Options Skew Analytics

ORCL options analytics

ORCL · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

ORCL options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 49.5%, a move of about ±14.2% over the next month. That is higher than 83% of the 236 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.54 volatility points more than the puts, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 15% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-12-11 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 7 reports the options market priced an average move of ±12.6% and ORCL moved 6.5% on average, staying inside the priced band 5 times out of 7.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
49.53%

Prices a move of about ±14.2% over 30 days, or ±3.1% on a typical day.

Higher than 83% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.54

Calls carry 1.54 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 12% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.67

The wings carry 0.67 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.149

90-day volatility is 15% above 30-day.

Higher than 62% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 236 prior sessions (one-year window)

49.5% — 83th percentile
20.1%75.0%
IV percentile, 1 year
83%
IV rank, 1 year
54%
IV percentile, 2 years
83%
IV rank, 2 years
54%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$139.54
30-day implied forward
$139.52
60-day ATM IV
53.14%
90-day ATM IV
56.90%
180-day ATM IV
56.57%
Expirations used
15
Total open interest
2,395,123
Put / call open interest
0.99

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 237 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug20 Nov19 Feb14 May24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2449.53%-1.541.149$139.54
2026-09-2348.59%-1.551.151$144.56
2026-09-2249.67%-2.411.150$149.20
2026-09-2149.63%-2.171.145$148.56
2026-09-1848.05%-1.001.166$147.61
2026-09-1749.33%-0.711.140$150.59
2026-09-1650.56%-0.071.122$143.16
2026-09-1549.98%-0.261.110$140.35
2026-09-1449.76%+0.681.115$144.79
2026-09-1149.59%-1.911.105$150.28
2026-09-1075.01%-6.270.859$152.94
2026-09-0973.09%-4.580.872$161.63
2026-09-0871.77%-3.970.893$162.52
2026-09-0469.32%-3.710.889$158.78
2026-09-0366.38%-4.100.915$154.04
2026-09-0265.92%-2.930.911$145.75
2026-09-0166.94%-5.910.917$141.32
2026-08-3168.05%-3.210.907$149.12
2026-08-2867.45%-2.420.910$150.85
2026-08-2769.59%-0.390.903$151.94
2026-08-2669.87%-1.540.890$148.87
2026-08-2569.34%+1.010.901$144.76
2026-08-2469.18%-2.390.905$142.45
2026-08-2170.18%-2.070.906$146.47
2026-08-2069.79%-1.590.895$142.07
2026-08-1970.63%-1.340.894$143.81
2026-08-1869.03%-2.810.902$142.79
2026-08-1769.68%-3.410.891$146.65
2025-06-3033.43%+0.081.179$218.63
2025-06-2726.94%+2.241.365$210.24
2025-06-2629.02%+2.141.307$212.82
2025-06-2530.48%+1.511.241$210.72
2025-06-2427.76%+3.011.342$215.27
2025-06-2327.03%+3.081.360$207.04
2025-06-2028.19%+2.111.298$205.17
2025-06-1829.43%+2.591.250$210.87
2025-06-1729.53%+2.611.253$208.18
2025-06-1629.13%+1.981.260$211.10
2025-06-1333.72%+1.021.117$215.22
2025-06-1228.17%+0.531.204$199.86
2025-06-1140.61%+5.650.923$176.38
2025-06-1041.84%+4.790.909$177.48
2025-06-0941.02%+3.210.916$177.15
2025-06-0642.49%+4.370.871$174.02
2025-06-0545.48%+2.530.846$171.14
2025-06-0445.70%+2.480.839$168.10
2025-06-0344.74%+2.070.852$169.14
2025-06-0246.63%+8.010.827$166.57
2025-05-3044.19%+4.410.856$165.53
2025-05-2945.52%+3.800.840$162.90
2025-05-2846.55%-0.540.836$163.85
2025-05-2749.72%+2.890.787$161.91
2025-05-2348.60%+4.020.807$155.97
2025-05-2246.84%+5.050.826$157.31
2025-05-2149.06%+2.820.792$157.18
2025-05-2047.34%+4.040.788$160.31
2025-05-1947.00%+2.500.787$159.64
2025-05-1642.12%+4.440.854$160.49
2025-05-1547.83%-1.510.766$159.40
2025-05-1445.89%-0.150.807$162.95
2025-05-1338.53%+3.900.934$162.27
2025-05-1239.58%+6.180.898$157.22
2025-05-0937.04%+6.431.046$150.34
2025-05-0836.67%+6.771.087$150.30
2025-05-0735.94%+8.441.118$149.37
2025-05-0636.45%+3.401.101$147.70
2025-05-0535.43%+8.861.134$149.29
2025-05-0235.03%+4.831.119$150.73
2025-05-0135.84%+6.021.100$145.49
2025-04-3037.30%+5.931.149$140.72
2025-04-2936.82%+5.791.086$140.79
2025-04-2837.00%+8.201.111$140.14
2025-04-2533.12%+6.911.212$138.49
2025-04-2442.85%+6.730.979$137.51
2025-04-2339.32%+10.011.120$131.40
2025-04-2239.96%+10.481.094$127.24
2025-04-2148.47%+9.080.962$122.82
2025-04-1741.36%+8.931.054$128.62
2025-04-1641.12%+11.101.054$129.76
2025-04-1540.23%+10.841.045$133.94
2025-04-1440.96%+10.181.085$134.64
2025-04-1148.49%+11.740.982$132.35
2025-04-1050.48%+14.750.971$133.35
2025-04-0941.86%+5.821.013$139.69
2025-04-0861.82%+20.750.874$124.50
2025-04-0757.98%+12.190.872$127.16
2025-04-0456.25%+11.850.915$128.27
2025-04-0343.07%+8.731.034$137.23
2025-04-0239.28%+1.781.023$145.86
2025-04-0138.93%+6.321.013$141.94
2025-03-3139.24%+4.931.010$139.81
2025-03-2835.41%+5.721.119$140.87
2025-03-2734.52%+3.171.107$145.78
2025-03-2635.93%+5.241.082$147.80
2025-03-2531.91%+0.301.169$153.93
2025-03-2432.05%+1.191.197$154.87
2025-03-2133.76%+4.121.175$152.23
2025-03-2035.58%+3.101.093$152.72
2025-03-1936.58%+2.161.051$152.45
2025-03-1838.44%+3.661.052$149.45
2025-03-1738.06%+2.781.031$154.01
2025-03-1438.16%+4.181.024$149.27
2025-03-1342.66%+3.210.971$147.66
2025-03-1241.00%+1.190.960$150.89
2025-03-1143.00%+8.040.951$144.18
2025-03-1060.81%+7.270.729$148.79
2025-03-0755.10%+5.890.817$155.16
2025-03-0656.40%+6.010.807$150.94
2025-03-0554.17%+3.620.790$161.56
2025-03-0454.56%+4.490.802$157.47
2025-03-0352.76%+3.550.815$162.02
2025-02-2852.19%+3.910.801$166.06
2025-02-2749.52%+4.770.848$164.76
2025-02-2651.01%+2.020.800$172.47
2025-02-2550.41%+2.560.787$168.54
2025-02-2450.47%+1.980.778$169.96
2025-02-2149.90%+1.610.773$167.81
2025-02-2047.40%+0.850.779$176.00
2025-02-1947.44%-0.170.771$181.52
2025-02-1847.77%-0.010.769$179.80

The chart covers every session in the archive, 237 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 237 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.026 Aug20 Nov19 Feb14 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 8d (2026-10-02) · 15d (2026-10-09)

40%50%60%70%80%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 69.37%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 64.75%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 63.72%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 61.63%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 60.24%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 59.38%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 58.94%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 58.35%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 57.48%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 57.03%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 56.74%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 56.47%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 56.21%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 55.91%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 55.73%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 55.77%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 55.88%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 56.78%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 58.74%1d2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ C — IV 62.66%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ C — IV 57.04%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ C — IV 54.40%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ C — IV 52.95%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ C — IV 51.90%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.98%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ C — IV 50.53%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ C — IV 50.10%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ C — IV 49.60%2026-10-02 (8d) — ATM — IV 49.52%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.17%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.71%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.69%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.74%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.76%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ P — IV 49.11%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ P — IV 49.23%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ P — IV 50.14%2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ P — IV 52.12%8d2026-10-09 (15d) — 5Δ C — IV 58.23%2026-10-09 (15d) — 10Δ C — IV 54.29%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ C — IV 52.47%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ C — IV 51.37%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ C — IV 50.61%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.08%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ C — IV 49.69%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ C — IV 49.20%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.83%2026-10-09 (15d) — ATM — IV 48.86%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ P — IV 49.42%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ P — IV 49.18%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ P — IV 49.10%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.96%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ P — IV 49.16%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.97%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ P — IV 49.62%2026-10-09 (15d) — 10Δ P — IV 50.55%2026-10-09 (15d) — 5Δ P — IV 52.57%15d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d8d15d
5Δ call69.37%62.66%58.23%
10Δ call64.75%57.04%54.29%
15Δ call63.72%54.40%52.47%
20Δ call61.63%52.95%51.37%
25Δ call60.24%51.90%50.61%
30Δ call59.38%50.98%50.08%
35Δ call58.94%50.53%49.69%
40Δ call58.35%50.10%49.20%
45Δ call57.48%49.60%48.83%
ATM57.03%49.52%48.86%
45Δ put56.74%49.17%49.42%
40Δ put56.47%48.71%49.18%
35Δ put56.21%48.69%49.10%
30Δ put55.91%48.74%48.96%
25Δ put55.73%48.76%49.16%
20Δ put55.77%49.11%48.97%
15Δ put55.88%49.23%49.62%
10Δ put56.78%50.14%50.55%
5Δ put58.74%52.12%52.57%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$139.5957.03%55.73%60.24%-4.51+0.9530
2026-10-028$139.6749.52%48.76%51.90%-3.14+0.8159
2026-10-0915$139.5348.86%49.16%50.61%-1.44+1.0251
2026-10-1622$139.4349.03%48.79%50.69%-1.90+0.7063
2026-10-2329$139.5048.71%48.81%50.23%-1.42+0.8147
2026-10-3036$139.6253.32%52.32%54.42%-2.09+0.0549
2026-11-2057$140.0052.33%52.23%53.77%-1.54+0.6738
2026-12-1885$140.2557.43%56.56%58.57%-2.01+0.1442
2027-01-15113$141.0155.04%55.41%56.43%-1.02+0.8743
2027-02-19148$141.1254.29%54.39%55.75%-1.37+0.7828
2027-03-19176$141.8456.72%56.63%57.99%-1.36+0.5945
2027-04-16204$141.8255.80%55.57%57.43%-1.87+0.7028
2027-06-17266$142.7856.87%55.87%58.04%-2.17+0.0959
2027-09-17358$144.4357.40%56.63%58.24%-1.61+0.0346
2027-10-15386$144.8456.68%56.46%57.52%-1.06+0.3146

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

15 listed expirations produced a usable reading

48%50%52%54%56%58%60%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 57.03%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 49.52%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 48.86%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 49.03%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 48.71%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 53.32%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 52.33%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 57.43%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 55.04%2027-02-19 — 148 days — at-the-money IV 54.29%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 56.72%2027-04-16 — 204 days — at-the-money IV 55.80%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 56.87%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 57.40%2027-10-15 — 386 days — at-the-money IV 56.68%7306090180365days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$139.5957.03%$139.6530
2026-10-028 days$139.6749.52%$140.0559
2026-10-0915 days$139.5348.86%$140.2151
2026-10-1622 days$139.4349.03%$140.4463
2026-10-2329 days$139.5048.71%$140.8247
2026-10-3036 days$139.6253.32%$141.6049
2026-11-2057 days$140.0052.33%$143.0338
2026-12-1885 days$140.2557.43%$145.7442
2027-01-15113 days$141.0155.04%$147.7843
2027-02-19148 days$141.1254.29%$149.8128
2027-03-19176 days$141.8456.72%$153.2845
2027-04-16204 days$141.8255.80%$154.7128
2027-06-17266 days$142.7856.87%$160.6459
2027-09-17358 days$144.4357.40%$169.7646
2027-10-15386 days$144.8456.68%$171.6646

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
49.53%
60 days
53.14%
90 days
56.90%
180 days
56.57%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 237 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6026 Aug20 Nov19 Feb14 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-12-11Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 7 reports

Landed inside the implied band
5 of 7
71% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
12.6%
Mean move that happened
6.5%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-10After the close15.4%-1.7%0.11×
2026-09-09Time not stated14.9%-5.4%0.36×
2026-09-08Time not stated14.6%-0.5%0.04×
2026-06-10After the close———
2026-03-10After the close———
2025-12-10After the close———
2025-09-09After the close———
2025-06-11After the close9.4%-16.9%1.80×
2025-03-10After the close13.1%-3.1%0.24×
2024-12-09After the close11.4%-6.7%0.58×
2024-09-09After the close9.7%+11.4%1.18×
2024-06-11After the close———
2024-03-11After the close———
2023-12-11After the close———
2023-09-11After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.