Options Skew Analytics

LCID options analytics

LCID · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

LCID options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 152.2%, a move of about ±43.6% over the next month. Its history here is 320 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta puts carry 26.48 volatility points more than the calls.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-12-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 13 reports the options market priced an average move of ±13.2% and LCID moved 60.5% on average, staying inside the priced band 6 times out of 13.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
152.15%

Prices a move of about ±43.6% over 30 days, or ±9.6% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+26.48

Puts carry 26.48 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+6.18

The wings carry 6.18 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.878

90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 66 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$3.60
30-day implied forward
$3.52
60-day ATM IV
140.89%
90-day ATM IV
133.56%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
3
Total open interest
658,222
Put / call open interest
2.88

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 320 sessions

60%80%100%120%140%160%180%2024-09-03 — 30-day ATM IV 92%2024-09-04 — 30-day ATM IV 86%2024-09-05 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2024-09-06 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2024-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2024-09-11 — 30-day ATM IV 92%2024-09-12 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2024-09-13 — 30-day ATM IV 95%2024-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 94%2024-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2024-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2024-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 91%2024-09-20 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2024-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 87%2024-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 82%2024-09-27 — 30-day ATM IV 91%2024-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 95%2024-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 98%2024-10-17 — 30-day ATM IV 97%2024-10-18 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2024-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 93%2024-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 93%2024-10-25 — 30-day ATM IV 92%2024-12-12 — 30-day ATM IV 100%2024-12-16 — 30-day ATM IV 104%2024-12-18 — 30-day ATM IV 99%2024-12-20 — 30-day ATM IV 96%2024-12-23 — 30-day ATM IV 97%2024-12-24 — 30-day ATM IV 91%2024-12-26 — 30-day ATM IV 99%2024-12-27 — 30-day ATM IV 95%2024-12-30 — 30-day ATM IV 95%2024-12-31 — 30-day ATM IV 104%2025-01-02 — 30-day ATM IV 100%2025-01-03 — 30-day ATM IV 98%2025-01-06 — 30-day ATM IV 96%2025-01-07 — 30-day ATM IV 95%2025-01-08 — 30-day ATM IV 98%2025-01-10 — 30-day ATM IV 93%2025-01-13 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2025-01-15 — 30-day ATM IV 86%2025-01-16 — 30-day ATM IV 80%2025-01-17 — 30-day ATM IV 76%2025-02-13 — 30-day ATM IV 103%2025-02-14 — 30-day ATM IV 109%2025-02-18 — 30-day ATM IV 115%2025-02-19 — 30-day ATM IV 109%2025-02-20 — 30-day ATM IV 108%2025-02-21 — 30-day ATM IV 103%2025-02-25 — 30-day ATM IV 106%2025-04-01 — 30-day ATM IV 101%2025-07-17 — 30-day ATM IV 138%2025-07-18 — 30-day ATM IV 119%2025-07-21 — 30-day ATM IV 119%2025-07-22 — 30-day ATM IV 116%2025-07-23 — 30-day ATM IV 109%2025-09-03 — 30-day ATM IV 98%2025-09-04 — 30-day ATM IV 103%2025-09-05 — 30-day ATM IV 77%2025-09-08 — 30-day ATM IV 78%2025-09-09 — 30-day ATM IV 76%2025-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 80%2025-09-11 — 30-day ATM IV 79%2025-09-12 — 30-day ATM IV 77%2025-09-15 — 30-day ATM IV 76%2025-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 78%2025-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 83%2025-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 75%2025-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2025-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 82%2025-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2025-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 99%2025-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2025-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2025-09-29 — 30-day ATM IV 82%2026-08-24 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2026-08-27 — 30-day ATM IV 99%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2026-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 91%2026-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2026-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 90%2026-10-06 — 30-day ATM IV 88%2026-10-19 — 30-day ATM IV 106%2026-10-27 — 30-day ATM IV 121%2026-10-29 — 30-day ATM IV 118%2026-11-03 — 30-day ATM IV 137%2026-11-04 — 30-day ATM IV 132%2026-11-05 — 30-day ATM IV 147%2026-11-06 — 30-day ATM IV 158%2026-11-09 — 30-day ATM IV 152%3 Sep25 Oct18 Feb18 Sep9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-09152.15%+26.480.878$3.60
2026-11-06157.73%+21.640.784$3.29
2026-11-05146.82%+27.010.915$2.98
2026-11-04131.76%+13.43—$3.37
2026-11-03137.45%+20.89—$3.02
2026-11-02———$3.00
2026-10-30———$3.02
2026-10-29117.59%+5.530.970$3.20
2026-10-28———$3.41
2026-10-27120.74%+7.190.945$3.31
2026-10-26———$3.40
2026-10-23———$3.52
2026-10-22———$3.46
2026-10-21———$3.21
2026-10-20———$3.27
2026-10-19105.53%-0.421.047$3.10
2026-10-16———$3.13
2026-10-15———$3.50
2026-10-14———$3.29
2026-10-13———$3.36
2026-10-09———$3.79
2026-10-08———$3.82
2026-10-07———$3.89
2026-10-0687.79%+2.421.024$4.16
2026-10-05———$4.17
2026-10-02———$4.13
2026-10-01———$4.19
2026-09-3090.35%-0.201.082$4.07
2026-09-29———$4.07
2026-09-28———$3.90
2026-09-2588.29%+0.241.105$4.07
2026-09-2491.26%-0.791.059$4.15
2026-09-23———$4.16
2026-09-22———$4.32
2026-09-21———$4.30
2026-09-1888.11%-4.981.110$4.09
2026-09-17———$4.28
2026-09-16———$4.04
2026-09-15———$4.12
2026-09-14———$4.16
2026-09-11———$4.22
2026-09-10———$4.18
2026-09-09———$4.27
2026-09-08———$4.63
2026-09-04———$4.68
2026-09-03———$4.60
2026-09-02———$4.71
2026-09-01———$4.55
2026-08-31———$4.85
2026-08-28———$5.01
2026-08-2798.98%-6.411.024$5.09
2026-08-26———$4.95
2026-08-25———$5.26
2026-08-2484.49%-1.861.214$5.09
2025-09-2982.33%+0.501.023$24.11
2025-09-2689.86%-9.160.951$23.96
2025-09-2588.28%-7.310.970$23.04
2025-09-2498.53%-13.710.894$22.98
2025-09-2389.69%-12.100.968$22.24
2025-09-2282.03%-2.720.974$22.44
2025-09-1983.51%-2.430.953$21.10
2025-09-1874.53%-4.631.024$20.50
2025-09-1782.61%-2.261.003$20.36
2025-09-1677.89%-7.221.004$19.72
2025-09-1575.93%-6.791.053$19.84
2025-09-1276.74%-5.831.057$19.28
2025-09-1178.94%-4.721.021$19.90
2025-09-1079.62%-6.931.028$19.44
2025-09-0976.34%-3.241.077$19.39
2025-09-0877.69%-7.291.071$18.44
2025-09-0576.75%-3.531.076$18.41
2025-09-04103.00%-0.200.988$16.16
2025-09-0398.01%-3.201.055$16.79
2025-08-29———$1.98
2025-08-28———$2.07
2025-08-27———$2.08
2025-08-26———$2.11
2025-08-25———$2.08
2025-08-22———$2.03
2025-08-21———$2.09
2025-08-20———$2.09
2025-08-19———$2.13
2025-08-18———$2.18
2025-08-15———$2.18
2025-08-14———$2.25
2025-08-13———$2.34
2025-08-12———$2.27
2025-08-11———$2.19
2025-08-08———$2.13
2025-08-07———$2.17
2025-08-06———$2.19
2025-08-05———$2.42
2025-08-04———$2.41
2025-08-01———$2.42
2025-07-31———$2.46
2025-07-30———$2.50
2025-07-29———$2.56
2025-07-28———$2.79
2025-07-25———$2.92
2025-07-24———$2.99
2025-07-23108.93%-22.800.858$3.08
2025-07-22116.48%-23.170.818$3.13
2025-07-21119.27%-43.520.822$2.82
2025-07-18119.47%-18.930.830$3.04
2025-07-17137.77%-32.100.756$3.12
2025-07-16———$2.29
2025-07-15———$2.33
2025-07-14———$2.27
2025-07-11———$2.29
2025-07-10———$2.33
2025-07-09———$2.28
2025-07-08———$2.30
2025-07-07———$2.11
2025-07-03———$2.16
2025-07-02———$2.05
2025-07-01———$2.03
2025-06-30———$2.11
2025-06-27———$2.12
2025-06-26———$2.20
2025-06-25———$2.14

The chart covers every session in the archive, 320 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 320 sessions

-60.0-40.0-20.00.020.040.02024-09-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.52024-09-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.62024-09-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.32024-09-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.42024-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.22024-09-11 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.22024-09-12 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.92024-09-13 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -11.62024-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.72024-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.22024-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.02024-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.42024-09-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 8.42024-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.52024-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.32024-09-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.72024-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.92024-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.62024-10-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -15.02024-10-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 17.42024-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.12024-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.92024-10-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.12024-12-12 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -8.02024-12-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -8.52024-12-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -19.72024-12-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.82024-12-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.22024-12-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.02024-12-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.12024-12-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -8.92024-12-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -10.52024-12-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.22025-01-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -11.92025-01-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -11.02025-01-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -10.12025-01-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -13.52025-01-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -14.52025-01-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -14.22025-01-13 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.32025-01-15 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.52025-01-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.62025-01-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -12.62025-02-13 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.22025-02-14 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.92025-02-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.32025-02-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.42025-02-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.52025-02-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -12.12025-02-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -20.42025-04-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 11.62025-07-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -32.12025-07-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -18.92025-07-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -43.52025-07-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -23.22025-07-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -22.82025-09-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.22025-09-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.22025-09-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.52025-09-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.32025-09-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.22025-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.92025-09-11 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.72025-09-12 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.82025-09-15 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.82025-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.22025-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.32025-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.62025-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.42025-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.72025-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -12.12025-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -13.72025-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.32025-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -9.22025-09-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.52026-08-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.92026-08-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.42026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.02026-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.82026-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22026-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.22026-10-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42026-10-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.42026-10-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 7.22026-10-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.52026-11-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 20.92026-11-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 13.42026-11-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 27.02026-11-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 21.62026-11-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 26.53 Sep25 Oct18 Feb18 Sep9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

18d (2026-11-27) · 39d (2026-12-18) · 102d (2027-02-19)

100%150%200%250%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 136.45%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 142.17%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 147.83%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 152.08%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 154.50%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 152.48%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 149.13%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 149.13%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 152.67%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 158.03%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 163.53%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 169.30%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 176.25%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 184.74%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 195.50%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 210.25%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 233.76%18d2026-12-18 (39d) — 15Δ C — IV 143.18%2026-12-18 (39d) — 20Δ C — IV 143.88%2026-12-18 (39d) — 25Δ C — IV 142.59%2026-12-18 (39d) — 30Δ C — IV 138.53%2026-12-18 (39d) — 35Δ C — IV 141.65%2026-12-18 (39d) — 40Δ C — IV 144.88%2026-12-18 (39d) — 45Δ C — IV 147.80%2026-12-18 (39d) — ATM — IV 151.97%2026-12-18 (39d) — 45Δ P — IV 160.74%2026-12-18 (39d) — 40Δ P — IV 168.96%2026-12-18 (39d) — 35Δ P — IV 166.88%2026-12-18 (39d) — 30Δ P — IV 163.04%2026-12-18 (39d) — 25Δ P — IV 166.78%2026-12-18 (39d) — 20Δ P — IV 178.65%2026-12-18 (39d) — 15Δ P — IV 189.10%39d2027-02-19 (102d) — 5Δ C — IV 137.18%2027-02-19 (102d) — 10Δ C — IV 135.29%2027-02-19 (102d) — 15Δ C — IV 133.07%2027-02-19 (102d) — 20Δ C — IV 130.87%2027-02-19 (102d) — 25Δ C — IV 128.75%2027-02-19 (102d) — 30Δ C — IV 126.71%2027-02-19 (102d) — 35Δ C — IV 124.75%2027-02-19 (102d) — 40Δ C — IV 121.85%2027-02-19 (102d) — 45Δ C — IV 127.40%2027-02-19 (102d) — ATM — IV 131.78%2027-02-19 (102d) — 45Δ P — IV 133.85%2027-02-19 (102d) — 40Δ P — IV 141.73%2027-02-19 (102d) — 35Δ P — IV 151.82%2027-02-19 (102d) — 30Δ P — IV 158.60%2027-02-19 (102d) — 25Δ P — IV 156.52%2027-02-19 (102d) — 20Δ P — IV 153.22%2027-02-19 (102d) — 15Δ P — IV 169.06%102d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta18d39d102d
5Δ call——137.18%
10Δ call136.45%—135.29%
15Δ call142.17%143.18%133.07%
20Δ call147.83%143.88%130.87%
25Δ call152.08%142.59%128.75%
30Δ call154.50%138.53%126.71%
35Δ call152.48%141.65%124.75%
40Δ call149.13%144.88%121.85%
45Δ call149.13%147.80%127.40%
ATM152.67%151.97%131.78%
45Δ put158.03%160.74%133.85%
40Δ put163.53%168.96%141.73%
35Δ put169.30%166.88%151.82%
30Δ put176.25%163.04%158.60%
25Δ put184.74%166.78%156.52%
20Δ put195.50%178.65%153.22%
15Δ put210.25%189.10%169.06%
10Δ put233.76%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-2718$3.56152.67%184.74%152.08%+32.66+15.748
2026-12-1839$3.49151.97%166.78%142.59%+24.18+2.7110
2027-02-19102$3.42131.78%156.52%128.75%+27.77+10.869

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

3 listed expirations produced a usable reading

130%135%140%145%150%155%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 152.67%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 151.97%2027-02-19 — 102 days — at-the-money IV 131.78%306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-2718 days$3.56152.67%$3.778
2026-12-1839 days$3.49151.97%$3.9510
2027-02-19102 days$3.42131.78%$4.369

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
152.15%
60 days
140.89%
90 days
133.56%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 320 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.402024-09-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-09-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122024-09-05 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082024-09-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102024-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-11 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-12 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-13 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022024-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092024-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002024-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052024-09-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122024-09-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032024-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012024-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.932024-10-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872024-10-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012024-10-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972024-12-12 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002024-12-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972024-12-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022024-12-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062024-12-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142024-12-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.132024-12-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082024-12-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.152024-12-30 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122024-12-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-01-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-01-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-01-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-01-07 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112025-01-08 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-01-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-01-13 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092025-01-15 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122025-01-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.162025-01-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.232025-02-13 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-02-14 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-02-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.882025-02-19 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922025-02-20 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922025-02-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.962025-02-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-04-01 — 90-day over 30-day 0.902025-07-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.762025-07-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832025-07-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822025-07-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822025-07-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862025-09-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-09-04 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992025-09-05 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-09-08 — 90-day over 30-day 1.072025-09-09 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-09-11 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022025-09-12 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-09-15 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022025-09-19 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952025-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972025-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972025-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972025-09-26 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952025-09-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-08-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.212026-08-27 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112026-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102026-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-10-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-10-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052026-10-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952026-10-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-11-05 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922026-11-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.782026-11-09 — 90-day over 30-day 0.883 Sep12 Dec18 Feb17 Sep9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-12-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 13 reports

Landed inside the implied band
6 of 13
46% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
13.2%
Mean move that happened
60.5%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-09After the close———
2026-11-04Time not stated12.4%-11.6%0.93×
2026-10-05After the close9.5%-0.2%0.03×
2026-09-23Time not stated6.9%-0.2%0.03×
2026-08-04After the close———
2026-07-02Before the open———
2026-05-05After the close———
2026-04-14Before the open———
2026-04-03After the close———
2026-02-24After the close———
2026-01-05Before the open———
2025-11-05After the close———
2025-10-06After the close———
2025-08-05After the close18.4%+110.3%6.01×
2025-07-02After the close4.3%+148.3%34.57×
2025-05-06After the close21.8%+118.5%5.44×
2025-04-02After the close10.9%+112.1%10.25×
2025-02-25After the close19.6%+95.0%4.86×
2025-01-06Before the open16.3%+1.2%0.07×
2024-11-07After the close18.8%+129.3%6.87×
2024-10-16After the close9.7%+55.2%5.67×
2024-10-07Before the open13.5%+2.4%0.18×
2024-09-10Before the open10.1%+2.0%0.20×
2024-08-05After the close———
2024-07-08Before the open———
2024-05-06After the close———
2024-04-09Before the open———
2024-02-21After the close———
2024-01-11Before the open———
2023-11-07After the close———
2023-10-17Time not stated———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.