Options Skew Analytics

PG options analytics

PG · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

PG options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 22.5%, a move of about ±6.4% over the next month. That is higher than 95% of the 189 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.33 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 8% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-22, before the open.

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±4.5% and PG moved 2.1% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
22.45%

Prices a move of about ±6.4% over 30 days, or ±1.4% on a typical day.

Higher than 95% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.33

Puts carry 2.33 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 50% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.32

The wings carry 0.32 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.919

90-day volatility is 8% below 30-day.

Higher than 20% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 189 prior sessions (one-year window)

22.5% — 95th percentile
13.3%31.5%
IV percentile, 1 year
95%
IV rank, 1 year
50%
IV percentile, 2 years
95%
IV rank, 2 years
50%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$145.68
30-day implied forward
$146.54
60-day ATM IV
21.34%
90-day ATM IV
20.64%
180-day ATM IV
20.91%
Expirations used
14
Total open interest
245,010
Put / call open interest
0.75

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 237 sessions

10%15%20%25%30%35%26 Aug12 Nov25 Feb21 May24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2422.45%+2.330.919$145.68
2026-09-2322.31%+1.280.925$147.39
2026-09-2221.63%+2.000.947$148.22
2026-09-2121.21%+1.440.992$146.08
2026-09-1820.85%+0.971.016$146.39
2026-09-1719.00%+0.891.112$147.55
2026-09-1618.93%+1.101.136$147.02
2026-09-1521.75%+1.640.984$146.67
2026-09-1420.15%+1.641.069$146.13
2026-09-1118.86%+2.101.137$145.27
2026-09-1019.34%+0.631.112$142.97
2026-09-0919.57%+1.451.114$142.64
2026-09-0819.27%+1.041.150$145.58
2026-09-0418.06%+0.921.181$146.44
2026-09-0318.64%+0.681.148$146.92
2026-09-0218.50%+1.221.151$147.64
2026-09-0119.92%+2.591.062$146.21
2026-08-3119.54%+0.921.076$145.12
2026-08-2817.42%+0.861.200$143.78
2026-08-2718.22%+0.611.158$143.14
2026-08-2618.12%+1.781.171$145.00
2026-08-2518.28%+1.441.176$145.40
2026-08-2418.16%+2.661.182$146.60
2026-08-21———$144.68
2026-08-2018.76%+0.631.141$142.97
2026-08-19———$144.38
2026-08-1818.26%+1.241.178$143.45
2026-08-1719.06%+0.201.106$143.12
2025-06-3018.37%+2.921.032$159.32
2025-06-27———$159.86
2025-06-26———$158.63
2025-06-2517.77%+2.661.058$158.97
2025-06-2419.33%+2.750.976$160.36
2025-06-2318.09%+3.301.062$161.03
2025-06-20———$159.08
2025-06-1818.41%+2.731.070$158.02
2025-06-1718.49%+2.541.069$158.52
2025-06-16———$160.88
2025-06-13———$160.28
2025-06-1217.26%+3.481.120$163.18
2025-06-1117.10%+2.431.105$162.11
2025-06-1017.51%+2.381.096$162.84
2025-06-0917.66%+2.871.100$162.56
2025-06-0616.99%+3.051.135$164.02
2025-06-0517.77%+3.271.099$162.80
2025-06-0417.76%+4.131.097$165.95
2025-06-0317.04%+3.581.125$166.85
2025-06-0216.76%+3.121.126$167.78
2025-05-3016.20%+2.861.093$169.89
2025-05-2916.62%+2.821.095$168.56
2025-05-2817.06%+2.571.110$167.36
2025-05-2716.41%+2.471.141$167.76
2025-05-2317.23%+3.021.136$165.86
2025-05-2216.85%+2.981.152$165.03
2025-05-2118.30%+1.421.045$165.43
2025-05-2016.26%+2.701.159$165.64
2025-05-1916.70%+3.671.090$164.77
2025-05-1616.27%+2.871.155$163.28
2025-05-15———$162.41
2025-05-1417.38%+3.311.061$158.02
2025-05-1316.72%+2.561.090$158.73
2025-05-12———$160.90
2025-05-0918.32%+3.841.047$157.66
2025-05-0818.81%+4.101.056$158.65
2025-05-0718.52%+3.871.054$159.29
2025-05-0618.99%+4.461.033$159.25
2025-05-0519.15%+3.741.030$158.83
2025-05-0218.39%+3.131.065$160.52
2025-05-0119.47%+3.841.021$159.98
2025-04-3019.92%+3.280.974$162.57
2025-04-2918.91%+3.721.020$162.26
2025-04-2820.09%+4.071.003$161.85
2025-04-2519.89%+4.240.987$161.02
2025-04-2420.81%+3.480.985$159.53
2025-04-2324.37%+8.800.892$165.73
2025-04-2226.27%+6.040.842$167.88
2025-04-2127.63%+7.930.847$165.75
2025-04-1725.07%+6.140.875$170.63
2025-04-16———$166.39
2025-04-1522.42%+8.270.846$168.47
2025-04-1424.51%+4.890.911$169.13
2025-04-1127.74%+6.600.834$166.91
2025-04-1031.24%+7.170.815$163.56
2025-04-09———$162.32
2025-04-08———$158.39
2025-04-0731.51%+7.900.787$160.23
2025-04-04———$163.75
2025-04-0322.79%+3.180.877$172.39
2025-04-02———$169.50
2025-04-0121.61%+3.010.820$170.56
2025-03-3119.69%+3.000.959$170.42
2025-03-2820.03%+4.880.927$168.03
2025-03-2718.75%+2.111.064$168.71
2025-03-2618.93%+2.380.929$166.58
2025-03-2518.16%+2.510.986$162.85
2025-03-2418.76%+3.520.928$165.65
2025-03-21———$166.69
2025-03-20———$167.55
2025-03-1917.63%+1.201.045$168.57
2025-03-1820.37%+1.480.914$167.71
2025-03-1719.25%+2.160.922$169.76
2025-03-1418.62%+2.800.992$167.97
2025-03-13———$168.59
2025-03-1220.23%+0.560.982$168.37
2025-03-1119.90%+2.210.976$173.12
2025-03-10———$176.26
2025-03-0719.26%+2.010.962$175.95
2025-03-0617.36%+2.691.086$174.66
2025-03-0518.20%+2.261.005$174.61
2025-03-04———$173.18
2025-03-0317.65%+2.920.984$175.59
2025-02-28———$173.84
2025-02-2717.36%+1.531.022$171.97
2025-02-2616.73%+2.161.036$171.30
2025-02-2516.74%+1.671.058$172.65
2025-02-2417.14%+1.761.007$170.54
2025-02-21———$170.23
2025-02-20———$167.21
2025-02-1915.57%+1.701.066$166.49
2025-02-1817.25%+1.110.973$165.43

The chart covers every session in the archive, 237 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 237 sessions

-2.00.02.04.06.08.010.026 Aug12 Nov25 Feb21 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 8d (2026-10-02) · 15d (2026-10-09)

15%20%25%30%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 27.81%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 24.03%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 20.82%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 18.95%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 18.02%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 17.60%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 17.48%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 17.78%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 18.43%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 19.33%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 20.31%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 21.05%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 21.30%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 21.48%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 21.61%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 21.72%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 21.84%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 22.04%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 22.90%1d2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ C — IV 18.96%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ C — IV 18.95%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ C — IV 19.09%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ C — IV 18.90%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ C — IV 18.64%2026-10-02 (8d) — ATM — IV 18.83%2026-10-02 (8d) — 45Δ P — IV 19.08%2026-10-02 (8d) — 40Δ P — IV 19.19%2026-10-02 (8d) — 35Δ P — IV 19.27%2026-10-02 (8d) — 30Δ P — IV 19.35%2026-10-02 (8d) — 25Δ P — IV 19.51%2026-10-02 (8d) — 20Δ P — IV 19.72%2026-10-02 (8d) — 15Δ P — IV 19.43%2026-10-02 (8d) — 10Δ P — IV 19.47%8d2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ C — IV 18.69%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ C — IV 18.34%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ C — IV 18.13%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ C — IV 17.99%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ C — IV 18.00%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ C — IV 18.11%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ C — IV 17.98%2026-10-09 (15d) — ATM — IV 18.09%2026-10-09 (15d) — 45Δ P — IV 18.32%2026-10-09 (15d) — 40Δ P — IV 18.31%2026-10-09 (15d) — 35Δ P — IV 18.32%2026-10-09 (15d) — 30Δ P — IV 18.34%2026-10-09 (15d) — 25Δ P — IV 18.34%2026-10-09 (15d) — 20Δ P — IV 18.69%2026-10-09 (15d) — 15Δ P — IV 19.84%15d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d8d15d
5Δ call27.81%——
10Δ call24.03%——
15Δ call20.82%—18.69%
20Δ call18.95%—18.34%
25Δ call18.02%18.96%18.13%
30Δ call17.60%18.95%17.99%
35Δ call17.48%19.09%18.00%
40Δ call17.78%18.90%18.11%
45Δ call18.43%18.64%17.98%
ATM19.33%18.83%18.09%
45Δ put20.31%19.08%18.32%
40Δ put21.05%19.19%18.31%
35Δ put21.30%19.27%18.32%
30Δ put21.48%19.35%18.34%
25Δ put21.61%19.51%18.34%
20Δ put21.72%19.72%18.69%
15Δ put21.84%19.43%19.84%
10Δ put22.04%19.47%—
5Δ put22.90%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$146.4619.33%21.61%18.02%+3.59+0.497
2026-10-028$146.4418.83%19.51%18.96%+0.55+0.4110
2026-10-0915$146.5018.09%18.34%18.13%+0.21+0.1512
2026-10-1622$146.6718.79%19.48%18.02%+1.46-0.0418
2026-10-2329$146.5322.79%24.28%21.79%+2.49+0.2416
2026-10-3036$146.6520.73%22.23%20.69%+1.54+0.7313
2026-11-2057$146.1321.42%22.64%20.66%+1.99+0.238
2026-12-1885$146.4420.85%21.55%19.97%+1.58-0.109
2027-01-15113$147.0819.87%21.14%19.25%+1.88+0.3211
2027-02-19148$147.0920.61%22.24%19.96%+2.27+0.4910
2027-03-19176$147.3220.96%22.41%19.99%+2.43+0.2413
2027-04-16204$147.9520.60%21.78%19.81%+1.98+0.1911
2027-06-17266$148.3220.64%22.64%20.13%+2.51+0.7514
2027-09-17358$148.6921.08%22.69%20.53%+2.17+0.5317

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

14 listed expirations produced a usable reading

16%18%20%22%24%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 19.33%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 18.83%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 18.09%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 18.79%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 22.79%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 20.73%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 21.42%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 20.85%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 19.87%2027-02-19 — 148 days — at-the-money IV 20.61%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 20.96%2027-04-16 — 204 days — at-the-money IV 20.60%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 20.64%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 21.08%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$146.4619.33%$146.477
2026-10-028 days$146.4418.83%$146.5010
2026-10-0915 days$146.5018.09%$146.5912
2026-10-1622 days$146.6718.79%$146.8318
2026-10-2329 days$146.5322.79%$146.8316
2026-10-3036 days$146.6520.73%$146.9613
2026-11-2057 days$146.1321.42%$146.668
2026-12-1885 days$146.4420.85%$147.189
2027-01-15113 days$147.0819.87%$147.9811
2027-02-19148 days$147.0920.61%$148.3610
2027-03-19176 days$147.3220.96%$148.8913
2027-04-16204 days$147.9520.60%$149.7211
2027-06-17266 days$148.3220.64%$150.6414
2027-09-17358 days$148.6921.08%$151.9717

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
22.45%
60 days
21.34%
90 days
20.64%
180 days
20.91%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 237 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4026 Aug12 Nov25 Feb21 May24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-22Before the openAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 3
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
4.5%
Mean move that happened
2.1%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-29Before the open———
2026-04-24Before the open———
2026-01-22Before the open———
2025-10-24Before the open———
2025-07-29Before the open———
2025-04-24Before the open4.7%-3.7%0.79×
2025-01-22Before the open4.7%+1.9%0.39×
2024-10-18Before the open4.0%-0.6%0.14×
2024-07-30Before the open———
2024-04-19Before the open———
2024-01-23Before the open———
2023-10-18Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.