Options Skew Analytics

PEP options analytics

PEP · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

PEP options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 25.0%, a move of about ±7.2% over the next month. That is higher than 93% of the 232 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 0.12 volatility points more than the calls, closer together than on 94% of the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 3% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-08, before the open.

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±1.9% and PEP moved 1.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
25.02%

Prices a move of about ±7.2% over 30 days, or ±1.6% on a typical day.

Higher than 93% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.12

Puts carry 0.12 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 6% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.06

The wings carry 0.06 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.968

90-day volatility is 3% below 30-day.

Higher than 30% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 232 prior sessions (one-year window)

25.0% — 93th percentile
15.2%36.8%
IV percentile, 1 year
93%
IV rank, 1 year
45%
IV percentile, 2 years
93%
IV rank, 2 years
45%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$128.15
30-day implied forward
$128.90
60-day ATM IV
24.35%
90-day ATM IV
24.21%
180-day ATM IV
24.33%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
254,529
Put / call open interest
0.71

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 237 sessions

10%20%30%40%26 Aug21 Nov19 Feb15 May24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2425.02%+0.120.968$128.15
2026-09-2324.85%+0.560.968$130.18
2026-09-2224.67%+0.100.945$131.19
2026-09-2124.84%-0.230.944$129.59
2026-09-1824.76%-0.090.944$129.75
2026-09-1724.20%+0.380.964$133.66
2026-09-1624.76%+0.050.956$134.34
2026-09-1524.73%-0.310.955$135.50
2026-09-1424.21%+0.271.006$136.34
2026-09-1124.19%+0.330.957$136.32
2026-09-1023.71%+0.310.976$136.65
2026-09-0924.11%-1.070.998$136.69
2026-09-0825.00%+2.250.956$138.45
2026-09-0421.24%-1.051.075$137.63
2026-09-0322.08%-0.321.037$140.02
2026-09-0221.55%+0.931.070$140.52
2026-09-0119.97%+0.101.142$139.79
2026-08-3119.22%+1.831.217$140.34
2026-08-2819.39%-0.211.140$141.07
2026-08-2720.18%+0.131.167$139.72
2026-08-2621.32%+1.461.084$142.19
2026-08-2522.07%+0.331.051$142.27
2026-08-2421.97%+1.691.035$144.67
2026-08-2121.10%+1.141.114$143.48
2026-08-2022.32%+0.071.041$142.08
2026-08-1921.31%+0.251.105$142.58
2026-08-1822.27%-0.561.098$140.13
2026-08-1722.40%+1.071.072$138.24
2025-06-3028.24%-1.640.923$132.04
2025-06-2726.65%+1.250.930$131.04
2025-06-2627.75%+2.210.940$128.22
2025-06-2527.13%+4.580.960$128.02
2025-06-2426.74%-0.140.933$131.05
2025-06-2325.90%+4.580.967$129.09
2025-06-2027.22%+1.590.955$129.07
2025-06-1827.11%+1.910.942$129.07
2025-06-1726.96%+1.710.956$129.29
2025-06-1624.93%+1.260.989$131.41
2025-06-1322.25%+1.671.100$130.85
2025-06-1222.24%+1.221.134$132.30
2025-06-1121.85%+1.361.174$129.90
2025-06-1020.93%+0.691.198$131.83
2025-06-0922.33%+0.891.139$129.96
2025-06-0621.32%+2.311.180$130.03
2025-06-0522.48%+1.681.122$131.11
2025-06-0420.70%+0.811.165$131.74
2025-06-0321.91%+1.411.120$131.85
2025-06-0220.52%+3.401.163$130.91
2025-05-3020.38%+3.101.172$131.45
2025-05-2921.02%+2.751.159$131.92
2025-05-2822.06%+1.011.125$130.67
2025-05-2721.87%+1.721.136$131.37
2025-05-2322.47%+3.221.099$129.34
2025-05-2221.98%+2.741.107$130.12
2025-05-2122.73%+4.201.073$130.15
2025-05-2021.51%+3.071.097$131.80
2025-05-1921.64%+3.171.080$131.79
2025-05-1621.04%+2.871.082$131.98
2025-05-1520.53%+5.481.099$131.50
2025-05-1422.27%+4.161.060$128.45
2025-05-1322.17%+2.631.027$130.31
2025-05-1223.54%+3.010.947$131.68
2025-05-0922.93%+4.391.034$130.44
2025-05-0823.10%+3.761.031$131.43
2025-05-0721.78%+3.041.076$131.92
2025-05-0621.34%+2.781.142$130.74
2025-05-0521.93%+3.721.067$131.99
2025-05-0220.20%+3.821.129$133.75
2025-05-0121.68%+4.331.110$133.55
2025-04-3019.41%+5.431.201$135.58
2025-04-2922.21%+3.301.053$134.31
2025-04-2821.82%+3.441.092$133.76
2025-04-2521.25%+2.381.068$133.38
2025-04-2422.41%+3.431.038$135.31
2025-04-2326.73%+6.790.902$142.26
2025-04-2227.66%+1.250.857$143.46
2025-04-2126.46%+5.730.947$141.73
2025-04-1724.67%+5.150.962$142.84
2025-04-1626.51%+3.920.922$140.09
2025-04-1524.57%+6.050.972$142.84
2025-04-1424.65%+5.540.932$146.75
2025-04-1126.57%+5.100.944$144.43
2025-04-10———$144.14
2025-04-09———$145.59
2025-04-0836.61%+8.610.814$140.30
2025-04-0736.84%+3.920.815$143.19
2025-04-0426.73%+5.651.021$146.61
2025-04-0323.93%+3.990.946$151.37
2025-04-0223.88%+1.020.872$149.12
2025-04-0122.31%+1.710.949$149.67
2025-03-3123.70%+0.910.930$149.94
2025-03-2821.61%+2.441.009$149.27
2025-03-2721.68%+2.020.934$149.67
2025-03-2620.02%+2.261.008$148.64
2025-03-2520.96%+2.440.954$145.54
2025-03-2420.10%+2.100.978$146.45
2025-03-2120.88%+2.261.006$145.45
2025-03-2020.41%+2.041.020$147.15
2025-03-1919.90%+2.191.047$148.11
2025-03-1821.10%+2.281.022$148.99
2025-03-1720.10%+2.451.053$151.34
2025-03-1420.88%+0.571.049$148.59
2025-03-1323.83%+2.920.960$148.34
2025-03-1224.22%+3.340.944$148.17
2025-03-1122.99%+1.230.980$152.33
2025-03-1023.64%+2.280.920$156.25
2025-03-0720.62%+3.181.009$154.44
2025-03-0620.63%+3.971.011$154.61
2025-03-0521.75%+1.640.958$153.88
2025-03-0421.80%+1.430.972$154.19
2025-03-0319.53%+1.311.066$155.99
2025-02-2820.65%+3.440.989$153.47
2025-02-2721.77%+2.300.968$152.02
2025-02-2620.89%+2.220.950$151.51
2025-02-2519.98%+2.770.999$156.42
2025-02-2419.19%+4.460.991$153.85
2025-02-2118.54%+3.321.064$153.50
2025-02-2017.66%+1.401.080$149.10
2025-02-1918.08%+2.191.072$145.81
2025-02-1818.59%+2.401.031$144.10

The chart covers every session in the archive, 237 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 237 sessions

-5.00.05.010.026 Aug21 Nov19 Feb15 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 8d (2026-10-02) · 15d (2026-10-09)

15%20%25%30%35%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 29.10%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 27.86%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 27.53%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 27.23%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 26.92%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 26.59%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 26.21%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 25.57%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 24.66%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 23.82%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 23.25%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 23.10%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 23.09%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 23.09%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 23.09%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 23.09%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 23.16%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 23.56%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 24.92%1d2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ C — IV 23.70%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ C — IV 22.53%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ C — IV 21.92%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ C — IV 21.56%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ C — IV 21.33%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ C — IV 21.26%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ C — IV 21.23%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ C — IV 21.38%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ C — IV 21.59%2026-10-02 (8d) — ATM — IV 21.48%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ P — IV 21.21%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ P — IV 20.78%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ P — IV 20.45%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ P — IV 20.72%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ P — IV 20.95%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ P — IV 20.89%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ P — IV 20.87%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ P — IV 20.89%2026-10-02 (8d) — 5Δ P — IV 21.07%8d2026-10-09 (15d) — 10Δ C — IV 31.19%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ C — IV 30.12%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ C — IV 28.59%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ C — IV 29.06%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ C — IV 29.06%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ C — IV 29.21%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ C — IV 29.42%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ C — IV 29.23%2026-10-09 (15d) — ATM — IV 29.17%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ P — IV 29.71%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ P — IV 29.72%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ P — IV 30.01%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ P — IV 29.20%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ P — IV 28.98%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ P — IV 29.70%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ P — IV 30.11%15d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d8d15d
5Δ call29.10%23.70%—
10Δ call27.86%22.53%31.19%
15Δ call27.53%21.92%30.12%
20Δ call27.23%21.56%28.59%
25Δ call26.92%21.33%29.06%
30Δ call26.59%21.26%29.06%
35Δ call26.21%21.23%29.21%
40Δ call25.57%21.38%29.42%
45Δ call24.66%21.59%29.23%
ATM23.82%21.48%29.17%
45Δ put23.25%21.21%29.71%
40Δ put23.10%20.78%29.72%
35Δ put23.09%20.45%30.01%
30Δ put23.09%20.72%29.20%
25Δ put23.09%20.95%28.98%
20Δ put23.09%20.89%29.70%
15Δ put23.16%20.87%30.11%
10Δ put23.56%20.89%—
5Δ put24.92%21.07%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$128.3423.82%23.09%26.92%-3.83+1.197
2026-10-028$128.4621.48%20.95%21.33%-0.38-0.3413
2026-10-0915$128.6729.17%28.98%29.06%-0.07-0.1519
2026-10-1622$128.7026.40%26.18%26.73%-0.56+0.0625
2026-10-2329$128.8525.10%25.08%24.90%+0.18-0.1122
2026-10-3036$129.2324.64%24.76%24.90%-0.14+0.1920
2026-11-2057$129.2524.34%24.39%24.16%+0.23-0.079
2026-12-1885$128.5624.39%24.57%23.56%+1.01-0.3311
2027-01-15113$128.7323.59%23.93%23.28%+0.65+0.0113
2027-03-19176$128.9024.44%25.33%23.76%+1.57+0.1013
2027-04-16204$129.2623.74%24.67%23.14%+1.53+0.1610
2027-06-17266$129.5124.35%23.87%23.69%+0.19-0.5712
2027-09-17358$130.0324.17%25.11%23.78%+1.33+0.2816

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

20%22%24%26%28%30%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 23.82%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 21.48%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 29.17%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 26.40%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 25.10%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 24.64%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 24.34%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 24.39%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 23.59%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 24.44%2027-04-16 — 204 days — at-the-money IV 23.74%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 24.35%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 24.17%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$128.3423.82%$128.357
2026-10-028 days$128.4621.48%$128.5313
2026-10-0915 days$128.6729.17%$128.8919
2026-10-1622 days$128.7026.40%$128.9725
2026-10-2329 days$128.8525.10%$129.1722
2026-10-3036 days$129.2324.64%$129.6120
2026-11-2057 days$129.2524.34%$129.849
2026-12-1885 days$128.5624.39%$129.4511
2027-01-15113 days$128.7323.59%$129.8513
2027-03-19176 days$128.9024.44%$130.7713
2027-04-16204 days$129.2623.74%$131.3110
2027-06-17266 days$129.5124.35%$132.3412
2027-09-17358 days$130.0324.17%$133.8016

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
25.02%
60 days
24.35%
90 days
24.21%
180 days
24.33%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 237 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4026 Aug21 Nov19 Feb15 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-08Before the openAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 3
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
1.9%
Mean move that happened
1.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-09After the close———
2026-04-16After the close———
2026-02-03After the close———
2025-10-09After the close———
2025-07-17After the close———
2025-04-24After the close1.7%-1.4%0.84×
2025-02-04After the close2.2%+1.5%0.68×
2024-10-08After the close1.9%+1.2%0.64×
2024-07-11After the close———
2024-04-23After the close———
2024-02-09After the close———
2023-10-10Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.