Options Skew Analytics

MARA options analytics

MARA · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

MARA options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 83.0%, a move of about ±23.8% over the next month. Its history here is 5 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta calls carry 6.05 volatility points more than the puts.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-03 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
83.02%

Prices a move of about ±23.8% over 30 days, or ±5.2% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-6.05

Calls carry 6.05 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.58

The wings carry 0.58 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.027

90-day volatility is 3% above 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 5 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$13.35
30-day implied forward
$13.44
60-day ATM IV
86.20%
90-day ATM IV
85.23%
180-day ATM IV
85.97%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
1,266,909
Put / call open interest
0.56

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 5 sessions

82%83%83%84%84%85%2026-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 83%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 82%2026-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 83%17 Sep18 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 5)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2383.02%-6.051.027$13.35
2026-09-2282.26%-6.301.033$13.63
2026-09-2184.24%-6.121.022$13.28
2026-09-1883.57%-2.741.045$13.24
2026-09-1782.78%-3.541.041$11.64

The chart covers every session in the archive, 5 in total. The table lists the most recent 5.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 5 sessions

-8.0-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.02026-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.52026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.72026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.12026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.32026-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.017 Sep18 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

60%80%100%120%140%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ C — IV 118.96%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 109.86%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 104.86%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 103.01%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 101.93%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 100.64%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 98.63%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 96.52%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 94.92%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 94.03%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 93.41%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 92.89%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 92.37%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 91.74%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 90.87%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 89.91%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 89.24%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 90.66%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 99.81%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ C — IV 101.64%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 93.46%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 90.34%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 88.22%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 86.55%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 85.65%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 84.92%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 84.18%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 82.86%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 81.91%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 81.83%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 81.79%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 81.51%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 80.73%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 80.31%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 80.16%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 80.15%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 80.48%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 84.23%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ C — IV 99.69%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 93.47%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 90.09%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 87.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 85.59%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 84.50%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 82.55%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 81.10%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 80.61%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 81.16%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 81.16%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 80.47%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 79.82%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 79.18%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 78.54%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 78.46%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 79.09%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ P — IV 79.13%2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ P — IV 84.25%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
5Δ call118.96%101.64%99.69%
10Δ call109.86%93.46%93.47%
15Δ call104.86%90.34%90.09%
20Δ call103.01%88.22%87.28%
25Δ call101.93%86.55%85.59%
30Δ call100.64%85.65%84.50%
35Δ call98.63%84.92%82.55%
40Δ call96.52%84.18%81.10%
45Δ call94.92%82.86%80.61%
ATM94.03%81.91%81.16%
45Δ put93.41%81.83%81.16%
40Δ put92.89%81.79%80.47%
35Δ put92.37%81.51%79.82%
30Δ put91.74%80.73%79.18%
25Δ put90.87%80.31%78.54%
20Δ put89.91%80.16%78.46%
15Δ put89.24%80.15%79.09%
10Δ put90.66%80.48%79.13%
5Δ put99.81%84.23%84.25%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$13.3994.03%90.87%101.93%-11.07+2.3710
2026-10-029$13.4181.91%80.31%86.55%-6.24+1.5323
2026-10-0916$13.4481.16%78.54%85.59%-7.05+0.9025
2026-10-1623$13.4481.94%80.27%86.39%-6.12+1.3926
2026-10-2330$13.4483.02%80.58%86.63%-6.05+0.5827
2026-10-3037$13.4882.60%81.31%86.07%-4.76+1.0928
2026-11-2058$13.4986.29%85.12%90.14%-5.02+1.3419
2026-12-1886$13.5385.40%83.83%89.17%-5.35+1.1030
2027-01-15114$13.6084.45%83.95%88.65%-4.70+1.8534
2027-06-17267$13.8786.82%86.44%91.77%-5.34+2.2826

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

80%85%90%95%100%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 94.03%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 81.91%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 81.16%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 81.94%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 83.02%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 82.60%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 86.29%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 85.40%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 84.45%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 86.82%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$13.3994.03%$13.4310
2026-10-029 days$13.4181.91%$13.5223
2026-10-0916 days$13.4481.16%$13.6425
2026-10-1623 days$13.4481.94%$13.7326
2026-10-2330 days$13.4483.02%$13.8327
2026-10-3037 days$13.4882.60%$13.9628
2026-11-2058 days$13.4986.29%$14.3219
2026-12-1886 days$13.5385.40%$14.7430
2027-01-15114 days$13.6084.45%$15.2034
2027-06-17267 days$13.8786.82%$18.2726

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
83.02%
60 days
86.20%
90 days
85.23%
180 days
85.97%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 5 sessions

0.981.001.021.041.062026-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.0317 Sep18 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-03Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-06After the close———
2026-05-11After the close———
2026-02-26After the close———
2025-11-04Before the open———
2025-07-29After the close———
2025-05-09Before the open———
2025-02-26After the close———
2024-11-12After the close———
2024-08-01After the close———
2024-05-09After the close———
2024-02-28After the close———
2023-11-09Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.