Options Skew Analytics

NRG options analytics

NRG · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

NRG options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 53.0%, a move of about ±15.2% over the next month. That is higher than 85% of the 205 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.01 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 3% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-02-09 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 7 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.2% and NRG moved 10.6% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 7.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
52.99%

Prices a move of about ±15.2% over 30 days, or ±3.3% on a typical day.

Higher than 85% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.01

Puts carry 1.01 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 31% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.35

The wings carry 0.35 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.973

90-day volatility is 3% below 30-day.

Higher than 38% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 205 prior sessions (one-year window)

53.0% — 85th percentile
33.8%75.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
85%
IV rank, 1 year
46%
IV percentile, 2 years
87%
IV rank, 2 years
46%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$97.40
30-day implied forward
$97.21
60-day ATM IV
50.60%
90-day ATM IV
51.56%
180-day ATM IV
52.63%
Expirations used
8
Total open interest
125,175
Put / call open interest
0.53

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

30%40%50%60%70%80%18 Sep18 Mar1 Jul23 Sep9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0952.99%+1.010.973$97.40
2026-11-0660.77%+4.750.919$88.29
2026-11-0566.79%+5.920.859$80.55
2026-11-0463.98%+1.610.854$83.25
2026-11-0366.04%+0.430.849$96.26
2026-11-0275.26%+4.910.764$94.62
2026-10-3060.57%+3.320.907$96.06
2026-10-2955.29%+1.400.944$97.54
2026-10-2863.59%+0.700.840$96.97
2026-10-2756.83%+1.280.943$95.27
2026-10-2659.12%-1.560.907$93.61
2026-10-2357.72%-0.200.918$92.31
2026-10-2260.28%-0.390.860$94.38
2026-10-2158.89%-1.480.841$99.80
2026-10-2058.23%-0.760.889$97.84
2026-10-1956.32%-1.870.929$99.38
2026-10-1658.95%-3.220.892$103.75
2026-10-1558.71%-1.780.899$102.86
2026-10-1457.37%-2.330.896$100.85
2026-10-1356.74%+0.880.886$107.18
2026-10-0952.83%-1.780.968$107.97
2026-10-0855.38%-2.850.927$106.32
2026-10-0752.25%-1.990.972$108.61
2026-10-0650.54%-2.120.981$103.60
2026-10-0549.04%-0.080.995$96.80
2026-10-0246.59%-0.241.063$95.23
2026-10-0151.74%-1.030.973$96.93
2026-09-3047.84%-2.761.072$95.65
2026-09-2949.86%-3.241.007$97.17
2026-09-2851.28%-0.340.983$97.00
2026-09-2546.08%-6.781.103$100.37
2026-09-2446.32%-1.311.058$97.85
2026-09-2346.44%-0.921.036$100.72
2026-09-2247.27%-0.661.034$102.75
2026-09-2146.97%+0.171.049$103.28
2026-09-1846.26%-1.061.066$103.66
2026-09-1747.52%-0.151.061$106.23
2026-09-1650.08%-0.841.011$107.38
2026-09-1548.72%-2.081.051$105.99
2026-09-1449.63%+1.331.041$108.47
2026-09-1148.03%-0.941.027$113.46
2026-09-1048.64%-1.201.021$111.65
2026-09-0947.38%-0.781.032$115.37
2026-09-0847.68%-0.011.029$119.64
2026-09-0448.33%-2.211.019$119.02
2026-09-0342.99%-3.121.060$111.84
2026-09-0243.35%-0.591.052$111.09
2026-09-0143.07%-2.091.069$109.51
2026-08-3143.97%+1.161.030$110.12
2026-08-2844.61%-1.001.026$111.12
2026-08-2743.11%-2.431.079$114.41
2026-08-2645.02%-0.711.079$116.14
2026-08-2544.65%-0.441.064$113.61
2026-08-2443.93%-0.671.056$111.78
2025-09-2941.39%+2.461.076$165.34
2025-09-2641.54%+2.121.060$168.57
2025-09-2542.88%+2.881.060$162.96
2025-09-2440.92%+1.871.115$165.58
2025-09-2345.66%+3.220.990$167.43
2025-09-2243.07%+1.911.045$170.97
2025-09-1942.27%+3.011.038$164.36
2025-09-1842.58%+1.641.048$164.19
2025-09-1742.45%+3.181.056$164.58
2025-09-1643.18%+2.301.049$164.22
2025-09-1543.11%+3.041.045$166.08
2025-09-1241.81%+2.231.083$164.84
2025-09-1141.18%+0.541.082$157.92
2025-09-1040.84%+6.841.065$161.21
2025-09-0939.07%+3.441.077$152.26
2025-09-0838.89%+3.211.083$147.76
2025-09-0538.71%+3.691.098$147.66
2025-09-0438.78%+2.021.085$147.95
2025-09-0339.23%+3.981.085$146.91
2025-09-0239.89%+3.371.069$145.11
2025-08-2937.45%+2.791.136$145.56
2025-08-2837.96%+2.781.093$148.66
2025-08-2738.25%+3.041.092$148.12
2025-08-2638.26%+3.061.092$146.23
2025-08-2538.68%+1.601.072$144.77
2025-08-2238.87%+2.491.071$145.09
2025-08-2139.10%+2.641.080$145.89
2025-08-2038.41%+2.631.083$148.19
2025-08-1938.71%+3.081.132$148.38
2025-08-1837.94%+3.161.089$150.44
2025-08-1538.31%+0.131.090$148.62
2025-08-1438.22%+2.431.080$153.78
2025-08-1338.30%+3.261.075$155.00
2025-08-1237.44%+1.551.084$156.69
2025-08-1139.71%+3.001.049$152.03
2025-08-0839.16%+2.211.067$152.54
2025-08-0738.57%+2.681.077$153.22
2025-08-0639.72%-0.171.047$148.56
2025-08-0550.86%+2.970.898$171.96
2025-08-0448.84%+2.010.914$173.91
2025-08-0150.98%+3.270.906$167.63
2025-07-3148.78%+3.520.926$167.20
2025-07-3048.13%+1.900.922$166.59
2025-07-2947.28%-0.500.920$159.87
2025-07-2846.96%+1.390.930$158.54
2025-07-2546.56%+2.480.948$156.59
2025-07-2447.25%+2.510.940$157.97
2025-07-2348.21%+2.430.899$160.55
2025-07-2251.86%+3.410.868$153.96
2025-07-2150.35%+3.300.889$152.31
2025-07-1850.19%+4.090.888$151.75
2025-07-1750.54%+3.380.881$147.38
2025-07-1649.96%+3.490.891$144.96
2025-07-1550.32%+3.290.892$146.88
2025-07-1447.97%+3.220.924$151.06
2025-07-1145.05%+3.340.957$150.68
2025-07-1046.25%+3.340.964$151.36
2025-07-0947.29%+3.000.951$150.27
2025-07-0852.52%+0.370.865$151.27
2025-07-0745.24%+3.610.998$158.69
2025-07-0344.81%+4.280.991$158.39
2025-07-0243.43%+2.131.036$155.54
2025-07-0143.14%+2.711.035$155.96
2025-06-3039.85%+3.611.125$160.58
2025-06-2741.56%+3.341.057$162.67
2025-06-2637.23%+2.851.161$161.54

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-10.00.010.020.018 Sep18 Mar1 Jul23 Sep9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

50%60%70%80%90%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 68.28%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 66.91%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 65.75%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 68.56%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 69.78%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 67.36%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 68.78%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 73.89%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 74.12%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 72.05%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 74.26%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 74.87%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 76.30%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 74.50%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 75.89%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 83.87%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 61.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 59.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 61.18%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 61.34%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 59.00%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 58.89%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 58.71%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 60.26%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 62.18%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 61.50%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 62.12%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 62.43%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 61.43%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 64.83%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 66.36%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 66.83%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 66.92%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 54.94%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.03%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 54.90%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.78%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.28%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.41%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 54.09%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 54.57%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 54.73%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 54.32%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 55.02%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 55.12%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 55.43%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 57.53%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
15Δ call—61.02%—
20Δ call68.28%59.02%54.94%
25Δ call66.91%61.18%55.03%
30Δ call65.75%61.34%54.90%
35Δ call68.56%59.00%53.78%
40Δ call69.78%58.89%54.28%
45Δ call67.36%58.71%54.41%
ATM68.78%60.26%54.09%
45Δ put73.89%62.18%54.57%
40Δ put74.12%61.50%54.73%
35Δ put72.05%62.12%54.32%
30Δ put74.26%62.43%55.02%
25Δ put74.87%61.43%55.12%
20Δ put76.30%64.83%55.43%
15Δ put74.50%66.36%57.53%
10Δ put75.89%66.83%—
5Δ put83.87%66.92%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$96.9068.78%74.87%66.91%+7.96+2.1120
2026-11-2011$97.1560.26%61.43%61.18%+0.24+1.0424
2026-11-2718$97.1554.09%55.12%55.03%+0.09+0.9923
2026-12-1839$97.2652.61%53.41%52.06%+1.35+0.1311
2027-01-1567$97.7850.20%51.81%50.79%+1.03+1.1011
2027-03-19130$98.0752.74%55.13%51.43%+3.69+0.5417
2027-06-17220$98.1052.58%54.56%50.33%+4.23-0.1420
2027-09-17312$98.9152.08%54.15%49.98%+4.17-0.0125

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

8 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%50%60%70%80%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 68.78%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 60.26%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 54.09%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 52.61%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 50.20%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 52.74%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 52.58%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 52.08%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$96.9068.78%$97.1520
2026-11-2011 days$97.1560.26%$97.6824
2026-11-2718 days$97.1554.09%$97.8523
2026-12-1839 days$97.2652.61%$98.7111
2027-01-1567 days$97.7850.20%$100.0711
2027-03-19130 days$98.0752.74%$103.0517
2027-06-17220 days$98.1052.58%$106.6320
2027-09-17312 days$98.9152.08%$111.0725

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
52.99%
60 days
50.60%
90 days
51.56%
180 days
52.63%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4018 Sep18 Mar1 Jul23 Sep9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-02-09Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 7 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 7
57% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.2%
Mean move that happened
10.6%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-09Before the open11.6%+10.3%0.89×
2026-11-05Time not stated6.3%+9.6%1.51×
2026-11-04Time not stated6.2%-3.2%0.52×
2026-08-04Before the open———
2026-05-06Before the open———
2026-02-24Before the open———
2025-11-06Before the open———
2025-08-06Before the open9.1%-13.6%1.50×
2025-05-12Before the open7.0%+26.2%3.76×
2025-02-26Before the open13.6%+10.6%0.78×
2024-11-08Before the open10.2%-0.3%0.03×
2024-08-08Before the open———
2024-05-07Before the open———
2024-02-28Before the open———
2023-11-02Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.