Options Skew Analytics

LUV options analytics

LUV · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

LUV options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 46.6%, a move of about ±13.4% over the next month. That is higher than 93% of the 210 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.43 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-21 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±7.5% and LUV moved 22.1% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
46.63%

Prices a move of about ±13.4% over 30 days, or ±2.9% on a typical day.

Higher than 93% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.43

Puts carry 2.43 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 36% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.82

The wings carry 0.82 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.882

90-day volatility is 12% below 30-day.

Higher than 8% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 210 prior sessions (one-year window)

46.6% — 93th percentile
27.9%74.7%
IV percentile, 1 year
93%
IV rank, 1 year
40%
IV percentile, 2 years
93%
IV rank, 2 years
40%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$42.08
30-day implied forward
$42.29
60-day ATM IV
43.12%
90-day ATM IV
41.12%
180-day ATM IV
41.52%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
131,137
Put / call open interest
0.74

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 225 sessions

20%40%60%80%3 Sep19 Nov6 Feb28 Apr22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2246.63%+2.430.882$42.08
2026-09-2144.79%+2.620.909$41.77
2026-09-1841.01%+2.611.010$40.98
2026-09-1740.36%+1.881.013$40.34
2026-09-1641.13%+2.581.035$39.15
2026-09-15———$39.28
2026-09-14———$39.52
2026-09-1140.32%+3.761.010$39.24
2026-09-10———$38.69
2026-09-09———$38.68
2026-09-0841.12%+1.110.993$38.67
2026-09-0440.92%-0.161.043$39.62
2026-09-03———$38.73
2026-09-02———$38.61
2026-09-01———$37.68
2026-08-31———$38.53
2026-08-2838.16%+1.571.055$39.64
2026-08-27———$39.76
2026-08-2639.49%+0.981.021$40.67
2026-08-2538.68%+4.151.048$40.82
2026-08-24———$40.71
2025-06-3040.40%+5.280.903$32.44
2025-06-2741.14%+5.930.879$32.16
2025-06-2636.48%+9.151.021$31.52
2025-06-2539.63%+1.750.940$31.34
2025-06-2440.08%-1.300.915$31.86
2025-06-2340.29%+5.500.987$31.88
2025-06-20———$31.39
2025-06-1838.72%+4.801.053$31.16
2025-06-1742.37%+6.450.952$31.44
2025-06-1641.30%+6.520.949$32.20
2025-06-1340.52%+7.931.011$31.73
2025-06-1235.93%+5.601.077$32.58
2025-06-1136.79%+7.091.035$33.49
2025-06-1032.92%+3.371.149$34.36
2025-06-0933.49%+5.341.109$33.57
2025-06-0632.94%+4.971.098$33.48
2025-06-0532.19%+5.811.170$32.46
2025-06-0433.95%+5.711.106$32.27
2025-06-0335.64%+6.071.070$32.60
2025-06-0235.49%+5.501.057$33.11
2025-05-30———$33.38
2025-05-2932.86%+4.331.147$33.71
2025-05-2834.71%+7.031.111$32.89
2025-05-2734.48%+6.961.104$32.66
2025-05-2337.67%+6.881.058$30.95
2025-05-2237.15%+5.201.056$31.21
2025-05-2137.31%+5.181.043$31.76
2025-05-2036.56%+5.631.048$32.50
2025-05-1937.61%+5.640.984$32.59
2025-05-1638.06%+3.990.969$32.67
2025-05-1538.06%+6.880.976$31.85
2025-05-1441.70%+0.760.925$31.38
2025-05-1336.90%+4.251.014$31.29
2025-05-1238.06%+5.520.978$31.27
2025-05-0940.55%+7.950.981$31.18
2025-05-0840.96%+7.910.984$31.07
2025-05-0744.19%+4.070.946$30.28
2025-05-0645.52%+6.910.935$29.84
2025-05-0543.10%+7.540.969$30.08
2025-05-0244.90%+4.740.921$29.85
2025-05-0143.57%+8.960.975$28.58
2025-04-3042.81%+9.920.989$27.96
2025-04-2945.70%+8.150.942$27.26
2025-04-2845.66%+8.310.930$26.65
2025-04-2543.05%+7.960.970$26.49
2025-04-2444.55%+5.030.932$26.46
2025-04-2353.15%+10.990.858$25.52
2025-04-2258.06%+10.540.846$24.75
2025-04-2156.85%+11.020.872$24.04
2025-04-1753.70%+10.970.888$24.74
2025-04-1656.83%+15.100.825$24.86
2025-04-1554.62%+9.170.856$25.81
2025-04-1455.66%+12.700.849$25.56
2025-04-1162.27%+14.250.823$26.19
2025-04-1063.74%+16.290.902$25.79
2025-04-09———$28.55
2025-04-0874.71%+16.900.769$24.75
2025-04-0770.27%+18.560.767$25.96
2025-04-04———$25.87
2025-04-0348.49%+8.440.862$28.86
2025-04-0240.13%+8.650.916$31.86
2025-04-0140.30%+5.890.957$31.59
2025-03-3137.28%+4.970.958$33.58
2025-03-2838.70%+5.480.906$33.59
2025-03-2737.07%+3.810.926$33.93
2025-03-2634.58%+7.560.988$34.39
2025-03-2534.14%+4.520.962$34.67
2025-03-2436.28%+2.060.927$34.84
2025-03-2133.36%+4.961.018$34.83
2025-03-2034.66%+4.190.976$34.15
2025-03-1933.10%+3.171.012$33.60
2025-03-1834.04%+4.471.028$32.39
2025-03-1734.32%+3.441.007$32.13
2025-03-1435.30%+4.351.011$31.73
2025-03-1339.79%+3.250.955$31.00
2025-03-1233.38%+10.871.097$30.10
2025-03-1139.47%+4.070.948$30.53
2025-03-1043.27%+4.860.852$28.18
2025-03-0739.28%+6.130.924$29.20
2025-03-0640.09%+4.660.892$29.53
2025-03-0537.88%+4.890.936$29.95
2025-03-0445.58%+5.010.808$29.45
2025-03-0337.55%+5.380.890$30.61
2025-02-2834.88%+3.540.951$31.06
2025-02-2735.91%+4.960.930$30.64
2025-02-2633.22%+5.370.967$30.69
2025-02-2535.56%+2.230.953$30.25
2025-02-2434.58%+3.600.977$30.27
2025-02-2136.46%+3.670.949$29.81
2025-02-2031.90%+11.970.969$30.61
2025-02-1931.91%+1.791.024$30.20
2025-02-1832.42%+3.171.008$30.00
2025-02-1429.50%+3.471.086$30.28
2025-02-1330.85%+2.931.044$29.93
2025-02-1231.82%+2.551.006$29.88
2025-02-1130.02%+2.481.050$29.77
2025-02-1031.50%+2.701.011$30.13
2025-02-0730.87%+2.531.041$31.00
2025-02-0629.22%+0.991.053$31.09

The chart covers every session in the archive, 225 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 225 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.03 Sep19 Nov6 Feb28 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

35%40%45%50%55%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 49.64%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 49.14%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 48.30%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 47.18%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.42%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 46.45%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 47.23%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.18%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 43.52%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 41.52%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.56%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 41.66%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 42.01%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 43.07%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 43.83%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 44.61%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 46.13%2026-09-25 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 49.83%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 40.74%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 39.74%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 39.95%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 40.22%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 38.85%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 39.14%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 39.73%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 40.24%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 40.45%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 39.87%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 40.32%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 41.66%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 41.80%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 42.01%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ C — IV 42.35%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 42.17%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 41.36%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 41.38%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 41.50%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.54%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 43.90%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 42.15%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 41.78%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.32%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 42.16%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 42.55%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 42.84%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 43.43%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 45.40%2026-10-09 (17d) — 10Δ P — IV 45.87%2026-10-09 (17d) — 5Δ P — IV 46.22%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
10Δ call49.64%——
15Δ call49.14%40.74%42.35%
20Δ call48.30%39.74%42.17%
25Δ call47.18%39.95%41.36%
30Δ call46.42%40.22%41.38%
35Δ call46.45%38.85%41.50%
40Δ call47.23%39.14%42.54%
45Δ call47.18%39.73%43.90%
ATM43.52%40.24%42.15%
45Δ put41.52%40.45%41.78%
40Δ put41.56%39.87%41.32%
35Δ put41.66%40.32%42.16%
30Δ put42.01%41.66%42.55%
25Δ put43.07%41.80%42.84%
20Δ put43.83%42.01%43.43%
15Δ put44.61%—45.40%
10Δ put46.13%—45.87%
5Δ put49.83%—46.22%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$42.1643.52%43.07%47.18%-4.11+1.6010
2026-10-0210$42.2840.24%41.80%39.95%+1.85+0.6413
2026-10-0917$42.2242.15%42.84%41.36%+1.48-0.0516
2026-10-1624$42.2341.27%41.80%40.92%+0.88+0.0820
2026-10-2331$42.3047.28%49.49%46.89%+2.60+0.9113
2026-10-3038$42.3046.18%47.83%45.51%+2.32+0.4914
2026-11-2059$42.3943.22%44.36%42.33%+2.03+0.128
2026-12-1887$42.6341.26%42.24%39.03%+3.21-0.6212
2027-01-15115$42.5840.26%42.38%39.39%+2.99+0.6315
2027-03-19178$42.7641.55%43.52%38.99%+4.53-0.2917
2027-06-17268$43.3840.60%44.16%39.05%+5.11+1.0016

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

38%40%42%44%46%48%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 43.52%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 40.24%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 42.15%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 41.27%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 47.28%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 46.18%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 43.22%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 41.26%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 40.26%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 41.55%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 40.60%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$42.1643.52%$42.1910
2026-10-0210 days$42.2840.24%$42.3713
2026-10-0917 days$42.2242.15%$42.3916
2026-10-1624 days$42.2341.27%$42.4620
2026-10-2331 days$42.3047.28%$42.7013
2026-10-3038 days$42.3046.18%$42.7714
2026-11-2059 days$42.3943.22%$43.038
2026-12-1887 days$42.6341.26%$43.5012
2027-01-15115 days$42.5840.26%$43.6815
2027-03-19178 days$42.7641.55%$44.5917
2027-06-17268 days$43.3840.60%$46.0816

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
46.63%
60 days
43.12%
90 days
41.12%
180 days
41.52%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 225 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep19 Nov6 Feb28 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-21Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.5%
Mean move that happened
22.1%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-22After the close———
2026-04-22After the close———
2026-01-28After the close———
2025-10-22After the close———
2025-07-23After the close———
2025-04-23After the close8.5%+59.5%7.04×
2025-01-30Before the open7.6%-1.2%0.16×
2024-10-24Before the open6.5%-5.6%0.86×
2024-07-25Before the open———
2024-04-25Before the open———
2024-02-06After the close———
2024-01-25Before the open———
2023-10-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.