Options Skew Analytics

EBAY options analytics

EBAY · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

EBAY options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 31.6%, a move of about ±9.1% over the next month. That is higher than 60% of the 215 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 3.02 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-21 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 7 reports the options market priced an average move of ±6.9% and EBAY moved 30.2% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 7.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
31.59%

Prices a move of about ±9.1% over 30 days, or ±2.0% on a typical day.

Higher than 60% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+3.02

Puts carry 3.02 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 79% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.12

The wings carry 0.12 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.992

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Higher than 38% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 215 prior sessions (one-year window)

31.6% — 60th percentile
20.7%48.9%
IV percentile, 1 year
60%
IV rank, 1 year
39%
IV percentile, 2 years
64%
IV rank, 2 years
39%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$121.96
30-day implied forward
$122.22
60-day ATM IV
29.92%
90-day ATM IV
31.33%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
7
Total open interest
58,419
Put / call open interest
0.21

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 323 sessions

10%20%30%40%50%60%30 Aug23 Dec17 Apr12 Aug6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0631.59%+3.020.992$121.96
2026-11-0531.64%+2.271.003$123.35
2026-11-0431.65%+3.050.975$125.15
2026-11-0330.74%+2.321.018$118.62
2026-11-0233.11%+2.870.941$120.93
2026-10-3031.96%+1.070.969$121.64
2026-10-2929.42%+3.581.019$121.19
2026-10-2843.66%+3.370.810$118.02
2026-10-2743.01%+2.810.805$117.83
2026-10-2641.88%+1.300.804$118.62
2026-10-2340.49%+4.230.828$121.41
2026-10-2240.42%+3.850.817$122.04
2026-10-2141.03%+2.480.808$122.90
2026-10-2041.46%+1.070.781$121.19
2026-10-1940.33%+2.830.814$120.47
2026-10-1640.72%+3.390.805$120.28
2026-10-1542.95%+1.340.788$122.91
2026-10-1441.37%+1.880.810$116.88
2026-10-1342.07%+3.010.794$116.41
2026-10-0940.61%+3.520.843$112.19
2026-10-0840.98%+2.980.843$111.98
2026-10-0741.84%+2.740.826$107.60
2026-10-0637.51%+0.230.918$107.06
2026-10-0541.68%+2.280.831$107.14
2026-10-0235.36%+2.630.985$106.40
2026-10-0135.11%+2.301.016$105.89
2026-09-3036.15%+1.810.981$106.05
2026-09-2938.82%+2.200.927$105.21
2026-09-2836.54%+1.630.983$107.32
2026-09-2534.43%+2.441.035$107.90
2026-09-2435.43%+1.411.027$107.83
2026-09-2334.91%+0.841.032$109.09
2026-09-2233.43%+2.261.038$109.28
2026-09-2133.68%+1.731.038$108.30
2026-09-1831.14%+1.761.137$111.84
2026-09-1729.88%+2.261.144$112.90
2026-09-1636.81%+3.400.979$109.17
2026-09-15———$108.03
2026-09-14———$108.99
2026-09-11———$107.75
2026-09-10———$105.03
2026-09-09———$103.51
2026-09-08———$104.59
2026-09-04———$103.41
2026-09-03———$105.86
2026-09-02———$106.70
2026-09-01———$104.98
2026-08-31———$103.56
2026-08-28———$105.62
2026-08-27———$102.27
2026-08-26———$104.20
2026-08-25———$106.00
2026-08-24———$107.08
2026-08-21———$104.13
2026-08-20———$104.61
2025-09-2933.87%-0.401.028$91.17
2025-09-2629.70%+0.981.156$91.14
2025-09-2530.85%+2.091.145$93.11
2025-09-2429.12%+1.891.202$93.36
2025-09-2331.75%+1.961.088$91.06
2025-09-2230.90%+2.021.109$90.59
2025-09-1928.12%+2.271.171$91.11
2025-09-1828.20%+2.411.165$89.60
2025-09-1726.76%+2.771.218$89.96
2025-09-1627.64%+2.091.194$88.85
2025-09-1527.77%+2.461.188$90.36
2025-09-1225.41%+2.411.254$90.80
2025-09-1126.61%+2.501.200$92.46
2025-09-1027.00%+2.951.192$91.29
2025-09-0926.47%+2.631.201$92.46
2025-09-0825.55%+2.821.254$93.02
2025-09-0525.89%+2.461.225$92.66
2025-09-0425.10%+1.981.249$93.03
2025-09-0325.87%+2.851.225$90.16
2025-09-0227.23%+3.971.178$89.89
2025-08-2924.72%+5.011.285$90.61
2025-08-2824.81%+3.591.245$92.80
2025-08-2725.41%+3.391.199$93.67
2025-08-2624.89%+2.661.231$94.64
2025-08-2523.52%+1.001.272$98.55
2025-08-2220.73%+1.131.405$99.22
2025-08-2124.30%+1.471.236$98.86
2025-08-2024.57%+1.391.226$99.15
2025-08-1924.24%+1.541.261$99.89
2025-08-1823.96%+0.981.225$99.03
2025-08-1523.52%+2.431.272$100.70
2025-08-1423.95%+0.561.209$98.48
2025-08-1324.84%+1.051.170$100.77
2025-08-1222.62%+1.931.242$97.06
2025-08-1121.04%-0.831.283$95.30
2025-08-0820.73%+0.821.220$93.14
2025-08-0721.44%+1.621.183$93.02
2025-08-0622.07%+1.421.179$92.54
2025-08-0521.14%+3.371.224$91.28
2025-08-0423.06%+1.801.118$92.86
2025-08-0124.07%+2.081.072$91.74
2025-07-3128.61%+0.730.980$91.75
2025-07-3035.52%+3.620.808$77.56
2025-07-2934.40%+2.210.877$78.50
2025-07-2834.77%+2.580.842$79.00
2025-07-2535.64%-1.780.821$81.43
2025-07-2443.74%+0.740.697$82.45
2025-07-2334.81%+1.430.825$81.93
2025-07-2234.77%+2.500.815$81.76
2025-07-2134.09%+3.670.823$79.03
2025-07-1834.79%+2.830.805$78.14
2025-07-1735.07%-0.220.798$76.79
2025-07-1635.12%+1.060.815$76.92
2025-07-15———$77.22
2025-07-14———$77.63
2025-07-1132.27%+1.530.879$77.11
2025-07-10———$77.22
2025-07-09———$76.32
2025-07-0831.84%+1.130.792$75.33
2025-07-0730.77%+2.640.908$75.91
2025-07-0329.64%+1.890.947$76.36
2025-07-0228.65%+2.040.957$75.78
2025-07-0128.51%+2.570.962$76.10
2025-06-3027.07%+2.590.992$74.46
2025-06-2724.51%+2.681.037$73.76

The chart covers every session in the archive, 323 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 323 sessions

-10.0-5.00.05.010.030 Aug23 Dec17 Apr12 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

7d (2026-11-13) · 14d (2026-11-20) · 21d (2026-11-27)

28%30%32%34%36%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 31.75%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 30.30%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 31.51%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 31.63%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 31.73%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 32.08%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 32.69%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 32.65%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 32.21%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 32.77%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 32.90%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 33.12%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ P — IV 33.59%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ P — IV 34.63%7d2026-11-20 (14d) — 20Δ C — IV 30.74%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ C — IV 31.45%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ C — IV 30.82%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ C — IV 30.69%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ C — IV 30.39%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ C — IV 30.42%2026-11-20 (14d) — ATM — IV 31.18%2026-11-20 (14d) — 45Δ P — IV 31.45%2026-11-20 (14d) — 40Δ P — IV 31.69%2026-11-20 (14d) — 35Δ P — IV 32.07%2026-11-20 (14d) — 30Δ P — IV 33.64%2026-11-20 (14d) — 25Δ P — IV 35.41%14d2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ C — IV 31.66%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ C — IV 30.10%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ C — IV 30.17%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ C — IV 30.52%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ C — IV 30.99%2026-11-27 (21d) — ATM — IV 31.35%2026-11-27 (21d) — 45Δ P — IV 31.89%2026-11-27 (21d) — 40Δ P — IV 31.90%2026-11-27 (21d) — 35Δ P — IV 32.14%2026-11-27 (21d) — 30Δ P — IV 32.91%2026-11-27 (21d) — 25Δ P — IV 33.23%2026-11-27 (21d) — 20Δ P — IV 33.89%21d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta7d14d21d
20Δ call31.75%30.74%—
25Δ call30.30%31.45%31.66%
30Δ call31.51%30.82%30.10%
35Δ call31.63%30.69%30.17%
40Δ call31.73%30.39%30.52%
45Δ call32.08%30.42%30.99%
ATM32.69%31.18%31.35%
45Δ put32.65%31.45%31.89%
40Δ put32.21%31.69%31.90%
35Δ put32.77%32.07%32.14%
30Δ put32.90%33.64%32.91%
25Δ put33.12%35.41%33.23%
20Δ put33.59%—33.89%
15Δ put34.63%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-137$122.2032.69%33.12%30.30%+2.83-0.9814
2026-11-2014$122.4131.18%35.41%31.45%+3.97+2.2514
2026-11-2721$122.4031.35%33.23%31.66%+1.57+1.0915
2026-12-0428$122.2031.92%33.13%29.92%+3.21-0.3915
2026-12-1842$122.3630.24%32.38%30.12%+2.27+1.017
2027-01-1570$122.8629.82%31.28%28.73%+2.55+0.199
2027-03-19133$123.4832.96%34.44%31.35%+3.09-0.0611

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

7 listed expirations produced a usable reading

29%30%31%32%33%34%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 32.69%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 31.18%2026-11-27 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 31.35%2026-12-04 — 28 days — at-the-money IV 31.92%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 30.24%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 29.82%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 32.96%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-137 days$122.2032.69%$122.3314
2026-11-2014 days$122.4131.18%$122.6414
2026-11-2721 days$122.4031.35%$122.7515
2026-12-0428 days$122.2031.92%$122.6815
2026-12-1842 days$122.3630.24%$123.017
2027-01-1570 days$122.8629.82%$123.919
2027-03-19133 days$123.4832.96%$125.9511

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
31.59%
60 days
29.92%
90 days
31.33%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 323 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6030 Aug23 Dec17 Apr12 Aug6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-21Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 7 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 7
43% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
6.9%
Mean move that happened
30.2%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-04Time not stated2.9%-1.4%0.50×
2026-10-28After the close9.4%+2.7%0.29×
2026-10-22Before the open2.9%-0.5%0.18×
2026-08-05After the close———
2026-04-29After the close———
2026-02-18After the close———
2025-10-29After the close———
2025-07-30After the close7.7%+34.9%4.56×
2025-04-30After the close8.4%+53.5%6.38×
2025-02-26After the close8.6%+51.3%5.95×
2024-10-30After the close8.2%+67.0%8.18×
2024-07-31After the close———
2024-05-01After the close———
2024-02-27After the close———
2024-01-24After the close———
2023-11-07After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.