Options Skew Analytics

CTAS options analytics

CTAS · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

CTAS options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 29.8%, a move of about ±8.6% over the next month. Its history here is 230 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta puts carry 3.39 volatility points more than the calls.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-12-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±7.5% and CTAS moved 5.8% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
29.85%

Prices a move of about ±8.6% over 30 days, or ±1.9% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+3.39

Puts carry 3.39 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.64

The wings carry 0.64 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.877

90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 94 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$198.80
30-day implied forward
$198.98
60-day ATM IV
27.44%
90-day ATM IV
26.19%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
17,765
Put / call open interest
0.72

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 230 sessions

15%20%25%30%35%40%2024-08-29 — 30-day ATM IV 19%2024-08-30 — 30-day ATM IV 18%2024-09-03 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-09-09 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 20%2024-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 19%2024-09-27 — 30-day ATM IV 20%2024-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 20%2024-10-07 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-10-08 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2024-10-09 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2024-10-10 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2024-10-17 — 30-day ATM IV 20%2024-10-18 — 30-day ATM IV 19%2024-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2024-10-24 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2024-10-25 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2024-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2024-10-30 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2024-10-31 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-11-04 — 30-day ATM IV 28%2024-11-20 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2024-11-21 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-11-22 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-11-25 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-11-26 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2024-11-29 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-12-02 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2024-12-03 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2024-12-09 — 30-day ATM IV 34%2024-12-10 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2024-12-11 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2024-12-12 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2024-12-13 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2024-12-16 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2024-12-17 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2024-12-19 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2024-12-23 — 30-day ATM IV 19%2024-12-24 — 30-day ATM IV 18%2024-12-27 — 30-day ATM IV 20%2024-12-31 — 30-day ATM IV 19%2025-01-02 — 30-day ATM IV 20%2025-01-03 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2025-01-22 — 30-day ATM IV 18%2025-01-23 — 30-day ATM IV 18%2025-01-24 — 30-day ATM IV 18%2025-01-27 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2025-01-28 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2025-02-10 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2025-02-12 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-02-19 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2025-02-26 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-03-18 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2025-03-19 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2025-03-21 — 30-day ATM IV 29%2025-03-24 — 30-day ATM IV 32%2025-03-27 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2025-03-28 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2025-03-31 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2025-04-01 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2025-04-02 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-04-03 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2025-04-22 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2025-04-23 — 30-day ATM IV 27%2025-04-24 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2025-04-25 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2025-04-28 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2025-04-29 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2025-05-01 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2025-05-02 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-05-05 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2025-05-06 — 30-day ATM IV 26%2025-05-09 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-05-21 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2025-05-27 — 30-day ATM IV 21%2025-05-28 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2025-05-29 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2025-06-02 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2025-06-04 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2025-06-06 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-06-10 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2025-06-11 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2026-08-24 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2026-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 31%2026-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 30%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 30%29 Aug28 Oct2 Jan24 Apr22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2229.85%+3.390.877$198.80
2026-09-2129.88%+0.960.897$196.88
2026-09-1829.78%+2.230.903$197.64
2026-09-1730.40%+1.790.891$197.96
2026-09-1631.30%+1.130.861$199.46
2026-09-15———$198.95
2026-09-14———$200.82
2026-09-11———$201.50
2026-09-10———$198.44
2026-09-09———$200.04
2026-09-08———$200.50
2026-09-04———$200.47
2026-09-03———$201.05
2026-09-02———$198.09
2026-09-01———$200.59
2026-08-31———$201.79
2026-08-28———$204.18
2026-08-27———$204.15
2026-08-26———$205.78
2026-08-25———$204.76
2026-08-2424.77%+1.111.073$207.40
2026-08-21———$203.79
2026-08-20———$203.52
2026-08-19———$203.08
2025-06-30———$222.87
2025-06-27———$220.75
2025-06-26———$220.44
2025-06-25———$219.24
2025-06-24———$223.20
2025-06-23———$220.90
2025-06-20———$218.65
2025-06-18———$220.42
2025-06-17———$221.32
2025-06-16———$222.47
2025-06-13———$221.98
2025-06-12———$223.57
2025-06-1122.88%+4.431.036$221.72
2025-06-1023.78%+4.691.043$222.22
2025-06-09———$224.60
2025-06-0624.27%+5.361.014$227.66
2025-06-05———$226.90
2025-06-0422.46%+3.331.109$227.37
2025-06-03———$227.58
2025-06-0222.39%+3.641.103$226.69
2025-05-30———$226.50
2025-05-2922.57%+3.301.136$224.75
2025-05-2822.07%+4.141.140$225.08
2025-05-2720.65%+3.021.197$225.88
2025-05-23———$222.29
2025-05-22———$221.66
2025-05-2121.11%+2.851.173$221.05
2025-05-20———$222.87
2025-05-19———$223.03
2025-05-16———$220.85
2025-05-15———$218.49
2025-05-14———$214.19
2025-05-13———$215.33
2025-05-12———$216.99
2025-05-0924.09%+4.621.055$214.74
2025-05-08———$214.96
2025-05-07———$215.11
2025-05-0626.37%+5.151.013$213.31
2025-05-0525.81%+4.881.047$211.82
2025-05-0224.20%+5.101.055$211.55
2025-05-0122.98%+4.801.121$209.55
2025-04-30———$211.68
2025-04-2924.94%+5.000.981$209.26
2025-04-2824.73%+5.081.064$208.28
2025-04-2525.31%+5.801.028$208.40
2025-04-2425.05%+5.711.040$209.75
2025-04-2326.78%+6.751.026$207.69
2025-04-2227.36%+5.061.028$205.84
2025-04-21———$200.41
2025-04-17———$205.76
2025-04-16———$204.72
2025-04-15———$208.20
2025-04-14———$209.62
2025-04-11———$206.04
2025-04-10———$202.73
2025-04-09———$203.99
2025-04-08———$190.11
2025-04-07———$190.54
2025-04-04———$190.33
2025-04-0325.97%+2.431.005$204.85
2025-04-0223.91%+1.551.074$208.67
2025-04-0122.65%+3.331.052$207.87
2025-03-3122.56%+1.961.088$205.53
2025-03-2822.90%+2.531.053$203.22
2025-03-2721.53%+2.151.090$206.25
2025-03-26———$204.71
2025-03-25———$193.46
2025-03-2432.15%+4.500.863$194.57
2025-03-2129.13%+3.190.975$191.17
2025-03-20———$194.46
2025-03-1932.83%+5.060.870$196.37
2025-03-1835.45%+4.200.871$193.41
2025-03-17———$195.17
2025-03-14———$192.84
2025-03-13———$190.58
2025-03-12———$192.21
2025-03-11———$196.56
2025-03-10———$200.61
2025-03-07———$203.06
2025-03-06———$200.60
2025-03-05———$205.29
2025-03-04———$204.56
2025-03-03———$207.43
2025-02-28———$207.50
2025-02-27———$203.37
2025-02-2624.47%+2.470.992$204.31
2025-02-25———$205.82
2025-02-24———$203.35
2025-02-21———$204.43
2025-02-20———$205.93
2025-02-1923.33%+2.19—$208.14
2025-02-18———$203.74
2025-02-14———$204.22
2025-02-13———$205.99
2025-02-1223.92%+4.731.051$204.61
2025-02-11———$205.40

The chart covers every session in the archive, 230 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 230 sessions

-2.00.02.04.06.08.02024-08-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.92024-08-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.12024-09-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-09-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.42024-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.42024-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22024-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52024-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.72024-09-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92024-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42024-10-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-10-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02024-10-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22024-10-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42024-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92024-10-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.12024-10-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52024-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42024-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92024-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-10-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82024-10-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.12024-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72024-10-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12024-10-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.72024-11-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.92024-11-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-11-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-11-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.02024-11-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42024-11-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72024-11-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42024-12-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-12-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52024-12-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.82024-12-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92024-12-11 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22024-12-12 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.62024-12-13 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22024-12-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.22024-12-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.52024-12-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.52024-12-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.02024-12-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.12024-12-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.62024-12-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42025-01-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52025-01-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42025-01-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.12025-01-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82025-01-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62025-01-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.72025-01-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32025-02-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.32025-02-12 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.72025-02-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22025-02-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52025-03-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.22025-03-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.12025-03-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22025-03-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.52025-03-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22025-03-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.52025-03-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02025-04-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32025-04-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62025-04-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42025-04-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.12025-04-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 6.72025-04-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.72025-04-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.82025-04-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.12025-04-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.02025-05-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.82025-05-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.12025-05-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.92025-05-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.12025-05-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.62025-05-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92025-05-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.02025-05-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12025-05-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32025-06-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62025-06-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32025-06-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.42025-06-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.72025-06-11 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.42026-08-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12026-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.82026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.22026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.02026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.429 Aug28 Oct2 Jan24 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

20%40%60%80%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 66.03%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 64.86%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 65.13%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 64.53%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 63.66%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 63.49%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 63.87%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 65.32%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 64.80%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 64.04%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 66.54%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 66.64%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 63.61%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 65.07%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 66.82%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 67.21%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 69.89%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 71.85%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 41.72%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 40.58%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 40.64%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 40.40%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 40.06%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 39.91%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 39.86%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 39.97%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 40.40%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.51%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 41.26%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 40.98%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 42.07%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 43.88%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 44.81%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 34.93%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 33.12%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 33.02%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 32.84%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 33.39%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 33.72%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 33.94%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 34.14%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 34.45%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 34.93%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 35.68%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 36.34%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.59%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 37.72%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
10Δ call66.03%——
15Δ call64.86%41.72%—
20Δ call65.13%40.58%34.93%
25Δ call64.53%40.64%33.12%
30Δ call63.66%40.40%33.02%
35Δ call63.49%40.06%32.84%
40Δ call63.87%39.91%33.39%
45Δ call65.32%39.86%33.72%
ATM64.80%39.97%33.94%
45Δ put64.04%40.40%34.14%
40Δ put66.54%41.51%34.45%
35Δ put66.64%41.26%34.93%
30Δ put63.61%40.98%35.68%
25Δ put65.07%42.07%36.34%
20Δ put66.82%43.88%36.59%
15Δ put67.21%44.81%37.72%
10Δ put69.89%——
5Δ put71.85%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$198.5064.80%65.07%64.53%+0.53+0.0019
2026-10-0210$198.4539.97%42.07%40.64%+1.43+1.3912
2026-10-0917$198.6533.94%36.34%33.12%+3.22+0.7814
2026-10-1624$198.8529.82%33.70%30.13%+3.57+2.0914
2026-10-2331$199.0029.85%31.99%28.62%+3.36+0.457
2026-10-3038$199.1028.71%30.75%27.94%+2.81+0.637
2026-11-2059$199.0927.50%29.51%26.26%+3.25+0.389
2026-12-1887$200.0526.14%28.29%26.45%+1.84+1.2310
2027-01-15115$200.2026.46%28.34%27.48%+0.86+1.4510
2027-02-19150$200.7625.75%27.43%25.29%+2.14+0.619

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

20%30%40%50%60%70%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 64.80%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 39.97%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 33.94%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 29.82%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 29.85%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 28.71%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 27.50%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 26.14%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 26.46%2027-02-19 — 150 days — at-the-money IV 25.75%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$198.5064.80%$198.8419
2026-10-0210 days$198.4539.97%$198.8912
2026-10-0917 days$198.6533.94%$199.1914
2026-10-1624 days$198.8529.82%$199.4414
2026-10-2331 days$199.0029.85%$199.757
2026-10-3038 days$199.1028.71%$199.957
2026-11-2059 days$199.0927.50%$200.329
2026-12-1887 days$200.0526.14%$201.6910
2027-01-15115 days$200.2026.46%$202.4210
2027-02-19150 days$200.7625.75%$203.529

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
29.85%
60 days
27.44%
90 days
26.19%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 230 sessions

0.801.001.201.402024-08-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112024-09-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022024-09-09 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-09-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082024-10-07 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-10-08 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072024-10-09 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-10-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032024-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102024-10-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092024-10-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112024-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002024-12-11 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872024-12-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942024-12-19 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922024-12-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.182024-12-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.162024-12-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.182024-12-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122025-01-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112025-01-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.192025-01-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.342025-01-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.352025-01-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.292025-01-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112025-02-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-02-12 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-02-26 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992025-03-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-03-19 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-03-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982025-03-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862025-03-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092025-03-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-03-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092025-04-01 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-04-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-04-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-04-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-04-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-04-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-04-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-04-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-04-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982025-05-01 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122025-05-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-05-05 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-05-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-05-09 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-05-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172025-05-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.202025-05-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142025-05-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142025-06-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102025-06-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112025-06-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-06-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-06-11 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042026-08-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072026-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.902026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.902026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.8829 Aug19 Dec24 Mar6 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-12-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.5%
Mean move that happened
5.8%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-23Before the open———
2026-07-15Before the open———
2026-03-25Before the open———
2025-12-18Before the open———
2025-09-24Before the open———
2025-07-17Before the open———
2025-03-26Before the open6.8%+5.8%0.86×
2024-12-19Before the open8.0%-10.6%1.32×
2024-09-25Before the open7.8%+1.2%0.15×
2024-07-18Before the open———
2024-03-27Before the open———
2023-12-21Before the open———
2023-09-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.