Options Skew Analytics

INTC options analytics

INTC · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

INTC options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 74.3%, a move of about ±21.3% over the next month. That is higher than 96% of the 224 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 5.71 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 92% of the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 5% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-22 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±12.4% and INTC moved 315.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
74.29%

Prices a move of about ±21.3% over 30 days, or ±4.7% on a typical day.

Higher than 96% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-5.71

Calls carry 5.71 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 8% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.97

The wings carry 0.97 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.953

90-day volatility is 5% below 30-day.

Higher than 35% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 224 prior sessions (one-year window)

74.3% — 96th percentile
38.9%91.0%
IV percentile, 1 year
96%
IV rank, 1 year
68%
IV percentile, 2 years
96%
IV rank, 2 years
68%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$123.86
30-day implied forward
$123.63
60-day ATM IV
73.32%
90-day ATM IV
70.77%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
14
Total open interest
4,426,749
Put / call open interest
0.79

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 225 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%3 Sep22 Nov18 Feb8 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2274.29%-5.710.953$123.86
2026-09-2175.37%-6.160.954$121.78
2026-09-1864.62%-3.331.028$108.60
2026-09-1764.78%-3.291.041$108.80
2026-09-1662.08%-1.911.060$101.05
2026-09-1559.79%-1.771.071$97.14
2026-09-1461.04%-2.301.066$97.19
2026-09-1159.18%-2.351.113$102.94
2026-09-1062.61%-2.481.078$100.32
2026-09-0965.01%-3.821.070$106.24
2026-09-0866.86%-6.041.057$104.47
2026-09-0460.77%-5.601.090$95.80
2026-09-0357.13%-3.581.100$91.67
2026-09-0254.83%-1.851.121$90.05
2026-09-0155.36%-1.511.122$88.97
2026-08-3155.32%-2.401.124$89.51
2026-08-2854.55%-1.991.156$89.47
2026-08-2758.12%-3.571.123$92.09
2026-08-2659.52%-3.721.102$88.24
2026-08-2560.12%-3.621.107$87.48
2026-08-2460.27%-3.001.103$87.26
2025-06-3050.14%-0.150.961$22.40
2025-06-2750.80%+2.730.965$22.69
2025-06-2648.76%+0.990.974$22.50
2025-06-2545.31%+2.581.065$22.20
2025-06-2450.49%+0.660.970$22.55
2025-06-2344.92%-0.311.095$21.19
2025-06-2048.25%-4.981.034$21.08
2025-06-1844.96%+0.891.131$21.49
2025-06-1745.37%-1.591.104$20.80
2025-06-1642.96%-1.361.137$20.74
2025-06-1342.97%+2.331.160$20.14
2025-06-1244.24%-5.291.129$20.77
2025-06-1145.20%-3.131.110$20.68
2025-06-1050.59%-11.601.013$22.08
2025-06-0942.61%-0.701.159$20.48
2025-06-0640.53%+0.191.224$20.06
2025-06-0541.59%+1.061.208$19.99
2025-06-0443.57%+0.501.122$20.25
2025-06-0341.66%+1.081.167$20.29
2025-06-0241.00%+1.901.202$19.74
2025-05-3044.01%+1.051.137$19.55
2025-05-2944.98%+3.221.063$20.25
2025-05-2844.25%-2.691.084$20.37
2025-05-2741.68%+0.731.177$20.55
2025-05-2345.02%-1.221.099$20.05
2025-05-2243.43%+0.391.134$20.55
2025-05-2143.76%+0.111.114$20.69
2025-05-2041.28%+0.601.151$21.27
2025-05-1940.00%+0.801.165$21.38
2025-05-1639.78%-0.971.169$21.66
2025-05-1543.31%+0.691.094$21.55
2025-05-1444.12%-2.121.074$21.52
2025-05-1338.87%+2.051.172$22.56
2025-05-1241.79%+2.521.129$22.18
2025-05-0944.23%+0.931.075$21.42
2025-05-0844.28%+4.231.075$21.00
2025-05-0744.64%+3.121.096$20.31
2025-05-0647.15%+2.191.049$19.94
2025-05-0547.11%+1.711.031$20.27
2025-05-0245.99%+2.771.049$20.62
2025-05-0147.04%+4.181.072$19.98
2025-04-3052.25%+5.440.927$20.10
2025-04-2947.07%+3.261.016$20.34
2025-04-2851.38%+1.280.973$20.51
2025-04-2549.57%+2.320.987$20.05
2025-04-2461.69%+5.070.841$21.49
2025-04-2366.55%-2.250.818$20.59
2025-04-2266.04%+6.250.845$19.51
2025-04-2169.77%+6.670.826$18.84
2025-04-1767.70%+6.510.825$18.93
2025-04-1671.10%+8.160.849$19.23
2025-04-1569.19%+6.660.777$19.85
2025-04-1472.33%+9.720.812$20.31
2025-04-1184.00%+11.710.790$19.74
2025-04-1081.58%+16.950.793$19.88
2025-04-0975.49%+9.800.746$21.53
2025-04-0891.01%+16.740.740$18.13
2025-04-0784.97%+5.970.785$19.57
2025-04-0484.38%+5.800.761$19.85
2025-04-0375.12%-2.810.797$22.43
2025-04-0263.92%-3.620.822$21.98
2025-04-0162.82%-1.990.821$22.05
2025-03-3163.67%+1.190.837$22.71
2025-03-2855.24%-0.970.939$22.71
2025-03-2753.04%+3.660.979$23.62
2025-03-2648.09%+1.961.059$23.42
2025-03-2549.94%-1.860.992$24.20
2025-03-2450.51%+1.540.988$24.22
2025-03-2151.01%+1.891.039$24.26
2025-03-2052.16%-0.531.005$23.96
2025-03-1954.35%-1.030.990$24.12
2025-03-1853.30%-0.541.029$25.92
2025-03-1754.63%+1.030.975$25.69
2025-03-1450.31%-0.861.088$24.05
2025-03-1358.72%-0.421.001$23.70
2025-03-1260.48%+0.080.990$20.68
2025-03-1164.14%-2.380.924$19.78
2025-03-1062.87%-4.090.948$19.93
2025-03-0760.53%-3.931.005$20.64
2025-03-0661.19%-2.480.984$20.75
2025-03-0561.56%-6.400.951$20.81
2025-03-0461.56%+1.740.946$21.33
2025-03-0361.35%-9.720.949$22.74
2025-02-2858.29%-5.890.986$23.73
2025-02-2754.77%-5.171.011$23.09
2025-02-2658.12%-7.850.955$23.52
2025-02-2559.29%-2.110.928$22.99
2025-02-2455.51%-7.230.993$24.27
2025-02-2158.23%-6.440.969$24.87
2025-02-2064.10%-9.130.926$26.09
2025-02-1963.56%-10.920.914$25.72
2025-02-1870.04%-11.270.832$27.39
2025-02-1456.03%-7.200.967$23.60
2025-02-1361.30%-6.370.918$24.13
2025-02-1253.86%-8.580.975$22.48
2025-02-1153.27%-7.281.016$20.97
2025-02-1049.60%-3.591.073$19.77
2025-02-0746.53%-0.291.134$19.10
2025-02-0649.33%-0.461.091$19.38

The chart covers every session in the archive, 225 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 225 sessions

-20.0-10.00.010.020.03 Sep22 Nov18 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-23) · 3d (2026-09-25) · 6d (2026-09-28)

50%60%70%80%90%2026-09-23 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 79.80%2026-09-23 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 76.28%2026-09-23 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 74.18%2026-09-23 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 72.75%2026-09-23 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 71.92%2026-09-23 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 71.17%2026-09-23 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 70.24%2026-09-23 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 69.60%2026-09-23 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 69.13%2026-09-23 (1d) — ATM — IV 68.75%2026-09-23 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 68.67%2026-09-23 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 68.70%2026-09-23 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 68.69%2026-09-23 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 68.64%2026-09-23 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 68.98%2026-09-23 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 69.70%2026-09-23 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 70.89%2026-09-23 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 73.12%2026-09-23 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 79.87%1d2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ C — IV 87.19%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 83.11%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 80.70%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 78.99%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 77.74%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 76.89%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 75.94%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 75.16%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 74.60%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 74.23%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 73.57%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 73.16%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 73.02%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 72.96%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 72.91%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 73.21%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 73.30%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 74.84%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 79.04%3d2026-09-28 (6d) — 5Δ C — IV 73.80%2026-09-28 (6d) — 10Δ C — IV 70.12%2026-09-28 (6d) — 15Δ C — IV 67.74%2026-09-28 (6d) — 20Δ C — IV 66.05%2026-09-28 (6d) — 25Δ C — IV 64.78%2026-09-28 (6d) — 30Δ C — IV 63.86%2026-09-28 (6d) — 35Δ C — IV 63.16%2026-09-28 (6d) — 40Δ C — IV 62.71%2026-09-28 (6d) — 45Δ C — IV 62.06%2026-09-28 (6d) — ATM — IV 61.83%2026-09-28 (6d) — 45Δ P — IV 61.42%2026-09-28 (6d) — 40Δ P — IV 60.96%2026-09-28 (6d) — 35Δ P — IV 60.55%2026-09-28 (6d) — 30Δ P — IV 60.70%2026-09-28 (6d) — 25Δ P — IV 60.74%2026-09-28 (6d) — 20Δ P — IV 60.82%2026-09-28 (6d) — 15Δ P — IV 61.29%2026-09-28 (6d) — 10Δ P — IV 62.55%2026-09-28 (6d) — 5Δ P — IV 66.18%6d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d3d6d
5Δ call79.80%87.19%73.80%
10Δ call76.28%83.11%70.12%
15Δ call74.18%80.70%67.74%
20Δ call72.75%78.99%66.05%
25Δ call71.92%77.74%64.78%
30Δ call71.17%76.89%63.86%
35Δ call70.24%75.94%63.16%
40Δ call69.60%75.16%62.71%
45Δ call69.13%74.60%62.06%
ATM68.75%74.23%61.83%
45Δ put68.67%73.57%61.42%
40Δ put68.70%73.16%60.96%
35Δ put68.69%73.02%60.55%
30Δ put68.64%72.96%60.70%
25Δ put68.98%72.91%60.74%
20Δ put69.70%73.21%60.82%
15Δ put70.89%73.30%61.29%
10Δ put73.12%74.84%62.55%
5Δ put79.87%79.04%66.18%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-231$123.2468.75%68.98%71.92%-2.93+1.7034
2026-09-253$123.2574.23%72.91%77.74%-4.83+1.1057
2026-09-286$123.2561.83%60.74%64.78%-4.04+0.9338
2026-09-308$123.3566.03%64.74%69.34%-4.61+1.0151
2026-10-0210$123.3868.49%67.25%72.35%-5.10+1.3170
2026-10-0513$123.3364.36%62.91%67.85%-4.93+1.0239
2026-10-0917$123.4767.56%66.16%71.12%-4.95+1.0863
2026-10-1624$123.5767.53%65.73%71.21%-5.48+0.9468
2026-10-2331$123.6575.12%73.22%78.96%-5.74+0.9761
2026-10-3038$123.7476.21%74.24%80.51%-6.27+1.1751
2026-11-2059$123.9973.45%71.32%77.66%-6.35+1.0444
2026-12-1887$124.3970.97%69.13%74.55%-5.42+0.8747
2027-01-15115$124.9069.53%67.77%73.02%-5.25+0.8748
2027-03-19178$125.8969.88%68.03%73.16%-5.14+0.7245

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

14 listed expirations produced a usable reading

60%65%70%75%80%2026-09-23 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 68.75%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 74.23%2026-09-28 — 6 days — at-the-money IV 61.83%2026-09-30 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 66.03%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 68.49%2026-10-05 — 13 days — at-the-money IV 64.36%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 67.56%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 67.53%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 75.12%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 76.21%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 73.45%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 70.97%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 69.53%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 69.88%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-231 day$123.2468.75%$123.3134
2026-09-253 days$123.2574.23%$123.5357
2026-09-286 days$123.2561.83%$123.6438
2026-09-308 days$123.3566.03%$123.9451
2026-10-0210 days$123.3868.49%$124.1770
2026-10-0513 days$123.3364.36%$124.2439
2026-10-0917 days$123.4767.56%$124.7963
2026-10-1624 days$123.5767.53%$125.4468
2026-10-2331 days$123.6575.12%$126.6461
2026-10-3038 days$123.7476.21%$127.5451
2026-11-2059 days$123.9973.45%$129.5244
2026-12-1887 days$124.3970.97%$132.0947
2027-01-15115 days$124.9069.53%$134.7848
2027-03-19178 days$125.8969.88%$141.8145

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
74.29%
60 days
73.32%
90 days
70.77%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 225 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep22 Nov18 Feb8 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-22Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
12.4%
Mean move that happened
315.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-23After the close———
2026-04-23After the close———
2026-01-22After the close———
2025-10-23After the close———
2025-07-24After the close———
2025-04-24After the close9.8%+306.0%31.13×
2025-01-30After the close13.3%+336.1%25.32×
2024-10-31After the close14.0%+305.5%21.89×
2024-08-01After the close———
2024-04-25After the close———
2024-01-25After the close———
2023-10-26After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.