Options Skew Analytics

DLTR options analytics

DLTR · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

DLTR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 49.0%, a move of about ±14.0% over the next month. That is higher than 70% of the 231 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.37 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-24, before the open.

Across its last 6 reports the options market priced an average move of ±13.9% and DLTR moved 8.0% on average, staying inside the priced band 5 times out of 6.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
49.00%

Prices a move of about ±14.0% over 30 days, or ±3.1% on a typical day.

Higher than 70% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.37

Puts carry 2.37 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 45% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.50

The wings carry 0.50 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.882

90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day.

Higher than 29% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 231 prior sessions (one-year window)

49.0% — 70th percentile
26.8%78.9%
IV percentile, 1 year
70%
IV rank, 1 year
43%
IV percentile, 2 years
67%
IV rank, 2 years
33%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$131.14
30-day implied forward
$133.21
60-day ATM IV
45.75%
90-day ATM IV
43.20%
180-day ATM IV
42.59%
Expirations used
7
Total open interest
47,519
Put / call open interest
0.26

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 323 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%30 Aug19 Dec17 Apr7 Aug6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0649.00%+2.370.882$131.14
2026-11-0552.39%+3.610.794$137.94
2026-11-0451.96%+1.180.800$147.00
2026-11-0344.94%+1.450.944$134.07
2026-11-0244.47%+1.380.949$138.60
2026-10-3044.82%-0.250.919$133.87
2026-10-2940.30%+1.840.994$132.03
2026-10-28———$127.18
2026-10-2738.15%+2.731.051$123.65
2026-10-2638.60%+2.411.070$124.92
2026-10-2337.98%+2.251.036$125.31
2026-10-2236.63%+1.741.052$131.04
2026-10-2135.86%+2.531.053$125.48
2026-10-2035.62%+0.821.068$124.96
2026-10-1936.91%+1.881.040$123.15
2026-10-16———$124.18
2026-10-1536.62%+0.791.060$124.41
2026-10-1435.64%+2.111.115$121.76
2026-10-1335.44%+0.391.100$116.28
2026-10-0934.45%+2.241.118$118.64
2026-10-0835.25%+0.981.127$118.62
2026-10-0735.11%+1.151.118$116.30
2026-10-0636.23%+0.271.091$116.19
2026-10-0536.10%+1.711.121$113.19
2026-10-0234.27%+3.681.171$112.16
2026-10-01———$114.43
2026-09-3035.46%+0.291.130$114.02
2026-09-2936.11%+2.181.150$113.30
2026-09-2834.76%+0.191.174$116.02
2026-09-2534.29%+0.791.161$114.07
2026-09-2435.06%+1.561.162$113.50
2026-09-2335.27%+0.961.138$113.16
2026-09-2234.75%+1.641.166$115.04
2026-09-2135.34%+0.371.135$112.33
2026-09-1833.91%+0.921.151$111.96
2026-09-1734.97%+0.451.144$114.40
2026-09-1635.71%+1.851.127$112.40
2026-09-15———$112.79
2026-09-14———$119.17
2026-09-11———$118.17
2026-09-10———$118.66
2026-09-09———$118.39
2026-09-08———$124.04
2026-09-04———$131.42
2026-09-03———$131.04
2026-09-02———$131.91
2026-09-01———$131.71
2026-08-31———$126.59
2026-08-28———$128.26
2026-08-27———$127.00
2026-08-2655.14%+3.900.845$132.18
2026-08-2553.27%+2.670.810$134.48
2026-08-2448.97%+2.110.820$136.75
2026-08-2152.74%+5.050.820$131.48
2026-08-2049.88%+2.220.880$128.45
2025-09-2935.53%+2.841.093$94.21
2025-09-2634.76%-0.341.115$95.06
2025-09-2535.35%+2.591.097$94.03
2025-09-2434.93%+3.351.112$95.90
2025-09-2333.65%+1.471.144$94.65
2025-09-2233.13%+4.021.162$94.48
2025-09-1934.58%+1.881.085$95.26
2025-09-1833.24%+1.871.120$98.26
2025-09-1733.57%+3.261.110$97.78
2025-09-1632.22%+3.981.130$95.48
2025-09-1531.88%+2.711.140$97.26
2025-09-1230.59%+3.451.130$97.45
2025-09-1129.80%+2.451.142$99.39
2025-09-1028.49%+4.471.192$98.85
2025-09-0926.84%+2.631.261$96.30
2025-09-0829.22%+2.701.150$99.40
2025-09-0527.68%+2.771.164$101.12
2025-09-0429.53%+1.221.094$100.25
2025-09-0332.07%+3.881.030$102.03
2025-09-0243.78%+4.350.875$111.35
2025-08-2942.18%+1.400.854$109.17
2025-08-2841.35%+0.000.866$112.50
2025-08-2744.38%+2.550.875$112.86
2025-08-2641.65%+2.160.899$111.98
2025-08-2544.08%+3.490.826$111.80
2025-08-2244.31%+0.430.812$113.32
2025-08-2145.38%+2.860.792$112.59
2025-08-2047.98%+0.650.756$113.35
2025-08-1944.81%+3.350.816$112.48
2025-08-1845.56%+3.360.790$112.06
2025-08-1545.27%+3.630.806$113.49
2025-08-1444.54%+0.240.798$114.63
2025-08-1340.35%+2.850.866$115.40
2025-08-1243.11%+3.340.812$114.06
2025-08-1144.28%+2.830.792$114.29
2025-08-0842.41%+0.960.819$116.12
2025-08-0740.85%+2.560.862$117.16
2025-08-0640.06%+3.290.893$116.37
2025-08-0538.81%+2.980.935$115.66
2025-08-0437.49%+2.900.938$115.72
2025-08-0135.36%+3.311.037$114.72
2025-07-3135.51%+2.701.039$113.55
2025-07-3035.16%+3.031.023$114.15
2025-07-2935.18%+2.841.032$114.99
2025-07-2834.59%+3.541.040$115.43
2025-07-2532.64%+2.671.104$114.41
2025-07-2432.64%+3.041.119$114.21
2025-07-2333.62%+1.501.093$114.92
2025-07-2232.74%+2.981.132$114.77
2025-07-2131.92%+2.701.173$112.31
2025-07-1829.56%+2.631.266$110.12
2025-07-1732.79%+3.771.146$108.15
2025-07-1632.04%+0.751.197$106.62
2025-07-1529.89%+2.011.278$106.55
2025-07-1432.28%+2.811.175$108.63
2025-07-1129.63%+2.081.276$109.36
2025-07-1033.07%+2.881.142$108.37
2025-07-0929.53%+2.391.270$104.75
2025-07-0833.20%+4.641.161$104.39
2025-07-0732.97%+1.731.201$104.23
2025-07-0328.80%+3.371.318$101.91
2025-07-0228.63%+2.251.335$103.01
2025-07-0129.91%+3.981.268$101.50
2025-06-3030.54%+3.281.218$99.04
2025-06-2729.76%+3.851.246$98.70

The chart covers every session in the archive, 323 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 323 sessions

-10.0-5.00.05.010.015.030 Aug19 Dec17 Apr7 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

7d (2026-11-13) · 14d (2026-11-20) · 42d (2026-12-18)

42%44%46%48%50%52%54%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 48.73%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 47.07%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 47.13%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 50.31%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 46.96%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.12%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 46.74%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.96%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 47.85%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.92%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 49.13%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 51.09%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ P — IV 52.70%7d2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 45.15%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 44.76%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 44.92%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 44.29%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 47.23%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 44.07%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 45.73%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.23%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 45.46%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 44.76%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 46.10%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 46.69%2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.17%14d2026-12-18 (42d) — 15Δ C — IV 50.05%2026-12-18 (42d) — 20Δ C — IV 47.86%2026-12-18 (42d) — 25Δ C — IV 47.93%2026-12-18 (42d) — 30Δ C — IV 49.13%2026-12-18 (42d) — 35Δ C — IV 50.35%2026-12-18 (42d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.81%2026-12-18 (42d) — 45Δ C — IV 49.00%2026-12-18 (42d) — ATM — IV 49.78%2026-12-18 (42d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.66%2026-12-18 (42d) — 40Δ P — IV 49.53%2026-12-18 (42d) — 35Δ P — IV 49.60%2026-12-18 (42d) — 30Δ P — IV 49.83%2026-12-18 (42d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.41%2026-12-18 (42d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.10%2026-12-18 (42d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.57%2026-12-18 (42d) — 10Δ P — IV 52.33%2026-12-18 (42d) — 5Δ P — IV 51.98%42d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta7d14d42d
15Δ call——50.05%
20Δ call48.73%45.15%47.86%
25Δ call47.07%44.76%47.93%
30Δ call47.13%44.92%49.13%
35Δ call50.31%44.29%50.35%
40Δ call46.96%47.23%48.81%
45Δ call48.12%44.07%49.00%
ATM46.74%45.73%49.78%
45Δ put48.96%48.23%49.66%
40Δ put47.85%45.46%49.53%
35Δ put47.92%44.76%49.60%
30Δ put49.13%46.10%49.83%
25Δ put51.09%46.69%50.41%
20Δ put52.70%48.17%50.10%
15Δ put——50.57%
10Δ put——52.33%
5Δ put——51.98%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-137$132.8546.74%51.09%47.07%+4.02+2.3316
2026-11-2014$133.0045.73%46.69%44.76%+1.93+0.0018
2026-12-1842$133.3749.78%50.41%47.93%+2.47-0.6114
2027-01-1570$133.3944.33%44.24%45.55%-1.31+0.5714
2027-02-19105$134.7042.63%43.86%40.06%+3.80-0.6715
2027-06-17223$136.5442.58%44.21%42.93%+1.28+1.0026
2027-09-17315$137.0844.78%43.86%42.58%+1.28-1.5620

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

7 listed expirations produced a usable reading

42%44%46%48%50%52%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 46.74%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 45.73%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 49.78%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 44.33%2027-02-19 — 105 days — at-the-money IV 42.63%2027-06-17 — 223 days — at-the-money IV 42.58%2027-09-17 — 315 days — at-the-money IV 44.78%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-137 days$132.8546.74%$133.1316
2026-11-2014 days$133.0045.73%$133.5318
2026-12-1842 days$133.3749.78%$135.2814
2027-01-1570 days$133.3944.33%$135.9214
2027-02-19105 days$134.7042.63%$138.2615
2027-06-17223 days$136.5442.58%$144.3126
2027-09-17315 days$137.0844.78%$149.4720

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
49.00%
60 days
45.75%
90 days
43.20%
180 days
42.59%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 323 sessions

0.400.600.801.001.201.401.6030 Aug19 Dec17 Apr7 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-24Before the openAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 6 reports

Landed inside the implied band
5 of 6
83% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
13.9%
Mean move that happened
8.0%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-27Before the open11.3%-3.9%0.35×
2026-05-28Before the open———
2026-03-16Before the open———
2025-12-03Before the open———
2025-09-03Before the open10.6%-8.4%0.79×
2025-06-04Before the open11.7%-8.4%0.72×
2025-03-26Before the open15.7%+3.1%0.20×
2024-12-04Before the open18.5%+1.9%0.10×
2024-09-04Before the open15.8%-22.2%1.41×
2024-06-05Before the open———
2024-03-13Before the open———
2023-11-29Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.