Options Skew Analytics

CIEN options analytics

CIEN · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

CIEN options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 94.0%, a move of about ±26.9% over the next month. Its history here is 325 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta puts carry 8.49 volatility points more than the calls.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-12-03 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 6 reports the options market priced an average move of ±14.6% and CIEN moved 10.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 6.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
93.97%

Prices a move of about ±26.9% over 30 days, or ±5.9% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+8.49

Puts carry 8.49 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-1.78

The wings carry 1.78 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.899

90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 161 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
99%
IV rank, 2 years
87%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$243.39
30-day implied forward
$243.16
60-day ATM IV
88.75%
90-day ATM IV
84.48%
180-day ATM IV
80.82%
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
57,954
Put / call open interest
3.11

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 325 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%120%29 Aug27 Jan2 Jun26 Aug6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0693.97%+8.490.899$243.39
2026-11-05103.33%+10.040.835$230.81
2026-11-0485.48%+5.710.926$272.24
2026-11-0388.24%+5.160.899$300.08
2026-11-0289.76%+4.820.906$284.34
2026-10-3083.63%+0.610.920$320.72
2026-10-2980.50%-1.690.906$349.45
2026-10-2873.89%+3.261.024$363.21
2026-10-2775.51%-1.030.965$351.15
2026-10-2673.50%+3.131.002$335.93
2026-10-2374.77%+4.011.000$320.26
2026-10-2277.79%+2.570.939$322.64
2026-10-2170.07%+3.741.009$361.34
2026-10-2070.68%+2.010.981$341.95
2026-10-1969.31%+1.751.023$344.20
2026-10-1669.82%+0.500.973$332.73
2026-10-1566.80%+2.871.032$356.52
2026-10-1469.32%-1.720.976$359.60
2026-10-1365.84%+0.771.036$400.40
2026-10-0965.52%-0.761.026$449.77
2026-10-0864.93%-0.011.033$425.93
2026-10-0764.24%-0.971.045$446.45
2026-10-0663.50%-2.161.058$443.65
2026-10-0563.65%-1.071.059$389.69
2026-10-0265.34%-1.201.022$391.34
2026-10-0166.16%-1.201.039$379.14
2026-09-3067.48%-1.571.025$351.82
2026-09-2963.60%+0.291.070$354.92
2026-09-2866.66%-1.411.038$344.19
2026-09-2562.08%+1.521.107$356.91
2026-09-2466.51%+0.131.040$358.43
2026-09-2365.12%-3.131.058$355.91
2026-09-2265.29%-1.241.066$368.56
2026-09-2166.53%+0.711.051$365.96
2026-09-1863.12%+0.601.083$348.80
2026-09-1763.48%-0.451.086$344.25
2026-09-1667.01%-4.001.067$340.50
2026-09-1564.54%+0.371.079$334.33
2026-09-1464.04%+2.571.094$319.64
2026-09-1159.54%-0.881.161$349.54
2026-09-1063.28%+1.741.074$334.56
2026-09-0962.47%+0.271.114$338.00
2026-09-0866.63%-1.601.089$341.29
2026-09-0461.20%-0.871.083$321.00
2026-09-0362.75%-2.001.119$317.46
2026-09-0279.55%-0.260.916$354.16
2026-09-01———$360.33
2026-08-3180.38%+2.250.920$382.80
2026-08-2874.70%-1.090.977$378.44
2026-08-2782.25%+2.720.932$399.85
2026-08-2685.33%+5.050.919$404.03
2026-08-2581.92%+5.340.954$387.66
2026-08-2486.53%+0.860.907$371.95
2026-08-2185.99%+0.750.906$395.79
2026-08-2088.40%+1.210.912$392.48
2026-08-1985.73%+4.340.940$399.47
2025-09-2945.85%+1.141.089$144.12
2025-09-2644.32%+1.131.102$141.93
2025-09-2546.22%+2.641.065$137.17
2025-09-2445.44%+2.151.062$138.42
2025-09-2345.06%+1.131.068$139.48
2025-09-2244.04%+1.231.069$139.31
2025-09-1941.48%+1.771.107$138.37
2025-09-1844.31%+2.441.085$138.04
2025-09-1744.03%+1.141.118$136.38
2025-09-16———$137.48
2025-09-15———$135.90
2025-09-12———$131.28
2025-09-11———$132.50
2025-09-10———$129.86
2025-09-09———$122.19
2025-09-0836.84%+2.321.149$119.00
2025-09-0538.85%+2.751.089$116.69
2025-09-0439.31%+2.94—$116.92
2025-09-0361.31%+7.000.805$94.82
2025-09-0260.30%+5.310.816$93.59
2025-08-2960.00%+4.580.816$93.97
2025-08-2859.21%+6.990.814$97.89
2025-08-2755.98%+5.030.832$92.74
2025-08-2656.00%+4.910.834$91.49
2025-08-2555.51%+4.480.832$90.74
2025-08-2255.36%+4.600.834$89.81
2025-08-2156.50%+4.230.828$87.36
2025-08-2056.75%+4.920.821$86.64
2025-08-19———$88.77
2025-08-18———$91.93
2025-08-15———$90.87
2025-08-14———$91.42
2025-08-13———$94.66
2025-08-12———$96.40
2025-08-11———$93.38
2025-08-08———$95.06
2025-08-07———$95.18
2025-08-06———$94.31
2025-08-05———$91.49
2025-08-04———$92.67
2025-08-0148.59%+2.950.942$88.63
2025-07-31———$92.84
2025-07-3044.52%+3.560.976$92.95
2025-07-29———$91.07
2025-07-28———$90.55
2025-07-25———$88.60
2025-07-24———$87.19
2025-07-2338.04%+5.621.136$86.75
2025-07-2240.79%+2.291.059$84.36
2025-07-21———$85.47
2025-07-1835.62%+3.541.119$84.98
2025-07-17———$84.81
2025-07-16———$84.12
2025-07-15———$82.61
2025-07-14———$81.42
2025-07-11———$77.75
2025-07-10———$78.45
2025-07-09———$79.33
2025-07-08———$78.66
2025-07-07———$80.13
2025-07-03———$81.38
2025-07-0240.40%+3.731.041$79.52
2025-07-0136.21%+3.901.179$80.11
2025-06-3039.80%+3.621.079$81.33

The chart covers every session in the archive, 325 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 325 sessions

-10.00.010.020.029 Aug27 Jan2 Jun26 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

7d (2026-11-13) · 14d (2026-11-20) · 21d (2026-11-27)

80%90%100%110%120%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ C — IV 105.49%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 102.58%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 104.05%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 106.93%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 108.01%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 107.58%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 111.70%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 116.89%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 113.04%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 112.22%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 111.04%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 108.29%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 110.38%7d2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 95.97%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 95.08%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 95.63%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 97.39%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 99.27%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 101.60%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 98.78%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 109.77%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 110.59%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 111.79%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 113.24%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 117.08%14d2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ C — IV 89.17%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ C — IV 91.28%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ C — IV 90.44%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ C — IV 93.60%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ C — IV 96.06%2026-11-27 (21d) — ATM — IV 90.82%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ P — IV 96.16%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ P — IV 95.63%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ P — IV 99.17%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ P — IV 99.65%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ P — IV 98.95%21d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta7d14d21d
15Δ call105.49%——
20Δ call102.58%95.97%—
25Δ call104.05%95.08%89.17%
30Δ call106.93%95.63%91.28%
35Δ call108.01%97.39%90.44%
40Δ call107.58%99.27%93.60%
45Δ call111.70%101.60%96.06%
ATM116.89%98.78%90.82%
45Δ put113.04%109.77%96.16%
40Δ put112.22%110.59%95.63%
35Δ put111.04%111.79%99.17%
30Δ put108.29%113.24%99.65%
25Δ put110.38%117.08%98.95%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-137$242.25116.89%110.38%104.05%+6.33-9.6722
2026-11-2014$244.8598.78%117.08%95.08%+22.00+7.3130
2026-11-2721$243.8090.82%98.95%89.17%+9.77+3.2416
2026-12-0428$242.9493.65%95.50%86.96%+8.53-2.4312
2026-12-1842$244.4795.21%100.11%91.77%+8.34+0.7322
2027-01-1570$244.3386.49%90.44%85.44%+4.99+1.4529
2027-03-19133$245.8982.14%87.60%81.25%+6.35+2.2937
2027-04-16161$248.6281.48%86.61%79.58%+7.03+1.6243
2027-06-17223$249.1379.73%84.40%80.60%+3.80+2.7746

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

70%80%90%100%110%120%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 116.89%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 98.78%2026-11-27 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 90.82%2026-12-04 — 28 days — at-the-money IV 93.65%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 95.21%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 86.49%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 82.14%2027-04-16 — 161 days — at-the-money IV 81.48%2027-06-17 — 223 days — at-the-money IV 79.73%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-137 days$242.25116.89%$245.4422
2026-11-2014 days$244.8598.78%$249.4730
2026-11-2721 days$243.8090.82%$249.6516
2026-12-0428 days$242.9493.65%$251.2612
2026-12-1842 days$244.4795.21%$257.5622
2027-01-1570 days$244.3386.49%$262.5029
2027-03-19133 days$245.8982.14%$278.0537
2027-04-16161 days$248.6281.48%$287.8343
2027-06-17223 days$249.1379.73%$302.5246

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
93.97%
60 days
88.75%
90 days
84.48%
180 days
80.82%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 325 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4029 Aug27 Jan30 May27 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-12-03Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 6 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 6
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
14.6%
Mean move that happened
10.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-03Before the open13.9%-10.4%0.75×
2026-06-04Before the open———
2026-03-05Before the open———
2025-12-11Before the open———
2025-09-04Before the open16.2%+23.3%1.44×
2025-06-05Before the open14.9%-12.9%0.87×
2025-03-11Before the open17.2%-2.4%0.14×
2024-12-12Before the open13.0%+15.4%1.19×
2024-09-04Before the open12.3%-0.8%0.06×
2024-06-06Before the open———
2024-03-07Before the open———
2023-12-07Before the open———
2023-08-31Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.