Options Skew Analytics

CARR options analytics

CARR · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

CARR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 34.0%, a move of about ±9.7% over the next month. Its history here is 325 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.28 volatility points more than the calls.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 1% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-28 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 6 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.4% and CARR moved 6.1% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 6.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
33.98%

Prices a move of about ±9.7% over 30 days, or ±2.1% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.28

Puts carry 2.28 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.03

The wings carry 1.03 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.986

90-day volatility is 1% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 75 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$52.38
30-day implied forward
$52.85
60-day ATM IV
33.16%
90-day ATM IV
33.50%
180-day ATM IV
34.76%
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
70,547
Put / call open interest
3.02

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 325 sessions

20%30%40%50%2024-09-04 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2024-09-06 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2024-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-09-20 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-09-27 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2024-10-17 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2024-10-18 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2024-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2024-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2024-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-10-29 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-11-20 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-11-21 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-11-22 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-11-25 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-11-26 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2024-12-19 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2025-01-27 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-01-28 — 30-day ATM IV 38%2025-01-31 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-02-04 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-02-07 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-02-10 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-02-19 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2025-02-20 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2025-02-24 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2025-03-19 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2025-03-31 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2025-04-16 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2025-04-17 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2025-04-21 — 30-day ATM IV 47%2025-04-22 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2025-04-23 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2025-04-24 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2025-04-25 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2025-04-29 — 30-day ATM IV 38%2025-04-30 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2025-05-02 — 30-day ATM IV 29%2025-05-21 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2025-05-29 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2025-07-17 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2025-07-18 — 30-day ATM IV 29%2025-08-25 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2025-09-02 — 30-day ATM IV 29%2025-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2025-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2025-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2026-08-19 — 30-day ATM IV 29%2026-08-26 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2026-09-08 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2026-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2026-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2026-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2026-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2026-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2026-09-28 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-09-29 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-10-01 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2026-10-02 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2026-10-05 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-10-06 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-07 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-08 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2026-10-09 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-13 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-14 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-10-15 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-10-19 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-20 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-26 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-27 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2026-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2026-10-29 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2026-10-30 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2026-11-02 — 30-day ATM IV 34%2026-11-03 — 30-day ATM IV 34%2026-11-04 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2026-11-05 — 30-day ATM IV 34%2026-11-06 — 30-day ATM IV 34%4 Sep27 Jan25 Aug2 Oct6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0633.98%+2.280.986$52.38
2026-11-0534.14%+2.020.990$53.21
2026-11-0433.11%+0.730.998$55.66
2026-11-0333.73%+1.430.971$55.37
2026-11-0233.65%+1.540.968$55.17
2026-10-3034.69%+1.580.938$53.63
2026-10-2931.91%+1.990.998$55.54
2026-10-2839.76%-0.44—$56.27
2026-10-2738.74%+2.540.885$57.83
2026-10-2638.70%-0.960.868$56.44
2026-10-2339.42%+1.540.864$56.24
2026-10-2239.42%+0.170.870$56.48
2026-10-2139.43%+0.340.886$56.47
2026-10-2038.80%-0.260.881$56.17
2026-10-1939.23%+0.240.893$55.21
2026-10-1639.74%-0.950.852$55.00
2026-10-1539.74%+0.700.857$54.96
2026-10-1439.61%+1.520.855$54.24
2026-10-1338.62%+0.850.861$55.03
2026-10-0938.56%+0.040.857$55.56
2026-10-0840.72%+1.580.835$55.83
2026-10-0739.18%+1.220.869$55.00
2026-10-0639.40%-0.140.876$56.10
2026-10-0539.66%+1.070.859$55.73
2026-10-0236.50%+0.140.946$55.12
2026-10-0135.15%+0.000.986$55.22
2026-09-3041.01%+1.310.860$54.86
2026-09-2940.62%+1.060.874$55.38
2026-09-2838.95%-0.630.912$55.87
2026-09-25———$56.37
2026-09-2436.24%-0.010.991$54.87
2026-09-2336.38%+1.790.968$55.10
2026-09-2235.75%+1.091.001$55.26
2026-09-2135.62%+1.070.994$54.62
2026-09-1835.12%+1.771.009$53.88
2026-09-1732.94%+1.441.080$54.39
2026-09-1637.33%+1.191.003$54.26
2026-09-15———$55.54
2026-09-14———$57.26
2026-09-11———$57.46
2026-09-1031.88%+0.761.089$56.64
2026-09-09———$57.95
2026-09-0832.46%+1.461.057$59.11
2026-09-04———$59.71
2026-09-03———$59.08
2026-09-02———$57.58
2026-09-01———$57.25
2026-08-31———$58.22
2026-08-28———$58.79
2026-08-27———$58.84
2026-08-2630.66%-0.021.076$58.74
2026-08-25———$58.52
2026-08-24———$59.97
2026-08-21———$60.37
2026-08-20———$60.15
2026-08-1929.42%+2.761.107$61.20
2025-09-29———$59.13
2025-09-2632.12%+3.551.017$58.84
2025-09-2533.17%+3.021.015$58.75
2025-09-2433.08%+3.391.018$58.99
2025-09-23———$59.74
2025-09-2232.85%+3.161.065$60.31
2025-09-1931.94%+4.551.074$60.39
2025-09-1832.76%+3.591.061$61.10
2025-09-1731.63%+2.931.075$60.72
2025-09-16———$60.93
2025-09-15———$61.24
2025-09-12———$61.67
2025-09-11———$62.30
2025-09-10———$62.50
2025-09-09———$63.47
2025-09-08———$65.61
2025-09-05———$65.51
2025-09-04———$63.54
2025-09-03———$62.47
2025-09-0229.01%+4.531.055$63.50
2025-08-29———$65.20
2025-08-28———$66.17
2025-08-27———$67.59
2025-08-26———$66.48
2025-08-2524.68%+2.931.147$66.00
2025-08-22———$67.75
2025-08-21———$65.01
2025-08-20———$66.84
2025-08-19———$66.98
2025-08-18———$66.49
2025-08-15———$65.40
2025-08-14———$65.76
2025-08-13———$67.05
2025-08-12———$65.73
2025-08-11———$64.88
2025-08-08———$66.03
2025-08-07———$66.36
2025-08-06———$66.11
2025-08-05———$66.38
2025-08-04———$66.54
2025-08-01———$66.92
2025-07-31———$68.62
2025-07-30———$68.20
2025-07-29———$71.67
2025-07-28———$80.18
2025-07-25———$80.73
2025-07-24———$79.44
2025-07-23———$79.61
2025-07-22———$76.42
2025-07-21———$75.97
2025-07-1829.08%+4.510.925$76.63
2025-07-1728.14%+6.350.953$76.93
2025-07-16———$75.43
2025-07-15———$75.38
2025-07-14———$76.61
2025-07-11———$76.62
2025-07-10———$76.77
2025-07-09———$75.89
2025-07-08———$74.90
2025-07-07———$74.64
2025-07-03———$75.65
2025-07-02———$75.26
2025-07-01———$74.30
2025-06-30———$73.19

The chart covers every session in the archive, 325 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 325 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.02024-09-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22024-09-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22024-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82024-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22024-09-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52024-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82024-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42024-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42024-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52024-09-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92024-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42024-10-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.62024-10-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32024-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22024-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92024-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.62024-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82024-10-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32024-11-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.72024-11-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.12024-11-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.62024-11-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02024-11-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-12-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02025-01-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 6.32025-01-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32025-01-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.72025-02-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12025-02-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.92025-02-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 7.92025-02-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.12025-02-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62025-02-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62025-03-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.52025-03-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12025-04-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 9.52025-04-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 13.32025-04-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 9.62025-04-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 9.12025-04-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 8.12025-04-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 7.42025-04-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.52025-04-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 8.22025-04-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 8.12025-05-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.92025-05-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12025-05-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.22025-07-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 6.42025-07-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.52025-08-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92025-09-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.52025-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92025-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62025-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.62025-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22025-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42025-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.02025-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52026-08-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82026-08-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.02026-09-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82026-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.22026-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82026-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.02026-09-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.62026-09-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.32026-10-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.02026-10-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.12026-10-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-10-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.12026-10-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.22026-10-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62026-10-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.02026-10-13 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82026-10-14 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-10-15 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.72026-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.02026-10-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22026-10-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.32026-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.32026-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22026-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-10-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.02026-10-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52026-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.42026-10-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-10-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62026-11-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-11-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-11-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.72026-11-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-11-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.34 Sep27 Jan25 Aug2 Oct6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

7d (2026-11-13) · 14d (2026-11-20) · 21d (2026-11-27)

32%34%36%38%40%42%44%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ C — IV 39.66%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 39.22%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 38.63%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 37.96%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 37.85%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 37.86%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 37.88%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 38.09%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 38.70%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 39.12%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 39.11%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 39.09%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 39.21%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ P — IV 41.07%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ P — IV 42.40%7d2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ C — IV 36.04%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 37.74%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 37.18%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 36.30%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 36.59%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 36.69%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 36.49%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 36.26%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.19%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.39%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.97%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 37.25%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.02%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.07%14d2026-11-27 (21d) — 20Δ C — IV 34.86%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ C — IV 34.41%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.24%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ C — IV 34.28%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ C — IV 34.51%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ C — IV 34.65%2026-11-27 (21d) — ATM — IV 34.76%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ P — IV 34.85%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ P — IV 34.87%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ P — IV 34.84%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ P — IV 34.86%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ P — IV 35.09%2026-11-27 (21d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.94%21d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta7d14d21d
15Δ call39.66%36.04%—
20Δ call39.22%37.74%34.86%
25Δ call38.63%37.18%34.41%
30Δ call37.96%36.30%34.24%
35Δ call37.85%36.59%34.28%
40Δ call37.86%36.69%34.51%
45Δ call37.88%36.49%34.65%
ATM38.09%36.26%34.76%
45Δ put38.70%36.19%34.85%
40Δ put39.12%36.39%34.87%
35Δ put39.11%36.97%34.84%
30Δ put39.09%37.25%34.86%
25Δ put39.21%37.02%35.09%
20Δ put41.07%37.07%36.94%
15Δ put42.40%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-137$52.6738.09%39.21%38.63%+0.58+0.838
2026-11-2014$52.7336.26%37.02%37.18%-0.15+0.849
2026-11-2721$52.8034.76%35.09%34.41%+0.68-0.018
2026-12-0428$52.8234.07%36.31%33.79%+2.52+0.9910
2026-12-1842$52.9833.63%35.48%34.19%+1.29+1.216
2027-01-1570$53.4633.01%35.40%31.62%+3.78+0.508
2027-03-19133$53.3634.05%35.44%33.51%+1.93+0.4212
2027-06-17223$53.8235.14%38.14%34.09%+4.04+0.9712
2027-09-17315$54.6933.93%37.78%33.57%+4.21+1.7514

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

32%34%36%38%40%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 38.09%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 36.26%2026-11-27 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 34.76%2026-12-04 — 28 days — at-the-money IV 34.07%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 33.63%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 33.01%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 34.05%2027-06-17 — 223 days — at-the-money IV 35.14%2027-09-17 — 315 days — at-the-money IV 33.93%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-137 days$52.6738.09%$52.758
2026-11-2014 days$52.7336.26%$52.869
2026-11-2721 days$52.8034.76%$52.988
2026-12-0428 days$52.8234.07%$53.0610
2026-12-1842 days$52.9833.63%$53.326
2027-01-1570 days$53.4633.01%$54.028
2027-03-19133 days$53.3634.05%$54.5012
2027-06-17223 days$53.8235.14%$55.8912
2027-09-17315 days$54.6933.93%$57.4714

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
33.98%
60 days
33.16%
90 days
33.50%
180 days
34.76%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 325 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.402024-09-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032024-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122024-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102024-09-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.152024-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072024-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062024-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072024-09-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062024-09-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032024-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.902024-10-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.912024-10-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.902024-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.842024-10-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862024-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942024-10-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972024-10-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972024-11-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-11-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.232024-11-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032024-11-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-11-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112024-12-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-01-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.762025-01-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.802025-01-31 — 90-day over 30-day 0.842025-02-04 — 90-day over 30-day 0.882025-02-07 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-02-10 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942025-02-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-02-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092025-02-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992025-03-19 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982025-03-31 — 90-day over 30-day 0.932025-04-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972025-04-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972025-04-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952025-04-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.882025-04-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-04-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-04-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832025-04-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.912025-04-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942025-05-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-05-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112025-05-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-07-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952025-07-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922025-08-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.152025-09-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022025-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-09-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-08-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112026-08-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-09-08 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092026-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992026-09-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.912026-09-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872026-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-01 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992026-10-02 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952026-10-05 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.882026-10-07 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872026-10-08 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832026-10-09 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-13 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-14 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-15 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.852026-10-19 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892026-10-20 — 90-day over 30-day 0.882026-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892026-10-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872026-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-10-26 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872026-10-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892026-10-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-10-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942026-11-02 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-11-03 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-11-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-11-05 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992026-11-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.994 Sep27 Jan18 Jul1 Oct6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-28Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 6 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 6
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.4%
Mean move that happened
6.1%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-10-29Before the open7.0%-1.3%0.18×
2026-10-27Time not stated7.5%-2.7%0.36×
2026-07-28Before the open———
2026-04-30Before the open———
2026-02-05Before the open———
2025-10-28Before the open———
2025-07-29Before the open8.8%-10.6%1.20×
2025-05-01Before the open9.4%+11.6%1.24×
2025-02-11Before the open8.5%-1.6%0.19×
2024-10-24Before the open9.4%-8.8%0.94×
2024-07-25Before the open———
2024-04-25Before the open———
2024-02-06Before the open———
2023-10-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.