Options Skew Analytics

MMM options analytics

MMM · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

MMM options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 28.1%, a move of about ±8.1% over the next month. That is higher than 65% of the 217 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.80 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-20 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.8% and MMM moved 4.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
28.13%

Prices a move of about ±8.1% over 30 days, or ±1.8% on a typical day.

Higher than 65% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.80

Puts carry 2.80 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 45% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.24

The wings carry 0.24 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.959

90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day.

Higher than 26% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 217 prior sessions (one-year window)

28.1% — 65th percentile
19.0%61.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
65%
IV rank, 1 year
21%
IV percentile, 2 years
65%
IV rank, 2 years
21%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$170.30
30-day implied forward
$170.65
60-day ATM IV
28.86%
90-day ATM IV
26.97%
180-day ATM IV
27.77%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
66,837
Put / call open interest
0.41

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 226 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%3 Sep20 Nov14 Feb6 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2328.13%+2.800.959$170.30
2026-09-2228.28%+2.120.997$169.30
2026-09-2127.35%+2.150.995$164.97
2026-09-1825.12%+1.751.095$165.89
2026-09-1725.17%+2.441.087$164.71
2026-09-1625.11%+1.161.099$162.65
2026-09-15———$164.67
2026-09-14———$162.02
2026-09-11———$164.97
2026-09-1024.02%+2.271.144$162.86
2026-09-0924.44%+1.371.129$164.40
2026-09-0824.55%+1.701.125$167.52
2026-09-0423.38%+1.841.163$168.56
2026-09-03———$168.31
2026-09-0223.40%+1.821.142$168.75
2026-09-01———$170.24
2026-08-3122.73%+1.471.143$171.83
2026-08-2822.31%+1.831.178$174.34
2026-08-2722.29%+1.391.183$178.83
2026-08-2622.60%+2.601.161$180.00
2026-08-2523.10%+1.531.148$179.37
2026-08-2423.04%+2.371.159$179.01
2025-06-3031.25%+2.690.882$152.24
2025-06-2730.40%+3.980.929$152.02
2025-06-2628.67%+2.670.985$150.76
2025-06-2527.99%+3.021.033$147.75
2025-06-2427.39%+2.811.032$149.87
2025-06-2329.08%+2.721.006$147.60
2025-06-2029.92%+0.950.999$144.03
2025-06-1826.13%+3.271.144$142.51
2025-06-1727.27%+3.641.103$142.21
2025-06-1624.97%+3.401.186$145.07
2025-06-1326.24%+3.691.141$142.32
2025-06-1225.62%+3.771.159$144.77
2025-06-1125.34%+3.311.165$147.18
2025-06-1024.66%+2.511.162$145.06
2025-06-0924.52%+3.171.163$144.23
2025-06-0625.40%+2.271.101$145.50
2025-06-0526.35%+3.601.089$146.26
2025-06-0426.70%+2.381.064$146.81
2025-06-0325.94%+2.251.091$148.13
2025-06-0226.21%+3.821.092$146.40
2025-05-3026.27%+3.251.105$148.35
2025-05-2926.43%+3.641.081$149.63
2025-05-2826.26%+5.001.097$148.66
2025-05-2728.15%+4.381.010$149.49
2025-05-2325.36%+3.661.151$147.62
2025-05-2225.93%+3.451.098$149.78
2025-05-2126.03%+3.241.091$149.40
2025-05-2024.64%+2.941.098$154.15
2025-05-1924.46%+3.691.110$154.14
2025-05-1624.13%+3.961.084$153.11
2025-05-1523.64%+2.091.078$148.74
2025-05-1425.66%+1.601.036$147.88
2025-05-1324.59%+1.541.041$150.74
2025-05-1223.86%+3.131.072$150.33
2025-05-0926.72%+4.631.040$142.60
2025-05-0828.01%+2.010.990$141.12
2025-05-0728.50%+3.571.019$138.64
2025-05-0628.39%+1.381.018$138.02
2025-05-0526.16%+7.331.073$140.80
2025-05-0225.65%+4.291.068$142.08
2025-05-0127.16%+4.981.055$137.90
2025-04-3029.08%+5.290.980$138.91
2025-04-2928.64%+3.061.020$138.38
2025-04-2831.01%+3.350.947$137.93
2025-04-2531.29%+3.210.929$137.32
2025-04-2430.47%+5.560.975$138.88
2025-04-2336.18%+3.540.865$136.06
2025-04-2232.65%+4.990.948$136.33
2025-04-2149.61%+9.830.804$126.09
2025-04-1745.34%+7.430.808$130.21
2025-04-1644.90%+12.430.841$130.46
2025-04-1542.00%+11.490.809$135.26
2025-04-1443.50%+8.760.809$136.01
2025-04-1148.50%+10.920.785$135.95
2025-04-1053.10%+10.170.766$132.97
2025-04-0946.71%+9.960.755$138.32
2025-04-0859.64%+13.390.735$127.16
2025-04-0761.60%+11.460.725$128.55
2025-04-04———$126.91
2025-04-0339.16%+4.890.827$139.74
2025-04-0234.70%+4.540.848$147.76
2025-04-0133.84%+2.780.864$147.67
2025-03-3135.77%+2.810.820$146.86
2025-03-2831.70%+6.110.933$144.84
2025-03-2730.43%+4.560.933$148.44
2025-03-2629.90%+3.470.943$152.68
2025-03-2528.24%+4.170.941$153.50
2025-03-2427.37%+2.641.012$153.15
2025-03-2127.66%+3.411.041$150.36
2025-03-2027.49%+3.791.055$151.27
2025-03-1927.09%+2.981.080$153.21
2025-03-1828.24%+4.221.071$150.92
2025-03-1727.76%+2.781.066$153.21
2025-03-1427.53%+3.851.110$150.41
2025-03-1330.37%+5.801.032$146.10
2025-03-1231.74%+2.770.999$150.24
2025-03-1133.76%+2.650.969$147.54
2025-03-1032.80%+3.250.996$147.62
2025-03-0730.16%+2.431.021$146.30
2025-03-0628.61%+3.131.040$146.94
2025-03-0526.62%+1.341.102$147.61
2025-03-0429.03%+4.601.040$145.86
2025-03-0325.64%+4.791.093$153.42
2025-02-2825.68%+4.761.068$155.12
2025-02-2727.10%+2.791.059$150.52
2025-02-2625.01%+1.701.109$147.43
2025-02-2530.07%+3.851.024$146.54
2025-02-2430.17%+3.580.975$145.48
2025-02-2128.85%+2.050.967$144.98
2025-02-2025.38%+2.141.062$149.08
2025-02-1924.67%+2.611.080$150.20
2025-02-1825.15%+2.141.102$148.99
2025-02-1425.44%+1.101.043$148.62
2025-02-1324.72%+1.620.984$148.72
2025-02-1224.52%+0.981.061$148.87
2025-02-1125.08%+2.531.045$150.07
2025-02-1024.12%+1.111.057$149.69
2025-02-0726.20%+4.750.956$149.87

The chart covers every session in the archive, 226 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 226 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.03 Sep20 Nov14 Feb6 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16) · 37d (2026-10-30)

22%24%26%28%30%32%34%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 23.12%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 23.11%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 23.31%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 23.57%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 23.55%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 23.52%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 23.63%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 23.96%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 24.31%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 24.72%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 25.05%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 25.26%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 25.53%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 25.98%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ C — IV 25.43%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 23.79%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 23.20%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 22.92%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 22.79%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 23.02%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 23.39%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 23.71%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 24.07%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 24.60%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 24.81%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 24.82%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 24.81%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 24.73%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 24.73%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 24.82%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 26.09%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ P — IV 27.00%23d2026-10-30 (37d) — 15Δ C — IV 28.43%2026-10-30 (37d) — 20Δ C — IV 28.48%2026-10-30 (37d) — 25Δ C — IV 28.54%2026-10-30 (37d) — 30Δ C — IV 28.62%2026-10-30 (37d) — 35Δ C — IV 28.75%2026-10-30 (37d) — 40Δ C — IV 28.93%2026-10-30 (37d) — 45Δ C — IV 29.38%2026-10-30 (37d) — ATM — IV 30.11%2026-10-30 (37d) — 45Δ P — IV 30.37%2026-10-30 (37d) — 40Δ P — IV 30.31%2026-10-30 (37d) — 35Δ P — IV 30.25%2026-10-30 (37d) — 30Δ P — IV 30.79%2026-10-30 (37d) — 25Δ P — IV 31.79%2026-10-30 (37d) — 20Δ P — IV 31.93%37d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta16d23d37d
5Δ call—25.43%—
10Δ call—23.79%—
15Δ call23.12%23.20%28.43%
20Δ call23.11%22.92%28.48%
25Δ call23.31%22.79%28.54%
30Δ call23.57%23.02%28.62%
35Δ call23.55%23.39%28.75%
40Δ call23.52%23.71%28.93%
45Δ call23.63%24.07%29.38%
ATM23.96%24.60%30.11%
45Δ put24.31%24.81%30.37%
40Δ put24.72%24.82%30.31%
35Δ put25.05%24.81%30.25%
30Δ put25.26%24.73%30.79%
25Δ put25.53%24.73%31.79%
20Δ put25.98%24.82%31.93%
15Δ put—26.09%—
10Δ put—27.00%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-0916$170.4323.96%25.53%23.31%+2.22+0.468
2026-10-1623$170.6024.60%24.73%22.79%+1.95-0.8412
2026-10-3037$170.7030.11%31.79%28.54%+3.24+0.058
2026-11-2058$170.7029.05%29.68%27.55%+2.13-0.4410
2026-12-1886$171.3427.07%28.44%26.09%+2.35+0.1912
2027-01-15114$171.7026.51%27.39%25.76%+1.63+0.0713
2027-03-19177$172.0227.80%28.42%26.45%+1.97-0.3718
2027-04-16205$172.5127.50%29.12%26.18%+2.94+0.1513
2027-06-17267$173.0127.96%29.94%26.57%+3.37+0.3020
2027-09-17359$174.7627.97%29.83%26.68%+3.15+0.2925

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

22%24%26%28%30%32%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 23.96%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 24.60%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 30.11%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 29.05%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 27.07%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 26.51%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 27.80%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 27.50%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 27.96%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 27.97%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-0916 days$170.4323.96%$170.658
2026-10-1623 days$170.6024.60%$170.9312
2026-10-3037 days$170.7030.11%$171.498
2026-11-2058 days$170.7029.05%$171.8510
2026-12-1886 days$171.3427.07%$172.8212
2027-01-15114 days$171.7026.51%$173.5913
2027-03-19177 days$172.0227.80%$175.2718
2027-04-16205 days$172.5127.50%$176.2113
2027-06-17267 days$173.0127.96%$178.0320
2027-09-17359 days$174.7627.97%$181.6225

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
28.13%
60 days
28.86%
90 days
26.97%
180 days
27.77%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 226 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep20 Nov14 Feb6 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-20Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 3
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.8%
Mean move that happened
4.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-21Before the open———
2026-04-21Before the open———
2026-01-20Before the open———
2025-10-21Before the open———
2025-07-18Before the open———
2025-04-22Before the open9.1%+8.1%0.89×
2025-01-21Before the open7.7%+4.2%0.54×
2024-10-22Before the open9.5%-2.3%0.24×
2024-07-26Before the open———
2024-04-30Before the open———
2024-01-23Before the open———
2023-10-24Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.