Options Skew Analytics

DAL options analytics

DAL · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

DAL options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 43.7%, a move of about ±12.5% over the next month. That is higher than 52% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 3.90 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-09 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 6 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.5% and DAL moved 8.2% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 6.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
43.71%

Prices a move of about ±12.5% over 30 days, or ±2.8% on a typical day.

Higher than 52% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+3.90

Puts carry 3.90 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 64% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.00

The wings carry 1.00 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.961

90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day.

Higher than 45% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

43.7% — 52th percentile
30.9%85.2%
IV percentile, 1 year
52%
IV rank, 1 year
24%
IV percentile, 2 years
62%
IV rank, 2 years
24%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$87.20
30-day implied forward
$87.56
60-day ATM IV
42.56%
90-day ATM IV
42.00%
180-day ATM IV
41.19%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
766,532
Put / call open interest
0.18

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 323 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%30 Aug30 Dec28 Apr22 Aug6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0643.71%+3.900.961$87.20
2026-11-0546.09%+5.580.928$85.36
2026-11-0442.26%+3.370.950$89.24
2026-11-0343.35%+2.640.950$83.28
2026-11-0241.44%+5.410.983$83.42
2026-10-3041.29%+3.330.992$80.15
2026-10-2939.90%+2.811.007$81.64
2026-10-2839.90%+4.721.025$80.35
2026-10-2740.57%+4.661.002$81.45
2026-10-2640.05%+4.391.008$79.16
2026-10-2340.33%+3.080.995$76.78
2026-10-2240.64%+5.960.980$79.26
2026-10-2138.36%+1.450.986$77.67
2026-10-2037.25%+3.521.012$76.66
2026-10-1936.44%+1.840.986$74.63
2026-10-1637.75%+2.841.006$75.37
2026-10-1535.17%+1.891.021$78.08
2026-10-1436.68%+1.570.984$76.65
2026-10-1335.57%+1.161.000$79.57
2026-10-0937.15%+3.440.996$82.17
2026-10-0844.50%+1.440.864$82.14
2026-10-0741.85%+0.810.916$82.97
2026-10-0643.57%+0.170.903$83.66
2026-10-0541.83%+2.330.905$83.08
2026-10-0244.94%+0.800.885$84.09
2026-10-0145.13%+0.590.872$84.13
2026-09-3044.72%+0.750.886$83.46
2026-09-2944.77%+3.510.902$84.87
2026-09-2845.24%+1.820.914$84.03
2026-09-2544.19%+2.890.873$84.94
2026-09-2445.94%+1.170.883$82.76
2026-09-2343.86%+1.330.910$81.75
2026-09-2245.79%+0.810.905$83.92
2026-09-2143.84%+3.430.923$82.50
2026-09-1843.82%+1.490.886$79.62
2026-09-1743.16%+1.160.927$79.43
2026-09-1645.80%+2.090.857$77.87
2026-09-1545.40%+0.760.894$78.89
2026-09-1442.79%+1.630.944$79.80
2026-09-1140.63%+2.760.918$79.91
2026-09-1039.75%+0.990.981$78.24
2026-09-0940.76%-0.300.914$78.75
2026-09-0837.99%+2.560.997$78.96
2026-09-0435.98%-1.361.029$80.17
2026-09-0334.06%+1.131.120$78.75
2026-09-0231.65%+2.311.202$78.14
2026-09-0139.96%+0.730.938$76.38
2026-08-3134.35%+3.061.095$78.00
2026-08-2834.60%-1.321.082$80.07
2026-08-2736.16%-0.651.060$81.14
2026-08-2635.99%+0.011.060$83.08
2026-08-2537.04%-0.481.023$83.62
2026-08-2436.76%+0.691.025$82.48
2026-08-2135.47%+0.381.105$82.41
2026-08-2034.15%-0.241.087$81.06
2025-09-2949.73%+0.930.874$57.66
2025-09-2647.95%+1.590.890$57.20
2025-09-2549.62%+1.790.884$56.74
2025-09-2449.35%+1.140.877$57.71
2025-09-2347.11%+4.080.915$58.75
2025-09-2248.19%+2.790.894$58.89
2025-09-1947.32%+3.430.902$59.76
2025-09-1848.64%+1.520.874$59.47
2025-09-1749.49%+2.240.858$58.82
2025-09-1648.92%+2.080.881$57.86
2025-09-1547.91%+1.220.890$58.42
2025-09-1243.52%+2.850.925$59.87
2025-09-1143.84%+1.440.944$60.44
2025-09-1042.59%+4.960.990$61.39
2025-09-0942.46%+4.230.982$60.68
2025-09-0842.40%+4.900.961$61.76
2025-09-0541.53%+2.871.004$61.18
2025-09-0443.02%+4.010.984$60.55
2025-09-0344.45%+2.780.951$61.27
2025-09-0242.69%+2.950.976$61.13
2025-08-2942.45%+0.700.896$61.78
2025-08-2844.48%+3.840.956$61.97
2025-08-2741.56%+3.701.009$61.26
2025-08-2641.75%+3.841.004$61.15
2025-08-2542.73%+2.280.969$60.41
2025-08-2242.44%+1.990.965$61.69
2025-08-2144.21%+3.500.942$57.84
2025-08-2043.03%+1.920.953$59.05
2025-08-1942.81%+0.860.951$60.50
2025-08-1843.61%+1.850.949$61.09
2025-08-1541.03%+0.390.983$60.24
2025-08-1440.03%+1.871.004$58.96
2025-08-1341.19%+1.230.964$59.42
2025-08-1240.11%+2.430.980$58.44
2025-08-1139.59%+1.500.992$53.50
2025-08-0836.72%+2.361.062$53.64
2025-08-0737.01%+2.521.046$53.63
2025-08-0636.72%+1.731.069$54.12
2025-08-0538.63%+2.071.033$52.87
2025-08-0438.27%+2.721.019$52.52
2025-08-0139.02%+3.101.011$51.15
2025-07-3138.53%+2.381.012$53.21
2025-07-3036.47%+2.421.046$53.60
2025-07-2937.48%+3.131.022$54.50
2025-07-2834.24%+2.931.080$55.61
2025-07-2533.74%+3.001.092$54.86
2025-07-2434.41%+2.851.076$54.71
2025-07-2334.02%+1.121.072$55.98
2025-07-2235.03%+3.181.069$55.67
2025-07-2134.77%+2.981.064$56.04
2025-07-1834.34%+3.021.079$56.29
2025-07-1734.54%+3.461.073$56.34
2025-07-1638.10%+2.691.010$55.56
2025-07-1537.00%+2.811.027$55.71
2025-07-1437.38%+3.441.026$58.11
2025-07-1136.99%+3.641.035$56.65
2025-07-1038.69%+2.360.994$56.78
2025-07-0948.97%+2.340.885$50.70
2025-07-0850.75%+4.940.876$50.52
2025-07-0749.62%+6.560.882$50.00
2025-07-0349.25%+5.010.878$50.86
2025-07-0249.82%+6.350.884$50.13
2025-07-0149.93%+5.860.880$49.00
2025-06-3049.90%+3.010.877$49.18
2025-06-2753.21%+3.990.832$49.59

The chart covers every session in the archive, 323 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 323 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.030 Aug30 Dec28 Apr22 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

7d (2026-11-13) · 14d (2026-11-20) · 21d (2026-11-27)

40%45%50%55%2026-11-13 (7d) — 10Δ C — IV 46.98%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ C — IV 46.97%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 46.42%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 46.79%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 47.86%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.11%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.03%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.97%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 47.86%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 47.68%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 47.80%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.29%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.54%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.63%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.24%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ P — IV 49.97%2026-11-13 (7d) — 10Δ P — IV 51.86%2026-11-13 (7d) — 5Δ P — IV 53.00%7d2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ C — IV 44.25%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 44.23%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 44.46%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 44.76%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 45.15%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 45.66%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 46.49%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 46.42%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.53%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 47.62%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.37%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.71%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.24%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ P — IV 49.70%2026-11-20 (14d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.42%2026-11-20 (14d) — 10Δ P — IV 52.03%14d2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ C — IV 42.07%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ C — IV 42.63%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ C — IV 43.38%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ C — IV 43.11%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ C — IV 44.02%2026-11-27 (21d) — ATM — IV 44.80%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ P — IV 45.65%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ P — IV 45.78%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ P — IV 46.60%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.63%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ P — IV 47.39%2026-11-27 (21d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.53%21d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta7d14d21d
10Δ call46.98%——
15Δ call46.97%44.25%—
20Δ call46.42%44.23%—
25Δ call46.79%44.46%42.07%
30Δ call47.86%44.76%42.63%
35Δ call48.11%45.15%43.38%
40Δ call48.03%45.66%43.11%
45Δ call47.97%46.49%44.02%
ATM47.86%46.42%44.80%
45Δ put47.68%48.53%45.65%
40Δ put47.80%47.62%45.78%
35Δ put48.29%47.37%46.60%
30Δ put48.54%47.71%47.63%
25Δ put48.63%48.24%47.39%
20Δ put50.24%49.70%48.53%
15Δ put49.97%50.42%—
10Δ put51.86%52.03%—
5Δ put53.00%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-137$87.5047.86%48.63%46.79%+1.84-0.1520
2026-11-2014$87.5846.42%48.24%44.46%+3.77-0.0719
2026-11-2721$87.6244.80%47.39%42.07%+5.32-0.0816
2026-12-0428$87.6344.40%47.13%42.53%+4.59+0.4319
2026-12-1135$87.4042.31%45.73%43.22%+2.50+2.1711
2026-12-1842$87.9042.41%45.38%40.86%+4.52+0.7218
2027-01-1570$88.1842.61%45.37%40.90%+4.47+0.5321
2027-03-19133$88.6241.30%44.51%39.59%+4.92+0.7623
2027-06-17223$89.1341.13%43.93%39.10%+4.83+0.3826
2027-09-17315$89.9041.08%43.61%39.29%+4.32+0.3724

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%42%44%46%48%50%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 47.86%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 46.42%2026-11-27 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 44.80%2026-12-04 — 28 days — at-the-money IV 44.40%2026-12-11 — 35 days — at-the-money IV 42.31%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 42.41%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 42.61%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 41.30%2027-06-17 — 223 days — at-the-money IV 41.13%2027-09-17 — 315 days — at-the-money IV 41.08%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-137 days$87.5047.86%$87.6920
2026-11-2014 days$87.5846.42%$87.9419
2026-11-2721 days$87.6244.80%$88.1316
2026-12-0428 days$87.6344.40%$88.2919
2026-12-1135 days$87.4042.31%$88.1511
2026-12-1842 days$87.9042.41%$88.8218
2027-01-1570 days$88.1842.61%$89.7321
2027-03-19133 days$88.6241.30%$91.4123
2027-06-17223 days$89.1341.13%$93.8626
2027-09-17315 days$89.9041.08%$96.6924

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
43.71%
60 days
42.56%
90 days
42.00%
180 days
41.19%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 323 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4030 Aug30 Dec28 Apr22 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-09Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 6 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 6
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.5%
Mean move that happened
8.2%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-10-10Time not stated———
2026-10-09Before the open5.1%-3.2%0.62×
2026-10-08Time not stated5.3%+0.0%0.01×
2026-07-10Before the open———
2026-04-08Before the open———
2026-01-13Before the open———
2025-10-09Before the open———
2025-07-10Before the open8.8%+12.0%1.37×
2025-04-09Before the open14.7%+23.4%1.59×
2025-01-10Before the open10.0%+9.0%0.90×
2024-10-10Before the open7.3%-1.4%0.19×
2024-07-11Before the open———
2024-04-10Before the open———
2024-01-12Before the open———
2023-10-12Time not stated———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.