Options Skew Analytics

TTWO options analytics

TTWO · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

TTWO options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 36.9%, a move of about ±10.6% over the next month. That is higher than 67% of the 212 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.72 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 96% of the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 29% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-05 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.1% and TTWO moved 22.7% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
36.87%

Prices a move of about ±10.6% over 30 days, or ±2.3% on a typical day.

Higher than 67% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.72

Calls carry 1.72 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 4% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.31

The wings carry 0.31 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.294

90-day volatility is 29% above 30-day.

Higher than 98% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 212 prior sessions (one-year window)

36.9% — 67th percentile
19.9%47.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
67%
IV rank, 1 year
61%
IV percentile, 2 years
67%
IV rank, 2 years
61%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$206.32
30-day implied forward
$208.04
60-day ATM IV
48.88%
90-day ATM IV
47.70%
180-day ATM IV
46.33%
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
210,813
Put / call open interest
0.62

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 222 sessions

10%20%30%40%50%5 Sep25 Nov14 Feb5 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2336.87%-1.721.294$206.32
2026-09-2237.53%-2.461.267$205.53
2026-09-2136.47%-0.401.314$209.92
2026-09-1835.86%-2.131.322$205.45
2026-09-1736.46%-1.751.306$210.62
2026-09-1638.11%-1.201.251$211.81
2026-09-1537.99%-1.131.269$211.91
2026-09-1438.23%+0.701.279$222.91
2026-09-11———$215.47
2026-09-10———$216.96
2026-09-0938.40%-2.761.273$211.14
2026-09-08———$213.29
2026-09-0437.09%-2.571.262$214.69
2026-09-03———$214.13
2026-09-0237.53%-5.271.274$216.14
2026-09-01———$216.68
2026-08-3139.48%-0.561.232$219.70
2026-08-2839.57%-2.861.281$235.39
2026-08-2743.00%-2.311.186$233.00
2026-08-2642.85%-1.051.153$233.45
2025-06-3028.18%+2.881.090$242.85
2025-06-2724.67%+2.471.207$241.44
2025-06-2624.28%+0.901.219$239.33
2025-06-2527.02%+2.181.146$241.64
2025-06-2424.17%+2.121.248$243.05
2025-06-2325.08%+2.811.221$241.59
2025-06-2029.21%+3.531.034$238.37
2025-06-1825.23%+2.651.216$238.50
2025-06-1727.55%+2.791.121$237.52
2025-06-1625.34%+2.811.211$238.60
2025-06-1326.79%+2.791.143$230.23
2025-06-1224.04%+2.111.268$234.46
2025-06-1124.43%+2.811.242$234.74
2025-06-1023.85%+1.751.278$234.91
2025-06-0924.11%+1.831.259$233.50
2025-06-0623.39%+1.821.300$232.72
2025-06-0524.53%+1.771.254$231.03
2025-06-0423.81%+2.101.257$229.18
2025-06-0324.11%+1.671.259$229.65
2025-06-0225.26%+2.421.211$227.60
2025-05-3025.66%+0.931.213$226.28
2025-05-2926.18%+2.651.190$225.39
2025-05-2825.87%+2.021.197$228.33
2025-05-2728.15%-0.041.111$226.27
2025-05-2326.86%+1.961.183$224.99
2025-05-2226.44%+2.201.184$226.01
2025-05-2128.59%+2.311.133$226.76
2025-05-2025.97%+2.561.192$237.50
2025-05-1927.05%+2.261.151$234.66
2025-05-1625.85%+2.011.178$226.74
2025-05-1538.60%+3.090.910$232.34
2025-05-1437.53%+1.000.929$229.50
2025-05-1336.84%+3.990.919$226.16
2025-05-1237.54%+5.730.919$226.25
2025-05-0938.66%+4.600.916$226.55
2025-05-0838.08%+4.700.927$225.45
2025-05-0740.29%+7.790.900$226.34
2025-05-0639.77%+6.150.895$231.84
2025-05-0538.55%+6.180.900$225.32
2025-05-0238.43%+7.060.896$219.50
2025-05-0144.95%+7.140.832$235.17
2025-04-3045.05%+12.310.831$233.32
2025-04-2945.80%+7.920.838$230.71
2025-04-2846.44%+7.680.807$225.55
2025-04-2544.40%+7.470.811$225.38
2025-04-2445.45%+6.690.823$222.69
2025-04-2343.20%+10.360.865$213.30
2025-04-2244.86%+8.740.773$209.97
2025-04-2144.61%+10.240.842$205.16
2025-04-1742.68%+9.080.836$212.77
2025-04-16———$211.40
2025-04-1533.78%+7.211.021$214.60
2025-04-1435.47%+7.371.038$212.95
2025-04-1137.51%+8.740.998$212.07
2025-04-1040.99%+10.820.971$204.41
2025-04-0933.31%+10.921.102$208.13
2025-04-0847.56%+13.260.910$196.25
2025-04-0744.49%+9.350.933$197.53
2025-04-0439.76%+5.580.981$194.58
2025-04-0331.38%+4.541.099$208.93
2025-04-0229.68%+0.041.114$211.10
2025-04-0128.19%+1.221.183$210.13
2025-03-3129.06%+1.481.142$207.25
2025-03-2827.80%+2.221.171$210.47
2025-03-2726.21%+2.021.206$214.29
2025-03-2629.14%+2.741.093$215.89
2025-03-2527.19%+1.301.143$217.95
2025-03-2428.55%+0.741.097$213.51
2025-03-2126.05%+2.551.225$213.47
2025-03-2027.43%+1.911.147$209.63
2025-03-1927.63%+2.521.153$208.86
2025-03-1828.27%+2.271.132$204.32
2025-03-1727.41%+1.621.170$206.50
2025-03-1431.38%+2.591.038$204.57
2025-03-1331.56%+2.961.070$203.63
2025-03-1232.14%+1.881.033$205.33
2025-03-1133.69%+3.291.000$203.80
2025-03-1032.96%+3.400.999$201.93
2025-03-0728.64%+1.521.115$204.33
2025-03-0630.62%+3.101.012$207.87
2025-03-0527.24%+1.671.116$214.81
2025-03-0428.18%+1.721.094$208.55
2025-03-0327.65%+2.511.104$208.05
2025-02-2825.80%+1.211.153$211.98
2025-02-2727.22%+0.731.102$208.21
2025-02-2625.23%+1.351.173$209.11
2025-02-2525.87%+1.391.168$207.91
2025-02-2425.50%+0.801.158$212.02
2025-02-2125.24%+1.211.172$211.65
2025-02-2024.70%+0.221.174$215.24
2025-02-1925.55%+1.571.118$215.18
2025-02-1823.98%-0.781.177$216.38
2025-02-1422.69%-0.431.208$208.76
2025-02-1322.59%+0.391.197$210.09
2025-02-1223.53%-0.411.162$209.18
2025-02-1123.41%+0.231.165$209.94
2025-02-1025.10%+0.411.134$212.51
2025-02-07———$208.77
2025-02-0638.43%+1.060.870$183.08
2025-02-0539.08%+2.180.852$184.92

The chart covers every session in the archive, 222 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 222 sessions

-10.0-5.00.05.010.015.05 Sep25 Nov14 Feb5 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

34%36%38%40%42%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 39.59%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 39.23%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 38.84%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 38.79%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 38.38%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 38.17%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 38.65%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 38.64%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 38.48%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 38.22%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 37.97%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 37.67%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.98%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 38.85%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 38.44%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 37.95%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 37.88%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 37.85%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 37.52%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 37.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 37.03%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.97%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 36.95%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 36.89%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.66%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 36.60%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 35.99%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 5Δ C — IV 40.62%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ C — IV 40.15%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ C — IV 40.51%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 38.03%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 37.12%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 36.96%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 37.98%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 36.49%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 36.24%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 36.39%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 37.12%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 37.26%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 38.61%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 36.38%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 36.13%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 36.20%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 36.99%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ P — IV 37.05%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta9d16d23d
5Δ call——40.62%
10Δ call——40.15%
15Δ call——40.51%
20Δ call39.59%38.44%38.03%
25Δ call39.23%37.95%37.12%
30Δ call38.84%37.88%36.96%
35Δ call38.79%37.85%37.98%
40Δ call38.38%37.52%36.49%
45Δ call38.17%37.28%36.24%
ATM38.65%37.03%36.39%
45Δ put38.64%36.97%37.12%
40Δ put38.48%36.95%37.26%
35Δ put38.22%36.89%38.61%
30Δ put37.97%36.66%36.38%
25Δ put37.67%36.60%36.13%
20Δ put36.98%35.99%36.20%
15Δ put38.85%—36.99%
10Δ put——37.05%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-029$207.5538.65%37.67%39.23%-1.56-0.2011
2026-10-0916$207.7037.03%36.60%37.95%-1.35+0.2413
2026-10-1623$208.2036.39%36.13%37.12%-0.99+0.2321
2026-10-2330$208.0436.87%36.32%38.04%-1.72+0.3112
2026-10-3037$208.8037.92%37.78%39.83%-2.04+0.8913
2026-11-2058$208.9448.98%48.02%50.42%-2.40+0.2518
2026-12-1886$209.7047.98%47.38%48.44%-1.05-0.0728
2027-01-15114$210.5146.44%45.99%46.86%-0.87-0.0127
2027-03-19177$212.4546.36%45.50%46.34%-0.84-0.4432
2027-06-17267$215.2545.67%46.80%47.14%-0.35+1.3036
2027-09-17359$216.7644.92%45.17%46.48%-1.30+0.9029

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

35%40%45%50%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 38.65%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 37.03%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 36.39%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 36.87%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 37.92%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 48.98%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 47.98%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 46.44%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 46.36%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 45.67%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 44.92%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-029 days$207.5538.65%$207.9311
2026-10-0916 days$207.7037.03%$208.3313
2026-10-1623 days$208.2036.39%$209.0721
2026-10-2330 days$208.0436.87%$209.2112
2026-10-3037 days$208.8037.92%$210.3213
2026-11-2058 days$208.9448.98%$212.9618
2026-12-1886 days$209.7047.98%$215.4628
2027-01-15114 days$210.5146.44%$217.7227
2027-03-19177 days$212.4546.36%$223.8232
2027-06-17267 days$215.2545.67%$232.3236
2027-09-17359 days$216.7644.92%$239.3829

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
36.87%
60 days
48.88%
90 days
47.70%
180 days
46.33%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 222 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.405 Sep25 Nov14 Feb5 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-05Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 3
33% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.1%
Mean move that happened
22.7%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-07Before the open———
2026-05-21After the close———
2026-02-03After the close———
2025-11-06After the close———
2025-08-07After the close———
2025-05-15After the close7.3%+0.5%0.07×
2025-02-06After the close9.0%+27.5%3.04×
2024-11-06After the close8.1%+40.1%4.96×
2024-08-08After the close———
2024-05-16After the close———
2024-02-08After the close———
2023-11-08After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.