Options Skew Analytics

NRG options analytics

NRG · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

NRG options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 46.4%, a move of about ±13.3% over the next month. Its history here is 226 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.92 volatility points more than the puts.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-04 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±10.3% and NRG moved 12.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
46.44%

Prices a move of about ±13.3% over 30 days, or ±2.9% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.92

Calls carry 0.92 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.67

The wings carry 0.67 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.036

90-day volatility is 4% above 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 138 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$100.72
30-day implied forward
$101.04
60-day ATM IV
50.09%
90-day ATM IV
48.09%
180-day ATM IV
49.22%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
72,990
Put / call open interest
0.51

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 226 sessions

30%40%50%60%70%80%18 Sep23 Jan4 Apr10 Jun23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2346.44%-0.921.036$100.72
2026-09-2247.27%-0.661.034$102.75
2026-09-2146.97%+0.171.049$103.28
2026-09-1846.26%-1.061.066$103.66
2026-09-1747.52%-0.151.061$106.23
2026-09-1650.08%-0.841.011$107.38
2026-09-1548.72%-2.081.051$105.99
2026-09-1449.63%+1.331.041$108.47
2026-09-1148.03%-0.941.027$113.46
2026-09-1048.64%-1.201.021$111.65
2026-09-0947.38%-0.781.032$115.37
2026-09-0847.68%-0.011.029$119.64
2026-09-0448.33%-2.211.019$119.02
2026-09-0342.99%-3.121.060$111.84
2026-09-0243.35%-0.591.052$111.09
2026-09-0143.07%-2.091.069$109.51
2026-08-3143.97%+1.161.030$110.12
2026-08-2844.61%-1.001.026$111.12
2026-08-2743.11%-2.431.079$114.41
2026-08-2645.02%-0.711.079$116.14
2026-08-2544.65%-0.441.064$113.61
2026-08-2443.93%-0.671.056$111.78
2025-06-3039.85%+3.611.125$160.58
2025-06-2741.56%+3.341.057$162.67
2025-06-2637.23%+2.851.161$161.54
2025-06-2540.30%+2.381.060$153.32
2025-06-24———$153.68
2025-06-2341.72%+2.501.095$152.05
2025-06-2039.29%+3.331.154$151.92
2025-06-1840.62%+3.561.131$152.64
2025-06-1741.32%+3.061.128$152.08
2025-06-1640.77%+3.471.134$153.94
2025-06-1341.42%+3.971.126$152.04
2025-06-1241.09%+6.031.115$151.00
2025-06-1139.73%+3.891.137$149.07
2025-06-1039.99%+2.691.113$148.68
2025-06-0938.01%+1.311.176$155.05
2025-06-0638.93%+1.161.154$155.94
2025-06-0541.22%+2.431.120$156.03
2025-06-0440.48%+1.481.131$156.97
2025-06-0342.39%+2.361.070$161.04
2025-06-0239.84%+1.461.132$158.49
2025-05-3039.84%+0.181.109$155.90
2025-05-2940.08%-0.291.103$154.47
2025-05-2841.72%+2.871.088$156.06
2025-05-2739.84%+2.341.135$156.91
2025-05-2345.01%+0.911.049$157.82
2025-05-2240.79%+2.171.090$155.29
2025-05-2141.56%+1.601.074$155.47
2025-05-2040.27%+2.261.083$159.68
2025-05-1939.97%+1.591.105$161.24
2025-05-1639.34%+1.891.100$159.20
2025-05-1540.81%+0.891.072$155.02
2025-05-14———$153.81
2025-05-13———$156.71
2025-05-12———$150.61
2025-05-0943.30%+4.891.019$119.33
2025-05-0844.95%+5.130.998$120.34
2025-05-0745.72%+5.250.969$118.67
2025-05-06———$117.01
2025-05-0545.98%+5.690.949$116.23
2025-05-0245.76%+4.260.930$116.64
2025-05-0147.22%+4.060.959$114.14
2025-04-3047.82%+7.960.940$109.58
2025-04-29———$109.53
2025-04-2845.34%+8.560.982$109.36
2025-04-2548.76%+7.860.929$108.33
2025-04-2448.53%+9.120.923$106.11
2025-04-2353.10%+9.420.923$102.04
2025-04-2253.83%+10.280.895$98.80
2025-04-2159.21%+11.390.872$93.09
2025-04-1754.92%+10.320.873$97.86
2025-04-1658.36%+10.130.854$98.09
2025-04-15———$97.11
2025-04-14———$95.92
2025-04-1168.14%+8.790.786$94.47
2025-04-10———$92.89
2025-04-09———$97.39
2025-04-0872.96%+16.110.875$85.90
2025-04-07———$87.24
2025-04-0466.29%+12.610.946$83.61
2025-04-03———$92.77
2025-04-0245.79%+3.380.958$102.88
2025-04-0145.98%+3.640.962$98.53
2025-03-31———$95.46
2025-03-2845.52%+2.970.971$95.20
2025-03-2744.17%+2.570.993$95.76
2025-03-2643.78%+2.630.983$97.37
2025-03-2542.66%+2.060.994$102.27
2025-03-2442.22%+2.631.005$102.86
2025-03-2143.14%+2.421.004$100.66
2025-03-2045.91%-0.170.956$99.64
2025-03-1944.87%+2.050.996$98.26
2025-03-1848.36%+5.820.957$94.68
2025-03-17———$96.13
2025-03-14———$95.39
2025-03-13———$90.92
2025-03-12———$92.47
2025-03-1155.22%+3.210.929$88.62
2025-03-10———$84.82
2025-03-0751.58%+0.940.928$88.09
2025-03-0650.04%+0.740.944$91.14
2025-03-0546.29%-0.870.975$98.71
2025-03-0448.57%+2.350.935$100.25
2025-03-0346.39%+5.291.008$100.25
2025-02-2842.42%+3.021.074$105.71
2025-02-2746.40%+6.590.962$105.11
2025-02-2644.63%+2.350.967$113.33
2025-02-2549.01%+3.330.909$102.44
2025-02-2449.75%+3.420.907$103.43
2025-02-2149.44%+3.640.891$105.96
2025-02-2044.64%+1.800.940$111.07
2025-02-1946.19%-2.820.914$112.41
2025-02-18———$111.91
2025-02-14———$107.60
2025-02-13———$106.25
2025-02-12———$102.66
2025-02-1145.16%+5.931.004$104.66
2025-02-10———$105.18
2025-02-07———$103.01

The chart covers every session in the archive, 226 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 226 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.020.018 Sep23 Jan4 Apr10 Jun23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

40%45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.93%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 56.82%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 57.82%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 58.95%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 60.37%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 60.50%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 59.34%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 57.37%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 54.92%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 54.15%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.80%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 53.59%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 50.12%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.47%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 47.81%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 49.52%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.46%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 48.22%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 46.81%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 46.51%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.37%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 46.49%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 46.40%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 46.51%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.70%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.18%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 47.46%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.71%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 47.26%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 46.45%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 46.00%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 45.67%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 46.45%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 45.29%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 45.17%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
25Δ call55.93%50.12%46.51%
30Δ call56.82%48.47%46.70%
35Δ call57.82%47.81%48.18%
40Δ call58.95%49.52%47.46%
45Δ call60.37%48.46%47.71%
ATM60.50%48.22%47.26%
45Δ put59.34%46.81%46.45%
40Δ put57.37%46.51%46.00%
35Δ put54.92%47.37%45.67%
30Δ put54.15%46.49%46.45%
25Δ put53.80%46.40%45.29%
20Δ put53.59%—45.17%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$100.6260.50%53.80%55.93%-2.14-5.648
2026-10-029$100.6048.22%46.40%50.12%-3.72+0.0412
2026-10-0916$100.8047.26%45.29%46.51%-1.21-1.3617
2026-10-1623$100.9546.51%45.55%46.83%-1.28-0.3325
2026-10-2330$101.0446.44%45.31%46.23%-0.92-0.6723
2026-11-2058$101.0650.32%50.59%50.37%+0.23+0.1615
2026-12-1886$101.6248.03%49.23%48.84%+0.39+1.0117
2027-01-15114$101.4748.39%47.74%49.14%-1.41+0.0516
2027-03-19177$102.0449.28%48.65%50.27%-1.62+0.1826
2027-06-17267$103.1448.03%50.13%49.50%+0.63+1.7926
2027-09-17359$104.0149.30%48.99%49.22%-0.23-0.2021

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 60.50%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 48.22%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 47.26%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 46.51%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 46.44%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 50.32%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 48.03%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 48.39%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 49.28%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 48.03%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 49.30%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$100.6260.50%$100.738
2026-10-029 days$100.6048.22%$100.8912
2026-10-0916 days$100.8047.26%$101.2917
2026-10-1623 days$100.9546.51%$101.6425
2026-10-2330 days$101.0446.44%$101.9423
2026-11-2058 days$101.0650.32%$103.1115
2026-12-1886 days$101.6248.03%$104.4117
2027-01-15114 days$101.4748.39%$105.2516
2027-03-19177 days$102.0449.28%$108.2326
2027-06-17267 days$103.1448.03%$112.2226
2027-09-17359 days$104.0149.30%$117.2121

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
46.44%
60 days
50.09%
90 days
48.09%
180 days
49.22%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 226 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4018 Sep23 Jan4 Apr10 Jun23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-04Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
10.3%
Mean move that happened
12.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-04Before the open———
2026-05-06Before the open———
2026-02-24Before the open———
2025-11-06Before the open———
2025-08-06Before the open———
2025-05-12Before the open7.0%+26.2%3.76×
2025-02-26Before the open13.6%+10.6%0.78×
2024-11-08Before the open10.2%-0.3%0.03×
2024-08-08Before the open———
2024-05-07Before the open———
2024-02-28Before the open———
2023-11-02Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.