Options Skew Analytics

TPR options analytics

TPR · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

TPR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 33.9%, a move of about ±9.7% over the next month. That is higher than 32% of the 187 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 0.65 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 22% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-05 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.2% and TPR moved 6.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
33.88%

Prices a move of about ±9.7% over 30 days, or ±2.1% on a typical day.

Higher than 32% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.65

Puts carry 0.65 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 19% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.71

The wings carry 1.71 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.220

90-day volatility is 22% above 30-day.

Higher than 94% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 187 prior sessions (one-year window)

33.9% — 32th percentile
24.7%78.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
32%
IV rank, 1 year
17%
IV percentile, 2 years
32%
IV rank, 2 years
17%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$110.51
30-day implied forward
$111.43
60-day ATM IV
44.96%
90-day ATM IV
41.32%
180-day ATM IV
42.04%
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
23,890
Put / call open interest
1.33

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 222 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%5 Sep25 Nov21 Feb30 Apr23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2333.88%+0.651.220$110.51
2026-09-2233.86%-0.061.223$112.59
2026-09-2133.74%+1.771.245$113.07
2026-09-1833.89%+2.171.256$115.00
2026-09-1734.50%+1.501.239$116.04
2026-09-16———$117.94
2026-09-1535.90%+0.291.190$117.11
2026-09-1435.11%+1.081.192$117.91
2026-09-11———$118.49
2026-09-10———$115.87
2026-09-09———$113.71
2026-09-08———$117.58
2026-09-0437.92%+1.151.085$122.14
2026-09-03———$122.60
2026-09-0232.74%-0.691.253$123.14
2026-09-01———$122.14
2026-08-3132.22%+2.041.253$123.39
2026-08-2836.30%-0.471.129$125.49
2026-08-27———$123.24
2026-08-26———$130.25
2025-06-3031.42%+2.351.169$87.81
2025-06-2734.27%+1.311.075$87.11
2025-06-2634.15%+2.421.114$86.22
2025-06-25———$85.42
2025-06-24———$87.26
2025-06-2334.45%+2.991.130$85.75
2025-06-20———$84.33
2025-06-1835.14%+3.721.118$84.24
2025-06-1736.22%+4.821.098$82.76
2025-06-16———$84.26
2025-06-13———$78.91
2025-06-1233.24%+3.991.144$82.20
2025-06-1133.33%+4.631.148$81.75
2025-06-1034.16%+3.801.131$79.91
2025-06-0934.52%+3.951.119$79.26
2025-06-0633.73%+4.391.143$78.95
2025-06-0532.10%+6.601.203$79.22
2025-06-0436.25%+2.871.075$78.32
2025-06-0334.96%+4.321.111$78.70
2025-06-0238.38%+0.871.022$78.56
2025-05-3035.24%+3.371.080$78.55
2025-05-2935.54%+4.151.083$78.44
2025-05-2835.69%+4.511.070$80.42
2025-05-2733.79%+5.201.125$80.90
2025-05-2337.04%+4.491.016$76.87
2025-05-2235.07%+4.271.090$78.99
2025-05-2135.45%+4.541.130$79.72
2025-05-2032.51%+4.031.092$82.52
2025-05-1932.33%+4.181.105$82.37
2025-05-1630.85%+4.421.125$82.82
2025-05-1532.63%+3.601.079$83.24
2025-05-1434.96%+1.031.018$83.26
2025-05-1331.99%+4.371.111$83.60
2025-05-1233.99%+3.731.069$82.66
2025-05-0937.73%+6.811.051$78.01
2025-05-0838.17%+3.321.024$77.54
2025-05-0747.62%+7.550.907$74.75
2025-05-0648.39%+4.670.924$73.31
2025-05-0547.65%+7.640.924$73.29
2025-05-0249.40%+7.590.863$72.76
2025-05-0147.53%+10.030.928$70.49
2025-04-3053.54%+6.620.847$70.65
2025-04-2952.27%+8.350.913$70.04
2025-04-2852.05%+9.160.863$69.26
2025-04-2551.69%+7.510.859$68.88
2025-04-2451.20%+0.820.890$68.30
2025-04-2354.39%+10.040.871$66.58
2025-04-2250.34%+14.240.932$64.92
2025-04-2157.13%+10.720.844$63.18
2025-04-1755.39%+10.850.866$63.64
2025-04-1657.83%+9.270.834$62.87
2025-04-1557.76%+15.590.856$63.94
2025-04-1459.40%+12.670.857$63.78
2025-04-1162.33%+11.540.793$63.40
2025-04-1072.56%+17.220.782$63.92
2025-04-0955.96%+10.300.817$67.28
2025-04-0878.27%+11.140.774$60.60
2025-04-0776.23%+5.480.750$62.99
2025-04-04———$62.94
2025-04-0355.37%+2.020.829$65.09
2025-04-0243.30%+6.660.913$74.74
2025-04-0141.11%+3.921.057$72.89
2025-03-3145.30%+5.050.979$70.41
2025-03-2839.24%+5.291.089$70.25
2025-03-2738.53%+4.071.119$72.75
2025-03-2646.89%+0.900.928$73.68
2025-03-2538.39%+4.321.083$74.72
2025-03-2441.98%+4.10—$75.72
2025-03-2143.68%+4.200.980$73.12
2025-03-2041.12%+3.711.035$72.91
2025-03-1941.90%+4.251.017$73.50
2025-03-1842.60%+4.631.028$70.97
2025-03-1742.73%+4.971.053$71.22
2025-03-1444.45%+4.550.968$70.46
2025-03-1341.12%+5.211.112$69.71
2025-03-1245.80%+2.850.998$71.69
2025-03-1147.34%+4.930.935$71.97
2025-03-1049.16%+4.460.948$70.70
2025-03-0741.34%+0.231.010$74.92
2025-03-0643.25%+3.570.993$77.72
2025-03-0539.32%+3.401.059$81.28
2025-03-0439.96%+5.941.094$81.27
2025-03-0338.66%+2.671.020$84.09
2025-02-2836.85%+1.441.208$85.42
2025-02-2739.14%+4.991.013$84.31
2025-02-2637.45%-1.111.071$86.56
2025-02-2533.41%-2.501.193$84.03
2025-02-2440.45%+1.600.953$84.39
2025-02-2135.60%+1.261.120$84.59
2025-02-2032.28%+1.041.272$86.52
2025-02-1933.27%+0.401.166$89.21
2025-02-1833.59%+0.251.168$89.00
2025-02-1432.02%+0.531.145$87.70
2025-02-1332.91%+0.841.162$86.64
2025-02-1233.03%+0.121.154$85.13
2025-02-1130.36%-1.681.199$81.36
2025-02-1028.98%-1.511.254$79.05
2025-02-0729.71%+0.831.185$80.38
2025-02-0631.35%+1.301.113$82.20
2025-02-0542.51%+1.080.950$73.38

The chart covers every session in the archive, 222 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 222 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.020.05 Sep25 Nov21 Feb30 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16) · 30d (2026-10-23)

32%34%36%38%40%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 34.53%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.43%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 34.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 33.88%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 34.02%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 35.19%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 34.84%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 35.63%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 35.66%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 34.92%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.77%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.66%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ C — IV 36.91%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 34.93%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 34.38%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 34.25%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 34.32%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 35.11%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 34.28%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 34.05%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 34.98%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 34.25%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 34.25%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 34.43%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 34.64%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 34.71%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 35.46%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 35.78%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 36.01%23d2026-10-23 (30d) — 25Δ C — IV 35.27%2026-10-23 (30d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.19%2026-10-23 (30d) — 35Δ C — IV 34.05%2026-10-23 (30d) — 40Δ C — IV 33.97%2026-10-23 (30d) — 45Δ C — IV 33.91%2026-10-23 (30d) — ATM — IV 33.88%2026-10-23 (30d) — 45Δ P — IV 33.87%2026-10-23 (30d) — 40Δ P — IV 34.77%2026-10-23 (30d) — 35Δ P — IV 34.35%2026-10-23 (30d) — 30Δ P — IV 35.07%2026-10-23 (30d) — 25Δ P — IV 35.92%2026-10-23 (30d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.52%2026-10-23 (30d) — 15Δ P — IV 37.02%30d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta16d23d30d
5Δ call—36.91%—
10Δ call—34.93%—
15Δ call—34.38%—
20Δ call—34.25%—
25Δ call34.53%34.32%35.27%
30Δ call34.43%35.11%34.19%
35Δ call34.28%34.28%34.05%
40Δ call33.88%34.05%33.97%
45Δ call34.02%34.98%33.91%
ATM35.19%34.25%33.88%
45Δ put34.84%34.25%33.87%
40Δ put35.63%34.43%34.77%
35Δ put35.66%34.64%34.35%
30Δ put34.92%34.71%35.07%
25Δ put37.77%35.46%35.92%
20Δ put37.66%35.78%36.52%
15Δ put—36.01%37.02%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-0916$111.2335.19%37.77%34.53%+3.24+0.9712
2026-10-1623$111.3534.25%35.46%34.32%+1.15+0.6415
2026-10-2330$111.4333.88%35.92%35.27%+0.65+1.718
2026-11-2058$111.6645.33%44.54%45.07%-0.53-0.5312
2026-12-1886$111.9241.52%42.70%42.14%+0.56+0.9013
2027-01-15114$112.0840.42%41.44%40.56%+0.88+0.5722
2027-02-19149$112.7241.98%43.08%42.42%+0.66+0.7815
2027-03-19177$112.6542.09%42.85%41.30%+1.55-0.0122
2027-06-17267$114.2841.08%42.78%40.96%+1.82+0.7919

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

30%35%40%45%50%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 35.19%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 34.25%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 33.88%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 45.33%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 41.52%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 40.42%2027-02-19 — 149 days — at-the-money IV 41.98%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 42.09%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 41.08%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-0916 days$111.2335.19%$111.5312
2026-10-1623 days$111.3534.25%$111.7615
2026-10-2330 days$111.4333.88%$111.958
2026-11-2058 days$111.6645.33%$113.5012
2026-12-1886 days$111.9241.52%$114.2113
2027-01-15114 days$112.0840.42%$114.9722
2027-02-19149 days$112.7241.98%$116.8515
2027-03-19177 days$112.6542.09%$117.6022
2027-06-17267 days$114.2841.08%$121.5519

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
33.88%
60 days
44.96%
90 days
41.32%
180 days
42.04%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 222 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.405 Sep22 Nov21 Feb1 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-05Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.2%
Mean move that happened
6.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-13Before the open———
2026-05-07Before the open———
2026-02-05Before the open———
2025-11-06Before the open———
2025-08-14Before the open———
2025-05-08Before the open8.0%+3.7%0.47×
2025-02-06Before the open8.2%+12.0%1.46×
2024-11-07Before the open8.5%+3.6%0.42×
2024-08-15Before the open———
2024-08-01Before the open———
2024-05-09Before the open———
2024-02-08Before the open———
2023-11-09Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.