Options Skew Analytics

CVX options analytics

CVX · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

CVX options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 26.7%, a move of about ±7.7% over the next month. That is higher than 82% of the 236 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.28 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-30 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±5.4% and CVX moved 3.0% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
26.71%

Prices a move of about ±7.7% over 30 days, or ±1.7% on a typical day.

Higher than 82% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.28

Puts carry 1.28 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 24% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.04

The wings carry about the same volatility as at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.013

90-day volatility is 1% above 30-day.

Higher than 33% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 236 prior sessions (one-year window)

26.7% — 82th percentile
15.4%57.2%
IV percentile, 1 year
82%
IV rank, 1 year
27%
IV percentile, 2 years
82%
IV rank, 2 years
27%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$205.65
30-day implied forward
$206.79
60-day ATM IV
28.26%
90-day ATM IV
27.06%
180-day ATM IV
27.20%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
358,874
Put / call open interest
0.52

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 237 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug20 Nov19 Feb14 May24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2426.71%+1.281.013$205.65
2026-09-2326.84%+1.701.028$205.51
2026-09-2226.49%+0.421.029$202.41
2026-09-2127.12%+0.541.018$203.67
2026-09-1826.29%+1.041.062$209.51
2026-09-1726.39%+0.691.062$211.57
2026-09-1627.79%+1.181.039$211.54
2026-09-1528.48%+0.301.017$217.77
2026-09-1427.26%+0.811.029$212.17
2026-09-1126.01%+1.111.048$214.06
2026-09-1026.40%+0.501.053$212.76
2026-09-0926.04%+0.421.055$213.81
2026-09-0826.40%-0.521.039$209.80
2026-09-0424.56%+0.031.099$208.60
2026-09-0324.41%-0.121.083$211.32
2026-09-0225.25%-0.131.076$211.78
2026-09-0126.82%+1.551.046$211.05
2026-08-3125.11%+0.411.077$206.14
2026-08-2824.69%+0.821.063$201.86
2026-08-2724.22%+0.811.089$199.77
2026-08-2625.15%-0.301.056$200.21
2026-08-2525.99%+0.651.020$199.89
2026-08-2425.28%+0.841.048$203.09
2026-08-2124.16%+0.201.098$205.27
2026-08-2025.08%+0.121.084$205.77
2026-08-1924.97%+0.381.073$205.76
2026-08-1825.05%+0.291.056$205.74
2026-08-1725.93%-0.541.056$202.70
2025-06-3024.35%-1.661.013$143.19
2025-06-2722.61%+2.121.091$143.79
2025-06-2622.40%+2.131.121$144.44
2025-06-2523.76%+1.931.075$143.23
2025-06-2423.30%+1.841.124$143.55
2025-06-2324.02%+1.201.092$146.86
2025-06-2024.86%+1.181.079$149.55
2025-06-1825.80%+2.161.036$148.19
2025-06-1726.92%+0.471.008$148.85
2025-06-1623.70%+1.431.103$146.03
2025-06-1326.86%+1.561.036$145.91
2025-06-1223.88%+1.411.101$144.97
2025-06-1124.89%+2.611.070$144.78
2025-06-1023.72%+3.401.093$143.35
2025-06-0922.74%+3.131.143$140.76
2025-06-0622.12%+1.001.177$140.21
2025-06-0523.75%+3.141.122$136.90
2025-06-0423.85%+2.911.109$137.37
2025-06-0323.19%+3.851.112$139.55
2025-06-0223.35%+3.341.125$137.84
2025-05-3024.34%+2.761.077$136.70
2025-05-2924.84%+3.121.079$137.91
2025-05-2825.11%+2.651.065$136.02
2025-05-2725.42%+3.431.042$137.83
2025-05-2325.34%+2.751.073$136.54
2025-05-2225.11%+3.381.063$135.29
2025-05-2125.48%+3.811.046$135.56
2025-05-2023.35%+2.951.074$137.27
2025-05-1922.10%+2.681.110$138.49
2025-05-1622.45%+3.171.077$142.10
2025-05-1523.28%+3.691.050$142.26
2025-05-1423.02%+3.621.059$141.67
2025-05-1322.66%+3.481.058$142.35
2025-05-1222.53%+3.891.076$141.62
2025-05-0925.59%+5.281.064$138.49
2025-05-0826.82%+4.751.023$137.04
2025-05-0728.45%+4.900.985$135.79
2025-05-0628.55%+4.350.987$135.60
2025-05-0527.87%+5.920.987$135.50
2025-05-0230.46%+4.720.896$138.50
2025-05-0132.59%+6.490.943$136.26
2025-04-3032.92%+5.240.879$136.06
2025-04-2928.27%+6.880.941$139.30
2025-04-2829.97%+5.890.920$140.10
2025-04-2529.82%+5.760.916$138.73
2025-04-2431.55%+5.670.888$139.07
2025-04-2334.23%+6.760.864$136.68
2025-04-2232.76%+10.520.906$137.30
2025-04-2135.49%+7.580.889$133.73
2025-04-1732.01%+6.260.936$137.87
2025-04-1633.98%+5.530.924$135.36
2025-04-1531.65%+5.920.954$134.54
2025-04-1434.69%+8.250.908$135.32
2025-04-1141.86%+11.170.848$135.63
2025-04-1048.26%+12.240.800$134.98
2025-04-0934.86%+6.360.897$146.03
2025-04-0857.20%+16.380.755$136.93
2025-04-0746.18%+11.920.791$140.15
2025-04-0444.40%+8.480.813$143.28
2025-04-0329.68%+6.720.888$156.12
2025-04-0221.41%+3.440.996$166.47
2025-04-0121.56%+2.721.006$168.51
2025-03-3119.55%+3.781.056$167.29
2025-03-2819.80%+2.801.079$166.09
2025-03-2717.75%+1.641.148$166.65
2025-03-2619.14%+2.201.082$167.97
2025-03-2518.05%+2.981.132$165.94
2025-03-2418.35%+3.231.125$165.02
2025-03-2119.55%+4.141.091$164.75
2025-03-2020.50%+3.161.041$164.77
2025-03-1920.69%+2.621.057$164.05
2025-03-1821.65%+3.471.041$160.81
2025-03-1721.59%+2.741.038$158.72
2025-03-1422.84%+3.511.009$157.02
2025-03-1325.94%+5.040.964$153.61
2025-03-1226.04%+3.930.978$152.67
2025-03-1127.36%+7.070.921$154.08
2025-03-1025.26%+3.440.981$157.57
2025-03-0723.05%+2.051.007$156.34
2025-03-0624.68%+3.790.972$152.95
2025-03-0524.98%+3.370.949$150.81
2025-03-0423.76%+4.250.996$152.00
2025-03-0323.90%+3.780.982$153.09
2025-02-2819.94%+2.141.051$158.62
2025-02-2721.88%+4.980.996$156.67
2025-02-2620.45%+2.761.032$155.14
2025-02-2520.37%+1.181.013$156.42
2025-02-2419.35%+1.591.072$157.89
2025-02-2119.57%+3.151.089$156.92
2025-02-2018.41%+1.871.085$158.79
2025-02-1918.58%+1.911.090$157.23
2025-02-1819.19%+2.261.074$156.16

The chart covers every session in the archive, 237 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 237 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.020.026 Aug20 Nov19 Feb14 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 8d (2026-10-02) · 15d (2026-10-09)

24%26%28%30%32%34%36%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 32.57%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 29.36%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 28.08%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 27.43%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 27.10%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 26.95%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 26.95%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 27.22%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 27.69%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 28.31%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 29.02%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 29.74%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 30.35%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 30.88%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 31.43%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 32.03%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 32.71%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 33.58%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 34.98%1d2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ C — IV 29.08%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ C — IV 26.84%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ C — IV 26.14%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ C — IV 25.74%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ C — IV 25.65%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ C — IV 25.63%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ C — IV 25.64%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ C — IV 25.72%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ C — IV 25.80%2026-10-02 (8d) — ATM — IV 25.86%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ P — IV 25.92%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ P — IV 26.01%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ P — IV 26.14%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ P — IV 26.31%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ P — IV 26.53%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ P — IV 26.90%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ P — IV 27.71%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ P — IV 28.72%2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ P — IV 28.78%8d2026-10-09 (15d) — 10Δ C — IV 27.20%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ C — IV 26.10%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ C — IV 26.13%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ C — IV 26.20%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ C — IV 26.22%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ C — IV 26.35%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ C — IV 26.55%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ C — IV 26.83%2026-10-09 (15d) — ATM — IV 26.73%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ P — IV 26.39%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ P — IV 26.46%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ P — IV 26.63%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ P — IV 26.73%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ P — IV 26.86%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ P — IV 27.08%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ P — IV 27.73%2026-10-09 (15d) — 10Δ P — IV 28.15%15d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d8d15d
5Δ call32.57%29.08%—
10Δ call29.36%26.84%27.20%
15Δ call28.08%26.14%26.10%
20Δ call27.43%25.74%26.13%
25Δ call27.10%25.65%26.20%
30Δ call26.95%25.63%26.22%
35Δ call26.95%25.64%26.35%
40Δ call27.22%25.72%26.55%
45Δ call27.69%25.80%26.83%
ATM28.31%25.86%26.73%
45Δ put29.02%25.92%26.39%
40Δ put29.74%26.01%26.46%
35Δ put30.35%26.14%26.63%
30Δ put30.88%26.31%26.73%
25Δ put31.43%26.53%26.86%
20Δ put32.03%26.90%27.08%
15Δ put32.71%27.71%27.73%
10Δ put33.58%28.72%28.15%
5Δ put34.98%28.78%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$206.2028.31%31.43%27.10%+4.34+0.956
2026-10-028$206.3225.86%26.53%25.65%+0.88+0.2314
2026-10-0915$206.3226.73%26.86%26.20%+0.66-0.2014
2026-10-1622$206.5225.70%26.22%25.54%+0.68+0.1718
2026-10-2329$206.7326.55%27.05%25.98%+1.07-0.039
2026-10-3036$207.1627.51%28.99%26.76%+2.23+0.3710
2026-11-2057$206.1828.46%29.11%27.64%+1.47-0.0813
2026-12-1885$206.2927.13%28.00%26.76%+1.24+0.2517
2027-01-15113$206.9126.84%27.44%26.66%+0.78+0.2117
2027-03-19176$207.1227.16%28.00%27.03%+0.97+0.3623
2027-06-17266$208.0427.74%28.86%27.62%+1.24+0.5127
2027-09-17358$208.9627.62%28.70%27.60%+1.11+0.5326

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

25%26%27%28%29%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 28.31%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 25.86%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 26.73%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 25.70%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 26.55%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 27.51%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 28.46%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 27.13%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 26.84%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 27.16%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 27.74%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 27.62%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$206.2028.31%$206.226
2026-10-028 days$206.3225.86%$206.4714
2026-10-0915 days$206.3226.73%$206.6314
2026-10-1622 days$206.5225.70%$206.9318
2026-10-2329 days$206.7326.55%$207.319
2026-10-3036 days$207.1627.51%$207.9310
2026-11-2057 days$206.1828.46%$207.4813
2026-12-1885 days$206.2927.13%$208.0617
2027-01-15113 days$206.9126.84%$209.2317
2027-03-19176 days$207.1227.16%$210.8323
2027-06-17266 days$208.0427.74%$213.9527
2027-09-17358 days$208.9627.62%$216.9226

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
26.71%
60 days
28.26%
90 days
27.06%
180 days
27.20%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 237 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4026 Aug20 Nov19 Feb14 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-30Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
5.4%
Mean move that happened
3.0%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-31Before the open———
2026-05-01Before the open———
2026-04-09Before the open———
2026-01-30Before the open———
2025-10-31Before the open———
2025-08-01Before the open———
2025-05-02Before the open6.0%+1.6%0.27×
2025-01-31Before the open4.4%-4.6%1.03×
2024-11-01Before the open5.6%+2.9%0.51×
2024-08-02Before the open———
2024-04-26Before the open———
2024-02-02Before the open———
2024-01-02Before the open———
2023-10-27Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.