Options Skew Analytics

ILMN options analytics

ILMN · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

ILMN options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 53.8%, a move of about ±15.4% over the next month. That is higher than 87% of the 184 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.80 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 99% of the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.9% and ILMN moved 78.3% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
53.79%

Prices a move of about ±15.4% over 30 days, or ±3.4% on a typical day.

Higher than 87% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.80

Calls carry 0.80 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Lower than almost every reading of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.53

The wings carry 0.53 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.039

90-day volatility is 4% above 30-day.

Higher than 60% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 184 prior sessions (one-year window)

53.8% — 87th percentile
34.1%87.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
87%
IV rank, 1 year
37%
IV percentile, 2 years
87%
IV rank, 2 years
37%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$247.46
30-day implied forward
$247.68
60-day ATM IV
56.92%
90-day ATM IV
55.88%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
4
Total open interest
13,551
Put / call open interest
0.23

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 225 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%3 Sep18 Nov29 Jan7 Apr22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2253.79%-0.801.039$247.46
2026-09-2152.19%+0.361.061$238.82
2026-09-1851.96%-1.201.071$239.62
2026-09-1751.78%+0.941.077$245.18
2026-09-1649.88%+2.161.074$228.93
2026-09-15———$222.29
2026-09-14———$208.21
2026-09-11———$206.45
2026-09-10———$201.27
2026-09-09———$205.00
2026-09-08———$211.06
2026-09-04———$218.22
2026-09-03———$221.66
2026-09-02———$213.25
2026-09-01———$207.13
2026-08-31———$213.63
2026-08-28———$215.59
2026-08-27———$227.69
2026-08-26———$224.84
2026-08-25———$224.99
2026-08-24———$223.22
2025-06-30———$95.41
2025-06-27———$94.79
2025-06-2640.56%+0.551.079$94.16
2025-06-25———$93.23
2025-06-2440.10%+3.331.162$91.52
2025-06-2343.10%+5.141.054$90.61
2025-06-2041.79%+4.071.108$90.49
2025-06-18———$90.26
2025-06-1743.03%+4.651.085$89.47
2025-06-16———$90.25
2025-06-13———$86.93
2025-06-1242.86%-0.311.082$88.13
2025-06-1142.14%+3.251.104$87.54
2025-06-1041.85%+3.981.113$87.98
2025-06-0942.50%+3.571.098$84.98
2025-06-0642.50%+4.691.124$82.66
2025-06-05———$82.25
2025-06-0444.53%+2.521.071$83.16
2025-06-0346.21%+2.151.037$81.83
2025-06-0244.38%+2.431.064$81.09
2025-05-30———$82.24
2025-05-2943.08%+3.201.079$84.28
2025-05-2845.58%+3.331.039$84.43
2025-05-2744.32%+1.451.068$82.49
2025-05-2344.83%+3.791.063$80.37
2025-05-2244.69%+2.901.052$80.54
2025-05-2145.54%+2.171.055$79.37
2025-05-2045.25%+2.631.046$84.21
2025-05-1946.47%+3.551.070$82.95
2025-05-1645.97%+2.681.037$83.62
2025-05-1546.34%+3.301.017$80.90
2025-05-1447.04%+3.851.033$78.21
2025-05-13———$80.30
2025-05-1245.30%+7.021.048$81.57
2025-05-0948.89%+3.531.013$75.76
2025-05-0864.16%+7.740.891$79.58
2025-05-07———$76.35
2025-05-06———$74.53
2025-05-0560.20%+6.380.934$78.17
2025-05-0259.12%+10.430.952$77.88
2025-05-0163.32%+8.590.898$76.51
2025-04-3059.48%+4.900.973$77.60
2025-04-2963.59%+4.030.891$77.10
2025-04-2857.72%+5.940.982$77.22
2025-04-2559.09%+5.730.945$77.35
2025-04-2459.67%+12.300.912$77.61
2025-04-2360.03%+8.150.892$76.25
2025-04-2264.18%+10.080.933$74.35
2025-04-2168.23%+8.980.904$72.00
2025-04-1761.66%+11.620.955$71.20
2025-04-16———$73.53
2025-04-15———$74.59
2025-04-14———$75.06
2025-04-1168.08%+19.360.914$74.78
2025-04-10———$71.26
2025-04-09———$76.30
2025-04-0879.17%+16.830.817$70.30
2025-04-0787.29%+12.400.763$73.45
2025-04-04———$74.16
2025-04-0361.00%+7.700.911$76.42
2025-04-0250.31%+5.600.996$81.88
2025-04-0150.34%+5.941.011$78.39
2025-03-3151.67%+4.520.968$79.34
2025-03-2843.60%+8.211.101$80.00
2025-03-2742.30%+3.461.114$82.28
2025-03-2642.45%+3.901.110$82.83
2025-03-2539.77%+2.821.134$87.53
2025-03-2441.76%+4.611.064$88.02
2025-03-2147.40%+6.210.996$87.66
2025-03-2044.99%+3.501.064$84.79
2025-03-1945.25%+2.981.046$84.96
2025-03-1846.12%+7.271.079$85.16
2025-03-1750.20%+5.521.029$85.68
2025-03-1448.54%+4.311.049$85.60
2025-03-1352.36%+1.291.011$84.05
2025-03-1252.86%+5.231.013$84.20
2025-03-1155.20%+2.711.069$84.52
2025-03-1057.75%+4.390.962$85.97
2025-03-0751.49%+8.001.003$86.62
2025-03-0651.36%+7.531.023$84.65
2025-03-0549.55%+5.551.035$85.69
2025-03-0451.14%+4.391.017$84.89
2025-03-0354.68%+5.980.961$84.20
2025-02-2851.42%+2.370.964$88.74
2025-02-2750.06%+3.271.002$88.97
2025-02-2649.07%+1.610.975$94.05
2025-02-2551.24%+4.780.907$95.76
2025-02-2446.63%+4.050.960$93.96
2025-02-2145.22%+4.911.008$94.20
2025-02-2042.21%+3.841.038$97.20
2025-02-1945.32%+5.530.982$103.00
2025-02-1847.69%+4.100.952$101.09
2025-02-1447.00%+1.530.927$100.24
2025-02-1348.20%+4.270.921$101.78
2025-02-1246.30%+2.300.912$103.57
2025-02-1145.86%+0.780.945$100.68
2025-02-1046.93%+1.530.965$104.99
2025-02-07———$111.06
2025-02-0653.08%+0.520.843$122.80

The chart covers every session in the archive, 225 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 225 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.03 Sep18 Nov29 Jan7 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

24d (2026-10-16) · 59d (2026-11-20) · 87d (2026-12-18)

48%50%52%54%56%58%60%2026-10-16 (24d) — 15Δ C — IV 51.00%2026-10-16 (24d) — 20Δ C — IV 51.17%2026-10-16 (24d) — 25Δ C — IV 51.36%2026-10-16 (24d) — 30Δ C — IV 51.63%2026-10-16 (24d) — 35Δ C — IV 52.01%2026-10-16 (24d) — 40Δ C — IV 52.11%2026-10-16 (24d) — 45Δ C — IV 52.10%2026-10-16 (24d) — ATM — IV 52.09%2026-10-16 (24d) — 45Δ P — IV 51.41%2026-10-16 (24d) — 40Δ P — IV 50.54%2026-10-16 (24d) — 35Δ P — IV 50.45%2026-10-16 (24d) — 30Δ P — IV 50.51%2026-10-16 (24d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.65%2026-10-16 (24d) — 20Δ P — IV 51.29%2026-10-16 (24d) — 15Δ P — IV 51.69%2026-10-16 (24d) — 10Δ P — IV 51.84%2026-10-16 (24d) — 5Δ P — IV 55.01%24d2026-11-20 (59d) — 15Δ C — IV 57.66%2026-11-20 (59d) — 20Δ C — IV 58.35%2026-11-20 (59d) — 25Δ C — IV 57.92%2026-11-20 (59d) — 30Δ C — IV 56.63%2026-11-20 (59d) — 35Δ C — IV 57.29%2026-11-20 (59d) — 40Δ C — IV 56.82%2026-11-20 (59d) — 45Δ C — IV 57.03%2026-11-20 (59d) — ATM — IV 56.98%2026-11-20 (59d) — 45Δ P — IV 57.04%2026-11-20 (59d) — 40Δ P — IV 58.46%2026-11-20 (59d) — 35Δ P — IV 57.63%2026-11-20 (59d) — 30Δ P — IV 57.06%2026-11-20 (59d) — 25Δ P — IV 56.97%2026-11-20 (59d) — 20Δ P — IV 57.30%2026-11-20 (59d) — 15Δ P — IV 58.32%59d2026-12-18 (87d) — 20Δ C — IV 56.70%2026-12-18 (87d) — 25Δ C — IV 56.10%2026-12-18 (87d) — 30Δ C — IV 56.11%2026-12-18 (87d) — 35Δ C — IV 55.68%2026-12-18 (87d) — 40Δ C — IV 55.95%2026-12-18 (87d) — 45Δ C — IV 56.04%2026-12-18 (87d) — ATM — IV 55.81%2026-12-18 (87d) — 45Δ P — IV 55.88%2026-12-18 (87d) — 40Δ P — IV 55.81%2026-12-18 (87d) — 35Δ P — IV 55.97%2026-12-18 (87d) — 30Δ P — IV 56.61%2026-12-18 (87d) — 25Δ P — IV 56.36%2026-12-18 (87d) — 20Δ P — IV 57.14%2026-12-18 (87d) — 15Δ P — IV 58.25%87d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta24d59d87d
15Δ call51.00%57.66%—
20Δ call51.17%58.35%56.70%
25Δ call51.36%57.92%56.10%
30Δ call51.63%56.63%56.11%
35Δ call52.01%57.29%55.68%
40Δ call52.11%56.82%55.95%
45Δ call52.10%57.03%56.04%
ATM52.09%56.98%55.81%
45Δ put51.41%57.04%55.88%
40Δ put50.54%58.46%55.81%
35Δ put50.45%57.63%55.97%
30Δ put50.51%57.06%56.61%
25Δ put50.65%56.97%56.36%
20Δ put51.29%57.30%57.14%
15Δ put51.69%58.32%58.25%
10Δ put51.84%——
5Δ put55.01%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-1624$247.4952.09%50.65%51.36%-0.71-1.0911
2026-11-2059$248.5956.98%56.97%57.92%-0.95+0.4614
2026-12-1887$248.7955.81%56.36%56.10%+0.26+0.4216
2027-01-15115$250.0056.30%56.66%56.22%+0.44+0.1318

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

4 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%52%54%56%58%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 52.09%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 56.98%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 55.81%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 56.30%306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-1624 days$247.4952.09%$249.7111
2026-11-2059 days$248.5956.98%$255.2014
2026-12-1887 days$248.7955.81%$258.2016
2027-01-15115 days$250.0056.30%$262.8018

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
53.79%
60 days
56.92%
90 days
55.88%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 225 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep18 Nov29 Jan7 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 4
25% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.9%
Mean move that happened
78.3%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-30After the close———
2026-04-30After the close———
2026-02-05After the close———
2026-01-13Before the open———
2025-10-30After the close———
2025-07-31After the close———
2025-05-08After the close11.7%+180.5%15.46×
2025-02-06After the close8.8%+81.8%9.32×
2025-01-14Before the open9.0%-5.4%0.60×
2024-11-04After the close10.2%+45.4%4.47×
2024-08-06After the close———
2024-05-02After the close———
2024-02-08After the close———
2024-01-09Before the open———
2023-11-09After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.