Options Skew Analytics

DLTR options analytics

DLTR · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

DLTR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 34.8%, a move of about ±10.0% over the next month. That is higher than 10% of the 209 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.64 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 17% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-26 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±14.6% and DLTR moved 7.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
34.75%

Prices a move of about ±10.0% over 30 days, or ±2.2% on a typical day.

Higher than 10% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.64

Puts carry 1.64 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 32% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.23

The wings carry 1.23 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.166

90-day volatility is 17% above 30-day.

Higher than 68% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 209 prior sessions (one-year window)

34.8% — 10th percentile
28.8%93.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
10%
IV rank, 1 year
9%
IV percentile, 2 years
10%
IV rank, 2 years
9%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$115.04
30-day implied forward
$116.51
60-day ATM IV
35.88%
90-day ATM IV
40.51%
180-day ATM IV
39.41%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
45,761
Put / call open interest
0.50

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 228 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%30 Aug15 Nov5 Feb28 Apr22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2234.75%+1.641.166$115.04
2026-09-2135.34%+0.371.135$112.33
2026-09-1833.91%+0.921.151$111.96
2026-09-1734.97%+0.451.144$114.40
2026-09-1635.71%+1.851.127$112.40
2026-09-15———$112.79
2026-09-14———$119.17
2026-09-11———$118.17
2026-09-10———$118.66
2026-09-09———$118.39
2026-09-08———$124.04
2026-09-04———$131.42
2026-09-03———$131.04
2026-09-02———$131.91
2026-09-01———$131.71
2026-08-31———$126.59
2026-08-28———$128.26
2026-08-27———$127.00
2026-08-2655.14%+3.900.845$132.18
2026-08-2553.27%+2.670.810$134.48
2026-08-2448.97%+2.110.820$136.75
2026-08-2152.74%+5.050.820$131.48
2026-08-2049.88%+2.220.880$128.45
2025-06-3030.54%+3.281.218$99.04
2025-06-2729.76%+3.851.246$98.70
2025-06-2628.76%+1.681.286$99.44
2025-06-2529.77%+1.811.283$99.45
2025-06-2430.37%+2.821.260$98.68
2025-06-2330.87%+3.851.235$100.51
2025-06-2031.61%+3.471.243$98.71
2025-06-1829.08%+6.141.317$97.53
2025-06-1731.11%+3.171.263$98.35
2025-06-1629.89%+3.741.273$99.00
2025-06-1331.44%+1.671.169$95.19
2025-06-1229.42%+3.631.264$96.09
2025-06-1130.08%+4.661.247$94.21
2025-06-1030.21%+1.221.254$93.12
2025-06-0940.60%+2.390.937$93.85
2025-06-0632.33%+2.021.166$94.50
2025-06-0534.05%+2.951.137$96.67
2025-06-0434.06%+1.881.155$88.62
2025-06-0351.93%+3.360.860$96.72
2025-06-0253.27%+3.310.845$91.24
2025-05-3049.84%+4.400.926$90.26
2025-05-2951.77%+3.690.860$90.58
2025-05-2852.93%+3.400.821$89.34
2025-05-2752.98%+3.720.830$90.36
2025-05-2353.31%+4.860.819$88.17
2025-05-2252.70%+4.420.819$89.97
2025-05-2152.90%+4.810.821$88.92
2025-05-20———$90.62
2025-05-1953.34%+3.940.803$86.61
2025-05-1653.81%+4.570.767$86.51
2025-05-1553.26%+4.890.799$86.58
2025-05-1448.73%+4.880.853$86.06
2025-05-1349.03%+4.860.846$85.71
2025-05-1246.69%+5.880.895$89.00
2025-05-0950.57%-0.130.876$85.47
2025-05-0848.85%+7.330.904$85.38
2025-05-0749.79%+5.020.907$84.44
2025-05-0649.55%+5.720.923$83.79
2025-05-0549.88%+4.900.935$83.95
2025-05-0247.85%+6.020.937$84.29
2025-05-0148.25%+5.480.959$81.27
2025-04-3048.12%+5.690.988$81.77
2025-04-2948.43%+5.010.944$80.89
2025-04-2847.43%+8.740.978$80.17
2025-04-2543.85%+2.971.040$80.57
2025-04-2445.36%+4.321.032$81.23
2025-04-2348.14%+8.180.996$83.43
2025-04-2247.12%+6.841.043$82.16
2025-04-2150.14%+9.631.015$79.65
2025-04-1748.09%+7.411.037$79.14
2025-04-1648.77%+8.061.034$73.21
2025-04-1547.32%+8.541.052$71.80
2025-04-1450.39%+8.781.013$73.71
2025-04-1155.19%+8.350.976$72.11
2025-04-1058.40%+11.510.953$71.74
2025-04-09———$72.57
2025-04-08———$69.70
2025-04-0765.64%+7.120.898$72.84
2025-04-04———$67.55
2025-04-03———$67.22
2025-04-0241.52%+4.031.139$77.57
2025-04-0141.87%+3.501.120$75.34
2025-03-3142.53%+3.901.134$75.07
2025-03-2843.59%+2.011.102$72.75
2025-03-2742.67%+3.081.112$76.95
2025-03-2643.38%+3.541.085$69.21
2025-03-2573.89%-2.110.811$67.14
2025-03-2470.17%+5.830.814$69.74
2025-03-2169.52%+7.150.866$66.75
2025-03-2070.00%+4.760.838$64.59
2025-03-1972.38%+5.000.827$64.30
2025-03-1874.02%+4.450.823$64.98
2025-03-1774.48%+4.540.810$65.79
2025-03-1473.56%+4.140.808$64.56
2025-03-1377.27%+4.480.783$66.00
2025-03-1278.92%+1.840.786$61.92
2025-03-1176.62%+3.680.785$65.69
2025-03-1076.68%+3.580.775$67.44
2025-03-0771.53%+1.960.785$68.99
2025-03-0672.55%+1.570.792$69.10
2025-03-0578.54%+1.610.748$70.16
2025-03-0473.25%+1.150.788$66.68
2025-03-0372.58%+6.140.812$68.77
2025-02-2867.90%+1.710.798$72.86
2025-02-2769.42%+0.590.792$73.16
2025-02-2668.06%+1.050.805$74.14
2025-02-2568.62%+1.770.799$76.22
2025-02-2468.37%+1.410.804$75.31
2025-02-2166.53%+3.950.834$74.96
2025-02-2065.40%+1.760.816$76.29
2025-02-1965.04%+2.370.813$75.62
2025-02-1866.40%+2.050.791$74.52
2025-02-1460.45%+2.140.848$71.56
2025-02-1359.94%+2.210.863$72.01
2025-02-1258.89%+1.380.876$71.74
2025-02-1158.20%+1.650.886$72.24
2025-02-1061.42%+0.510.838$73.86

The chart covers every session in the archive, 228 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 228 sessions

-10.0-5.00.05.010.015.030 Aug15 Nov5 Feb28 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

34%36%38%40%42%44%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 43.33%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 42.55%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 42.01%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 41.98%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.00%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 41.35%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 40.98%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 41.67%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.73%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 40.70%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 40.56%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 40.92%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 41.87%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 42.85%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 36.45%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 36.17%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 37.17%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 37.12%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 37.03%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 36.31%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 36.82%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.73%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.76%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.79%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.57%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 36.45%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.89%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 36.59%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 36.65%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 36.16%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 36.30%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 36.19%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 35.96%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 36.08%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.44%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.45%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.42%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.16%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 35.82%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.63%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
20Δ call43.33%36.45%36.59%
25Δ call42.55%36.17%36.65%
30Δ call42.01%37.17%36.16%
35Δ call41.98%37.12%36.30%
40Δ call42.00%37.03%36.19%
45Δ call41.35%36.31%35.96%
ATM40.98%36.82%36.08%
45Δ put41.67%36.73%36.44%
40Δ put41.73%36.76%36.45%
35Δ put40.70%36.79%36.42%
30Δ put40.56%36.57%36.16%
25Δ put40.92%36.45%35.82%
20Δ put41.87%36.89%36.63%
15Δ put42.85%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$115.7940.98%40.92%42.55%-1.63+0.7510
2026-10-0210$116.0136.82%36.45%36.17%+0.28-0.5113
2026-10-0917$116.1536.08%35.82%36.65%-0.83+0.1516
2026-10-1624$116.4034.60%36.19%35.03%+1.16+1.0118
2026-10-2331$116.5334.77%36.88%35.18%+1.70+1.2614
2026-10-3038$116.6334.29%36.53%35.41%+1.12+1.6814
2026-11-2059$116.6635.60%36.48%34.92%+1.57+0.108
2026-12-1887$117.3540.75%42.00%38.91%+3.08-0.3015
2027-01-15115$118.0238.97%40.88%37.25%+3.63+0.0917
2027-02-19150$118.0438.58%39.90%37.31%+2.59+0.0214
2027-03-19178$118.5239.37%40.45%38.52%+1.93+0.1218
2027-06-17268$119.6940.68%43.07%39.15%+3.92+0.4322
2027-09-17360$120.9741.68%42.30%39.69%+2.62-0.6820

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

32%34%36%38%40%42%44%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 40.98%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 36.82%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 36.08%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 34.60%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 34.77%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 34.29%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 35.60%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 40.75%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 38.97%2027-02-19 — 150 days — at-the-money IV 38.58%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 39.37%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 40.68%2027-09-17 — 360 days — at-the-money IV 41.68%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$115.7940.98%$115.8710
2026-10-0210 days$116.0136.82%$116.2213
2026-10-0917 days$116.1536.08%$116.5016
2026-10-1624 days$116.4034.60%$116.8618
2026-10-2331 days$116.5334.77%$117.1314
2026-10-3038 days$116.6334.29%$117.3514
2026-11-2059 days$116.6635.60%$117.868
2026-12-1887 days$117.3540.75%$119.6915
2027-01-15115 days$118.0238.97%$120.8817
2027-02-19150 days$118.0438.58%$121.7114
2027-03-19178 days$118.5239.37%$123.0818
2027-06-17268 days$119.6940.68%$127.1922
2027-09-17360 days$120.9741.68%$131.7920

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
34.75%
60 days
35.88%
90 days
40.51%
180 days
39.41%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 228 sessions

0.400.600.801.001.201.401.6030 Aug15 Nov5 Feb28 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-26Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 5
80% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
14.6%
Mean move that happened
7.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-27Before the open11.3%-3.9%0.35×
2026-05-28Before the open———
2026-03-16Before the open———
2025-12-03Before the open———
2025-09-03Before the open———
2025-06-04Before the open11.7%-8.4%0.72×
2025-03-26Before the open15.7%+3.1%0.20×
2024-12-04Before the open18.5%+1.9%0.10×
2024-09-04Before the open15.8%-22.2%1.41×
2024-06-05Before the open———
2024-03-13Before the open———
2023-11-29Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.