Options Skew Analytics

HPQ options analytics

HPQ · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

HPQ options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 49.3%, a move of about ±14.1% over the next month. That is higher than 95% of the 215 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 2.57 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 98% of the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 9% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-25 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.8% and HPQ moved 12.2% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
49.33%

Prices a move of about ±14.1% over 30 days, or ±3.1% on a typical day.

Higher than 95% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-2.57

Calls carry 2.57 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 2% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.04

The wings carry 1.04 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.095

90-day volatility is 9% above 30-day.

Higher than 66% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 215 prior sessions (one-year window)

49.3% — 95th percentile
23.4%57.5%
IV percentile, 1 year
95%
IV rank, 1 year
76%
IV percentile, 2 years
95%
IV rank, 2 years
76%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$32.04
30-day implied forward
$32.15
60-day ATM IV
50.78%
90-day ATM IV
54.02%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
316,988
Put / call open interest
0.89

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 225 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%70%3 Sep20 Nov13 Feb7 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2249.33%-2.571.095$32.04
2026-09-2149.41%-2.381.091$32.95
2026-09-1848.24%-1.391.114$34.40
2026-09-1749.52%+0.091.095$34.66
2026-09-1649.29%-0.991.094$32.70
2026-09-1550.19%-0.591.043$33.82
2026-09-1449.28%-0.471.090$34.02
2026-09-1153.62%+2.551.029$35.48
2026-09-1047.33%-0.321.138$32.73
2026-09-0948.02%-0.911.073$32.39
2026-09-0847.60%-0.801.076$31.17
2026-09-0444.57%-0.901.134$32.64
2026-09-0345.93%-3.091.056$31.93
2026-09-0247.18%-1.721.067$31.99
2026-09-0148.21%-3.710.995$31.32
2026-08-3141.49%-0.951.095$30.02
2026-08-2844.19%+0.411.058$30.52
2026-08-2746.33%-3.390.974$29.63
2026-08-2656.71%-3.170.876$30.52
2026-08-2557.36%-0.070.908$29.52
2026-08-2457.50%-2.350.862$28.58
2025-06-3028.78%+3.961.223$24.46
2025-06-2730.03%+4.711.161$24.77
2025-06-2628.47%+4.411.234$24.71
2025-06-2528.57%+4.031.231$24.53
2025-06-2428.80%+4.341.222$24.54
2025-06-2330.85%+6.831.162$23.91
2025-06-20———$24.11
2025-06-1830.00%+5.391.221$24.18
2025-06-1732.02%+4.641.142$24.29
2025-06-1630.22%+4.141.189$24.52
2025-06-13———$23.84
2025-06-1229.89%+3.811.166$24.74
2025-06-1130.68%+6.081.131$24.82
2025-06-1030.85%-1.861.104$25.56
2025-06-0929.50%+5.281.181$25.12
2025-06-0629.62%+3.981.140$25.18
2025-06-0531.54%+4.501.133$24.70
2025-06-0430.16%+2.301.124$25.18
2025-06-0330.64%+3.351.095$25.38
2025-06-0231.94%+3.531.062$24.91
2025-05-3032.25%+4.681.056$24.90
2025-05-2934.78%+4.341.004$24.95
2025-05-28———$27.20
2025-05-2741.52%+8.470.922$28.34
2025-05-2344.84%+6.250.885$27.98
2025-05-2242.57%+7.530.889$28.50
2025-05-2142.29%+4.490.854$28.61
2025-05-2042.01%+6.600.818$28.98
2025-05-1941.51%+5.710.800$29.10
2025-05-1641.52%+6.460.823$29.32
2025-05-1540.60%+7.040.834$28.78
2025-05-1441.75%+5.400.823$28.65
2025-05-1342.28%+4.530.823$28.78
2025-05-1241.18%+7.700.887$28.26
2025-05-0941.07%+9.620.900$26.46
2025-05-0845.70%+4.730.807$26.33
2025-05-0747.25%+6.150.788$25.85
2025-05-0647.78%+4.800.808$25.63
2025-05-0543.49%+9.230.873$25.90
2025-05-0243.84%+8.380.852$25.95
2025-05-0144.85%+3.170.864$25.39
2025-04-3039.93%+7.330.931$25.57
2025-04-2938.71%+9.200.977$25.52
2025-04-2840.62%+6.730.964$25.39
2025-04-2536.59%+6.081.056$25.28
2025-04-2440.05%+6.900.952$25.33
2025-04-2338.31%+8.301.044$24.63
2025-04-2241.46%+8.981.023$24.18
2025-04-2141.65%+7.151.086$23.75
2025-04-1739.98%+8.421.035$23.83
2025-04-1645.27%+4.780.967$23.47
2025-04-1539.72%+8.481.084$23.74
2025-04-1442.28%+12.591.000$24.04
2025-04-1148.43%+16.270.984$23.44
2025-04-10———$22.87
2025-04-09———$24.28
2025-04-08———$21.88
2025-04-0757.51%+12.010.874$23.38
2025-04-0456.33%+15.690.903$22.61
2025-04-0346.27%+9.360.984$23.78
2025-04-0228.36%+3.251.057$27.88
2025-04-0127.45%+5.261.160$27.79
2025-03-3125.90%+4.321.218$27.69
2025-03-2827.57%+4.121.108$27.90
2025-03-2725.61%+4.561.070$28.65
2025-03-2626.38%+2.291.150$28.71
2025-03-2525.37%+2.841.163$28.81
2025-03-2425.10%+1.671.137$29.00
2025-03-2126.46%+4.961.088$28.68
2025-03-2027.97%+2.511.117$28.51
2025-03-1927.50%+4.301.029$28.76
2025-03-1829.77%+3.581.095$28.70
2025-03-1729.98%+2.900.963$28.91
2025-03-1431.47%+5.181.024$28.41
2025-03-1332.95%+5.121.006$27.91
2025-03-1232.09%+5.860.980$28.47
2025-03-1132.72%+6.900.960$28.62
2025-03-1031.90%+0.341.077$29.98
2025-03-0728.98%+4.761.071$30.54
2025-03-0631.29%+2.301.042$29.97
2025-03-0531.54%+0.62—$29.52
2025-03-04———$29.29
2025-03-0328.82%+5.370.984$30.04
2025-02-2827.17%+4.351.002$30.87
2025-02-2740.41%+1.860.843$33.13
2025-02-2641.54%+4.480.780$33.83
2025-02-2540.74%+2.570.827$34.10
2025-02-2442.50%+6.740.753$34.67
2025-02-2137.65%+4.120.868$34.63
2025-02-2039.01%+3.090.804$34.72
2025-02-1937.55%-1.100.815$34.68
2025-02-1838.47%+2.350.751$34.20
2025-02-1439.17%+2.830.761$33.64
2025-02-1338.97%+2.920.780$33.30
2025-02-1238.87%+6.430.818$33.04
2025-02-1141.28%+2.060.770$33.15
2025-02-1035.39%+1.600.910$32.82
2025-02-0739.92%+3.160.735$32.27
2025-02-0636.72%+4.190.875$32.60

The chart covers every session in the archive, 225 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 225 sessions

-10.00.010.020.03 Sep20 Nov13 Feb7 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

45%50%55%60%65%70%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ C — IV 65.61%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 62.13%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 60.43%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 59.43%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 58.66%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 58.14%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 57.86%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 57.57%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 57.04%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 56.63%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 56.68%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 56.87%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 56.79%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 55.65%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 54.81%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 56.18%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 57.86%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 59.43%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 62.47%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 5Δ C — IV 55.26%2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ C — IV 55.11%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 52.56%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 51.08%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 51.07%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.49%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 50.46%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 50.17%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 49.58%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 49.82%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.48%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.78%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.73%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.74%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.82%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.94%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.34%2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ P — IV 50.88%2026-10-02 (10d) — 5Δ P — IV 53.50%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ C — IV 52.77%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 51.36%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 50.79%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.26%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 50.07%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 49.95%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 49.96%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 50.03%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.92%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 49.73%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 50.18%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 50.16%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.52%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.89%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
5Δ call65.61%55.26%—
10Δ call62.13%55.11%—
15Δ call60.43%52.56%52.77%
20Δ call59.43%51.08%51.36%
25Δ call58.66%51.07%50.79%
30Δ call58.14%50.49%50.26%
35Δ call57.86%50.46%50.07%
40Δ call57.57%50.17%49.95%
45Δ call57.04%49.58%49.96%
ATM56.63%49.82%50.03%
45Δ put56.68%49.48%49.92%
40Δ put56.87%48.78%49.73%
35Δ put56.79%48.73%50.18%
30Δ put55.65%48.74%50.16%
25Δ put54.81%48.82%48.52%
20Δ put56.18%48.94%50.89%
15Δ put57.86%50.34%—
10Δ put59.43%50.88%—
5Δ put62.47%53.50%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$32.0156.63%54.81%58.66%-3.85+0.1014
2026-10-0210$32.0249.82%48.82%51.07%-2.25+0.1220
2026-10-0917$32.0550.03%48.52%50.79%-2.27-0.3816
2026-10-1624$32.0949.79%49.16%50.28%-1.12-0.0728
2026-10-2331$32.1649.27%49.07%51.83%-2.76+1.1820
2026-10-3038$32.2149.12%50.16%51.39%-1.23+1.6621
2026-11-2059$32.1650.58%50.35%51.09%-0.74+0.1515
2026-12-1887$32.0554.43%52.81%54.82%-2.01-0.6217
2027-01-15115$32.2851.32%53.69%52.26%+1.43+1.6520
2027-02-19150$32.2851.47%52.82%52.90%-0.08+1.3919
2027-03-19178$32.2653.20%53.62%53.76%-0.14+0.5018

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

48%50%52%54%56%58%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 56.63%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 49.82%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 50.03%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 49.79%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 49.27%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 49.12%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 50.58%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 54.43%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 51.32%2027-02-19 — 150 days — at-the-money IV 51.47%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 53.20%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$32.0156.63%$32.0514
2026-10-0210 days$32.0249.82%$32.1220
2026-10-0917 days$32.0550.03%$32.2316
2026-10-1624 days$32.0949.79%$32.3528
2026-10-2331 days$32.1649.27%$32.4920
2026-10-3038 days$32.2149.12%$32.6121
2026-11-2059 days$32.1650.58%$32.8315
2026-12-1887 days$32.0554.43%$33.2017
2027-01-15115 days$32.2851.32%$33.6520
2027-02-19150 days$32.2851.47%$34.0919
2027-03-19178 days$32.2653.20%$34.5618

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
49.33%
60 days
50.78%
90 days
54.02%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 225 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep20 Nov12 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-25Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 4
50% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.8%
Mean move that happened
12.2%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-26After the close11.4%-2.9%0.26×
2026-05-27After the close———
2026-02-24After the close———
2026-02-03After the close———
2025-11-25After the close———
2025-08-27After the close———
2025-05-28After the close7.3%+5.1%0.69×
2025-02-27After the close8.1%-13.7%1.69×
2024-11-26After the close8.3%-26.9%3.25×
2024-08-28After the close———
2024-05-29After the close———
2024-02-28After the close———
2023-11-21After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.