Options Skew Analytics

PYPL options analytics

PYPL · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

PYPL options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 32.0%, a move of about ±9.2% over the next month. That is higher than 52% of the 223 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.58 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 90% of the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 17% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-27, before the open.

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±10.5% and PYPL moved 6.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
31.99%

Prices a move of about ±9.2% over 30 days, or ±2.0% on a typical day.

Higher than 52% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.58

Calls carry 0.58 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 10% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.07

The wings carry 1.07 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.172

90-day volatility is 17% above 30-day.

Higher than 62% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 223 prior sessions (one-year window)

32.0% — 52th percentile
26.2%68.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
52%
IV rank, 1 year
14%
IV percentile, 2 years
52%
IV rank, 2 years
14%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$52.51
30-day implied forward
$52.85
60-day ATM IV
39.52%
90-day ATM IV
37.50%
180-day ATM IV
35.79%
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
678,334
Put / call open interest
0.42

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 224 sessions

20%40%60%80%4 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2331.99%-0.581.172$52.51
2026-09-2231.47%-0.361.174$52.89
2026-09-2129.78%-0.531.203$52.62
2026-09-1829.92%-1.211.217$52.41
2026-09-1731.57%-1.261.155$52.94
2026-09-1632.49%+0.001.186$52.71
2026-09-1532.72%-0.411.162$53.81
2026-09-1433.72%-0.851.160$54.03
2026-09-1133.15%+0.771.153$53.72
2026-09-1033.69%+2.041.184$53.31
2026-09-0940.04%-1.191.064$52.17
2026-09-0835.97%-2.051.108$53.18
2026-09-0434.63%+1.381.147$54.96
2026-09-0333.58%+0.821.093$56.82
2026-09-0230.48%+0.711.140$54.67
2026-09-0132.26%-1.261.070$52.40
2026-08-3131.49%-0.661.173$52.67
2026-08-2831.82%-1.241.164$53.66
2026-08-2729.98%+1.191.032$61.47
2026-08-2632.25%+1.291.048$61.81
2026-08-2532.89%+3.090.932$62.27
2025-06-3039.39%+3.100.873$74.32
2025-06-2732.49%+2.891.047$73.64
2025-06-2629.99%+3.941.153$73.17
2025-06-2528.39%+4.001.232$73.07
2025-06-2428.59%+3.131.227$73.58
2025-06-2330.13%+4.761.202$72.01
2025-06-2031.35%+3.981.183$70.05
2025-06-1833.46%+3.541.135$68.57
2025-06-1731.00%+3.421.184$70.67
2025-06-1629.20%+2.571.216$72.26
2025-06-1331.27%+3.781.182$70.83
2025-06-1227.79%+2.201.266$74.81
2025-06-1127.87%+2.801.253$74.61
2025-06-1027.90%+2.601.253$74.76
2025-06-0928.75%+2.511.237$73.55
2025-06-0628.21%+2.161.253$73.43
2025-06-0529.68%+3.451.218$72.47
2025-06-0429.26%+1.761.212$72.80
2025-06-0328.67%+2.141.235$71.33
2025-06-0229.41%+4.171.218$70.93
2025-05-3029.58%+3.981.154$70.28
2025-05-2930.10%+3.071.187$70.93
2025-05-2829.93%+3.381.210$71.44
2025-05-2729.07%+3.661.226$71.48
2025-05-2331.65%+2.901.167$69.85
2025-05-2230.25%+3.021.187$71.45
2025-05-2131.15%+3.801.164$71.65
2025-05-2028.64%+3.331.210$72.61
2025-05-1928.64%+3.521.202$72.32
2025-05-1628.16%+2.431.214$72.18
2025-05-1527.90%+2.211.141$71.57
2025-05-1428.13%+2.861.199$72.68
2025-05-1328.00%+3.551.176$72.29
2025-05-1226.96%+2.741.200$72.31
2025-05-0929.58%+4.431.162$70.26
2025-05-0830.02%+4.121.157$70.48
2025-05-0737.83%-1.030.940$68.69
2025-05-0633.33%+0.751.084$68.05
2025-05-0530.60%+4.681.163$68.54
2025-05-0231.47%+5.431.101$67.24
2025-05-0133.07%+4.961.081$65.41
2025-04-3030.93%+7.071.147$65.84
2025-04-2931.31%+6.161.103$66.32
2025-04-2845.79%+9.450.846$64.93
2025-04-2546.08%+6.360.797$65.34
2025-04-2449.39%+8.030.798$64.77
2025-04-2350.95%+6.020.823$62.46
2025-04-2253.47%+10.980.771$61.42
2025-04-2155.73%+14.150.744$60.29
2025-04-1752.47%+10.850.813$61.00
2025-04-1655.05%+12.680.818$60.24
2025-04-1553.23%+9.830.770$62.00
2025-04-1455.30%+11.930.787$62.27
2025-04-1155.26%+16.650.832$62.59
2025-04-1063.67%+16.020.752$60.56
2025-04-0954.72%+12.280.806$63.95
2025-04-0868.57%+24.950.767$57.41
2025-04-0756.32%+21.520.900$58.53
2025-04-0462.96%+12.450.836$58.37
2025-04-0352.83%+5.460.795$61.71
2025-04-0246.85%+5.410.792$67.15
2025-04-0145.16%+5.740.832$66.10
2025-03-3143.51%+4.010.865$65.25
2025-03-2836.62%+3.461.014$65.15
2025-03-2730.41%+3.531.164$68.86
2025-03-2628.40%+4.361.257$69.97
2025-03-2527.65%+1.911.276$70.86
2025-03-2429.18%+3.281.213$70.97
2025-03-2130.46%+3.811.197$70.19
2025-03-2031.37%+3.991.165$69.67
2025-03-1932.28%+2.641.146$70.00
2025-03-1833.58%+3.401.131$68.88
2025-03-1732.75%+4.221.143$69.65
2025-03-1433.54%+4.191.152$68.95
2025-03-1337.61%+3.231.062$66.91
2025-03-1235.50%+4.201.110$68.62
2025-03-1138.53%+3.011.060$67.98
2025-03-1040.46%+7.371.012$68.16
2025-03-0734.75%+4.331.101$70.48
2025-03-0636.13%+3.121.072$68.08
2025-03-0532.78%+1.851.139$69.50
2025-03-0435.84%+3.601.072$67.48
2025-03-0332.56%+2.161.138$69.75
2025-02-2830.01%+1.141.187$71.05
2025-02-2731.43%+4.171.179$70.73
2025-02-2630.46%+2.241.176$72.05
2025-02-2531.62%+0.741.135$74.07
2025-02-2434.12%+0.501.085$75.25
2025-02-2134.81%+1.221.071$74.95
2025-02-2036.33%-3.330.993$77.63
2025-02-1932.38%+0.061.119$78.36
2025-02-1831.89%-0.111.112$78.62
2025-02-1431.02%+0.321.129$77.97
2025-02-1331.52%+0.311.101$76.59
2025-02-1232.45%-1.261.080$76.27
2025-02-1132.09%-0.011.068$76.21
2025-02-1032.90%+1.551.026$78.24
2025-02-0731.86%-0.111.042$77.31
2025-02-0631.82%+0.161.040$78.57

The chart covers every session in the archive, 224 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 224 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.04 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

20%30%40%50%60%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ C — IV 55.37%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 47.89%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 45.36%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 44.14%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 43.69%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 43.46%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 43.24%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.91%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 42.02%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 40.47%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 38.87%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 37.61%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.96%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.96%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.04%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.18%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 37.40%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 37.76%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 38.72%2d2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ C — IV 40.68%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 37.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 35.06%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 33.90%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 33.56%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 33.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 32.98%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 32.72%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 32.48%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 32.21%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 31.89%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 31.67%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 31.50%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 31.43%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 31.48%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ C — IV 41.56%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 37.24%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 34.83%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 33.43%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 32.84%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 32.35%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 32.35%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 32.75%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 33.45%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 34.13%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 33.81%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 33.54%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 33.33%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 33.07%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 32.73%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 32.49%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d16d23d
5Δ call55.37%40.68%41.56%
10Δ call47.89%37.28%37.24%
15Δ call45.36%35.06%34.83%
20Δ call44.14%33.90%33.43%
25Δ call43.69%33.56%32.84%
30Δ call43.46%33.28%32.35%
35Δ call43.24%32.98%32.35%
40Δ call42.91%32.72%32.75%
45Δ call42.02%32.48%33.45%
ATM40.47%32.21%34.13%
45Δ put38.87%31.89%33.81%
40Δ put37.61%31.67%33.54%
35Δ put36.96%31.50%33.33%
30Δ put36.96%31.43%33.07%
25Δ put37.04%31.48%32.73%
20Δ put37.18%—32.49%
15Δ put37.40%——
10Δ put37.76%——
5Δ put38.72%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$52.5740.47%37.04%43.69%-6.65-0.1011
2026-10-0916$52.6332.21%31.48%33.56%-2.08+0.319
2026-10-1623$52.8334.13%32.73%32.84%-0.11-1.3516
2026-10-2330$52.8531.99%32.77%33.35%-0.58+1.0711
2026-11-2058$52.9839.70%40.00%39.89%+0.11+0.2412
2026-12-1886$52.9337.82%37.87%38.22%-0.35+0.2314
2027-01-15114$53.2136.01%36.76%35.71%+1.04+0.2217
2027-03-19177$53.6235.60%37.04%35.13%+1.91+0.4913
2027-04-16205$53.4537.11%35.82%35.73%+0.09-1.3411

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

30%32%34%36%38%40%42%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 40.47%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 32.21%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 34.13%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 31.99%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 39.70%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 37.82%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 36.01%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 35.60%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 37.11%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$52.5740.47%$52.5911
2026-10-0916 days$52.6332.21%$52.759
2026-10-1623 days$52.8334.13%$53.0216
2026-10-2330 days$52.8531.99%$53.0711
2026-11-2058 days$52.9839.70%$53.6512
2026-12-1886 days$52.9337.82%$53.8314
2027-01-15114 days$53.2136.01%$54.3017
2027-03-19177 days$53.6235.60%$55.3013
2027-04-16205 days$53.4537.11%$55.5611

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
31.99%
60 days
39.52%
90 days
37.50%
180 days
35.79%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 224 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.604 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-27Before the openAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
10.5%
Mean move that happened
6.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-28Before the open———
2026-05-05Before the open———
2026-02-03Before the open———
2025-10-28Before the open———
2025-07-29Before the open———
2025-04-29Before the open10.3%+2.1%0.21×
2025-02-04Before the open10.2%-13.2%1.29×
2024-10-29Before the open11.0%-4.0%0.36×
2024-07-30Before the open———
2024-04-30Before the open———
2024-02-07After the close———
2023-11-01After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.