Options Skew Analytics

FSLR options analytics

FSLR · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

FSLR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 49.9%, a move of about ±14.3% over the next month. That is higher than 27% of the 225 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.53 volatility points more than the puts, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 8% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.4% and FSLR moved 34.8% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
49.87%

Prices a move of about ±14.3% over 30 days, or ±3.1% on a typical day.

Higher than 27% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.53

Calls carry 1.53 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 13% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-1.02

The wings carry 1.02 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.082

90-day volatility is 8% above 30-day.

Higher than 73% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 225 prior sessions (one-year window)

49.9% — 27th percentile
43.6%88.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
27%
IV rank, 1 year
14%
IV percentile, 2 years
27%
IV rank, 2 years
14%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$200.78
30-day implied forward
$201.09
60-day ATM IV
55.79%
90-day ATM IV
53.94%
180-day ATM IV
53.26%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
321,041
Put / call open interest
1.06

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 226 sessions

40%60%80%100%3 Sep22 Nov19 Feb9 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2249.87%-1.531.082$200.78
2026-09-2149.74%-1.531.092$199.84
2026-09-1847.68%-0.921.142$195.96
2026-09-1748.96%-0.601.138$201.16
2026-09-1648.69%-0.191.111$191.07
2026-09-1548.75%+1.411.110$202.34
2026-09-1448.66%+0.251.127$207.04
2026-09-1148.61%+0.821.139$209.03
2026-09-1049.68%-1.481.112$207.17
2026-09-0950.92%-4.171.095$203.10
2026-09-0850.12%-1.811.113$213.25
2026-09-0447.11%-1.101.148$204.45
2026-09-0347.29%-0.091.125$207.42
2026-09-0247.18%+0.411.147$202.60
2026-09-0147.90%-2.371.129$199.65
2026-08-3147.27%-0.431.175$201.90
2026-08-2847.13%+2.771.154$204.46
2026-08-2747.48%-1.771.194$210.10
2026-08-2649.36%-0.711.147$205.93
2026-08-2550.61%-2.981.114$206.82
2026-08-2449.31%-1.701.113$208.31
2026-08-2148.20%-1.181.180$214.28
2025-06-3066.39%-2.090.861$165.54
2025-06-2775.22%-0.100.812$152.14
2025-06-2673.97%-0.240.841$155.63
2025-06-2571.70%+7.430.859$152.70
2025-06-2470.70%+5.120.864$151.18
2025-06-2368.87%+1.960.879$144.67
2025-06-2067.61%+0.500.909$145.00
2025-06-1865.21%+2.210.951$143.67
2025-06-1767.01%+3.310.933$143.90
2025-06-1666.39%-0.250.915$175.25
2025-06-1366.29%+3.000.920$175.20
2025-06-1262.79%+0.450.965$167.83
2025-06-1163.33%+0.790.954$167.86
2025-06-1066.34%-2.270.928$164.62
2025-06-0966.03%-2.640.930$160.16
2025-06-0663.17%+0.960.972$166.35
2025-06-0567.88%-3.920.934$163.84
2025-06-0464.63%-0.230.956$159.81
2025-06-0364.47%+0.280.972$159.37
2025-06-0257.94%-1.461.008$149.65
2025-05-3057.97%-0.771.006$158.08
2025-05-2956.24%+0.441.021$155.95
2025-05-2858.67%-3.831.009$156.45
2025-05-2758.63%-0.431.003$155.73
2025-05-2359.96%+0.161.006$158.38
2025-05-2259.69%+1.581.006$156.35
2025-05-2164.83%-1.000.961$163.37
2025-05-2068.18%-0.590.939$167.22
2025-05-1968.38%+0.570.934$164.92
2025-05-1660.30%+1.091.010$178.46
2025-05-1562.71%-3.570.945$186.18
2025-05-1462.32%+4.580.959$192.98
2025-05-1365.30%-0.220.901$191.60
2025-05-1258.87%+2.950.967$156.21
2025-05-0962.09%-3.420.977$140.68
2025-05-0857.64%-0.631.020$133.76
2025-05-0757.80%-1.080.985$129.78
2025-05-0656.08%-1.641.011$126.76
2025-05-0555.82%+2.541.003$127.16
2025-05-0250.09%+6.171.069$130.54
2025-05-0153.75%+7.771.024$126.57
2025-04-3055.45%+3.950.996$125.82
2025-04-2965.94%+3.350.845$137.24
2025-04-2862.29%+3.010.914$140.73
2025-04-2561.77%+7.200.907$141.86
2025-04-2465.10%+2.600.874$136.44
2025-04-2366.65%+0.980.878$131.10
2025-04-2272.65%+7.170.873$135.35
2025-04-2172.85%+11.260.861$122.45
2025-04-1769.01%+8.760.897$127.98
2025-04-1672.51%+10.080.856$124.38
2025-04-1568.43%+2.960.856$126.82
2025-04-1469.30%+8.140.853$131.26
2025-04-1173.01%+9.940.844$125.93
2025-04-1076.47%+12.640.811$122.19
2025-04-0965.45%+2.530.852$129.63
2025-04-0888.26%+13.660.788$120.38
2025-04-0778.50%+7.110.817$130.05
2025-04-0477.62%+6.930.819$128.69
2025-04-0367.89%-1.790.867$136.23
2025-04-0263.72%+1.960.896$129.82
2025-04-0158.71%+1.900.990$127.57
2025-03-3158.67%-0.730.989$126.43
2025-03-2858.10%-0.760.985$127.32
2025-03-2754.00%+3.001.011$126.60
2025-03-2651.54%+5.011.056$126.34
2025-03-2553.18%+2.021.021$131.46
2025-03-2452.80%+2.371.007$128.82
2025-03-2152.98%-0.750.991$131.32
2025-03-2053.52%+2.391.048$128.46
2025-03-1956.15%+2.220.990$129.34
2025-03-1857.67%+5.380.963$127.34
2025-03-1757.48%+0.580.990$133.03
2025-03-1457.25%+1.521.008$132.51
2025-03-1362.95%+6.240.964$132.81
2025-03-1262.32%+2.040.966$136.04
2025-03-1165.81%+2.740.907$139.10
2025-03-1067.02%+4.200.921$133.11
2025-03-0760.42%+3.100.984$139.13
2025-03-0662.11%+5.760.976$131.13
2025-03-0563.06%+1.280.969$130.90
2025-03-0461.10%+4.441.003$131.23
2025-03-0364.14%+6.990.943$127.63
2025-02-2859.55%+3.360.992$136.18
2025-02-2758.20%+2.561.007$141.18
2025-02-2653.82%-0.591.029$156.84
2025-02-2568.63%+3.650.878$147.46
2025-02-2465.76%+0.690.899$152.91
2025-02-2161.26%+3.590.951$155.44
2025-02-2059.04%+1.450.968$164.09
2025-02-1959.27%+1.660.962$162.50
2025-02-1859.56%+1.300.976$162.87
2025-02-1457.55%-1.000.987$159.76
2025-02-1358.40%+0.240.991$160.34
2025-02-1258.93%+0.020.958$158.61
2025-02-1159.09%+0.510.959$161.60
2025-02-1057.50%+3.900.986$162.89
2025-02-0759.41%+1.380.943$168.34

The chart covers every session in the archive, 226 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 226 sessions

-10.00.010.020.03 Sep22 Nov19 Feb9 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

46%47%48%49%50%51%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 49.01%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 48.70%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 48.80%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.79%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.50%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.25%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.04%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.06%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 48.20%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.24%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.23%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.20%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.11%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.04%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.47%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 49.14%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 49.95%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ C — IV 46.53%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 47.09%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 46.75%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 46.61%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.94%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 46.72%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 46.94%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 46.68%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 47.28%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.86%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 49.56%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.57%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.26%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 47.11%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 47.51%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 47.90%2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ P — IV 47.33%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 49.40%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.51%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.45%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.60%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.57%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.49%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 48.28%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 47.77%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 47.80%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.27%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.95%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 47.58%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 47.25%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 47.45%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
10Δ call49.01%46.53%—
15Δ call48.70%47.09%—
20Δ call48.80%46.75%49.40%
25Δ call48.79%46.61%48.51%
30Δ call48.50%46.94%48.45%
35Δ call48.25%46.72%48.60%
40Δ call48.04%46.94%48.57%
45Δ call48.06%46.68%48.49%
ATM48.20%47.28%48.28%
45Δ put48.24%48.86%47.77%
40Δ put48.23%49.56%47.80%
35Δ put48.20%48.57%48.27%
30Δ put48.11%48.26%47.95%
25Δ put48.04%47.11%47.58%
20Δ put48.47%47.51%47.25%
15Δ put49.14%47.90%47.45%
10Δ put49.95%47.33%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$200.5548.20%48.04%48.79%-0.75+0.2212
2026-10-0210$200.7347.28%47.11%46.61%+0.49-0.4217
2026-10-0917$200.5848.28%47.58%48.51%-0.94-0.2414
2026-10-1624$201.0048.39%47.98%49.25%-1.27+0.2327
2026-10-2331$201.1050.06%48.10%49.66%-1.56-1.1812
2026-10-3038$201.7854.71%54.34%54.33%+0.01-0.3716
2026-11-2059$201.6655.88%55.41%56.41%-1.00+0.0322
2026-12-1887$202.7054.11%54.20%54.37%-0.17+0.1725
2027-01-15115$202.7952.81%52.36%54.09%-1.73+0.4130
2027-03-19178$204.9053.28%53.09%53.44%-0.35-0.0137
2027-06-17268$207.8152.48%52.51%53.27%-0.76+0.4046

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

46%48%50%52%54%56%58%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 48.20%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 47.28%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 48.28%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 48.39%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 50.06%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 54.71%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 55.88%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 54.11%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 52.81%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 53.28%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 52.48%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$200.5548.20%$200.7412
2026-10-0210 days$200.7347.28%$201.3417
2026-10-0917 days$200.5848.28%$201.6714
2026-10-1624 days$201.0048.39%$202.5627
2026-10-2331 days$201.1050.06%$203.2612
2026-10-3038 days$201.7854.71%$204.9516
2026-11-2059 days$201.6655.88%$206.8122
2026-12-1887 days$202.7054.11%$209.9025
2027-01-15115 days$202.7952.81%$211.9030
2027-03-19178 days$204.9053.28%$219.5937
2027-06-17268 days$207.8152.48%$229.9246

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
49.87%
60 days
55.79%
90 days
53.94%
180 days
53.26%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 226 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep22 Nov19 Feb9 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 4
25% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.4%
Mean move that happened
34.8%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-30After the close———
2026-04-30After the close———
2026-02-24After the close———
2025-10-30After the close———
2025-07-31After the close———
2025-04-29After the close10.7%+56.1%5.25×
2025-02-25After the close11.2%+45.3%4.06×
2025-02-20After the close2.7%+30.6%11.27×
2024-10-29After the close9.2%+7.3%0.79×
2024-07-30After the close———
2024-05-01After the close———
2024-02-27After the close———
2023-10-31After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.