Options Skew Analytics

RIVN options analytics

RIVN · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

RIVN options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 51.6%, a move of about ±14.8% over the next month. That is higher than 2% of the 223 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 5.24 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 90% of the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 15% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±16.0% and RIVN moved 37.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
51.56%

Prices a move of about ±14.8% over 30 days, or ±3.2% on a typical day.

Higher than 2% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-5.24

Calls carry 5.24 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 10% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.52

The wings carry 1.52 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.152

90-day volatility is 15% above 30-day.

Higher than 97% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 223 prior sessions (one-year window)

51.6% — 2th percentile
49.9%100.2%
IV percentile, 1 year
2%
IV rank, 1 year
3%
IV percentile, 2 years
2%
IV rank, 2 years
3%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$15.02
30-day implied forward
$15.07
60-day ATM IV
60.61%
90-day ATM IV
59.39%
180-day ATM IV
62.09%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
1,031,169
Put / call open interest
0.61

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 224 sessions

40%60%80%100%120%4 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2351.56%-5.241.152$15.02
2026-09-2252.87%-6.901.138$15.14
2026-09-2155.02%-4.191.097$15.36
2026-09-1854.50%-5.561.102$14.99
2026-09-1756.98%-4.371.090$15.40
2026-09-1655.85%-6.941.091$15.23
2026-09-1556.70%-4.981.083$15.54
2026-09-1457.53%-4.381.066$15.86
2026-09-1155.89%-3.961.116$16.03
2026-09-1056.28%-0.221.111$16.05
2026-09-0959.02%-7.521.082$16.01
2026-09-0858.44%-5.031.087$16.17
2026-09-0450.52%-3.451.172$15.74
2026-09-0349.91%-4.871.224$15.91
2026-09-0251.34%-6.721.141$15.61
2026-09-0153.13%-3.101.167$15.54
2026-08-3153.38%-5.081.119$16.06
2026-08-2853.10%-4.371.115$16.07
2026-08-2753.18%-1.991.152$16.80
2026-08-2655.46%-4.531.116$16.33
2026-08-2561.12%-10.221.002$16.74
2025-06-3056.92%-0.131.041$13.74
2025-06-2753.15%+0.111.111$13.60
2025-06-2654.52%+1.021.078$13.91
2025-06-2550.53%-2.721.186$13.76
2025-06-2454.41%-3.021.115$13.81
2025-06-2357.13%+0.021.084$13.65
2025-06-2060.50%-0.751.042$13.57
2025-06-1855.22%-0.711.103$13.77
2025-06-1757.47%-1.231.105$13.39
2025-06-1655.79%+0.511.122$13.76
2025-06-1354.93%+2.591.157$13.42
2025-06-1256.88%+0.141.129$13.91
2025-06-1159.24%-3.451.076$14.20
2025-06-1057.32%-0.721.119$14.40
2025-06-0956.37%-1.431.130$14.40
2025-06-0657.25%-3.381.095$14.00
2025-06-0556.97%-1.021.117$13.78
2025-06-0457.63%+0.411.085$14.01
2025-06-0357.40%+0.261.103$14.37
2025-06-0259.04%+1.441.075$14.10
2025-05-3057.63%+1.721.104$14.53
2025-05-2957.54%+5.691.110$15.01
2025-05-2859.57%-0.391.079$15.48
2025-05-2759.10%+3.751.082$15.37
2025-05-2356.39%+1.441.100$15.63
2025-05-2257.07%-1.131.105$15.91
2025-05-2157.33%+2.911.114$16.34
2025-05-2059.32%-3.021.076$16.92
2025-05-1958.47%-2.201.074$16.29
2025-05-1655.50%-1.671.105$15.81
2025-05-1554.56%+0.751.113$15.30
2025-05-1458.13%-2.021.053$14.82
2025-05-1354.68%-4.301.095$14.87
2025-05-1255.23%+0.821.096$14.64
2025-05-0959.11%+1.971.068$14.26
2025-05-0858.55%+0.981.063$13.68
2025-05-0760.33%+9.381.018$12.72
2025-05-0675.09%+3.650.892$13.50
2025-05-0574.57%+1.720.905$13.55
2025-05-0269.89%+2.210.936$13.83
2025-05-0166.44%-0.721.026$13.76
2025-04-3076.05%+2.730.915$13.66
2025-04-2973.54%+1.880.933$13.30
2025-04-2875.50%+0.840.901$13.19
2025-04-2575.25%+5.530.873$12.62
2025-04-2477.14%+0.630.889$12.09
2025-04-2379.42%+5.320.875$11.80
2025-04-2280.10%+6.340.894$11.36
2025-04-2183.40%+7.200.852$11.15
2025-04-1777.45%+8.630.886$11.60
2025-04-1684.00%+8.870.858$11.49
2025-04-1582.50%+4.960.822$11.91
2025-04-1487.01%+7.880.847$12.03
2025-04-1185.98%+8.750.873$11.47
2025-04-1077.50%+8.350.917$11.46
2025-04-0972.85%+9.770.979$11.77
2025-04-0888.36%+19.800.883$10.80
2025-04-0787.92%+8.770.917$11.21
2025-04-0481.16%+20.610.942$11.21
2025-04-0370.32%+6.611.052$11.53
2025-04-0264.67%+5.801.082$12.49
2025-04-0170.70%+1.431.029$13.28
2025-03-3170.79%+4.961.009$12.45
2025-03-2868.51%-0.941.052$12.41
2025-03-2767.30%-0.871.043$13.02
2025-03-2660.41%+4.881.091$12.10
2025-03-2560.48%+2.361.064$12.36
2025-03-2459.67%+0.201.048$12.19
2025-03-2162.02%+1.321.071$11.60
2025-03-2064.58%+0.341.091$10.88
2025-03-1963.92%-0.781.060$11.36
2025-03-1868.74%+0.291.012$11.20
2025-03-1764.13%+2.511.056$11.02
2025-03-1464.22%+0.711.062$10.75
2025-03-1369.54%+3.041.014$10.61
2025-03-1268.30%+1.881.004$11.06
2025-03-1174.79%+3.700.968$10.79
2025-03-1075.00%+3.160.990$10.96
2025-03-0769.34%+1.291.013$11.17
2025-03-0675.54%+6.280.946$11.03
2025-03-0573.86%+1.320.964$11.42
2025-03-0467.54%+10.921.080$11.26
2025-03-0368.86%-2.370.988$11.51
2025-02-2866.74%-5.141.065$11.84
2025-02-2769.59%-0.481.010$11.60
2025-02-2667.30%+4.391.034$11.40
2025-02-2570.93%+5.000.983$11.45
2025-02-2467.92%+1.231.030$11.96
2025-02-2165.64%+1.151.037$12.97
2025-02-2088.29%-4.400.819$13.61
2025-02-1985.45%-3.900.881$13.93
2025-02-1885.41%+0.640.914$14.44
2025-02-1481.50%-4.470.905$14.03
2025-02-1379.83%+3.000.924$13.30
2025-02-1281.91%-3.810.878$12.48
2025-02-1181.69%-1.260.875$12.44
2025-02-1073.74%+4.830.941$12.99
2025-02-0779.49%+6.450.922$12.48
2025-02-0681.35%+0.230.941$12.80

The chart covers every session in the archive, 224 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 224 sessions

-20.0-10.00.010.020.030.04 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

40%50%60%70%80%90%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ C — IV 69.07%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 61.16%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 57.97%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 56.02%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 54.59%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 53.25%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 52.23%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 51.69%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 51.36%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 51.03%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 50.53%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 49.75%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 49.00%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.64%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.57%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.52%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 48.35%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 47.58%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 47.70%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ C — IV 77.32%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 66.32%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 61.74%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 59.09%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 57.14%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 55.64%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 54.56%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 53.71%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 52.80%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 51.92%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 51.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 50.91%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 50.62%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 50.43%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.30%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.32%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.45%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ P — IV 50.85%2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ P — IV 52.41%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ C — IV 78.68%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 67.21%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 61.06%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 58.46%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 56.71%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 55.64%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 54.75%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.06%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 53.46%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 52.93%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 52.24%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 51.05%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 50.57%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 50.76%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 50.82%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 50.46%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.42%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ P — IV 50.74%2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ P — IV 52.55%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta9d16d23d
5Δ call69.07%77.32%78.68%
10Δ call61.16%66.32%67.21%
15Δ call57.97%61.74%61.06%
20Δ call56.02%59.09%58.46%
25Δ call54.59%57.14%56.71%
30Δ call53.25%55.64%55.64%
35Δ call52.23%54.56%54.75%
40Δ call51.69%53.71%54.06%
45Δ call51.36%52.80%53.46%
ATM51.03%51.92%52.93%
45Δ put50.53%51.33%52.24%
40Δ put49.75%50.91%51.05%
35Δ put49.00%50.62%50.57%
30Δ put48.64%50.43%50.76%
25Δ put48.57%50.30%50.82%
20Δ put48.52%50.32%50.46%
15Δ put48.35%50.45%50.42%
10Δ put47.58%50.85%50.74%
5Δ put47.70%52.41%52.55%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-029$15.0351.03%48.57%54.59%-6.02+0.5514
2026-10-0916$15.0451.92%50.30%57.14%-6.84+1.8115
2026-10-1623$15.0552.93%50.82%56.71%-5.89+0.8323
2026-10-2330$15.0751.56%50.47%55.70%-5.24+1.5217
2026-10-3037$15.0956.77%55.70%61.01%-5.31+1.5815
2026-11-2058$15.1260.73%60.20%64.84%-4.64+1.8015
2026-12-1886$15.1759.54%58.61%62.64%-4.03+1.0919
2027-01-15114$15.2258.73%59.02%62.35%-3.33+1.9519
2027-03-19177$15.3562.07%61.60%64.58%-2.97+1.0224
2027-06-17267$15.5762.48%64.14%65.81%-1.67+2.4912
2027-09-17359$15.6863.78%63.92%67.13%-3.21+1.7412

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%55%60%65%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 51.03%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 51.92%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 52.93%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 51.56%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 56.77%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 60.73%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 59.54%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 58.73%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 62.07%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 62.48%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 63.78%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-029 days$15.0351.03%$15.0714
2026-10-0916 days$15.0451.92%$15.1315
2026-10-1623 days$15.0552.93%$15.1823
2026-10-2330 days$15.0751.56%$15.2317
2026-10-3037 days$15.0956.77%$15.3315
2026-11-2058 days$15.1260.73%$15.5715
2026-12-1886 days$15.1759.54%$15.8119
2027-01-15114 days$15.2258.73%$16.0619
2027-03-19177 days$15.3562.07%$16.8624
2027-06-17267 days$15.5762.48%$17.9612
2027-09-17359 days$15.6863.78%$19.1512

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
51.56%
60 days
60.61%
90 days
59.39%
180 days
62.09%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 224 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.404 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
16.0%
Mean move that happened
37.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-30After the close———
2026-07-06After the close———
2026-04-30After the close———
2026-02-12After the close———
2025-11-04After the close———
2025-08-05After the close———
2025-05-06After the close13.4%+24.0%1.80×
2025-02-20After the close17.3%+23.0%1.33×
2024-11-07After the close17.3%+66.6%3.85×
2024-08-06After the close———
2024-05-07After the close———
2024-02-21After the close———
2023-11-07After the close———
2023-10-04After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.