623 days$156.8040.91%$157.6384
2026-10-2330 days$156.4039.95%$157.4310
2026-10-3037 days$157.0642.58%$158.5111
2026-11-2058 days$156.9143.66%$159.3118
2026-12-1886 days$158.4540.84%$161.6054
2027-01-15114 days$160.3738.23%$164.0765
2027-03-19177 days$159.0841.06%$165.7282
2027-04-16205 days$159.9540.63%$167.5419
2027-06-17267 days$162.8840.77%$173.0885
2027-09-17359 days$163.6239.72%$176.8246

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
39.95%
60 days
43.38%
90 days
40.38%
180 days
41.01%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 236 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4026 Aug4 Nov24 Jan2 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-27Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 3
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.2%
Mean move that happened
3.1%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-04After the close———
2026-04-28After the close———
2026-02-18After the close———
2025-10-28After the close———
2025-07-29After the close———
2025-04-29After the close7.1%+3.9%0.54×
2025-02-20After the close7.9%-0.5%0.07×
2024-10-30After the close6.6%+4.8%0.72×
2024-08-01After the close———
2024-05-02After the close———
2024-02-22After the close———
2023-11-02After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.