Options Skew Analytics

ONDS options analytics

ONDS · Stock

Data as of 10 November 2026 (end of day)

ONDS options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 98.1%, a move of about ±28.1% over the next month. Its history here is 292 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.68 volatility points more than the puts.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-12, before the open.

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±86.6% and ONDS moved 198.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
98.07%

Prices a move of about ±28.1% over 30 days, or ±6.2% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.68

Calls carry 0.68 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+2.93

The wings carry 2.93 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.903

90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 62 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$5.57
30-day implied forward
$5.56
60-day ATM IV
89.96%
90-day ATM IV
88.53%
180-day ATM IV
89.31%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
1,115,430
Put / call open interest
0.36

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 292 sessions

40%60%80%100%120%140%160%2025-08-20 — 30-day ATM IV 124%2025-08-22 — 30-day ATM IV 114%2025-08-28 — 30-day ATM IV 121%2025-08-29 — 30-day ATM IV 144%2025-09-04 — 30-day ATM IV 124%2025-09-08 — 30-day ATM IV 120%2025-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 123%2025-09-11 — 30-day ATM IV 128%2025-09-12 — 30-day ATM IV 123%2025-09-15 — 30-day ATM IV 130%2025-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 129%2025-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 126%2025-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 125%2025-09-19 — 30-day ATM IV 124%2025-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 122%2025-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 130%2025-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 129%2025-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 135%2025-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 131%2025-09-29 — 30-day ATM IV 125%2025-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 125%2025-10-01 — 30-day ATM IV 124%2025-10-02 — 30-day ATM IV 127%2025-10-03 — 30-day ATM IV 123%2025-10-06 — 30-day ATM IV 139%2025-10-07 — 30-day ATM IV 138%2025-10-08 — 30-day ATM IV 137%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 66%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2026-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 69%2026-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 70%2026-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 69%2026-09-28 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-09-29 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-10-01 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2026-10-02 — 30-day ATM IV 66%2026-10-05 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2026-10-06 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-10-07 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-10-08 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-10-09 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2026-10-13 — 30-day ATM IV 72%2026-10-14 — 30-day ATM IV 75%2026-10-15 — 30-day ATM IV 78%2026-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 81%2026-10-19 — 30-day ATM IV 78%2026-10-20 — 30-day ATM IV 79%2026-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 81%2026-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2026-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2026-10-27 — 30-day ATM IV 81%2026-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 82%2026-10-29 — 30-day ATM IV 84%2026-10-30 — 30-day ATM IV 86%2026-11-02 — 30-day ATM IV 92%2026-11-03 — 30-day ATM IV 94%2026-11-04 — 30-day ATM IV 92%2026-11-05 — 30-day ATM IV 105%2026-11-06 — 30-day ATM IV 99%2026-11-09 — 30-day ATM IV 96%2026-11-10 — 30-day ATM IV 98%20 Aug24 Sep24 Sep19 Oct10 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-1098.07%-0.680.903$5.57
2026-11-0995.54%+0.720.922$5.97
2026-11-0698.60%+3.450.910$5.34
2026-11-05105.10%-0.460.860$4.52
2026-11-0491.92%-4.510.939$5.27
2026-11-0394.29%-2.250.935$5.79
2026-11-0292.30%-6.320.934$5.75
2026-10-3085.89%-1.850.961$6.32
2026-10-2984.35%-7.220.937$6.88
2026-10-2882.20%-0.870.970$6.86
2026-10-2781.28%-4.82—$6.65
2026-10-26———$6.16
2026-10-2384.21%-1.510.939$6.20
2026-10-2283.74%-2.790.920$6.02
2026-10-2180.67%-0.860.949$6.27
2026-10-2078.83%-0.900.976$6.10
2026-10-1977.70%-1.070.999$6.06
2026-10-1680.64%-2.210.997$6.04
2026-10-1577.78%-1.901.014$6.35
2026-10-1475.31%-4.761.013$6.14
2026-10-1372.09%+2.611.042$6.71
2026-10-0967.38%-3.121.111$6.73
2026-10-0867.68%-4.201.119$6.85
2026-10-0767.95%-4.941.136$7.19
2026-10-0668.08%-2.601.117$7.41
2026-10-0567.32%-2.121.162$7.42
2026-10-0265.79%-3.031.167$7.24
2026-10-0166.98%-5.081.167$7.12
2026-09-3068.35%-6.521.159$7.33
2026-09-2968.14%-7.381.140$7.48
2026-09-2868.29%-3.411.165$7.68
2026-09-2569.16%-5.071.169$7.64
2026-09-2469.53%-3.761.170$7.60
2026-09-2368.98%-7.801.170$7.40
2026-09-2267.39%-3.781.197$7.72
2026-09-2167.39%-4.021.188$7.38
2026-09-1866.07%-4.491.206$7.39
2025-10-08136.72%-10.52—$11.26
2025-10-07137.86%-17.07—$11.09
2025-10-06139.36%-19.66—$10.66
2025-10-03123.33%-16.61—$9.91
2025-10-02126.79%-12.87—$9.21
2025-10-01124.50%-8.561.064$7.31
2025-09-30125.41%-8.46—$7.72
2025-09-29124.53%-16.04—$7.87
2025-09-26130.68%-5.81—$7.66
2025-09-25134.61%-10.74—$7.75
2025-09-24128.93%-15.68—$7.35
2025-09-23129.66%-9.41—$7.88
2025-09-22122.16%-13.38—$7.26
2025-09-19123.60%-11.00—$6.72
2025-09-18125.49%-10.68—$6.60
2025-09-17126.45%-5.81—$6.10
2025-09-16129.10%-13.76—$6.09
2025-09-15130.41%-7.37—$6.38
2025-09-12122.64%-10.73—$6.56
2025-09-11128.42%-6.75—$6.42
2025-09-10122.96%-16.211.037$5.56
2025-09-09———$5.45
2025-09-08120.44%-11.16—$6.06
2025-09-05———$5.63
2025-09-04124.25%-9.651.049$5.33
2025-09-03———$5.03
2025-09-02———$5.46
2025-08-29144.29%-15.40—$5.86
2025-08-28121.43%-12.41—$5.70
2025-08-27———$5.07
2025-08-26———$4.97
2025-08-25———$4.85
2025-08-22113.75%+2.38—$4.49
2025-08-21———$3.80
2025-08-20124.08%-13.21—$3.61
2025-08-19———$3.59
2025-08-18———$4.01
2025-08-15———$3.86
2025-08-14———$3.93
2025-08-13———$3.52
2025-08-12———$4.29
2025-08-11———$3.43
2025-08-08———$3.55
2025-08-07———$3.25
2025-08-06———$3.33
2025-08-05———$3.07
2025-08-04———$2.67
2025-08-01———$2.20
2025-07-31———$2.12
2025-07-30———$2.07
2025-07-29———$1.82
2025-07-28———$2.00
2025-07-25———$2.13
2025-07-24———$2.14
2025-07-23———$2.18
2025-07-22———$2.10
2025-07-21———$2.25
2025-07-18———$2.23
2025-07-17———$2.40
2025-07-16———$2.40
2025-07-15———$2.29
2025-07-14———$2.31
2025-07-11———$2.12
2025-07-10———$2.01
2025-07-09———$1.84
2025-07-08———$1.79
2025-07-07———$1.75
2025-07-03———$1.85
2025-07-02———$1.88
2025-07-01———$1.96
2025-06-30———$1.92
2025-06-27———$1.83
2025-06-26———$1.75
2025-06-25———$1.60
2025-06-24———$1.59
2025-06-23———$1.43
2025-06-20———$1.58
2025-06-18———$1.55
2025-06-17———$1.56
2025-06-16———$1.69
2025-06-13———$1.82
2025-06-12———$1.71
2025-06-11———$1.48

The chart covers every session in the archive, 292 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 292 sessions

-30.0-20.0-10.00.010.02025-08-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -13.22025-08-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.42025-08-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -12.42025-08-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -15.42025-09-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -9.62025-09-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -11.22025-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -16.22025-09-11 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.72025-09-12 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -10.72025-09-15 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.42025-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -13.82025-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.82025-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -10.72025-09-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -11.02025-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -13.42025-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -9.42025-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -15.72025-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -10.72025-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.82025-09-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -16.02025-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -8.52025-10-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -8.62025-10-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -12.92025-10-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -16.62025-10-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -19.72025-10-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -17.12025-10-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -10.52026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.52026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.02026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.82026-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.82026-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.82026-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.12026-09-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.42026-09-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.42026-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.52026-10-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -5.12026-10-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.02026-10-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.12026-10-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.62026-10-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.92026-10-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.22026-10-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.12026-10-13 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.62026-10-14 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.82026-10-15 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.92026-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.22026-10-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.12026-10-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.92026-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.92026-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.82026-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.52026-10-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.82026-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.92026-10-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -7.22026-10-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.82026-11-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -6.32026-11-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.22026-11-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -4.52026-11-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.52026-11-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42026-11-09 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.72026-11-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.720 Aug24 Sep24 Sep19 Oct10 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-11-13) · 10d (2026-11-20) · 17d (2026-11-27)

100%150%200%250%2026-11-13 (3d) — 5Δ C — IV 207.93%2026-11-13 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 201.31%2026-11-13 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 198.25%2026-11-13 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 192.94%2026-11-13 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 190.70%2026-11-13 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 189.13%2026-11-13 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 188.48%2026-11-13 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 188.51%2026-11-13 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 188.62%2026-11-13 (3d) — ATM — IV 188.74%2026-11-13 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 188.80%2026-11-13 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 188.60%2026-11-13 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 188.00%2026-11-13 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 187.29%2026-11-13 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 186.82%2026-11-13 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 187.33%2026-11-13 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 189.74%2026-11-13 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 194.63%2026-11-13 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 212.36%3d2026-11-20 (10d) — 5Δ C — IV 152.78%2026-11-20 (10d) — 10Δ C — IV 141.12%2026-11-20 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 135.84%2026-11-20 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 133.13%2026-11-20 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 131.24%2026-11-20 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 130.69%2026-11-20 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 130.47%2026-11-20 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 130.13%2026-11-20 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 128.76%2026-11-20 (10d) — ATM — IV 126.84%2026-11-20 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 125.74%2026-11-20 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 126.15%2026-11-20 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 127.50%2026-11-20 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 129.28%2026-11-20 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 130.93%2026-11-20 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 132.79%2026-11-20 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 135.06%2026-11-20 (10d) — 10Δ P — IV 137.98%10d2026-11-27 (17d) — 5Δ C — IV 130.38%2026-11-27 (17d) — 10Δ C — IV 124.59%2026-11-27 (17d) — 15Δ C — IV 122.22%2026-11-27 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 115.84%2026-11-27 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 114.69%2026-11-27 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 114.08%2026-11-27 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 112.93%2026-11-27 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 111.89%2026-11-27 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 111.61%2026-11-27 (17d) — ATM — IV 111.51%2026-11-27 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 111.40%2026-11-27 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 110.99%2026-11-27 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 110.23%2026-11-27 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 109.67%2026-11-27 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 110.16%2026-11-27 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 112.18%2026-11-27 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 115.17%2026-11-27 (17d) — 10Δ P — IV 120.44%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
5Δ call207.93%152.78%130.38%
10Δ call201.31%141.12%124.59%
15Δ call198.25%135.84%122.22%
20Δ call192.94%133.13%115.84%
25Δ call190.70%131.24%114.69%
30Δ call189.13%130.69%114.08%
35Δ call188.48%130.47%112.93%
40Δ call188.51%130.13%111.89%
45Δ call188.62%128.76%111.61%
ATM188.74%126.84%111.51%
45Δ put188.80%125.74%111.40%
40Δ put188.60%126.15%110.99%
35Δ put188.00%127.50%110.23%
30Δ put187.29%129.28%109.67%
25Δ put186.82%130.93%110.16%
20Δ put187.33%132.79%112.18%
15Δ put189.74%135.06%115.17%
10Δ put194.63%137.98%120.44%
5Δ put212.36%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-133$5.56188.74%186.82%190.70%-3.88+0.029
2026-11-2010$5.55126.84%130.93%131.24%-0.31+4.2513
2026-11-2717$5.55111.51%110.16%114.69%-4.53+0.9113
2026-12-0424$5.5698.81%101.89%101.88%+0.01+3.0711
2026-12-1131$5.5697.98%100.50%101.28%-0.77+2.9111
2026-12-1838$5.5696.11%97.89%98.74%-0.84+2.2113
2026-12-2444$5.5694.16%94.26%97.00%-2.74+1.4713
2027-01-1566$5.5888.88%87.42%94.19%-6.77+1.9320
2027-03-19129$5.6288.23%85.96%92.49%-6.53+0.9912
2027-04-16157$5.6388.05%85.85%91.41%-5.56+0.5910
2027-05-21192$5.6189.84%87.01%97.06%-10.04+2.1914
2027-06-17219$5.7387.62%87.90%93.67%-5.77+3.1716

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%100%150%200%2026-11-13 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 188.74%2026-11-20 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 126.84%2026-11-27 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 111.51%2026-12-04 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 98.81%2026-12-11 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 97.98%2026-12-18 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 96.11%2026-12-24 — 44 days — at-the-money IV 94.16%2027-01-15 — 66 days — at-the-money IV 88.88%2027-03-19 — 129 days — at-the-money IV 88.23%2027-04-16 — 157 days — at-the-money IV 88.05%2027-05-21 — 192 days — at-the-money IV 89.84%2027-06-17 — 219 days — at-the-money IV 87.62%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-133 days$5.56188.74%$5.649
2026-11-2010 days$5.55126.84%$5.6713
2026-11-2717 days$5.55111.51%$5.7113
2026-12-0424 days$5.5698.81%$5.7411
2026-12-1131 days$5.5697.98%$5.7911
2026-12-1838 days$5.5696.11%$5.8313
2026-12-2444 days$5.5694.16%$5.8613
2027-01-1566 days$5.5888.88%$5.9920
2027-03-19129 days$5.6288.23%$6.4512
2027-04-16157 days$5.6388.05%$6.6510
2027-05-21192 days$5.6189.84%$6.9314
2027-06-17219 days$5.7387.62%$7.2216

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
98.07%
60 days
89.96%
90 days
88.53%
180 days
89.31%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 292 sessions

0.800.901.001.101.201.302025-09-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.052025-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-10-01 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.212026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.192026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.202026-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-09-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.162026-09-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142026-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 1.162026-10-01 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-10-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-10-05 — 90-day over 30-day 1.162026-10-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122026-10-07 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142026-10-08 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122026-10-09 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112026-10-13 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042026-10-14 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012026-10-15 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012026-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-10-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002026-10-20 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952026-10-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922026-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942026-10-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-10-29 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942026-10-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.962026-11-02 — 90-day over 30-day 0.932026-11-03 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942026-11-04 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942026-11-05 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862026-11-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.912026-11-09 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922026-11-10 — 90-day over 30-day 0.904 Sep28 Sep13 Oct28 Oct10 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-12Before the openAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 5
60% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
86.6%
Mean move that happened
198.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-13Before the open———
2026-05-14Before the open———
2026-03-25Before the open———
2026-03-23Before the open———
2026-03-09Before the open———
2026-01-16Before the open———
2025-11-13Before the open———
2025-08-12Before the open22.8%+25.1%1.10×
2025-07-09Before the open29.1%+2.8%0.10×
2025-05-15Before the open39.3%-2.2%0.06×
2025-03-12Before the open41.7%+960.3%23.05×
2024-11-12Before the open300.0%+4.1%0.01×
2024-08-14Before the open———
2024-05-15Before the open———
2024-04-01Before the open———
2024-02-26Before the open———
2023-11-14Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.