Options Skew Analytics

NEM options analytics

NEM · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

NEM options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 40.4%, a move of about ±11.6% over the next month. That is higher than 69% of the 250 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.40 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-21 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±6.3% and NEM moved 113.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
40.42%

Prices a move of about ±11.6% over 30 days, or ±2.5% on a typical day.

Higher than 69% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.40

Puts carry 1.40 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 86% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.86

The wings carry 0.86 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.019

90-day volatility is 2% above 30-day.

Higher than 46% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 250 prior sessions (one-year window)

40.4% — 69th percentile
26.8%58.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
69%
IV rank, 1 year
43%
IV percentile, 2 years
75%
IV rank, 2 years
43%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$125.16
30-day implied forward
$126.14
60-day ATM IV
40.24%
90-day ATM IV
41.17%
180-day ATM IV
42.12%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
312,027
Put / call open interest
0.56

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%70%3 Sep31 Dec29 Apr22 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0940.42%+1.401.019$125.16
2026-11-0642.08%+2.410.983$120.91
2026-11-0543.26%+1.440.967$119.71
2026-11-0438.54%+0.631.031$118.11
2026-11-0340.34%-0.700.971$107.47
2026-11-0239.06%+0.121.000$109.09
2026-10-3039.73%+0.140.976$106.61
2026-10-2937.31%-0.031.016$111.80
2026-10-2838.84%-0.831.017$113.92
2026-10-2738.44%-1.360.988$112.64
2026-10-2643.25%+0.050.931$110.39
2026-10-2339.05%+1.260.961$108.87
2026-10-2243.95%-0.760.887$114.11
2026-10-2140.22%+2.060.950$117.18
2026-10-2041.64%-1.450.928$116.81
2026-10-1943.03%-1.320.900$118.01
2026-10-1642.70%+0.060.906$118.60
2026-10-1542.28%+0.220.906$115.79
2026-10-1442.91%+0.780.893$111.56
2026-10-1340.98%+0.680.918$115.59
2026-10-0942.00%-1.570.924$117.84
2026-10-0842.65%+0.020.924$115.55
2026-10-0742.77%-0.550.908$113.54
2026-10-0642.96%-0.030.915$116.39
2026-10-0541.27%-1.380.954$115.82
2026-10-0242.29%+0.510.947$115.56
2026-10-0141.55%+0.050.970$114.67
2026-09-3042.45%+1.090.951$115.34
2026-09-2945.11%-0.470.930$117.09
2026-09-2844.01%-1.800.954$116.05
2026-09-2543.73%-1.620.959$121.43
2026-09-2444.19%-0.590.988$121.30
2026-09-2343.36%-2.451.009$123.55
2026-09-2244.00%-3.000.998$127.26
2026-09-2145.12%-2.540.972$123.05
2026-09-1840.94%-0.731.065$123.41
2026-09-1740.84%-0.971.066$124.39
2026-09-1641.34%-0.341.080$121.76
2026-09-1541.31%-0.731.099$124.19
2026-09-1442.55%-0.681.050$123.07
2026-09-1140.60%-0.391.085$126.81
2026-09-1044.14%-2.061.037$126.14
2026-09-0943.22%-2.031.035$128.71
2026-09-0843.00%-1.011.064$127.09
2026-09-0442.78%-1.991.034$128.09
2026-09-0340.24%-2.851.116$130.43
2026-09-0240.58%-1.431.081$125.16
2026-09-0141.30%+0.291.092$122.63
2026-08-3142.84%-0.781.034$126.06
2026-08-2841.80%-1.751.074$127.98
2026-08-2741.09%-3.831.128$132.29
2026-08-2644.04%-2.821.062$131.60
2026-08-2544.24%-2.081.111$135.14
2026-08-2446.80%-1.191.040$131.84
2025-09-2936.74%+0.611.055$84.54
2025-09-2637.85%+0.130.995$85.25
2025-09-2539.55%-1.360.967$83.67
2025-09-2437.72%+0.351.017$83.47
2025-09-2337.96%-0.351.017$84.67
2025-09-2236.24%-0.651.020$83.72
2025-09-1934.39%+0.611.054$81.72
2025-09-1833.12%-0.261.070$78.32
2025-09-1733.44%-0.401.067$78.69
2025-09-1634.28%-0.711.048$79.02
2025-09-1533.51%-0.351.071$79.36
2025-09-1232.55%-0.211.081$79.25
2025-09-1132.96%-0.291.072$79.65
2025-09-1033.59%-0.511.069$78.43
2025-09-0933.74%+1.531.045$75.92
2025-09-0832.13%-0.581.107$75.75
2025-09-0533.05%-0.761.073$76.17
2025-09-0433.42%-0.941.060$74.88
2025-09-0333.74%-2.831.070$75.42
2025-09-0233.36%-0.531.081$75.86
2025-08-2930.81%-0.271.109$74.40
2025-08-2830.30%-1.051.124$72.97
2025-08-2727.62%+0.271.238$72.39
2025-08-2629.65%-0.861.167$72.43
2025-08-2530.83%-0.531.109$71.10
2025-08-2230.14%+0.381.112$70.77
2025-08-2131.26%-0.181.083$70.09
2025-08-2030.63%-0.261.094$69.00
2025-08-1930.48%+1.991.089$67.38
2025-08-1830.58%-0.251.089$69.00
2025-08-1531.01%-0.161.080$69.33
2025-08-1431.50%-0.261.072$68.48
2025-08-1330.89%+0.931.098$68.56
2025-08-1232.17%-0.181.056$68.93
2025-08-1132.77%-0.371.046$68.87
2025-08-0832.07%-0.281.064$68.98
2025-08-0732.40%-0.101.061$69.07
2025-08-0632.34%-0.061.058$67.92
2025-08-0532.99%-0.131.031$67.24
2025-08-0432.53%+0.691.031$65.42
2025-08-0131.60%-0.891.043$62.59
2025-07-3131.02%-1.541.040$62.10
2025-07-3031.11%-0.421.054$62.31
2025-07-2931.30%-0.211.042$63.99
2025-07-2831.36%-2.301.044$63.66
2025-07-2530.93%-2.031.047$65.75
2025-07-2436.94%+1.010.945$61.51
2025-07-2338.22%-0.760.916$61.42
2025-07-2235.92%+1.670.988$61.70
2025-07-2138.51%-0.720.911$59.86
2025-07-1839.25%-1.100.880$58.19
2025-07-1739.34%-0.840.896$57.99
2025-07-1640.86%-0.300.877$58.45
2025-07-1541.52%-0.230.878$57.35
2025-07-1438.68%-0.290.908$60.82
2025-07-1138.08%+0.320.915$60.13
2025-07-1037.77%+0.910.908$59.78
2025-07-0937.77%-2.050.916$58.75
2025-07-0838.29%+0.030.910$57.61
2025-07-0737.60%+1.210.934$60.16
2025-07-0336.42%-0.840.938$59.90
2025-07-0235.80%-0.280.949$60.06
2025-07-0134.48%+4.560.983$58.83
2025-06-3035.63%+0.230.960$58.26
2025-06-2732.22%+0.131.051$56.76
2025-06-2634.90%-1.670.980$59.19

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-5.00.05.010.03 Sep31 Dec29 Apr22 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

35%40%45%50%55%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 47.29%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.00%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.22%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 47.18%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 46.96%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.51%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 48.46%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.81%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 50.73%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 50.28%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 49.06%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.71%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.70%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 51.67%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 52.11%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 52.74%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 44.61%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 44.05%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 44.28%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 44.16%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 44.09%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 43.40%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 44.10%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 44.15%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 44.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 43.61%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 43.57%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 43.75%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 43.88%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 45.35%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 45.26%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 44.39%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 47.05%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 50.03%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 42.01%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 41.76%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 41.35%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 40.57%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 40.75%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 41.38%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 44.41%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 41.41%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 40.63%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 41.53%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 39.89%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 40.63%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 40.87%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 39.82%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
10Δ call—44.61%—
15Δ call—44.05%42.01%
20Δ call47.29%44.28%41.76%
25Δ call48.00%44.16%41.35%
30Δ call48.22%44.09%40.57%
35Δ call47.18%43.40%40.75%
40Δ call46.96%44.10%41.38%
45Δ call47.51%44.15%44.41%
ATM48.46%44.02%41.41%
45Δ put49.81%43.61%40.63%
40Δ put50.73%43.57%41.53%
35Δ put50.28%43.75%39.89%
30Δ put49.06%43.88%40.63%
25Δ put48.71%45.35%40.87%
20Δ put50.70%45.26%39.82%
15Δ put51.67%44.39%—
10Δ put52.11%47.05%—
5Δ put52.74%50.03%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$125.7648.46%48.71%48.00%+0.71-0.1016
2026-11-2011$125.9044.02%45.35%44.16%+1.18+0.7324
2026-11-2718$125.7741.41%40.87%41.35%-0.48-0.2916
2026-12-0425$126.1040.59%40.87%40.72%+0.15+0.2119
2026-12-1132$126.1540.37%42.32%40.53%+1.79+1.0622
2026-12-1839$125.9041.50%41.86%41.01%+0.86-0.0716
2026-12-2445$126.5339.56%40.48%39.80%+0.68+0.5816
2027-01-1567$126.5940.45%40.97%40.35%+0.62+0.2221
2027-03-19130$127.4141.80%42.06%41.64%+0.41+0.0527
2027-06-17220$128.6242.27%42.82%42.40%+0.43+0.3430
2027-09-17312$129.9742.36%43.31%42.78%+0.52+0.6926

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

38%40%42%44%46%48%50%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 48.46%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 44.02%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 41.41%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 40.59%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 40.37%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 41.50%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 39.56%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 40.45%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 41.80%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 42.27%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 42.36%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$125.7648.46%$125.9316
2026-11-2011 days$125.9044.02%$126.2724
2026-11-2718 days$125.7741.41%$126.3116
2026-12-0425 days$126.1040.59%$126.8119
2026-12-1132 days$126.1540.37%$127.0522
2026-12-1839 days$125.9041.50%$127.0716
2026-12-2445 days$126.5339.56%$127.7516
2027-01-1567 days$126.5940.45%$128.5021
2027-03-19130 days$127.4141.80%$131.4427
2027-06-17220 days$128.6242.27%$135.7330
2027-09-17312 days$129.9742.36%$140.3326

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
40.42%
60 days
40.24%
90 days
41.17%
180 days
42.12%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep31 Dec29 Apr22 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-21Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 5
20% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
6.3%
Mean move that happened
113.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-10-22After the close5.8%-4.6%0.79×
2026-07-23After the close———
2026-04-23After the close———
2026-02-19After the close———
2025-10-23After the close———
2025-07-24After the close6.4%+114.3%17.90×
2025-04-23After the close7.7%+148.1%19.23×
2025-02-20After the close5.6%+174.2%31.10×
2024-10-23After the close5.9%+128.3%21.80×
2024-07-24After the close———
2024-04-25Before the open———
2024-02-22Before the open———
2023-10-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.