Options Skew Analytics

TTD options analytics

TTD · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

TTD options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 94.1%, a move of about ±27.0% over the next month. That is higher than 99% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts and calls carry the same implied volatility, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 26% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-02-08 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±13.5% and TTD moved 68.8% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
94.12%

Prices a move of about ±27.0% over 30 days, or ±5.9% on a typical day.

Higher than almost every reading of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.02

Puts and calls the same distance from the money carry the same volatility.

Higher than 35% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-3.64

The wings carry 3.64 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.743

90-day volatility is 26% below 30-day.

Higher than 2% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

94.1% — 99th percentile
32.9%99.7%
IV percentile, 1 year
99%
IV rank, 1 year
92%
IV percentile, 2 years
99%
IV rank, 2 years
92%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$14.93
30-day implied forward
$15.14
60-day ATM IV
72.94%
90-day ATM IV
69.94%
180-day ATM IV
67.45%
Expirations used
9
Total open interest
413,442
Put / call open interest
0.50

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 317 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%120%5 Sep31 Dec28 Apr20 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0994.12%+0.020.743$14.93
2026-11-0681.98%+7.160.837$12.93
2026-11-0583.51%+0.860.826$12.81
2026-11-0481.10%-1.070.862$13.23
2026-11-0384.85%+3.610.819$12.86
2026-11-0284.94%+1.600.864$12.55
2026-10-3082.45%+3.180.870$12.29
2026-10-2982.02%-0.770.816$13.06
2026-10-2882.18%-4.07—$12.76
2026-10-2784.53%+1.010.801$12.70
2026-10-2686.99%-2.810.827$12.77
2026-10-2382.81%-1.470.824$13.00
2026-10-2282.73%+5.750.831$13.16
2026-10-2182.20%-0.160.826$12.59
2026-10-2083.66%+0.190.862$12.65
2026-10-1983.79%-0.440.872$12.26
2026-10-1686.03%-1.170.827$12.23
2026-10-1589.44%-2.190.748$13.13
2026-10-1486.77%-0.180.769$12.18
2026-10-1381.07%-0.550.875$12.17
2026-10-0969.61%-2.031.026$12.08
2026-10-0866.75%+0.101.061$12.34
2026-10-0767.88%-2.23—$12.09
2026-10-0667.21%-3.06—$11.92
2026-10-0564.33%+0.611.151$11.98
2026-10-0256.08%+1.61—$11.95
2026-10-0154.46%-0.391.208$12.10
2026-09-3057.24%+0.361.194$12.17
2026-09-2957.36%-0.791.195$12.05
2026-09-2856.06%-0.431.221$12.34
2026-09-2553.75%-0.271.293$12.60
2026-09-2454.02%-2.181.291$12.63
2026-09-2354.26%-2.461.220$12.68
2026-09-2254.08%-3.261.261$13.18
2026-09-2154.20%-1.231.263$13.88
2026-09-1854.73%-2.251.164$13.92
2026-09-1754.69%-1.291.174$14.26
2026-09-1657.65%-2.561.124$14.49
2026-09-1556.95%-1.291.208$15.00
2026-09-1457.01%+0.161.198$14.97
2026-09-1159.64%+0.271.145$14.34
2026-09-1071.02%-4.471.036$13.97
2026-09-0956.33%-2.021.235$13.88
2026-09-0860.20%-3.331.132$14.02
2026-09-0458.38%+0.201.120$14.43
2026-09-0356.84%-3.541.228$15.09
2026-09-0252.14%-1.611.281$14.55
2026-09-0152.46%-0.751.287$13.78
2026-08-3157.55%-3.881.177$13.72
2026-08-2856.14%-0.441.171$13.57
2026-08-2756.99%-1.751.157$13.42
2026-08-2653.73%-0.141.205$13.03
2025-09-2951.78%+1.821.317$49.64
2025-09-2651.95%-3.661.282$47.14
2025-09-2554.19%-3.851.252$46.76
2025-09-2455.08%-2.731.252$46.87
2025-09-2354.35%-3.751.288$46.86
2025-09-2256.20%+0.571.266$46.15
2025-09-1953.78%-4.931.283$44.47
2025-09-1853.26%-5.011.266$43.93
2025-09-1752.74%-1.581.255$45.37
2025-09-1652.22%-2.731.269$44.90
2025-09-1550.34%-4.311.303$45.54
2025-09-1249.63%-1.601.311$45.15
2025-09-1147.14%-0.331.371$45.24
2025-09-1049.85%-0.911.291$46.14
2025-09-0944.26%-0.581.363$52.40
2025-09-0844.02%+2.191.380$52.03
2025-09-0543.24%-1.891.382$52.07
2025-09-0443.75%+0.491.374$51.92
2025-09-0343.07%-1.421.372$53.77
2025-09-0245.15%-0.221.332$54.18
2025-08-2942.61%+0.391.392$54.66
2025-08-2843.84%+1.341.364$55.36
2025-08-2742.93%+1.371.386$52.65
2025-08-2644.18%-0.771.352$52.22
2025-08-2543.62%+0.671.372$52.37
2025-08-2243.76%+0.621.343$53.20
2025-08-2144.67%-0.111.316$52.30
2025-08-2044.47%-0.761.306$52.53
2025-08-1944.77%-0.201.295$52.53
2025-08-1845.93%-1.091.258$54.95
2025-08-1543.51%+1.491.300$52.12
2025-08-1444.94%-0.701.256$50.76
2025-08-1345.44%-2.141.220$54.36
2025-08-1243.52%+3.181.268$53.27
2025-08-1149.46%-4.371.021$53.18
2025-08-0851.23%-0.581.000$54.23
2025-08-0771.28%-0.130.784$88.33
2025-08-0677.88%+0.550.705$89.58
2025-08-0572.06%+1.880.781$87.70
2025-08-0469.22%+0.120.779$89.76
2025-08-0172.41%-0.760.757$86.08
2025-07-3171.08%-2.920.743$86.96
2025-07-3069.19%+7.430.755$86.42
2025-07-2969.54%-2.420.746$84.53
2025-07-2866.66%+1.870.757$88.46
2025-07-2566.30%+0.820.769$86.14
2025-07-2465.69%-0.080.780$85.00
2025-07-2369.29%+1.560.776$84.63
2025-07-2273.69%-2.990.727$81.67
2025-07-2169.17%-1.960.761$80.03
2025-07-1870.64%+1.910.749$80.21
2025-07-1773.12%+1.530.730$81.44
2025-07-1672.17%+1.520.749$81.13
2025-07-1573.29%+0.660.738$80.40
2025-07-1472.44%+1.790.754$75.43
2025-07-1169.57%+0.220.781$75.38
2025-07-1063.94%+1.730.841$76.85
2025-07-0961.30%+0.620.915$75.63
2025-07-0865.68%+6.150.848$74.03
2025-07-0757.66%+1.510.973$73.56
2025-07-0345.85%+0.831.204$74.41
2025-07-0243.61%-2.831.264$73.58
2025-07-0148.54%-0.221.144$73.49
2025-06-3043.52%-5.871.292$71.99
2025-06-2743.04%+1.461.293$69.33
2025-06-2644.22%-2.271.263$68.02
2025-06-2541.07%+3.331.355$69.80
2025-06-2439.92%+3.171.386$71.84

The chart covers every session in the archive, 317 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 317 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.05 Sep31 Dec28 Apr20 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

50%100%150%200%250%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 215.04%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 229.22%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 221.84%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 225.76%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 221.40%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 225.17%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 223.22%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 225.79%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 223.53%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 225.43%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 224.76%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 225.83%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 227.39%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 229.06%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 229.09%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 226.15%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 228.07%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 226.14%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 228.47%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ C — IV 136.61%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 135.92%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 138.13%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 135.26%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 146.91%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 139.27%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 140.91%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 139.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 139.68%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 137.64%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 139.72%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 145.47%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 141.52%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 138.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 141.90%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 143.80%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 145.40%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 148.62%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 152.26%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 108.97%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 108.98%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 106.97%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 108.68%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 111.60%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 109.60%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 108.81%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 110.13%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 112.02%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 113.73%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 116.65%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 119.14%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 116.05%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 114.34%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 114.37%2026-11-27 (18d) — 5Δ P — IV 114.68%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call215.04%136.61%—
10Δ call229.22%135.92%—
15Δ call221.84%138.13%—
20Δ call225.76%135.26%108.97%
25Δ call221.40%146.91%108.98%
30Δ call225.17%139.27%106.97%
35Δ call223.22%140.91%108.68%
40Δ call225.79%139.02%111.60%
45Δ call223.53%139.68%109.60%
ATM225.43%137.64%108.81%
45Δ put224.76%139.72%110.13%
40Δ put225.83%145.47%112.02%
35Δ put227.39%141.52%113.73%
30Δ put229.06%138.29%116.65%
25Δ put229.09%141.90%119.14%
20Δ put226.15%143.80%116.05%
15Δ put228.07%145.40%114.34%
10Δ put226.14%148.62%114.37%
5Δ put228.47%152.26%114.68%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$15.18225.43%229.09%221.40%+7.70-0.1825
2026-11-2011$15.16137.64%141.90%146.91%-5.01+6.7720
2026-11-2718$15.22108.81%119.14%108.98%+10.16+5.2515
2026-12-0425$15.11102.73%95.28%96.09%-0.81-7.0414
2026-12-1839$15.1983.07%84.60%83.50%+1.10+0.987
2027-01-1567$15.3070.81%73.14%69.59%+3.55+0.5612
2027-03-19130$15.3869.16%70.73%68.82%+1.91+0.6112
2027-04-16158$15.4767.05%70.96%67.64%+3.32+2.257
2027-06-17220$15.6167.96%70.95%65.70%+5.25+0.369

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

9 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%100%150%200%250%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 225.43%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 137.64%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 108.81%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 102.73%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 83.07%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 70.81%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 69.16%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 67.05%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 67.96%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$15.18225.43%$15.6025
2026-11-2011 days$15.16137.64%$15.6020
2026-11-2718 days$15.22108.81%$15.6715
2026-12-0425 days$15.11102.73%$15.6714
2026-12-1839 days$15.1983.07%$15.767
2027-01-1567 days$15.3070.81%$16.0212
2027-03-19130 days$15.3869.16%$16.7512
2027-04-16158 days$15.4767.05%$17.067
2027-06-17220 days$15.6167.96%$17.949

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
94.12%
60 days
72.94%
90 days
69.94%
180 days
67.45%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 317 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.605 Sep30 Dec24 Apr15 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-02-08Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 5
20% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
13.5%
Mean move that happened
68.8%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-09After the close———
2026-11-05Time not stated4.9%+0.9%0.19×
2026-08-06After the close———
2026-05-07After the close———
2026-02-25After the close———
2026-01-26Time not stated———
2025-11-06After the close———
2025-08-07After the close17.1%-85.2%4.99×
2025-05-08After the close18.5%-78.2%4.24×
2025-02-12After the close14.7%-89.3%6.06×
2024-11-07After the close12.2%-90.2%7.42×
2024-08-08After the close———
2024-05-08After the close———
2024-02-15After the close———
2023-11-09After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.