Options Skew Analytics

ON options analytics

ON · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

ON options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 62.2%, a move of about ±17.8% over the next month. That is higher than 85% of the 248 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 6.02 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-02-01 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±12.6% and ON moved 7.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
62.17%

Prices a move of about ±17.8% over 30 days, or ±3.9% on a typical day.

Higher than 85% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+6.02

Puts carry 6.02 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 87% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.67

The wings carry 1.67 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.958

90-day volatility is 4% below 30-day.

Higher than 35% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 248 prior sessions (one-year window)

62.2% — 85th percentile
39.4%87.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
85%
IV rank, 1 year
47%
IV percentile, 2 years
88%
IV rank, 2 years
51%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$69.11
30-day implied forward
$69.78
60-day ATM IV
58.74%
90-day ATM IV
59.57%
180-day ATM IV
59.80%
Expirations used
14
Total open interest
199,623
Put / call open interest
1.04

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%3 Sep27 Dec29 Apr21 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0962.17%+6.020.958$69.11
2026-11-0666.71%+5.200.919$63.31
2026-11-0569.57%+8.530.885$63.01
2026-11-0458.58%+2.170.966$71.24
2026-11-0359.35%+3.290.960$72.60
2026-11-0270.07%+1.180.840$70.11
2026-10-3069.55%+4.470.848$71.67
2026-10-2963.29%+2.720.889$75.24
2026-10-2864.51%+5.200.884$75.63
2026-10-2763.48%+6.430.907$78.67
2026-10-2668.68%+1.050.864$74.06
2026-10-2365.79%+1.820.875$72.25
2026-10-2265.89%+3.530.873$73.23
2026-10-2166.94%+2.350.859$76.94
2026-10-2064.24%+1.860.881$75.62
2026-10-1965.11%+3.950.862$73.12
2026-10-1666.02%+1.390.862$72.02
2026-10-1566.42%+0.470.848$73.70
2026-10-1463.76%+2.170.883$73.36
2026-10-1363.92%+4.930.875$76.69
2026-10-0960.44%-0.100.912$77.53
2026-10-0864.74%-0.060.865$79.41
2026-10-0764.43%-0.340.855$82.51
2026-10-0663.94%-0.540.848$86.31
2026-10-0561.36%-2.220.890$85.93
2026-10-0261.89%+0.960.932$84.89
2026-10-0159.04%+0.200.990$80.08
2026-09-3055.45%+1.541.037$76.87
2026-09-2958.63%-0.150.990$75.95
2026-09-2859.12%+0.970.982$75.65
2026-09-2555.65%-3.421.041$77.20
2026-09-2453.65%+0.881.075$73.15
2026-09-2355.97%-0.421.049$74.10
2026-09-2255.08%-0.611.060$73.60
2026-09-2155.15%-0.271.065$71.72
2026-09-1853.25%-0.741.066$69.98
2026-09-1753.42%-0.031.065$68.30
2026-09-1656.32%-2.401.029$66.60
2026-09-1557.91%-1.341.044$73.20
2026-09-1451.34%+3.671.127$71.65
2026-09-1155.46%-0.311.111$76.14
2026-09-1050.73%-2.151.135$70.17
2026-09-0955.38%-6.771.089$70.98
2026-09-08———$71.08
2026-09-0450.47%+0.061.145$74.38
2026-09-0355.03%-2.401.054$73.65
2026-09-0252.54%+2.021.063$72.34
2026-09-0157.90%-7.180.962$72.65
2026-08-3155.12%+1.791.016$74.09
2026-08-2854.84%-3.471.032$72.61
2026-08-2753.30%-1.021.040$74.80
2026-08-2655.72%+0.921.029$73.22
2026-08-2554.36%+1.061.052$72.51
2026-08-2456.30%+2.581.022$71.93
2025-09-2949.95%+1.241.017$49.76
2025-09-2649.15%+0.171.039$50.16
2025-09-2550.50%+0.561.030$49.77
2025-09-2450.23%-1.561.038$50.94
2025-09-2350.12%-0.211.028$50.42
2025-09-2249.54%-3.061.032$51.50
2025-09-1949.74%-0.061.028$51.07
2025-09-1849.50%-0.051.001$51.83
2025-09-1748.85%+0.021.000$49.80
2025-09-1648.65%+1.000.996$49.56
2025-09-1549.69%+1.970.976$48.11
2025-09-1246.86%+3.201.016$48.26
2025-09-1146.83%+0.551.018$49.02
2025-09-1048.78%+2.470.984$48.13
2025-09-0946.19%+2.301.029$48.62
2025-09-0846.36%+3.411.026$48.88
2025-09-0549.95%+2.920.936$49.11
2025-09-0445.51%+3.671.047$48.06
2025-09-0347.36%+3.941.020$47.79
2025-09-0245.73%+2.851.023$48.94
2025-08-2943.96%+3.910.987$49.59
2025-08-2843.89%+1.621.065$50.78
2025-08-2745.54%+3.791.030$51.25
2025-08-2644.77%+2.541.028$50.99
2025-08-2544.47%+2.540.939$50.95
2025-08-2243.44%+2.291.040$51.85
2025-08-2144.42%+3.751.035$48.81
2025-08-2045.32%+1.681.028$49.47
2025-08-1945.56%+1.471.010$49.77
2025-08-1845.45%+1.971.010$50.53
2025-08-1545.11%+3.521.012$51.09
2025-08-1443.78%+3.661.048$51.62
2025-08-1342.97%+4.281.057$51.89
2025-08-1244.83%-2.690.989$50.01
2025-08-1141.29%+2.851.065$47.10
2025-08-0842.77%+2.931.048$47.66
2025-08-0744.58%+3.560.994$47.59
2025-08-0645.61%+2.601.001$46.98
2025-08-0547.43%+4.450.982$47.24
2025-08-0451.38%+8.910.922$47.97
2025-08-0160.77%+4.750.864$56.82
2025-07-3159.03%+3.540.847$56.36
2025-07-3058.91%-0.240.844$58.05
2025-07-2959.16%+2.790.854$58.38
2025-07-2857.94%+4.300.868$58.66
2025-07-2559.71%+0.100.846$56.92
2025-07-2461.37%+1.210.826$55.44
2025-07-2363.38%-3.600.785$59.61
2025-07-2259.07%+3.110.850$62.45
2025-07-2160.77%+3.730.814$60.55
2025-07-1858.05%+2.160.841$60.72
2025-07-1758.64%+2.230.841$59.41
2025-07-1659.59%+2.710.837$59.52
2025-07-1559.24%+1.890.845$58.93
2025-07-1459.67%+2.330.844$59.07
2025-07-1161.25%+0.950.872$59.73
2025-07-1062.11%+2.280.807$59.52
2025-07-0954.59%-3.610.926$57.77
2025-07-0849.54%+5.861.040$57.62
2025-07-0753.22%+2.290.976$54.61
2025-07-0349.38%+2.261.024$56.60
2025-07-0252.04%+2.300.975$55.95
2025-07-0149.51%+0.591.035$53.60
2025-06-3048.90%+2.211.046$52.41
2025-06-2742.26%+5.621.204$52.93
2025-06-2648.65%+6.311.075$53.65

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.03 Sep27 Dec29 Apr21 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

50%60%70%80%90%100%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 75.21%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 75.19%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 75.29%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 76.13%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 76.43%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 76.35%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 76.80%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 78.33%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 79.27%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 80.54%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 81.43%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 81.86%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 82.36%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 84.80%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 84.58%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 87.07%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 92.78%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ C — IV 63.01%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 64.64%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 67.87%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 67.41%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 67.50%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 67.11%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 68.61%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 67.79%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 68.74%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 69.07%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 68.73%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 69.92%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 69.36%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 71.09%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 71.50%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 73.11%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 77.23%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 77.31%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 79.20%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 61.61%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 60.63%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 62.53%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 63.00%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 63.39%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 64.10%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 64.05%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 63.56%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 64.67%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 68.26%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 70.63%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 69.00%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 70.27%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 70.04%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call—63.01%—
10Δ call—64.64%—
15Δ call75.21%67.87%—
20Δ call75.19%67.41%61.61%
25Δ call75.29%67.50%60.63%
30Δ call76.13%67.11%62.53%
35Δ call76.43%68.61%63.00%
40Δ call76.35%67.79%63.39%
45Δ call76.80%68.74%64.10%
ATM78.33%69.07%64.05%
45Δ put79.27%68.73%63.56%
40Δ put80.54%69.92%64.67%
35Δ put81.43%69.36%68.26%
30Δ put81.86%71.09%70.63%
25Δ put82.36%71.50%69.00%
20Δ put84.80%73.11%70.27%
15Δ put84.58%77.23%70.04%
10Δ put87.07%77.31%—
5Δ put92.78%79.20%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$69.6778.33%82.36%75.29%+7.07+0.5021
2026-11-2011$69.7269.07%71.50%67.50%+3.99+0.4424
2026-11-2718$69.8564.05%69.00%60.63%+8.37+0.7623
2026-12-0425$69.9262.35%65.85%60.29%+5.56+0.7326
2026-12-1132$69.7262.12%67.16%61.00%+6.17+1.9620
2026-12-1839$69.9061.38%64.88%59.78%+5.10+0.9511
2027-01-1567$70.1558.22%61.44%57.00%+4.45+1.0013
2027-02-19102$70.5660.03%63.83%58.45%+5.39+1.1112
2027-03-19130$70.6658.35%61.77%57.60%+4.18+1.3417
2027-04-16158$70.7458.16%60.17%56.96%+3.21+0.4114
2027-05-21193$70.5660.58%65.35%59.28%+6.07+1.7414
2027-06-17220$71.3358.43%61.21%54.75%+6.46-0.4517
2027-08-20284$71.7658.20%63.82%55.38%+8.44+1.4021
2027-09-17312$70.8861.33%62.27%55.67%+6.60-2.3618

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

14 listed expirations produced a usable reading

55%60%65%70%75%80%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 78.33%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 69.07%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 64.05%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 62.35%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 62.12%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 61.38%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 58.22%2027-02-19 — 102 days — at-the-money IV 60.03%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 58.35%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 58.16%2027-05-21 — 193 days — at-the-money IV 60.58%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 58.43%2027-08-20 — 284 days — at-the-money IV 58.20%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 61.33%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$69.6778.33%$69.9121
2026-11-2011 days$69.7269.07%$70.2324
2026-11-2718 days$69.8564.05%$70.5623
2026-12-0425 days$69.9262.35%$70.8626
2026-12-1132 days$69.7262.12%$70.9120
2026-12-1839 days$69.9061.38%$71.3211
2027-01-1567 days$70.1558.22%$72.3713
2027-02-19102 days$70.5660.03%$74.2012
2027-03-19130 days$70.6658.35%$75.0817
2027-04-16158 days$70.7458.16%$76.1114
2027-05-21193 days$70.5660.58%$77.7514
2027-06-17220 days$71.3358.43%$79.0617
2027-08-20284 days$71.7658.20%$81.8721
2027-09-17312 days$70.8861.33%$83.2418

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
62.17%
60 days
58.74%
90 days
59.57%
180 days
59.80%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.403 Sep27 Dec29 Apr21 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-02-01Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 5
80% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
12.6%
Mean move that happened
7.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-02After the close12.9%+3.6%0.27×
2026-08-03After the close———
2026-05-04After the close———
2026-02-09After the close———
2025-11-03Before the open———
2025-08-04Before the open12.7%-15.6%1.23×
2025-05-05Before the open13.4%-8.4%0.62×
2025-02-10Before the open12.2%-8.2%0.67×
2024-10-28Before the open11.7%+1.4%0.12×
2024-07-29Before the open———
2024-04-29Before the open———
2024-02-05Before the open———
2023-10-30Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.