Options Skew Analytics

DIS options analytics

DIS · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

DIS options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 24.1%, a move of about ±6.9% over the next month. That is higher than 53% of the 233 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 0.74 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 20% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-04 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.5% and DIS moved 6.5% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
24.12%

Prices a move of about ±6.9% over 30 days, or ±1.5% on a typical day.

Higher than 53% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.74

Puts carry 0.74 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 24% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.20

The wings carry 0.20 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.204

90-day volatility is 20% above 30-day.

Higher than 56% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 233 prior sessions (one-year window)

24.1% — 53th percentile
16.9%58.8%
IV percentile, 1 year
53%
IV rank, 1 year
17%
IV percentile, 2 years
53%
IV rank, 2 years
17%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$103.46
30-day implied forward
$103.69
60-day ATM IV
30.31%
90-day ATM IV
29.03%
180-day ATM IV
28.80%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
342,772
Put / call open interest
1.03

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 235 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug19 Nov18 Feb12 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2324.12%+0.741.204$103.46
2026-09-2223.66%+1.271.224$103.82
2026-09-2123.94%+1.591.216$104.23
2026-09-1823.83%+1.211.207$102.67
2026-09-1723.76%+1.151.200$105.35
2026-09-1624.32%+1.321.194$106.99
2026-09-1524.06%+0.781.181$106.42
2026-09-1424.35%+1.591.189$108.59
2026-09-1123.14%+0.911.219$106.55
2026-09-1024.99%+2.111.163$105.82
2026-09-0925.08%+0.451.164$104.18
2026-09-0823.33%+0.351.221$105.06
2026-09-04———$105.31
2026-09-0321.79%+1.521.253$107.16
2026-09-0222.85%-0.421.219$107.98
2026-09-0123.17%+0.421.205$106.22
2026-08-3122.18%+0.571.226$107.55
2026-08-2822.46%+1.821.218$108.10
2026-08-2622.51%+0.821.240$109.63
2026-08-2522.86%+0.601.227$111.25
2026-08-2424.00%+0.941.175$110.61
2026-08-2121.45%+1.081.325$107.78
2026-08-2023.18%+0.641.208$107.32
2026-08-1923.47%-0.101.198$106.93
2026-08-1822.97%+0.951.208$103.95
2026-08-1722.60%-0.341.210$103.50
2025-06-3019.34%+2.411.315$124.01
2025-06-2717.33%+2.811.480$122.34
2025-06-2617.99%+0.951.429$121.46
2025-06-2519.13%+2.431.344$119.42
2025-06-2419.70%+1.921.319$118.65
2025-06-2320.87%+2.461.306$117.75
2025-06-2020.72%+2.951.318$117.63
2025-06-1821.03%+2.391.310$117.86
2025-06-1722.06%+2.161.267$118.13
2025-06-1620.29%+2.051.333$119.48
2025-06-1322.32%+2.411.236$117.94
2025-06-1221.15%+2.311.289$118.61
2025-06-1120.61%+1.711.328$119.52
2025-06-1020.03%+1.311.362$118.73
2025-06-0919.18%+2.191.384$115.66
2025-06-0619.32%+1.421.395$113.90
2025-06-0521.10%+2.851.309$112.53
2025-06-0420.59%+2.661.328$113.49
2025-06-0318.07%+4.851.505$113.60
2025-06-0221.11%+2.881.288$112.95
2025-05-3020.68%+3.751.315$113.04
2025-05-2921.97%+3.461.271$112.02
2025-05-2822.70%+2.681.225$111.52
2025-05-2723.11%+0.261.181$112.36
2025-05-2323.10%+3.081.236$109.72
2025-05-2222.74%+2.571.217$111.13
2025-05-2124.19%+1.471.189$110.46
2025-05-2021.72%+2.381.264$112.36
2025-05-1922.06%+1.881.238$112.66
2025-05-1621.37%+0.741.246$113.42
2025-05-1523.00%+0.241.175$112.22
2025-05-1423.94%+1.201.128$112.94
2025-05-1321.57%+5.281.231$111.38
2025-05-1222.82%+2.651.159$110.49
2025-05-0924.49%+4.011.142$105.94
2025-05-0824.77%+4.461.147$105.12
2025-05-0726.72%+3.881.093$102.09
2025-05-0642.95%+4.300.791$92.17
2025-05-0541.13%+3.490.828$92.11
2025-05-0237.29%+4.870.876$92.49
2025-05-0141.11%+3.950.831$90.81
2025-04-3038.86%+9.980.878$90.95
2025-04-2936.09%+10.000.933$91.17
2025-04-2841.37%+3.660.829$90.16
2025-04-2541.90%+3.920.783$90.28
2025-04-2441.64%+6.930.817$90.01
2025-04-2341.28%+6.030.822$87.29
2025-04-2241.51%+8.870.857$86.09
2025-04-2150.41%+6.350.740$84.00
2025-04-1743.67%+8.020.813$84.81
2025-04-1645.79%+9.350.791$82.77
2025-04-1546.01%+5.540.750$85.01
2025-04-1447.66%+8.790.777$84.66
2025-04-1150.56%+7.850.793$84.89
2025-04-1051.17%+12.690.801$85.23
2025-04-0945.43%+4.430.751$91.44
2025-04-0858.75%+10.630.783$81.72
2025-04-0750.87%+8.290.833$83.30
2025-04-0451.33%+11.130.826$83.53
2025-04-0336.24%+5.450.957$88.84
2025-04-0223.89%+4.221.228$97.88
2025-04-0125.36%+2.951.152$97.68
2025-03-3126.93%+2.911.090$98.70
2025-03-2825.19%+2.961.166$98.07
2025-03-2724.22%+2.531.156$100.45
2025-03-2623.41%+3.131.187$100.78
2025-03-2523.03%+2.461.203$101.61
2025-03-2422.40%+3.391.239$100.18
2025-03-2124.29%+2.111.177$99.46
2025-03-2024.56%+3.621.187$98.86
2025-03-1925.01%+2.501.158$100.29
2025-03-1826.78%+2.751.106$99.35
2025-03-1725.99%+3.231.120$99.36
2025-03-1427.21%+3.881.096$98.64
2025-03-1329.61%+2.961.067$96.87
2025-03-1229.64%+2.461.053$98.76
2025-03-1132.93%+1.310.978$97.90
2025-03-1030.66%+1.691.014$103.08
2025-03-0726.63%+2.101.123$105.51
2025-03-0627.56%+5.191.064$105.43
2025-03-0525.48%+3.371.092$109.31
2025-03-0427.21%+4.241.052$109.01
2025-03-0323.24%+6.151.186$112.79
2025-02-2822.99%+2.221.194$113.80
2025-02-2724.62%+1.431.128$111.31
2025-02-2624.07%+0.491.131$111.83
2025-02-2524.02%+1.361.113$110.53
2025-02-2422.70%+1.091.163$111.20
2025-02-2123.20%+1.171.146$108.66
2025-02-2020.67%+1.171.231$110.55
2025-02-1920.30%+0.201.236$111.35
2025-02-1820.31%+0.691.224$109.56
2025-02-1419.74%+0.381.267$110.38
2025-02-1319.87%+0.541.253$109.59

The chart covers every session in the archive, 235 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 235 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.026 Aug19 Nov18 Feb12 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

20%25%30%35%40%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ C — IV 33.74%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 32.32%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 31.71%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 31.36%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 31.12%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 30.94%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 30.81%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 30.76%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 30.86%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 31.11%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 31.39%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 31.63%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 31.88%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 32.13%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 32.40%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 32.73%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 33.15%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 33.82%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 35.32%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 25.59%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 25.51%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 25.26%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 25.28%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 25.33%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 25.44%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 25.50%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 25.54%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 25.61%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 25.65%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 25.63%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 25.56%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 25.17%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 25.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 25.89%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 25.93%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 26.10%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 26.83%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 23.56%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 23.41%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 24.05%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 24.22%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 24.32%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 24.52%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 24.71%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 24.62%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 24.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 24.47%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 24.76%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 24.93%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 24.35%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 24.35%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 24.75%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
5Δ call33.74%——
10Δ call32.32%25.59%—
15Δ call31.71%25.51%23.56%
20Δ call31.36%25.26%23.41%
25Δ call31.12%25.28%24.05%
30Δ call30.94%25.33%24.22%
35Δ call30.81%25.44%24.32%
40Δ call30.76%25.50%24.52%
45Δ call30.86%25.54%24.71%
ATM31.11%25.61%24.62%
45Δ put31.39%25.65%24.33%
40Δ put31.63%25.63%24.47%
35Δ put31.88%25.56%24.76%
30Δ put32.13%25.17%24.93%
25Δ put32.40%25.11%24.35%
20Δ put32.73%25.89%24.35%
15Δ put33.15%25.93%24.75%
10Δ put33.82%26.10%—
5Δ put35.32%26.83%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$103.3731.11%32.40%31.12%+1.28+0.668
2026-10-029$103.4125.61%25.11%25.28%-0.17-0.4212
2026-10-0916$103.5024.62%24.35%24.05%+0.30-0.4212
2026-10-1623$103.7424.38%25.18%23.76%+1.41+0.0916
2026-10-2330$103.6924.12%24.29%23.56%+0.74-0.2015
2026-10-3037$103.6823.51%24.15%24.56%-0.41+0.8417
2026-11-2058$103.9730.43%30.73%29.96%+0.76-0.099
2026-12-1886$103.9429.28%30.26%28.49%+1.77+0.1010
2027-01-15114$103.9427.91%28.64%27.27%+1.37+0.0412
2027-03-19177$104.9528.86%29.82%28.04%+1.78+0.0714
2027-04-16205$105.1528.33%29.14%27.93%+1.22+0.2112
2027-06-17267$106.1128.58%28.40%28.10%+0.30-0.3213
2027-09-17359$106.7829.10%29.94%28.71%+1.23+0.2216

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

22%24%26%28%30%32%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 31.11%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 25.61%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 24.62%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 24.38%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 24.12%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 23.51%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 30.43%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 29.28%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 27.91%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 28.86%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 28.33%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 28.58%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 29.10%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$103.3731.11%$103.408
2026-10-029 days$103.4125.61%$103.4912
2026-10-0916 days$103.5024.62%$103.6412
2026-10-1623 days$103.7424.38%$103.9416
2026-10-2330 days$103.6924.12%$103.9415
2026-10-3037 days$103.6823.51%$103.9717
2026-11-2058 days$103.9730.43%$104.749
2026-12-1886 days$103.9429.28%$104.9910
2027-01-15114 days$103.9427.91%$105.2112
2027-03-19177 days$104.9528.86%$107.0914
2027-04-16205 days$105.1528.33%$107.5512
2027-06-17267 days$106.1128.58%$109.3313
2027-09-17359 days$106.7829.10%$111.3216

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
24.12%
60 days
30.31%
90 days
29.03%
180 days
28.80%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 235 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6026 Aug19 Nov18 Feb12 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-04Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.5%
Mean move that happened
6.5%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-05Before the open———
2026-05-06Before the open———
2026-02-02Before the open———
2025-11-13Before the open———
2025-08-06Before the open———
2025-05-07Before the open8.5%+10.8%1.26×
2025-02-05Before the open8.6%-2.4%0.28×
2024-11-14Before the open8.4%+6.2%0.74×
2024-08-07Before the open———
2024-05-07Before the open———
2024-02-07After the close———
2023-11-08After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.