Options Skew Analytics

ISRG options analytics

ISRG · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

ISRG options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 42.9%, a move of about ±12.3% over the next month. That is higher than 95% of the 216 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.26 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-15 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±7.4% and ISRG moved 5.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
42.86%

Prices a move of about ±12.3% over 30 days, or ±2.7% on a typical day.

Higher than 95% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.26

Puts carry 2.26 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 25% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.11

The wings carry 0.11 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.882

90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day.

Higher than 20% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 216 prior sessions (one-year window)

42.9% — 95th percentile
18.9%64.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
95%
IV rank, 1 year
52%
IV percentile, 2 years
95%
IV rank, 2 years
52%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$398.30
30-day implied forward
$398.85
60-day ATM IV
39.40%
90-day ATM IV
37.82%
180-day ATM IV
37.97%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
68,431
Put / call open interest
0.87

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 235 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug13 Nov5 Feb24 Apr23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2342.86%+2.260.882$398.30
2026-09-2242.81%-0.850.881$402.09
2026-09-2142.42%-0.670.907$401.65
2026-09-1836.14%+1.881.061$393.33
2026-09-1736.20%+0.621.050$383.54
2026-09-1634.51%+2.891.134$382.29
2026-09-15———$377.16
2026-09-14———$377.94
2026-09-11———$369.15
2026-09-1035.04%+5.331.086$360.46
2026-09-09———$353.24
2026-09-08———$350.16
2026-09-04———$366.70
2026-09-03———$369.83
2026-09-02———$371.88
2026-09-01———$369.25
2026-08-31———$376.86
2026-08-2837.00%-1.321.018$372.60
2026-08-26———$370.42
2026-08-25———$371.84
2026-08-2432.98%+0.351.147$373.57
2026-08-2134.29%+1.951.097$378.81
2026-08-2033.14%+0.451.123$374.48
2026-08-19———$397.72
2026-08-18———$391.18
2026-08-17———$390.33
2025-06-3037.35%+4.960.817$543.41
2025-06-2738.89%+1.610.795$533.71
2025-06-2637.21%+4.360.833$534.19
2025-06-2538.47%+3.700.814$521.63
2025-06-2436.95%+4.600.848$523.08
2025-06-2335.98%+4.710.895$515.09
2025-06-2036.39%+3.680.923$509.36
2025-06-1831.97%+2.521.028$509.49
2025-06-1730.59%+4.141.100$512.11
2025-06-1632.42%+3.991.005$519.04
2025-06-1330.34%+4.471.103$512.18
2025-06-1228.48%+2.791.158$513.00
2025-06-1127.63%+3.261.155$522.41
2025-06-10———$529.60
2025-06-0929.32%+2.841.128$526.15
2025-06-06———$557.08
2025-06-0526.34%+4.211.203$558.06
2025-06-0426.50%+4.351.193$557.95
2025-06-0328.51%+4.271.107$551.85
2025-06-0227.36%+4.981.161$553.29
2025-05-3029.37%+3.611.098$552.34
2025-05-2927.24%+4.551.161$555.75
2025-05-2829.28%+4.721.091$552.41
2025-05-2728.20%+3.791.124$550.19
2025-05-2328.75%+5.571.104$539.54
2025-05-2227.70%+4.811.129$542.67
2025-05-2128.64%+6.171.106$547.07
2025-05-2026.07%+4.841.167$557.16
2025-05-1926.11%+4.361.163$561.63
2025-05-1624.52%+4.991.207$563.60
2025-05-1525.27%+4.401.180$560.28
2025-05-1424.81%+4.291.167$565.94
2025-05-1324.54%+4.761.200$563.95
2025-05-1226.99%+5.081.066$561.43
2025-05-0928.66%+5.611.115$536.51
2025-05-0828.94%+4.801.098$538.16
2025-05-0730.59%+7.141.057$536.15
2025-05-0630.69%+4.911.075$530.46
2025-05-0529.78%+5.711.094$531.82
2025-05-0227.65%+4.831.165$529.42
2025-05-0130.59%+5.381.079$517.18
2025-04-3030.51%+5.191.136$515.80
2025-04-2931.60%+5.841.078$514.89
2025-04-2832.44%+6.081.002$514.01
2025-04-2531.16%+3.621.109$514.59
2025-04-2433.49%+6.130.978$508.13
2025-04-2334.33%+5.921.021$487.93
2025-04-2248.73%+10.560.854$478.74
2025-04-2153.33%+8.940.806$468.32
2025-04-1746.13%+10.080.880$482.74
2025-04-1646.14%+10.760.880$481.34
2025-04-1542.55%+11.200.917$488.27
2025-04-1449.92%+11.150.806$490.13
2025-04-1154.94%+14.210.796$493.60
2025-04-1056.36%+15.570.799$489.52
2025-04-0942.80%+9.070.797$522.95
2025-04-0864.59%+16.350.771$457.63
2025-04-0761.46%+12.640.720$463.62
2025-04-0459.16%+16.380.790$451.58
2025-04-0342.76%+6.390.828$494.61
2025-04-0240.35%+8.910.812$507.05
2025-04-0140.49%+5.460.836$496.36
2025-03-3140.58%+4.890.860$495.27
2025-03-2838.25%+7.060.878$491.84
2025-03-2737.59%+4.800.846$507.90
2025-03-2637.85%+5.180.851$509.03
2025-03-2536.00%+3.570.872$519.81
2025-03-2435.90%+4.320.887$508.58
2025-03-2133.37%+6.730.992$492.49
2025-03-2034.42%+5.430.989$491.81
2025-03-1934.45%+6.080.977$492.06
2025-03-1835.05%+10.431.002$483.95
2025-03-1736.68%+0.440.950$488.80
2025-03-1437.60%+6.530.886$484.44
2025-03-1340.24%+5.410.911$476.78
2025-03-1237.63%+6.160.932$497.30
2025-03-1140.67%+7.290.907$493.72
2025-03-1042.17%+6.090.897$482.61
2025-03-0734.73%+4.930.974$518.26
2025-03-0633.12%+4.500.984$538.57
2025-03-0529.73%+4.201.022$568.02
2025-03-0431.13%+4.720.996$557.96
2025-03-0329.40%+5.481.018$566.98
2025-02-2827.35%+4.261.052$573.15
2025-02-2728.06%+3.361.049$563.77
2025-02-2626.60%+3.121.071$580.93
2025-02-2527.89%+4.121.019$573.74
2025-02-2425.03%+3.151.091$591.01
2025-02-2125.91%+2.351.053$591.79
2025-02-2021.75%+2.181.178$606.57
2025-02-1922.40%+1.641.143$608.48
2025-02-1822.39%+2.211.133$600.89
2025-02-1422.43%+1.841.128$595.55
2025-02-1322.14%+1.801.146$591.39

The chart covers every session in the archive, 235 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 235 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.020.026 Aug13 Nov5 Feb24 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

28%30%32%34%36%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 32.37%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 33.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 32.22%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 32.08%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 32.66%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 32.55%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 32.71%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 32.82%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 32.98%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 33.05%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 33.18%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 33.39%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 33.79%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 33.02%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 31.94%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 32.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 33.61%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 32.05%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 32.16%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 32.36%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 31.60%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 29.97%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 30.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 31.27%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 30.98%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 31.73%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 32.68%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 33.90%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 32.10%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 31.29%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 31.16%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 31.18%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 31.06%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 31.52%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 31.53%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 31.22%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 31.28%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 34.19%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 32.88%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 32.15%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 33.07%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 32.92%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 33.30%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 34.28%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta9d16d23d
10Δ call——32.10%
15Δ call—33.02%31.29%
20Δ call32.37%31.94%31.16%
25Δ call33.11%32.28%31.18%
30Δ call32.22%33.61%31.06%
35Δ call32.08%32.05%31.52%
40Δ call32.66%32.16%31.53%
45Δ call32.55%32.36%31.22%
ATM32.71%31.60%31.28%
45Δ put32.82%29.97%34.19%
40Δ put32.98%30.28%32.88%
35Δ put33.05%31.27%32.15%
30Δ put33.18%30.98%33.07%
25Δ put33.39%31.73%32.92%
20Δ put33.79%32.68%33.30%
15Δ put—33.90%34.28%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-029$398.4032.71%33.39%33.11%+0.28+0.5417
2026-10-0916$398.4531.60%31.73%32.28%-0.55+0.4017
2026-10-1623$399.7531.28%32.92%31.18%+1.74+0.7827
2026-10-2330$398.8542.86%43.88%41.62%+2.26-0.1119
2026-10-3037$399.5042.09%42.66%42.38%+0.28+0.4321
2026-11-2058$400.5039.56%40.13%38.42%+1.71-0.2837
2026-12-1886$401.6737.96%38.63%38.76%-0.14+0.7343
2027-01-15114$403.2337.18%38.16%36.94%+1.23+0.3747
2027-02-19149$405.8138.73%38.75%38.68%+0.08-0.0150
2027-03-19177$407.3537.98%39.50%37.73%+1.77+0.6335
2027-04-16205$407.4937.89%38.39%37.26%+1.14-0.0739
2027-06-17267$411.5537.91%39.18%37.33%+1.85+0.3449
2027-09-17359$417.2338.09%39.33%38.21%+1.12+0.6934

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

30%35%40%45%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 32.71%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 31.60%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 31.28%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 42.86%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 42.09%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 39.56%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 37.96%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 37.18%2027-02-19 — 149 days — at-the-money IV 38.73%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 37.98%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 37.89%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 37.91%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 38.09%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-029 days$398.4032.71%$398.9317
2026-10-0916 days$398.4531.60%$399.3217
2026-10-1623 days$399.7531.28%$400.9827
2026-10-2330 days$398.8542.86%$401.8719
2026-10-3037 days$399.5042.09%$403.1021
2026-11-2058 days$400.5039.56%$405.5137
2026-12-1886 days$401.6737.96%$408.5443
2027-01-15114 days$403.2337.18%$412.0347
2027-02-19149 days$405.8138.73%$418.4350
2027-03-19177 days$407.3537.98%$421.8435
2027-04-16205 days$407.4937.89%$424.2639
2027-06-17267 days$411.5537.91%$433.7749
2027-09-17359 days$417.2338.09%$448.0834

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
42.86%
60 days
39.40%
90 days
37.82%
180 days
37.97%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 235 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6026 Aug13 Nov5 Feb24 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-15Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 4
50% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.4%
Mean move that happened
5.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-16After the close———
2026-04-21After the close———
2026-01-22After the close———
2026-01-14Before the open———
2025-10-21After the close———
2025-07-22After the close———
2025-04-22After the close9.9%+1.9%0.19×
2025-01-23After the close6.7%-4.0%0.61×
2025-01-15Before the open5.2%+7.7%1.47×
2024-10-17After the close7.7%+10.0%1.30×
2024-07-18After the close———
2024-04-18After the close———
2024-01-23After the close———
2024-01-09After the close———
2023-10-19After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.