Options Skew Analytics

SHEL options analytics

SHEL · Stock

Data as of 25 September 2026 (end of day)

SHEL options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 24.7%, a move of about ±7.1% over the next month. Its history here is 8 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.16 volatility points more than the calls.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 1% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
24.68%

Prices a move of about ±7.1% over 30 days, or ±1.6% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.16

Puts carry 1.16 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.15

The wings carry 0.15 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.986

90-day volatility is 1% below 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 6 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$95.78
30-day implied forward
$95.96
60-day ATM IV
25.35%
90-day ATM IV
24.34%
180-day ATM IV
24.62%
Expirations used
8
Total open interest
153,345
Put / call open interest
0.36

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 8 sessions

21%22%23%24%25%26%2024-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 22%2024-10-01 — 30-day ATM IV 23%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2026-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 24%2026-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 25%2026-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 25%30 Sep18 Sep22 Sep23 Sep25 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 8)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2524.68%+1.160.986$95.78
2026-09-2424.82%+0.240.984$95.60
2026-09-2324.13%+2.011.016$95.41
2026-09-2224.24%+0.421.014$93.93
2026-09-2123.80%+1.461.017$93.27
2026-09-1824.10%+0.931.030$94.54
2024-10-0123.48%+2.020.967$66.87
2024-09-3021.82%+0.800.979$65.95

The chart covers every session in the archive, 8 in total. The table lists the most recent 8.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 8 sessions

-1.00.01.02.03.02024-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82024-10-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.92026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.42026-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22026-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.230 Sep18 Sep22 Sep23 Sep25 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

21d (2026-10-16) · 56d (2026-11-20) · 84d (2026-12-18)

22%24%26%28%30%2026-10-16 (21d) — 10Δ C — IV 24.64%2026-10-16 (21d) — 15Δ C — IV 24.42%2026-10-16 (21d) — 20Δ C — IV 23.75%2026-10-16 (21d) — 25Δ C — IV 23.42%2026-10-16 (21d) — 30Δ C — IV 23.39%2026-10-16 (21d) — 35Δ C — IV 23.48%2026-10-16 (21d) — 40Δ C — IV 23.73%2026-10-16 (21d) — 45Δ C — IV 23.76%2026-10-16 (21d) — ATM — IV 23.81%2026-10-16 (21d) — 45Δ P — IV 23.91%2026-10-16 (21d) — 40Δ P — IV 24.06%2026-10-16 (21d) — 35Δ P — IV 24.32%2026-10-16 (21d) — 30Δ P — IV 24.41%2026-10-16 (21d) — 25Δ P — IV 24.73%2026-10-16 (21d) — 20Δ P — IV 24.92%2026-10-16 (21d) — 15Δ P — IV 25.86%2026-10-16 (21d) — 10Δ P — IV 26.57%21d2026-11-20 (56d) — 15Δ C — IV 25.50%2026-11-20 (56d) — 20Δ C — IV 25.22%2026-11-20 (56d) — 25Δ C — IV 25.14%2026-11-20 (56d) — 30Δ C — IV 25.09%2026-11-20 (56d) — 35Δ C — IV 25.07%2026-11-20 (56d) — 40Δ C — IV 25.19%2026-11-20 (56d) — 45Δ C — IV 25.40%2026-11-20 (56d) — ATM — IV 25.59%2026-11-20 (56d) — 45Δ P — IV 25.72%2026-11-20 (56d) — 40Δ P — IV 25.72%2026-11-20 (56d) — 35Δ P — IV 25.72%2026-11-20 (56d) — 30Δ P — IV 25.84%2026-11-20 (56d) — 25Δ P — IV 26.13%2026-11-20 (56d) — 20Δ P — IV 26.49%2026-11-20 (56d) — 15Δ P — IV 26.77%2026-11-20 (56d) — 10Δ P — IV 27.14%56d2026-12-18 (84d) — 5Δ C — IV 28.84%2026-12-18 (84d) — 10Δ C — IV 25.79%2026-12-18 (84d) — 15Δ C — IV 24.83%2026-12-18 (84d) — 20Δ C — IV 24.43%2026-12-18 (84d) — 25Δ C — IV 24.31%2026-12-18 (84d) — 30Δ C — IV 24.28%2026-12-18 (84d) — 35Δ C — IV 24.26%2026-12-18 (84d) — 40Δ C — IV 24.26%2026-12-18 (84d) — 45Δ C — IV 24.27%2026-12-18 (84d) — ATM — IV 24.38%2026-12-18 (84d) — 45Δ P — IV 24.73%2026-12-18 (84d) — 40Δ P — IV 24.93%2026-12-18 (84d) — 35Δ P — IV 25.08%2026-12-18 (84d) — 30Δ P — IV 25.23%2026-12-18 (84d) — 25Δ P — IV 25.41%2026-12-18 (84d) — 20Δ P — IV 25.68%2026-12-18 (84d) — 15Δ P — IV 26.29%2026-12-18 (84d) — 10Δ P — IV 27.11%2026-12-18 (84d) — 5Δ P — IV 28.74%84d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta21d56d84d
5Δ call——28.84%
10Δ call24.64%—25.79%
15Δ call24.42%25.50%24.83%
20Δ call23.75%25.22%24.43%
25Δ call23.42%25.14%24.31%
30Δ call23.39%25.09%24.28%
35Δ call23.48%25.07%24.26%
40Δ call23.73%25.19%24.26%
45Δ call23.76%25.40%24.27%
ATM23.81%25.59%24.38%
45Δ put23.91%25.72%24.73%
40Δ put24.06%25.72%24.93%
35Δ put24.32%25.72%25.08%
30Δ put24.41%25.84%25.23%
25Δ put24.73%26.13%25.41%
20Δ put24.92%26.49%25.68%
15Δ put25.86%26.77%26.29%
10Δ put26.57%27.14%27.11%
5Δ put——28.74%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-1621$96.0023.81%24.73%23.42%+1.32+0.2620
2026-11-2056$95.8625.59%26.13%25.14%+0.99+0.0410
2026-12-1884$96.0124.38%25.41%24.31%+1.11+0.4818
2027-01-15112$96.2224.22%24.94%24.20%+0.74+0.3518
2027-03-19175$96.2224.65%25.20%24.63%+0.57+0.2623
2027-04-16203$96.5424.47%25.29%24.52%+0.77+0.4314
2027-06-17265$96.6224.58%25.82%24.64%+1.18+0.6524
2027-09-17357$97.0325.06%26.25%25.01%+1.23+0.5714

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

8 listed expirations produced a usable reading

24%24%25%25%26%26%2026-10-16 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 23.81%2026-11-20 — 56 days — at-the-money IV 25.59%2026-12-18 — 84 days — at-the-money IV 24.38%2027-01-15 — 112 days — at-the-money IV 24.22%2027-03-19 — 175 days — at-the-money IV 24.65%2027-04-16 — 203 days — at-the-money IV 24.47%2027-06-17 — 265 days — at-the-money IV 24.58%2027-09-17 — 357 days — at-the-money IV 25.06%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-1621 days$96.0023.81%$96.1620
2026-11-2056 days$95.8625.59%$96.3410
2026-12-1884 days$96.0124.38%$96.6718
2027-01-15112 days$96.2224.22%$97.0918
2027-03-19175 days$96.2224.65%$97.6423
2027-04-16203 days$96.5424.47%$98.1614
2027-06-17265 days$96.6224.58%$98.7724
2027-09-17357 days$97.0325.06%$100.0614

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
24.68%
60 days
25.35%
90 days
24.34%
180 days
24.62%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 8 sessions

0.960.981.001.021.042024-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-10-01 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012026-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022026-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982026-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.9930 Sep18 Sep22 Sep23 Sep25 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence