Options Skew Analytics

MMM options analytics

MMM · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

MMM options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 26.0%, a move of about ±7.4% over the next month. That is higher than 40% of the 245 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.01 volatility points more than the calls, closer together than on 95% of the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-19 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±7.4% and MMM moved 4.0% on average, staying inside the priced band 5 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
25.97%

Prices a move of about ±7.4% over 30 days, or ±1.6% on a typical day.

Higher than 40% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.01

Puts carry 1.01 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 5% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.41

The wings carry 0.41 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.040

90-day volatility is 4% above 30-day.

Higher than 53% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 245 prior sessions (one-year window)

26.0% — 40th percentile
19.0%61.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
40%
IV rank, 1 year
16%
IV percentile, 2 years
46%
IV rank, 2 years
16%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$188.63
30-day implied forward
$189.49
60-day ATM IV
25.73%
90-day ATM IV
27.01%
180-day ATM IV
28.35%
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
86,117
Put / call open interest
0.25

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%3 Sep27 Dec25 Apr18 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0925.97%+1.011.040$188.63
2026-11-0627.43%+1.350.999$185.15
2026-11-0528.68%+2.490.967$187.77
2026-11-0425.93%+0.861.026$193.95
2026-11-0326.48%+3.221.000$177.05
2026-11-0226.03%+2.341.023$178.36
2026-10-3026.47%+3.330.984$174.34
2026-10-2924.57%+1.901.028$177.36
2026-10-2825.44%+1.260.965$172.80
2026-10-2725.61%+2.850.974$171.58
2026-10-2626.06%+2.330.988$172.79
2026-10-2326.69%+2.390.962$173.46
2026-10-2226.75%+2.380.944$175.56
2026-10-2126.30%+1.570.942$174.74
2026-10-2026.80%+1.850.929$171.37
2026-10-1934.19%+2.850.817$162.01
2026-10-1634.80%+2.980.813$164.75
2026-10-1534.58%+1.440.801$165.33
2026-10-1439.47%+1.600.709$164.46
2026-10-1332.18%+2.480.844$162.77
2026-10-0932.19%+1.570.851$159.96
2026-10-0833.33%+1.400.830$163.58
2026-10-0732.76%+1.530.828$162.12
2026-10-0632.00%+1.820.862$163.64
2026-10-0532.62%+1.970.855$163.19
2026-10-0232.00%+1.560.863$161.89
2026-10-0132.47%+1.640.859$163.02
2026-09-3032.10%+1.350.863$164.15
2026-09-2932.07%+2.890.854$168.49
2026-09-2830.55%+2.170.895$169.48
2026-09-2527.82%+2.250.994$169.55
2026-09-2427.89%+0.940.971$167.52
2026-09-2328.13%+2.800.959$170.30
2026-09-2228.28%+2.120.997$169.30
2026-09-2127.35%+2.150.995$164.97
2026-09-1825.12%+1.751.095$165.89
2026-09-1725.17%+2.441.087$164.71
2026-09-1625.11%+1.161.099$162.65
2026-09-15———$164.67
2026-09-14———$162.02
2026-09-11———$164.97
2026-09-1024.02%+2.271.144$162.86
2026-09-0924.44%+1.371.129$164.40
2026-09-0824.55%+1.701.125$167.52
2026-09-0423.38%+1.841.163$168.56
2026-09-03———$168.31
2026-09-0223.40%+1.821.142$168.75
2026-09-01———$170.24
2026-08-3122.73%+1.471.143$171.83
2026-08-2822.31%+1.831.178$174.34
2026-08-2722.29%+1.391.183$178.83
2026-08-2622.60%+2.601.161$180.00
2026-08-2523.10%+1.531.148$179.37
2026-08-2423.04%+2.371.159$179.01
2025-09-2933.00%+3.010.889$154.08
2025-09-2632.31%+2.420.925$152.81
2025-09-2533.61%+2.710.888$153.03
2025-09-2431.81%+2.830.918$154.60
2025-09-2331.42%+2.600.946$156.29
2025-09-2229.10%+2.581.005$153.86
2025-09-1930.11%+1.890.957$156.60
2025-09-1828.05%+3.311.023$155.40
2025-09-1727.61%+2.121.033$155.16
2025-09-1629.32%+1.350.982$156.50
2025-09-1527.69%+2.211.031$156.66
2025-09-1226.21%+1.541.080$157.87
2025-09-1127.37%+3.401.042$159.47
2025-09-1027.64%+2.451.034$153.57
2025-09-0925.74%+2.211.108$153.08
2025-09-0825.44%+3.041.124$154.00
2025-09-0525.23%+2.331.127$155.30
2025-09-0424.85%+1.141.133$155.52
2025-09-0326.13%+3.591.095$152.00
2025-09-0225.54%+2.801.123$154.27
2025-08-2924.02%+2.771.174$155.53
2025-08-2823.57%+2.541.193$157.56
2025-08-2726.40%+0.191.050$156.53
2025-08-2624.72%+2.531.120$156.57
2025-08-2524.34%+2.411.153$155.85
2025-08-2223.38%+2.091.174$158.72
2025-08-2125.39%+3.091.127$154.38
2025-08-2024.78%+2.171.149$154.75
2025-08-1924.17%+3.201.147$154.34
2025-08-1824.49%+2.831.100$152.86
2025-08-1524.18%+2.661.123$152.39
2025-08-1422.63%+1.851.176$156.65
2025-08-1322.76%+2.301.153$160.20
2025-08-1223.20%+2.361.134$157.85
2025-08-1124.57%+2.631.077$155.31
2025-08-0823.10%+1.431.115$153.30
2025-08-0723.59%+2.451.127$151.74
2025-08-0623.56%+1.621.115$150.82
2025-08-0525.67%+2.891.032$150.09
2025-08-0424.32%+3.091.083$147.87
2025-08-0125.56%+1.661.058$144.41
2025-07-3124.05%+1.731.076$149.22
2025-07-3024.38%+2.171.066$146.62
2025-07-2922.68%+2.401.107$151.79
2025-07-2822.53%+2.211.105$152.05
2025-07-2522.58%+2.611.095$151.27
2025-07-2422.36%-0.641.129$149.30
2025-07-2323.15%+2.311.053$150.82
2025-07-2222.27%+3.371.098$151.20
2025-07-2122.35%+2.561.092$152.82
2025-07-1823.17%+1.611.045$153.23
2025-07-1730.33%+2.070.884$159.04
2025-07-1633.13%+1.670.860$157.56
2025-07-1532.26%+2.200.869$156.59
2025-07-1432.99%+1.270.858$157.91
2025-07-1132.33%+0.910.859$155.84
2025-07-1032.11%+1.280.865$157.32
2025-07-0932.02%-2.340.897$155.98
2025-07-0831.08%+1.430.908$153.74
2025-07-0732.98%+0.780.878$151.84
2025-07-0333.52%+2.740.855$152.94
2025-07-0231.96%+3.420.868$153.97
2025-07-0133.61%+1.800.834$153.81
2025-06-3031.25%+2.690.882$152.24
2025-06-2730.40%+3.980.929$152.02
2025-06-2628.67%+2.670.985$150.76

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.03 Sep27 Dec25 Apr18 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27) · 25d (2026-12-04)

24%26%28%30%32%34%36%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 29.11%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 29.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 28.23%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 28.17%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 28.60%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 28.56%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 28.30%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 28.31%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 28.45%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 28.53%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 28.57%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 28.67%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 28.94%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 29.51%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 30.57%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 32.10%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 35.01%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 26.37%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 26.59%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 26.04%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 26.52%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 27.18%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 26.55%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 26.23%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 26.19%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 26.19%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 26.25%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 26.82%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 27.27%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 27.08%18d2026-12-04 (25d) — 15Δ C — IV 27.25%2026-12-04 (25d) — 20Δ C — IV 26.21%2026-12-04 (25d) — 25Δ C — IV 26.08%2026-12-04 (25d) — 30Δ C — IV 26.07%2026-12-04 (25d) — 35Δ C — IV 26.05%2026-12-04 (25d) — 40Δ C — IV 26.02%2026-12-04 (25d) — 45Δ C — IV 26.00%2026-12-04 (25d) — ATM — IV 25.99%2026-12-04 (25d) — 45Δ P — IV 26.10%2026-12-04 (25d) — 40Δ P — IV 26.32%2026-12-04 (25d) — 35Δ P — IV 26.53%2026-12-04 (25d) — 30Δ P — IV 26.67%2026-12-04 (25d) — 25Δ P — IV 26.85%2026-12-04 (25d) — 20Δ P — IV 27.31%2026-12-04 (25d) — 15Δ P — IV 29.02%25d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta11d18d25d
15Δ call29.11%—27.25%
20Δ call29.29%26.37%26.21%
25Δ call28.23%26.59%26.08%
30Δ call28.17%26.04%26.07%
35Δ call28.60%26.52%26.05%
40Δ call28.56%27.18%26.02%
45Δ call28.30%26.55%26.00%
ATM28.31%26.23%25.99%
45Δ put28.45%26.19%26.10%
40Δ put28.53%26.19%26.32%
35Δ put28.57%26.25%26.53%
30Δ put28.67%26.82%26.67%
25Δ put28.94%27.27%26.85%
20Δ put29.51%27.08%27.31%
15Δ put30.57%—29.02%
10Δ put32.10%——
5Δ put35.01%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-2011$189.0528.31%28.94%28.23%+0.72+0.2810
2026-11-2718$189.1726.23%27.27%26.59%+0.68+0.709
2026-12-0425$189.3725.99%26.85%26.08%+0.77+0.487
2026-12-1839$189.7025.95%26.93%25.64%+1.29+0.3410
2027-01-1567$190.3825.68%26.94%25.33%+1.60+0.4513
2027-03-19130$190.8928.15%28.91%26.83%+2.08-0.2813
2027-04-16158$191.6827.82%29.89%25.82%+4.06+0.0315
2027-06-17220$192.2329.03%30.97%27.39%+3.59+0.1520
2027-09-17312$193.4428.76%31.30%27.75%+3.55+0.7624

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

25%26%27%28%29%30%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 28.31%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 26.23%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 25.99%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 25.95%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 25.68%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 28.15%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 27.82%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 29.03%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 28.76%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-2011 days$189.0528.31%$189.2810
2026-11-2718 days$189.1726.23%$189.499
2026-12-0425 days$189.3725.99%$189.817
2026-12-1839 days$189.7025.95%$190.3810
2027-01-1567 days$190.3825.68%$191.5313
2027-03-19130 days$190.8928.15%$193.6013
2027-04-16158 days$191.6827.82%$194.9215
2027-06-17220 days$192.2329.03%$197.1820
2027-09-17312 days$193.4428.76%$200.4024

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
25.97%
60 days
25.73%
90 days
27.01%
180 days
28.35%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep27 Dec25 Apr18 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-19Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
5 of 5
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.4%
Mean move that happened
4.0%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-10-20Before the open3.5%+2.0%0.56×
2026-07-21Before the open———
2026-04-21Before the open———
2026-01-20Before the open———
2025-10-21Before the open———
2025-07-18Before the open6.9%-3.7%0.53×
2025-04-22Before the open9.1%+8.1%0.89×
2025-01-21Before the open7.7%+4.2%0.54×
2024-10-22Before the open9.5%-2.3%0.24×
2024-07-26Before the open———
2024-04-30Before the open———
2024-01-23Before the open———
2023-10-24Time not stated———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.