Options Skew Analytics

NCLH options analytics

NCLH · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

NCLH options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 47.8%, a move of about ±13.7% over the next month. That is higher than 47% of the 243 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 6.05 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 7 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.8% and NCLH moved 7.3% on average, staying inside the priced band 5 times out of 7.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
47.78%

Prices a move of about ±13.7% over 30 days, or ±3.0% on a typical day.

Higher than 47% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+6.05

Puts carry 6.05 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 85% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.57

The wings carry 0.57 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.006

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Higher than 47% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 243 prior sessions (one-year window)

47.8% — 47th percentile
36.7%100.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
47%
IV rank, 1 year
17%
IV percentile, 2 years
51%
IV rank, 2 years
18%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$18.43
30-day implied forward
$18.70
60-day ATM IV
47.59%
90-day ATM IV
48.06%
180-day ATM IV
48.51%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
460,589
Put / call open interest
1.09

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%120%3 Sep31 Dec24 Apr15 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0947.78%+6.051.006$18.43
2026-11-0649.93%+3.020.982$17.92
2026-11-0550.81%+4.670.970$17.76
2026-11-0447.37%+0.910.996$18.60
2026-11-0351.06%+1.740.958$17.42
2026-11-0250.48%+2.370.971$17.94
2026-10-3047.98%+2.070.973$17.57
2026-10-2948.95%+1.470.980$18.22
2026-10-2855.85%+2.83—$16.06
2026-10-2756.04%+2.170.901$15.75
2026-10-2656.86%+3.870.896$15.25
2026-10-2357.19%+3.290.907$15.10
2026-10-2257.47%+2.490.865$15.54
2026-10-2157.64%+2.150.896$15.59
2026-10-2057.15%+1.660.897$15.65
2026-10-1954.66%+4.780.904$15.24
2026-10-1658.31%+2.860.867$15.05
2026-10-1555.86%+2.910.891$15.39
2026-10-1457.16%+1.280.882$14.87
2026-10-1355.79%+0.300.909$15.32
2026-10-0952.86%+1.310.960$15.57
2026-10-0854.57%+2.270.956$15.49
2026-10-0757.55%-0.580.895$15.05
2026-10-0656.27%+0.530.923$15.51
2026-10-0554.88%+0.640.926$14.87
2026-10-0252.70%-0.781.012$15.14
2026-10-0154.25%+2.320.981$14.64
2026-09-3054.16%+0.660.992$14.66
2026-09-2953.97%+3.081.000$14.80
2026-09-2857.28%+0.080.958$14.31
2026-09-2553.01%+1.791.029$14.61
2026-09-2453.19%+1.431.026$14.19
2026-09-2353.04%+1.211.011$14.18
2026-09-2249.73%+3.041.053$14.22
2026-09-2150.08%+1.721.047$14.24
2026-09-1846.99%+0.021.114$14.12
2026-09-1748.06%+1.661.101$14.39
2026-09-1648.09%+1.621.089$14.53
2026-09-15———$14.28
2026-09-14———$14.72
2026-09-11———$14.82
2026-09-10———$14.57
2026-09-09———$14.85
2026-09-0847.32%+0.631.091$15.39
2026-09-04———$15.57
2026-09-0343.96%-0.121.116$15.59
2026-09-02———$15.57
2026-09-0144.03%-0.991.116$15.43
2026-08-3142.84%+1.671.165$16.14
2026-08-2844.13%+0.251.150$16.65
2026-08-2742.17%-1.851.131$16.65
2026-08-2643.26%-1.821.098$17.09
2026-08-2546.58%+1.141.050$17.26
2026-08-2445.80%+0.041.069$17.22
2025-09-2951.70%+5.240.889$24.75
2025-09-2643.90%+4.781.035$25.04
2025-09-2545.20%+4.471.014$25.00
2025-09-2445.27%+2.211.016$25.23
2025-09-2345.99%+2.400.993$25.57
2025-09-2242.56%+4.191.059$25.39
2025-09-1943.03%+3.341.048$25.23
2025-09-1844.99%+2.941.028$25.41
2025-09-1746.02%+2.361.004$25.38
2025-09-1645.38%+3.041.004$25.58
2025-09-1545.23%+3.721.010$26.01
2025-09-1242.28%+3.091.048$26.65
2025-09-1143.64%+3.981.025$26.94
2025-09-1042.69%+4.651.039$25.43
2025-09-0942.66%+5.441.014$25.37
2025-09-0841.86%+5.551.012$24.53
2025-09-0540.39%+3.501.032$25.66
2025-09-0440.19%+3.071.029$25.59
2025-09-0339.14%+5.641.065$25.34
2025-09-0241.08%+3.711.020$24.72
2025-08-2940.74%+2.930.986$24.84
2025-08-2838.01%+1.531.038$25.39
2025-08-2740.36%+1.891.014$24.88
2025-08-2639.18%+3.231.047$24.76
2025-08-2538.78%+2.681.045$24.64
2025-08-2237.52%+4.841.073$25.05
2025-08-2140.35%+3.391.032$23.36
2025-08-2038.99%+3.141.044$23.85
2025-08-1936.95%+5.501.077$24.43
2025-08-1838.22%+3.821.035$24.58
2025-08-1537.64%+2.971.068$24.30
2025-08-1438.43%+2.481.065$24.36
2025-08-1338.92%+4.081.041$24.76
2025-08-1238.08%+4.191.066$24.24
2025-08-1139.45%+2.271.052$23.73
2025-08-0838.54%+2.971.064$24.00
2025-08-0737.45%+3.621.085$24.47
2025-08-0638.21%+3.991.049$24.81
2025-08-0538.47%+4.101.042$25.00
2025-08-0436.71%+4.761.092$25.34
2025-08-0140.36%+3.501.036$24.50
2025-07-3138.31%+4.791.048$25.56
2025-07-3050.69%+4.260.889$23.40
2025-07-2948.12%+4.410.911$23.41
2025-07-2848.71%+3.500.922$23.88
2025-07-2548.85%+6.950.889$23.82
2025-07-2452.04%+3.900.863$23.50
2025-07-2351.16%+6.150.878$24.32
2025-07-2253.96%+9.000.844$23.60
2025-07-2152.86%+5.330.862$23.19
2025-07-1853.98%+3.720.861$23.59
2025-07-1754.15%+3.550.866$23.60
2025-07-1655.07%+5.210.870$23.05
2025-07-1555.63%+4.800.860$22.74
2025-07-1456.49%+2.840.854$23.27
2025-07-1154.43%+2.290.869$22.62
2025-07-1055.47%+3.430.870$23.15
2025-07-0954.49%+4.120.876$21.96
2025-07-0857.56%+6.880.834$21.64
2025-07-0756.20%+4.460.871$21.45
2025-07-0354.25%+4.440.885$21.98
2025-07-0245.94%+6.281.031$21.37
2025-07-0150.65%+3.510.962$20.98
2025-06-3052.22%+4.360.915$20.28
2025-06-2747.30%+2.451.001$20.18
2025-06-2644.69%+3.321.089$19.46

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.03 Sep31 Dec24 Apr15 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

40%45%50%55%60%65%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 55.63%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 55.75%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 56.13%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 56.42%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 56.68%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 56.91%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 57.06%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 57.16%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 57.25%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 57.38%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 57.64%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 58.08%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 58.65%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 59.31%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 60.25%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 60.94%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 61.16%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 63.27%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 51.23%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 50.07%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 49.99%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 49.80%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 49.46%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 49.51%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 49.87%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 50.28%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 50.79%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 51.30%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 51.69%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 52.04%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 52.44%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 52.89%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 53.33%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 53.83%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 55.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 57.69%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 46.10%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.73%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.70%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.45%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.16%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 47.80%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.01%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 49.13%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 49.19%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 50.85%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 52.07%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 51.38%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
10Δ call55.63%51.23%—
15Δ call55.75%50.07%—
20Δ call56.13%49.99%—
25Δ call56.42%49.80%46.10%
30Δ call56.68%49.46%46.73%
35Δ call56.91%49.51%48.70%
40Δ call57.06%49.87%48.45%
45Δ call57.16%50.28%47.16%
ATM57.25%50.79%47.80%
45Δ put57.38%51.30%49.01%
40Δ put57.64%51.69%49.13%
35Δ put58.08%52.04%49.19%
30Δ put58.65%52.44%50.85%
25Δ put59.31%52.89%52.07%
20Δ put60.25%53.33%51.38%
15Δ put60.94%53.83%—
10Δ put61.16%55.02%—
5Δ put63.27%57.69%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$18.6357.25%59.31%56.42%+2.89+0.6210
2026-11-2011$18.6650.79%52.89%49.80%+3.09+0.5614
2026-11-2718$18.6947.80%52.07%46.10%+5.98+1.288
2026-12-0425$18.6946.93%49.33%45.47%+3.85+0.4710
2026-12-1132$18.7048.05%52.01%45.28%+6.73+0.599
2026-12-1839$18.7148.04%49.50%45.93%+3.57-0.3315
2027-01-1567$18.7347.50%48.96%45.41%+3.55-0.3213
2027-03-19130$18.9148.56%50.24%46.01%+4.23-0.4318
2027-06-17220$19.1348.49%52.84%46.42%+6.42+1.1318
2027-09-17312$19.2749.15%52.40%47.74%+4.67+0.9211

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

45%50%55%60%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 57.25%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 50.79%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 47.80%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 46.93%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 48.05%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 48.04%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 47.50%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 48.56%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 48.49%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 49.15%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$18.6357.25%$18.6610
2026-11-2011 days$18.6650.79%$18.7314
2026-11-2718 days$18.6947.80%$18.808
2026-12-0425 days$18.6946.93%$18.8310
2026-12-1132 days$18.7048.05%$18.899
2026-12-1839 days$18.7148.04%$18.9415
2027-01-1567 days$18.7347.50%$19.1213
2027-03-19130 days$18.9148.56%$19.7218
2027-06-17220 days$19.1348.49%$20.5418
2027-09-17312 days$19.2749.15%$21.3711

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
47.78%
60 days
47.59%
90 days
48.06%
180 days
48.51%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep30 Dec24 Apr14 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 7 reports

Landed inside the implied band
5 of 7
71% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.8%
Mean move that happened
7.3%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-03Time not stated5.8%+6.8%1.18×
2026-10-30Time not stated7.2%+2.1%0.29×
2026-10-29Before the open9.3%+13.4%1.45×
2026-07-30Before the open———
2026-05-04Before the open———
2026-03-02Before the open———
2026-02-12After the close———
2025-11-04Before the open———
2025-07-31Before the open9.8%+9.2%0.94×
2025-04-30Before the open9.7%-7.8%0.80×
2025-02-27Before the open9.7%-5.3%0.55×
2024-10-31Before the open10.3%+6.3%0.61×
2024-07-31Before the open———
2024-05-01Before the open———
2024-02-27Before the open———
2023-11-01Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.