Options Skew Analytics

TTD options analytics

TTD · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

TTD options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 54.3%, a move of about ±15.6% over the next month. That is higher than 66% of the 221 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 2.46 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 96% of the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 22% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-05 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±15.1% and TTD moved 85.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
54.26%

Prices a move of about ±15.6% over 30 days, or ±3.4% on a typical day.

Higher than 66% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-2.46

Calls carry 2.46 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 4% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.25

The wings carry 1.25 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.220

90-day volatility is 22% above 30-day.

Higher than 66% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 221 prior sessions (one-year window)

54.3% — 66th percentile
29.5%99.7%
IV percentile, 1 year
66%
IV rank, 1 year
35%
IV percentile, 2 years
66%
IV rank, 2 years
35%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$12.68
30-day implied forward
$12.75
60-day ATM IV
62.40%
90-day ATM IV
66.19%
180-day ATM IV
69.26%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
534,876
Put / call open interest
0.47

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 222 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%120%5 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2354.26%-2.461.220$12.68
2026-09-2254.08%-3.261.261$13.18
2026-09-2154.20%-1.231.263$13.88
2026-09-1854.73%-2.251.164$13.92
2026-09-1754.69%-1.291.174$14.26
2026-09-1657.65%-2.561.124$14.49
2026-09-1556.95%-1.291.208$15.00
2026-09-1457.01%+0.161.198$14.97
2026-09-1159.64%+0.271.145$14.34
2026-09-1071.02%-4.471.036$13.97
2026-09-0956.33%-2.021.235$13.88
2026-09-0860.20%-3.331.132$14.02
2026-09-0458.38%+0.201.120$14.43
2026-09-0356.84%-3.541.228$15.09
2026-09-0252.14%-1.611.281$14.55
2026-09-0152.46%-0.751.287$13.78
2026-08-3157.55%-3.881.177$13.72
2026-08-2856.14%-0.441.171$13.57
2026-08-2756.99%-1.751.157$13.42
2026-08-2653.73%-0.141.205$13.03
2025-06-3043.52%-5.871.292$71.99
2025-06-2743.04%+1.461.293$69.33
2025-06-2644.22%-2.271.263$68.02
2025-06-2541.07%+3.331.355$69.80
2025-06-2439.92%+3.171.386$71.84
2025-06-2348.64%+3.251.203$68.87
2025-06-2047.84%+4.081.152$68.23
2025-06-1844.25%+2.771.296$68.66
2025-06-1745.86%+2.321.233$67.64
2025-06-1643.89%+2.841.257$70.25
2025-06-1348.65%+2.891.139$67.96
2025-06-1242.80%+2.221.275$70.57
2025-06-1143.74%+1.421.237$72.37
2025-06-1042.10%+3.411.269$72.37
2025-06-0944.59%+0.731.218$71.49
2025-06-0644.07%+2.841.243$71.46
2025-06-0544.18%+6.311.237$71.11
2025-06-0443.00%+1.481.221$76.05
2025-06-0345.34%-3.451.160$74.40
2025-06-0243.53%+0.911.214$74.77
2025-05-3041.48%+4.061.253$75.22
2025-05-2942.81%+1.391.200$74.88
2025-05-2841.03%+2.781.249$76.94
2025-05-2745.03%+3.221.155$76.06
2025-05-2344.78%+1.741.173$73.89
2025-05-2242.77%+0.421.201$74.33
2025-05-2144.36%-0.301.154$74.47
2025-05-2043.07%-0.461.150$77.06
2025-05-1943.61%+0.321.125$76.32
2025-05-1641.07%+0.501.160$76.31
2025-05-1541.89%+3.681.147$77.50
2025-05-1445.36%+1.271.071$79.14
2025-05-1342.84%+3.791.119$78.14
2025-05-1244.98%+2.891.065$79.40
2025-05-0944.78%+4.291.139$71.04
2025-05-0882.05%+1.730.808$59.90
2025-05-0780.46%+5.370.824$56.46
2025-05-0684.49%+6.220.800$55.63
2025-05-0583.57%+2.620.797$55.50
2025-05-0281.60%+7.260.805$54.09
2025-05-0187.57%+5.130.763$53.06
2025-04-3082.41%+7.110.819$53.63
2025-04-2983.00%+8.740.777$54.67
2025-04-2881.10%+8.380.814$54.40
2025-04-2577.38%+8.560.840$53.97
2025-04-2480.10%+7.410.821$53.27
2025-04-2384.82%+8.940.798$50.08
2025-04-2287.04%+13.410.801$48.66
2025-04-2191.13%+15.530.777$47.56
2025-04-1785.39%+11.620.802$50.26
2025-04-1686.93%+16.320.794$48.45
2025-04-1581.52%+20.040.815$49.24
2025-04-1490.58%+18.000.761$48.64
2025-04-1192.54%+19.030.775$49.78
2025-04-1092.43%+20.690.759$49.27
2025-04-0973.41%+11.980.882$54.12
2025-04-0899.72%+23.110.785$45.27
2025-04-0799.13%+25.790.786$46.34
2025-04-0487.44%+18.490.907$46.24
2025-04-0364.17%+7.691.088$49.08
2025-04-0253.01%+0.161.181$56.30
2025-04-0149.93%+8.911.263$57.10
2025-03-3151.97%+7.061.223$54.72
2025-03-2851.34%+4.521.230$55.85
2025-03-2749.01%+3.161.251$57.26
2025-03-2648.44%+3.631.246$58.80
2025-03-2543.10%+2.491.364$62.00
2025-03-2446.57%+4.731.287$59.34
2025-03-2149.03%+4.171.249$56.31
2025-03-2050.27%+3.991.226$55.85
2025-03-1951.53%+3.861.205$55.32
2025-03-1856.89%+3.551.134$53.59
2025-03-1753.90%+4.021.164$56.50
2025-03-1456.64%+4.141.137$53.94
2025-03-1360.15%+3.401.094$53.88
2025-03-1254.56%+8.931.117$60.20
2025-03-1161.81%+10.341.051$58.84
2025-03-1061.26%+6.181.044$60.31
2025-03-0752.84%+0.171.127$64.91
2025-03-0650.70%+2.261.187$64.98
2025-03-0549.61%+3.091.142$66.54
2025-03-0462.64%+0.030.928$67.60
2025-03-0347.24%+3.311.225$67.17
2025-02-2847.73%+3.081.154$70.32
2025-02-2749.25%-2.891.135$71.49
2025-02-2647.70%+7.421.132$72.43
2025-02-2544.81%+0.561.232$74.98
2025-02-2444.84%-0.301.216$74.20
2025-02-2143.92%+0.121.237$72.06
2025-02-2038.75%-1.501.344$75.73
2025-02-1939.99%-1.671.293$76.75
2025-02-1840.05%-1.021.276$80.03
2025-02-1440.00%-1.571.140$80.16
2025-02-1344.95%-1.581.044$81.92
2025-02-1262.78%+1.220.791$122.23
2025-02-1163.31%+1.460.776$120.21
2025-02-1060.81%+4.510.816$122.54
2025-02-0762.32%+1.570.799$117.29
2025-02-0664.02%+1.720.763$114.65
2025-02-0565.16%+3.540.762$114.34

The chart covers every session in the archive, 222 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 222 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.05 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

50%60%70%80%90%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ C — IV 79.56%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 61.83%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 59.02%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 57.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.84%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 55.24%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 54.82%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.56%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.45%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 54.38%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 54.33%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 54.25%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 54.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 53.92%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.77%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 53.91%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 54.87%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 56.19%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 57.99%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ C — IV 64.83%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 59.78%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 57.53%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 56.04%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 54.96%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 54.68%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.47%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.27%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 54.05%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 53.86%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 53.78%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.74%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 53.72%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.77%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 54.02%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 54.74%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ C — IV 70.19%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 60.17%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 58.40%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 56.07%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 55.64%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 55.01%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 54.29%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 54.25%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.24%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 54.18%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 53.97%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 53.77%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.55%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 53.44%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.79%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 54.35%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 54.74%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ P — IV 56.60%2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ P — IV 57.43%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta9d16d23d
5Δ call79.56%64.83%70.19%
10Δ call61.83%59.78%60.17%
15Δ call59.02%57.53%58.40%
20Δ call57.11%56.04%56.07%
25Δ call55.84%55.33%55.64%
30Δ call55.24%54.96%55.01%
35Δ call54.82%54.68%54.29%
40Δ call54.56%54.47%54.25%
45Δ call54.45%54.27%54.24%
ATM54.38%54.05%54.18%
45Δ put54.33%53.86%53.97%
40Δ put54.25%53.78%53.77%
35Δ put54.11%53.74%53.55%
30Δ put53.92%53.72%53.44%
25Δ put53.77%53.77%53.79%
20Δ put53.91%54.02%54.35%
15Δ put54.87%54.74%54.74%
10Δ put56.19%—56.60%
5Δ put57.99%—57.43%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-029$12.7354.38%53.77%55.84%-2.07+0.4213
2026-10-0916$12.7354.05%53.77%55.33%-1.57+0.5013
2026-10-1623$12.7454.18%53.79%55.64%-1.84+0.5418
2026-10-2330$12.7554.26%54.28%56.74%-2.46+1.2516
2026-10-3037$12.7554.63%54.88%56.33%-1.45+0.9714
2027-01-15114$12.9067.72%68.63%68.45%+0.18+0.8128
2027-03-19177$13.0569.18%71.59%73.15%-1.56+3.1914
2027-04-16205$13.0469.81%70.84%70.57%+0.27+0.898
2027-06-17267$13.1370.54%70.96%71.15%-0.19+0.5113
2027-09-17359$13.3070.15%70.75%70.78%-0.03+0.619

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%55%60%65%70%75%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 54.38%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 54.05%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 54.18%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 54.26%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 54.63%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 67.72%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 69.18%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 69.81%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 70.54%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 70.15%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-029 days$12.7354.38%$12.7713
2026-10-0916 days$12.7354.05%$12.8113
2026-10-1623 days$12.7454.18%$12.8618
2026-10-2330 days$12.7554.26%$12.9016
2026-10-3037 days$12.7554.63%$12.9514
2027-01-15114 days$12.9067.72%$13.8528
2027-03-19177 days$13.0569.18%$14.6614
2027-04-16205 days$13.0469.81%$14.958
2027-06-17267 days$13.1370.54%$15.7513
2027-09-17359 days$13.3070.15%$16.959

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
54.26%
60 days
62.40%
90 days
66.19%
180 days
69.26%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 222 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.605 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-05Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
15.1%
Mean move that happened
85.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-06After the close———
2026-05-07After the close———
2026-02-25After the close———
2026-01-26Time not stated———
2025-11-06After the close———
2025-08-07After the close———
2025-05-08After the close18.5%-78.2%4.24×
2025-02-12After the close14.7%-89.3%6.06×
2024-11-07After the close12.2%-90.2%7.42×
2024-08-08After the close———
2024-05-08After the close———
2024-02-15After the close———
2023-11-09After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.