Options Skew Analytics

CCL options analytics

CCL · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

CCL options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 48.8%, a move of about ±14.0% over the next month. That is higher than 70% of the 227 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.60 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 93% of the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-09-29, before the open.

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.9% and CCL moved 3.7% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
48.77%

Prices a move of about ±14.0% over 30 days, or ±3.1% on a typical day.

Higher than 70% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.60

Calls carry 0.60 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 7% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.17

The wings carry 0.17 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.961

90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day.

Higher than 42% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 227 prior sessions (one-year window)

48.8% — 70th percentile
33.4%81.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
70%
IV rank, 1 year
32%
IV percentile, 2 years
70%
IV rank, 2 years
32%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$22.28
30-day implied forward
$22.37
60-day ATM IV
46.85%
90-day ATM IV
46.86%
180-day ATM IV
45.97%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
685,009
Put / call open interest
1.33

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 230 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%29 Aug21 Nov18 Feb8 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2248.77%-0.600.961$22.28
2026-09-2146.29%+2.150.987$22.31
2026-09-1846.38%+0.950.980$21.84
2026-09-1747.07%+0.930.968$22.17
2026-09-1649.26%+0.680.942$22.35
2026-09-1546.98%+1.280.999$22.11
2026-09-1446.72%-0.250.957$22.56
2026-09-1144.64%+0.300.997$22.75
2026-09-1046.35%+1.580.988$22.47
2026-09-09———$22.70
2026-09-0847.20%-2.350.939$23.20
2026-09-0445.12%+0.950.997$23.51
2026-09-0345.02%+0.410.976$23.48
2026-09-02———$23.74
2026-09-0143.77%+2.771.047$23.23
2026-08-3141.38%+2.861.014$23.89
2026-08-2840.09%+1.511.062$24.76
2026-08-2739.61%-0.271.142$24.95
2026-08-2639.87%+1.241.106$25.59
2026-08-2540.62%+2.041.105$26.14
2026-08-2441.09%+2.011.066$25.71
2026-08-2141.32%+0.901.078$25.73
2026-08-2040.87%+1.801.058$25.37
2026-08-1937.87%+2.001.140$26.69
2025-06-3035.57%+4.071.050$28.12
2025-06-2733.91%+2.981.072$27.26
2025-06-2633.59%+4.351.076$26.17
2025-06-2538.66%+1.740.944$25.48
2025-06-2437.42%+2.880.990$25.70
2025-06-2345.80%+4.680.948$24.04
2025-06-2046.68%+5.450.948$23.77
2025-06-1850.01%+3.890.868$23.61
2025-06-1749.07%+5.650.899$23.28
2025-06-1645.69%+7.400.955$23.84
2025-06-1353.94%+5.820.853$22.41
2025-06-1246.91%+5.710.896$23.57
2025-06-1147.90%+4.660.868$23.87
2025-06-1044.77%+4.100.919$24.51
2025-06-0944.86%+5.520.922$24.21
2025-06-0646.39%+4.670.903$24.28
2025-06-0547.55%+0.690.886$24.02
2025-06-0444.70%+2.660.937$23.83
2025-06-0344.52%+6.510.943$23.93
2025-06-0245.00%+6.550.957$23.54
2025-05-3045.97%+3.170.938$23.22
2025-05-2945.49%+6.880.951$23.16
2025-05-2848.42%+0.980.911$23.00
2025-05-2742.76%+4.501.037$23.60
2025-05-2348.09%+2.540.945$22.25
2025-05-2242.83%+3.831.033$22.43
2025-05-2145.74%+4.201.005$22.04
2025-05-2040.26%+4.281.064$22.90
2025-05-1941.78%+3.591.018$23.39
2025-05-1636.21%+2.091.144$23.39
2025-05-1541.53%+3.081.022$23.00
2025-05-1438.54%+2.301.131$22.99
2025-05-1334.92%+0.061.210$22.74
2025-05-1237.68%+4.151.145$22.13
2025-05-0942.70%+5.191.109$20.19
2025-05-0839.91%+4.931.182$20.25
2025-05-0744.31%+6.701.091$19.69
2025-05-0645.46%+6.831.069$19.53
2025-05-0543.93%+6.451.099$19.56
2025-05-0246.31%+6.281.059$19.57
2025-05-0147.46%+3.141.024$18.63
2025-04-3049.97%+9.160.945$18.34
2025-04-2950.63%+4.410.964$18.71
2025-04-2849.95%+6.670.993$18.86
2025-04-2550.46%+5.730.964$18.60
2025-04-2446.88%+7.371.063$18.70
2025-04-2354.71%+5.200.956$18.48
2025-04-2256.25%+1.751.002$17.98
2025-04-2164.28%+15.150.868$17.24
2025-04-1754.35%+10.230.989$17.99
2025-04-1658.50%+9.280.956$17.87
2025-04-1551.92%+12.020.955$18.00
2025-04-1457.71%+14.870.961$17.82
2025-04-1166.32%+20.560.857$17.64
2025-04-1072.49%+20.150.860$17.60
2025-04-0956.81%+15.550.910$19.61
2025-04-0881.62%+27.810.837$16.69
2025-04-0778.59%+13.750.902$16.43
2025-04-0474.39%+21.780.851$16.50
2025-04-0363.61%+1.190.850$17.28
2025-04-0247.33%+2.320.960$20.02
2025-04-0151.11%+7.010.936$19.39
2025-03-3150.68%+4.440.926$19.53
2025-03-2846.33%+5.530.996$19.87
2025-03-2743.17%+5.020.982$20.78
2025-03-2648.98%+6.430.878$20.93
2025-03-2542.07%+2.501.001$21.26
2025-03-2445.21%+2.100.933$21.44
2025-03-2143.74%+5.521.030$20.94
2025-03-2050.18%+4.300.945$21.20
2025-03-1955.99%+4.390.849$21.05
2025-03-1857.75%+1.570.871$20.12
2025-03-1756.38%+4.430.869$20.89
2025-03-1457.95%+5.830.837$19.92
2025-03-1365.68%-2.080.821$19.12
2025-03-1263.80%+4.240.824$19.50
2025-03-1165.37%+5.340.821$19.10
2025-03-1064.02%+1.340.852$19.08
2025-03-0755.85%+8.490.896$20.64
2025-03-0660.59%+3.740.824$20.87
2025-03-0554.73%+7.160.856$22.34
2025-03-0453.11%+6.250.908$21.91
2025-03-0353.86%+5.790.889$23.26
2025-02-2849.70%+1.600.925$23.93
2025-02-2749.67%+3.190.939$23.50
2025-02-2648.07%+3.460.942$24.12
2025-02-2553.39%+2.460.867$23.74
2025-02-2450.99%+1.820.912$23.63
2025-02-2154.00%+4.580.921$23.22
2025-02-2045.59%+3.370.994$24.56
2025-02-1941.14%+1.901.038$26.09
2025-02-1839.77%+3.531.090$25.73
2025-02-1438.55%+1.801.085$26.23
2025-02-1339.30%+1.571.055$25.86
2025-02-1240.17%+2.291.015$25.89
2025-02-1137.72%+2.631.124$25.61

The chart covers every session in the archive, 230 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 230 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.040.029 Aug21 Nov18 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ C — IV 60.87%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 53.76%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 51.50%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 50.58%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 50.18%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.20%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 50.34%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 50.47%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 50.51%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 50.08%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.32%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.63%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.41%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.91%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 49.88%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.53%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.51%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 50.28%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ C — IV 63.28%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 60.91%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 62.19%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 61.53%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 61.34%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 61.74%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 63.14%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 62.70%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 62.25%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 62.39%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 62.58%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 62.82%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 62.99%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 63.20%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 63.55%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 63.26%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ C — IV 55.72%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 53.97%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 54.10%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 55.19%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.67%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.54%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.96%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 54.56%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 54.65%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 54.68%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 54.66%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 54.71%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 54.90%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 55.38%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
5Δ call60.87%——
10Δ call53.76%63.28%—
15Δ call51.50%60.91%55.72%
20Δ call50.58%62.19%53.97%
25Δ call50.18%61.53%54.10%
30Δ call50.20%61.34%55.19%
35Δ call50.34%61.74%53.67%
40Δ call50.47%63.14%54.54%
45Δ call50.51%62.70%54.96%
ATM50.08%62.25%54.56%
45Δ put49.32%62.39%54.65%
40Δ put48.63%62.58%54.68%
35Δ put48.41%62.82%54.66%
30Δ put48.91%62.99%54.71%
25Δ put49.88%63.20%54.90%
20Δ put50.53%63.55%55.38%
15Δ put50.51%63.26%—
10Δ put50.28%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$22.3350.08%49.88%50.18%-0.30-0.058
2026-10-0210$22.3262.25%63.20%61.53%+1.66+0.1113
2026-10-0917$22.3654.56%54.90%54.10%+0.81-0.0613
2026-10-1624$22.3950.53%51.58%50.23%+1.35+0.3819
2026-10-2331$22.3748.53%47.86%48.72%-0.86-0.248
2026-11-2059$22.4046.85%48.44%46.50%+1.94+0.6212
2026-12-1887$22.4446.90%48.73%46.35%+2.37+0.6417
2027-01-15115$22.5146.60%48.20%45.97%+2.23+0.4921
2027-03-19178$22.5545.99%48.78%45.69%+3.09+1.2419
2027-04-16206$22.6845.78%47.36%44.85%+2.52+0.3218
2027-06-17268$22.8545.36%48.55%43.74%+4.81+0.7915
2027-09-17360$22.9245.01%48.32%43.45%+4.86+0.8711

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 50.08%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 62.25%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 54.56%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 50.53%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 48.53%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 46.85%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 46.90%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 46.60%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 45.99%2027-04-16 — 206 days — at-the-money IV 45.78%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 45.36%2027-09-17 — 360 days — at-the-money IV 45.01%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$22.3350.08%$22.358
2026-10-0210 days$22.3262.25%$22.4413
2026-10-0917 days$22.3654.56%$22.5213
2026-10-1624 days$22.3950.53%$22.5819
2026-10-2331 days$22.3748.53%$22.608
2026-11-2059 days$22.4046.85%$22.8012
2026-12-1887 days$22.4446.90%$23.0417
2027-01-15115 days$22.5146.60%$23.2921
2027-03-19178 days$22.5545.99%$23.7419
2027-04-16206 days$22.6845.78%$24.0618
2027-06-17268 days$22.8545.36%$24.6415
2027-09-17360 days$22.9245.01%$25.3311

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
48.77%
60 days
46.85%
90 days
46.86%
180 days
45.97%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 230 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4029 Aug21 Nov18 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-09-29Before the openAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 4
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.9%
Mean move that happened
3.7%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-06-23Before the open———
2026-03-27Before the open———
2025-12-19Before the open———
2025-09-29Before the open———
2025-06-24Before the open7.8%+6.9%0.88×
2025-03-21Before the open10.0%-1.2%0.12×
2024-12-20Before the open10.8%+6.4%0.60×
2024-09-30Before the open10.8%-0.3%0.03×
2024-06-25Before the open———
2024-03-27Before the open———
2023-12-21Before the open———
2023-09-29Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.