Options Skew Analytics

TPR options analytics

TPR · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

TPR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 36.3%, a move of about ±10.4% over the next month. That is higher than 39% of the 226 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 1.70 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 9% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-12 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.5% and TPR moved 8.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
36.31%

Prices a move of about ±10.4% over 30 days, or ±2.3% on a typical day.

Higher than 39% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+1.70

Puts carry 1.70 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 38% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.69

The wings carry 0.69 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.090

90-day volatility is 9% above 30-day.

Higher than 67% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 226 prior sessions (one-year window)

36.3% — 39th percentile
27.9%78.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
39%
IV rank, 1 year
17%
IV percentile, 2 years
41%
IV rank, 2 years
22%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$136.07
30-day implied forward
$136.22
60-day ATM IV
35.09%
90-day ATM IV
39.56%
180-day ATM IV
40.63%
Expirations used
7
Total open interest
19,087
Put / call open interest
0.30

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 317 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%5 Sep13 Jan28 Apr18 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0936.31%+1.701.090$136.07
2026-11-06———$132.80
2026-11-05———$134.17
2026-11-0454.83%+2.330.819$125.31
2026-11-0352.69%+0.970.854$121.02
2026-11-0251.67%+1.980.875$120.76
2026-10-3053.03%+2.040.843$116.29
2026-10-2952.21%+2.410.844$117.84
2026-10-28———$111.24
2026-10-2753.52%+0.590.813$111.39
2026-10-2652.64%+2.160.802$110.90
2026-10-2352.73%+1.050.813$110.37
2026-10-2251.38%+3.840.830$113.92
2026-10-2151.76%-0.140.804$115.16
2026-10-2052.15%+3.020.806$117.55
2026-10-1951.17%+2.830.809$117.71
2026-10-1652.80%+2.390.772$120.18
2026-10-1552.62%+2.080.805$119.75
2026-10-1450.02%+2.890.817$115.03
2026-10-1351.07%-0.060.794$115.23
2026-10-0948.59%-1.900.830$116.24
2026-10-0849.07%+1.730.827$115.82
2026-10-0751.66%+1.300.788$113.42
2026-10-0639.63%+1.641.032$116.75
2026-10-0542.68%-0.150.977$116.95
2026-10-0241.81%+0.270.985$118.12
2026-10-0141.36%+1.191.045$119.24
2026-09-3036.27%+0.861.163$115.04
2026-09-2935.24%+1.691.172$114.12
2026-09-2838.19%+0.391.090$113.45
2026-09-2539.74%+1.411.043$113.88
2026-09-2438.82%+0.221.071$112.12
2026-09-2333.88%+0.651.220$110.51
2026-09-2233.86%-0.061.223$112.59
2026-09-2133.74%+1.771.245$113.07
2026-09-1833.89%+2.171.256$115.00
2026-09-1734.50%+1.501.239$116.04
2026-09-16———$117.94
2026-09-1535.90%+0.291.190$117.11
2026-09-1435.11%+1.081.192$117.91
2026-09-11———$118.49
2026-09-10———$115.87
2026-09-09———$113.71
2026-09-08———$117.58
2026-09-0437.92%+1.151.085$122.14
2026-09-03———$122.60
2026-09-0232.74%-0.691.253$123.14
2026-09-01———$122.14
2026-08-3132.22%+2.041.253$123.39
2026-08-2836.30%-0.471.129$125.49
2026-08-27———$123.24
2026-08-26———$130.25
2025-09-2938.19%+5.301.070$111.46
2025-09-2636.09%+2.631.128$109.05
2025-09-2536.63%+2.961.117$107.80
2025-09-2435.45%+2.921.138$113.42
2025-09-2337.74%+2.571.052$116.14
2025-09-2236.82%+2.761.061$113.88
2025-09-1933.89%+3.781.152$114.19
2025-09-1834.84%+2.491.117$113.30
2025-09-1734.70%+2.451.108$109.88
2025-09-1634.87%+2.711.112$109.50
2025-09-1534.74%+3.161.108$110.17
2025-09-1233.96%+2.581.125$106.47
2025-09-1135.71%+2.421.081$106.87
2025-09-1035.13%+3.471.109$105.30
2025-09-0938.43%+3.501.016$105.18
2025-09-0836.48%+3.071.062$104.82
2025-09-0535.95%+3.171.066$104.18
2025-09-0440.80%+3.450.970$105.82
2025-09-0333.95%+6.241.141$104.43
2025-09-0236.46%+2.701.064$102.79
2025-08-2934.24%+2.601.114$101.82
2025-08-2836.61%+1.241.042$102.61
2025-08-2738.41%+2.361.003$100.98
2025-08-2633.30%+0.801.171$100.70
2025-08-2533.55%+0.191.152$98.47
2025-08-2233.94%+2.491.132$99.66
2025-08-2135.61%+3.071.101$98.39
2025-08-2036.51%+2.741.069$98.87
2025-08-1938.21%+1.221.022$97.92
2025-08-1834.88%+2.801.094$99.91
2025-08-1536.70%+2.671.045$100.74
2025-08-1444.85%-4.140.860$95.69
2025-08-1344.36%+1.790.924$113.53
2025-08-1247.87%-1.030.846$110.86
2025-08-1148.79%+1.420.905$107.96
2025-08-0846.22%+1.320.950$109.09
2025-08-0747.94%+3.900.910$108.48
2025-08-0648.03%+2.540.912$112.15
2025-08-0546.82%+2.010.929$111.49
2025-08-0450.05%+2.770.872$111.89
2025-08-0148.64%+2.020.888$106.31
2025-07-3144.08%+4.420.977$108.03
2025-07-3044.92%+1.810.947$108.20
2025-07-2945.42%+1.340.929$107.40
2025-07-2845.07%+0.750.895$110.42
2025-07-2549.00%-3.890.820$108.34
2025-07-2445.35%-2.420.936$108.43
2025-07-2343.94%+1.940.930$109.17
2025-07-2243.56%+2.010.916$106.25
2025-07-2144.56%+1.910.904$106.41
2025-07-1842.57%+2.610.941$103.42
2025-07-1742.61%+3.180.924$102.16
2025-07-1643.25%+3.220.946$100.67
2025-07-1542.63%+2.370.949$101.60
2025-07-1444.08%+2.360.921$101.55
2025-07-11———$98.43
2025-07-10———$97.64
2025-07-09———$95.31
2025-07-0842.08%+3.910.956$92.21
2025-07-0740.78%+4.070.971$92.47
2025-07-0335.67%+3.021.069$90.20
2025-07-0239.44%+0.790.992$86.48
2025-07-0132.43%+3.481.200$86.94
2025-06-3031.42%+2.351.169$87.81
2025-06-2734.27%+1.311.075$87.11
2025-06-2634.15%+2.421.114$86.22
2025-06-25———$85.42
2025-06-24———$87.26

The chart covers every session in the archive, 317 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 317 sessions

-10.00.010.020.05 Sep13 Jan28 Apr18 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 32d (2026-12-11) · 39d (2026-12-18)

30%35%40%45%50%55%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 46.34%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 45.40%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 45.67%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.69%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 46.77%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 46.04%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 45.80%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 45.78%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 45.59%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 46.23%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 46.28%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 45.76%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 45.70%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.67%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 49.44%4d2026-12-11 (32d) — 20Δ C — IV 35.71%2026-12-11 (32d) — 25Δ C — IV 36.01%2026-12-11 (32d) — 30Δ C — IV 36.26%2026-12-11 (32d) — 35Δ C — IV 36.60%2026-12-11 (32d) — 40Δ C — IV 37.60%2026-12-11 (32d) — 45Δ C — IV 37.21%2026-12-11 (32d) — ATM — IV 36.21%2026-12-11 (32d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.30%2026-12-11 (32d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.55%2026-12-11 (32d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.92%2026-12-11 (32d) — 30Δ P — IV 37.34%2026-12-11 (32d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.73%2026-12-11 (32d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.96%2026-12-11 (32d) — 15Δ P — IV 38.11%32d2026-12-18 (39d) — 10Δ C — IV 36.16%2026-12-18 (39d) — 15Δ C — IV 37.04%2026-12-18 (39d) — 20Δ C — IV 35.66%2026-12-18 (39d) — 25Δ C — IV 35.37%2026-12-18 (39d) — 30Δ C — IV 35.49%2026-12-18 (39d) — 35Δ C — IV 35.39%2026-12-18 (39d) — 40Δ C — IV 35.05%2026-12-18 (39d) — 45Δ C — IV 35.04%2026-12-18 (39d) — ATM — IV 35.64%2026-12-18 (39d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.21%2026-12-18 (39d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.33%2026-12-18 (39d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.40%2026-12-18 (39d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.55%2026-12-18 (39d) — 25Δ P — IV 36.90%2026-12-18 (39d) — 20Δ P — IV 37.25%2026-12-18 (39d) — 15Δ P — IV 37.58%2026-12-18 (39d) — 10Δ P — IV 38.41%39d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d32d39d
10Δ call46.34%—36.16%
15Δ call45.40%—37.04%
20Δ call45.67%35.71%35.66%
25Δ call48.69%36.01%35.37%
30Δ call46.77%36.26%35.49%
35Δ call46.04%36.60%35.39%
40Δ call45.80%37.60%35.05%
45Δ call45.78%37.21%35.04%
ATM45.59%36.21%35.64%
45Δ put46.23%36.30%36.21%
40Δ put46.28%36.55%36.33%
35Δ put45.76%36.92%36.40%
30Δ put45.70%37.34%36.55%
25Δ put48.67%37.73%36.90%
20Δ put49.44%37.96%37.25%
15Δ put—38.11%37.58%
10Δ put——38.41%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$136.0345.59%48.67%48.69%-0.02+3.0915
2026-12-1132$136.2436.21%37.73%36.01%+1.72+0.6611
2026-12-1839$136.3135.64%36.90%35.37%+1.52+0.4911
2027-01-1567$136.8634.98%35.81%35.02%+0.79+0.4313
2027-02-19102$137.2841.02%41.95%39.90%+2.05-0.0916
2027-03-19130$137.2339.64%41.02%39.23%+1.79+0.4917
2027-06-17220$138.2641.08%43.03%40.04%+2.99+0.4517

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

7 listed expirations produced a usable reading

30%35%40%45%50%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 45.59%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 36.21%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 35.64%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 34.98%2027-02-19 — 102 days — at-the-money IV 41.02%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 39.64%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 41.08%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$136.0345.59%$136.1815
2026-12-1132 days$136.2436.21%$137.0311
2026-12-1839 days$136.3135.64%$137.2311
2027-01-1567 days$136.8634.98%$138.4113
2027-02-19102 days$137.2841.02%$140.5416
2027-03-19130 days$137.2339.64%$141.1317
2027-06-17220 days$138.2641.08%$145.4717

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
36.31%
60 days
35.09%
90 days
39.56%
180 days
40.63%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 317 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.405 Sep14 Jan29 Apr19 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-12Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 5
60% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.5%
Mean move that happened
8.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-05Before the open12.2%+7.1%0.58×
2026-08-13Before the open———
2026-05-07Before the open———
2026-02-05Before the open———
2025-11-06Before the open———
2025-08-14Before the open10.3%-15.7%1.53×
2025-05-08Before the open8.0%+3.7%0.47×
2025-02-06Before the open8.2%+12.0%1.46×
2024-11-07Before the open8.5%+3.6%0.42×
2024-08-15Before the open———
2024-08-01Before the open———
2024-05-09Before the open———
2024-02-08Before the open———
2023-11-09Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.