Options Skew Analytics

KHC options analytics

KHC · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

KHC options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 31.0%, a move of about ±8.9% over the next month. That is higher than 85% of the 228 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.28 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 5% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-02-03 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±5.4% and KHC moved 2.1% on average, staying inside the priced band 5 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
31.00%

Prices a move of about ±8.9% over 30 days, or ±2.0% on a typical day.

Higher than 85% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.28

Puts carry 1.28 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 21% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.55

The wings carry 0.55 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.950

90-day volatility is 5% below 30-day.

Higher than 30% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 228 prior sessions (one-year window)

31.0% — 85th percentile
17.7%39.1%
IV percentile, 1 year
85%
IV rank, 1 year
62%
IV percentile, 2 years
88%
IV rank, 2 years
64%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$24.42
30-day implied forward
$24.28
60-day ATM IV
29.35%
90-day ATM IV
29.45%
180-day ATM IV
29.32%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
251,890
Put / call open interest
0.79

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

10%20%30%40%50%3 Sep6 Jan28 Apr13 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0931.00%+1.280.950$24.42
2026-11-0632.34%+2.310.888$24.61
2026-11-0532.18%+3.150.867$25.32
2026-11-0431.69%+1.380.863$25.44
2026-11-0332.94%+2.540.896$24.52
2026-11-0233.30%+3.710.866$24.93
2026-10-3036.36%-3.170.860$24.34
2026-10-2932.93%+2.340.897$23.90
2026-10-28———$23.86
2026-10-2733.48%+1.730.884$24.06
2026-10-2633.18%+1.800.888$24.73
2026-10-2332.33%+2.020.916$24.80
2026-10-2233.11%+0.980.880$25.09
2026-10-2132.43%+2.210.893$23.50
2026-10-2031.89%+1.710.888$23.83
2026-10-1931.95%+2.240.893$23.17
2026-10-1632.18%+4.300.911$23.68
2026-10-1532.76%+2.610.876$23.28
2026-10-1432.66%+1.630.924$22.70
2026-10-1332.61%+1.320.884$22.43
2026-10-0931.72%+2.370.930$22.27
2026-10-0832.14%+3.040.917$22.48
2026-10-0731.12%+1.250.929$21.98
2026-10-0630.67%+1.750.905$22.03
2026-10-0529.93%+2.120.966$21.84
2026-10-0228.65%+1.530.996$22.19
2026-10-0128.53%+1.281.009$22.46
2026-09-3027.29%+1.931.050$22.72
2026-09-2931.05%+0.900.911$23.45
2026-09-2828.24%+0.871.013$23.56
2026-09-2527.74%+3.250.955$23.63
2026-09-2426.98%+1.131.063$23.86
2026-09-2326.73%+2.031.061$23.79
2026-09-2225.97%-0.901.079$24.00
2026-09-2126.96%+2.691.041$24.37
2026-09-1826.95%+1.251.080$24.43
2026-09-1728.12%+0.611.065$24.73
2026-09-1629.67%+1.591.015$24.73
2026-09-15———$24.73
2026-09-14———$24.27
2026-09-11———$24.60
2026-09-10———$24.39
2026-09-09———$24.61
2026-09-08———$24.90
2026-09-04———$24.85
2026-09-03———$25.42
2026-09-02———$26.26
2026-09-01———$25.87
2026-08-31———$25.67
2026-08-28———$25.70
2026-08-2728.02%+1.151.071$25.13
2026-08-26———$24.79
2026-08-2528.20%+2.421.010$25.32
2026-08-2428.98%+3.041.015$25.67
2025-09-2927.64%+1.650.968$25.70
2025-09-2625.06%+1.361.025$26.05
2025-09-2525.46%+1.411.020$25.81
2025-09-2423.85%+1.951.066$26.74
2025-09-2325.05%+2.251.064$26.56
2025-09-2225.28%+3.121.038$26.38
2025-09-1924.85%+2.761.060$26.42
2025-09-1824.86%+1.861.004$26.08
2025-09-1723.90%+2.101.050$25.73
2025-09-1626.26%+2.241.031$25.93
2025-09-1525.59%+2.251.017$25.63
2025-09-1223.70%+1.871.047$26.13
2025-09-1123.97%+2.421.065$26.52
2025-09-1024.25%+1.731.079$26.65
2025-09-0923.32%+1.491.077$26.67
2025-09-0824.65%+2.241.054$26.90
2025-09-0524.74%+1.941.044$27.29
2025-09-0424.27%+1.721.032$26.96
2025-09-0324.79%+1.411.033$26.93
2025-09-0226.38%+1.160.978$26.02
2025-08-29———$27.97
2025-08-2823.77%+1.341.038$27.64
2025-08-2724.04%+2.021.021$27.89
2025-08-2623.65%+1.801.045$27.70
2025-08-2523.47%+2.251.041$27.69
2025-08-2222.34%+2.411.049$28.06
2025-08-2123.93%+2.051.036$27.50
2025-08-2023.83%+2.761.064$27.42
2025-08-1923.82%+2.951.028$27.67
2025-08-1823.57%+2.56—$27.27
2025-08-1524.20%+3.801.021$27.67
2025-08-1424.15%+2.79—$27.65
2025-08-1324.04%+3.650.999$28.02
2025-08-1224.00%+0.911.012$27.35
2025-08-1124.25%+2.83—$27.43
2025-08-0823.10%+2.311.017$27.76
2025-08-0723.98%+3.531.037$27.65
2025-08-0625.29%+1.970.985$27.26
2025-08-0525.25%+2.040.994$27.04
2025-08-0425.27%+1.240.968$26.80
2025-08-0126.91%+2.960.941$27.41
2025-07-3127.16%+0.980.933$27.46
2025-07-3026.00%+2.940.941$28.49
2025-07-2928.97%+0.850.904$28.56
2025-07-2829.59%+0.870.876$28.25
2025-07-2529.05%+0.610.900$28.68
2025-07-2430.07%+1.610.845$28.78
2025-07-2330.20%+1.170.819$28.94
2025-07-2229.61%+1.880.818$28.78
2025-07-2130.83%+0.980.852$27.48
2025-07-1828.07%-0.370.917$27.82
2025-07-1728.61%+2.020.900$28.13
2025-07-1629.25%+2.200.893$27.58
2025-07-1529.47%+1.510.906$27.12
2025-07-1428.56%+0.410.875$27.80
2025-07-11———$27.14
2025-07-1023.71%+2.811.042$26.47
2025-07-0926.08%+2.140.995$26.45
2025-07-0829.12%+2.300.898$26.43
2025-07-0729.36%+6.750.885$26.08
2025-07-0326.61%+2.140.959$26.66
2025-07-0223.86%+2.301.041$27.06
2025-07-0123.70%+2.211.057$26.61
2025-06-3024.41%+3.261.062$25.82
2025-06-2722.13%+2.541.110$25.61
2025-06-2622.42%+2.011.116$25.79

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.03 Sep6 Jan28 Apr13 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

25%30%35%40%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 38.62%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 38.49%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 37.76%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 36.52%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 35.91%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 35.61%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 35.39%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 35.25%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 35.20%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 35.29%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 35.48%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 35.69%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 35.83%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 35.87%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 35.89%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 35.92%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 36.69%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 33.21%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 31.72%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 31.77%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 31.80%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 31.58%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 31.35%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 31.34%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 31.39%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 31.42%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 31.34%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 31.11%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 30.93%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 31.18%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 32.06%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 32.71%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 33.09%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 34.23%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 5Δ C — IV 31.14%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 30.32%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 29.95%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 29.50%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 28.76%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 28.64%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 28.68%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 28.72%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 28.77%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 28.83%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 28.90%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 28.98%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 29.09%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 29.26%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 29.56%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 30.70%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 32.03%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 33.42%2026-11-27 (18d) — 5Δ P — IV 34.99%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call——31.14%
10Δ call38.62%33.21%30.32%
15Δ call38.49%31.72%29.95%
20Δ call37.76%31.77%29.50%
25Δ call36.52%31.80%28.76%
30Δ call35.91%31.58%28.64%
35Δ call35.61%31.35%28.68%
40Δ call35.39%31.34%28.72%
45Δ call35.25%31.39%28.77%
ATM35.20%31.42%28.83%
45Δ put35.29%31.34%28.90%
40Δ put35.48%31.11%28.98%
35Δ put35.69%30.93%29.09%
30Δ put35.83%31.18%29.26%
25Δ put35.87%32.06%29.56%
20Δ put35.89%32.71%30.70%
15Δ put35.92%33.09%32.03%
10Δ put36.69%34.23%33.42%
5Δ put——34.99%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$24.4735.20%35.87%36.52%-0.65+0.997
2026-11-2011$24.5131.42%32.06%31.80%+0.27+0.5110
2026-11-2718$24.5028.83%29.56%28.76%+0.79+0.339
2026-12-0425$24.3031.90%31.88%30.99%+0.89-0.4713
2026-12-1132$24.2630.71%30.84%29.43%+1.41-0.5712
2026-12-1839$24.2229.66%30.00%29.06%+0.94-0.137
2026-12-2445$24.2629.24%29.16%28.45%+0.72-0.4410
2027-03-19130$24.2229.51%30.95%28.19%+2.76+0.066
2027-06-17220$24.1429.23%30.43%29.04%+1.39+0.506
2027-09-17312$24.1729.47%30.59%29.17%+1.42+0.417

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

28%30%32%34%36%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 35.20%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 31.42%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 28.83%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 31.90%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 30.71%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 29.66%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 29.24%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 29.51%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 29.23%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 29.47%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$24.4735.20%$24.497
2026-11-2011 days$24.5131.42%$24.5410
2026-11-2718 days$24.5028.83%$24.559
2026-12-0425 days$24.3031.90%$24.3913
2026-12-1132 days$24.2630.71%$24.3612
2026-12-1839 days$24.2229.66%$24.347
2026-12-2445 days$24.2629.24%$24.3910
2027-03-19130 days$24.2229.51%$24.606
2027-06-17220 days$24.1429.23%$24.776
2027-09-17312 days$24.1729.47%$25.087

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
31.00%
60 days
29.35%
90 days
29.45%
180 days
29.32%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep13 Jan29 Apr15 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-02-03Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
5 of 5
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
5.4%
Mean move that happened
2.1%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-04Before the open5.5%+3.8%0.68×
2026-08-05Before the open———
2026-05-06Before the open———
2026-02-11Before the open———
2025-10-29Before the open———
2025-07-30Before the open5.0%-0.2%0.05×
2025-04-29Before the open6.3%+0.2%0.03×
2025-02-12Before the open5.1%-3.2%0.63×
2024-10-30Before the open5.0%-3.1%0.61×
2024-07-31Before the open———
2024-05-01Before the open———
2024-02-14Before the open———
2023-11-01Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.