Options Skew Analytics

WFC options analytics

WFC · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

WFC options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 31.5%, a move of about ±9.0% over the next month. That is higher than 74% of the 234 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.26 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-13 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±7.8% and WFC moved 4.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
31.46%

Prices a move of about ±9.0% over 30 days, or ±2.0% on a typical day.

Higher than 74% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.26

Puts carry 2.26 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 27% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.52

The wings carry 0.52 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.901

90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day.

Higher than 13% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 234 prior sessions (one-year window)

31.5% — 74th percentile
20.1%68.5%
IV percentile, 1 year
74%
IV rank, 1 year
23%
IV percentile, 2 years
74%
IV rank, 2 years
23%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$81.90
30-day implied forward
$82.37
60-day ATM IV
29.14%
90-day ATM IV
28.34%
180-day ATM IV
28.41%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
861,583
Put / call open interest
1.43

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 235 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug20 Nov18 Feb13 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2331.46%+2.260.901$81.90
2026-09-2231.26%+2.270.912$83.15
2026-09-2129.42%+2.970.927$86.54
2026-09-1829.35%+2.610.923$86.12
2026-09-1729.44%+2.590.929$86.89
2026-09-1630.51%+3.160.928$87.05
2026-09-1529.86%+2.420.937$89.72
2026-09-1428.97%+3.120.955$88.71
2026-09-1125.34%+2.191.044$90.29
2026-09-1025.55%+2.441.077$89.45
2026-09-0925.09%+2.571.111$89.67
2026-09-0825.20%+2.221.078$87.96
2026-09-0423.38%+2.781.141$89.97
2026-09-0322.93%+2.671.154$89.19
2026-09-0222.86%+1.361.158$89.27
2026-09-0123.85%+2.861.123$87.04
2026-08-3122.90%+1.671.161$86.39
2026-08-2821.85%+2.901.198$86.69
2026-08-2622.74%+2.471.173$85.23
2026-08-2523.23%+2.331.135$84.79
2026-08-2423.09%+3.091.145$84.72
2026-08-2122.52%+1.981.175$83.84
2026-08-2022.32%+1.821.186$83.70
2026-08-1922.91%+1.631.152$85.94
2026-08-1822.73%+1.541.135$87.40
2026-08-1722.13%+1.521.165$87.54
2025-06-3027.30%+4.200.967$80.12
2025-06-2729.01%+2.730.928$79.50
2025-06-2629.53%+3.870.920$79.96
2025-06-2528.80%+3.130.919$79.07
2025-06-2427.69%+3.420.951$78.11
2025-06-2328.02%+4.160.994$77.01
2025-06-2030.64%+3.910.905$75.40
2025-06-1831.42%+4.310.901$74.74
2025-06-1732.10%+5.420.891$72.50
2025-06-1629.53%+3.720.933$73.15
2025-06-1328.32%+4.251.014$72.36
2025-06-1225.18%+3.321.096$74.01
2025-06-1124.26%+3.961.133$74.93
2025-06-1024.23%+2.651.132$75.45
2025-06-0924.89%+2.851.123$76.46
2025-06-0624.37%+2.891.123$76.33
2025-06-0526.75%+1.671.079$74.90
2025-06-0425.81%+2.901.114$75.38
2025-06-0324.80%+5.371.166$75.65
2025-06-0225.90%+4.351.129$74.72
2025-05-3026.44%+3.931.107$74.78
2025-05-2928.23%+5.441.050$74.51
2025-05-2826.66%+3.441.115$73.73
2025-05-2727.78%+2.381.054$73.99
2025-05-2329.25%+3.951.044$72.83
2025-05-2227.45%+4.251.095$73.39
2025-05-2128.04%+4.511.074$73.19
2025-05-2025.44%+3.321.105$75.52
2025-05-1925.74%+1.271.075$76.06
2025-05-1624.32%+3.891.129$76.18
2025-05-1524.63%+3.711.130$75.59
2025-05-1425.32%+4.761.101$76.28
2025-05-1324.26%+4.091.130$75.99
2025-05-1224.56%+4.211.115$74.88
2025-05-0928.21%+5.071.092$72.45
2025-05-0828.67%+5.441.084$73.31
2025-05-0729.07%+5.641.079$73.18
2025-05-0630.21%+5.711.061$73.48
2025-05-0529.44%+5.311.068$73.85
2025-05-0228.51%+5.471.089$73.80
2025-05-0130.53%+6.131.064$71.81
2025-04-3031.19%+6.021.057$71.01
2025-04-2930.28%+4.421.062$71.10
2025-04-2831.12%+6.071.053$69.43
2025-04-2531.68%+7.311.030$69.73
2025-04-2433.50%+7.020.991$69.56
2025-04-2335.81%+7.480.960$67.94
2025-04-2237.52%+8.340.951$66.23
2025-04-2143.40%+10.900.865$64.01
2025-04-1736.64%+7.670.972$64.71
2025-04-1639.24%+9.510.922$63.98
2025-04-1537.30%+9.770.941$64.54
2025-04-1438.92%+10.870.870$63.10
2025-04-1148.19%+16.890.840$62.51
2025-04-1068.47%+14.950.669$63.11
2025-04-0944.16%+12.350.841$66.33
2025-04-0863.38%+19.220.698$62.08
2025-04-0760.55%+17.630.769$62.17
2025-04-0458.17%+14.500.742$60.98
2025-04-0345.22%+7.650.842$65.67
2025-04-0235.11%+6.520.899$72.26
2025-04-0135.75%+6.470.891$71.31
2025-03-3136.30%+5.300.869$71.79
2025-03-2835.82%+5.120.870$70.69
2025-03-2733.76%+4.870.896$72.28
2025-03-2632.13%+4.670.907$73.47
2025-03-2531.04%+4.220.913$74.24
2025-03-2431.36%+4.260.906$74.28
2025-03-2133.27%+4.590.892$72.52
2025-03-2034.42%+4.790.875$72.52
2025-03-1934.51%+4.880.839$72.76
2025-03-1836.84%+5.530.845$71.11
2025-03-1736.08%+5.240.847$70.84
2025-03-1436.60%+5.530.855$70.85
2025-03-1340.78%+6.460.839$68.46
2025-03-1240.23%+6.370.838$68.93
2025-03-1143.51%+7.310.825$67.28
2025-03-1044.34%+7.440.831$66.78
2025-03-0736.09%+6.150.914$71.05
2025-03-0636.80%+4.630.902$72.65
2025-03-0533.66%+4.790.938$74.16
2025-03-0435.56%+5.710.932$73.30
2025-03-0331.11%+4.860.983$77.03
2025-02-2827.78%+4.641.026$78.32
2025-02-2730.18%+4.810.941$76.62
2025-02-2628.07%+5.591.022$76.45
2025-02-2528.38%+3.921.007$76.00
2025-02-2426.73%+3.231.036$77.22
2025-02-2126.77%+3.301.006$77.50
2025-02-2024.19%+2.521.080$78.63
2025-02-1923.18%+2.101.106$80.35
2025-02-1823.35%+2.131.106$80.78
2025-02-1422.48%+2.051.127$79.98
2025-02-1322.54%+2.101.142$78.85

The chart covers every session in the archive, 235 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 235 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.026 Aug20 Nov18 Feb13 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

24%26%28%30%32%34%36%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ C — IV 30.69%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 30.38%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 30.35%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 30.28%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 30.17%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 30.11%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 30.12%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 30.15%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 30.20%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 30.26%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 30.33%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 30.44%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 30.59%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 30.78%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 31.07%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 31.66%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 32.38%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 32.78%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 33.49%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ C — IV 27.43%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 27.19%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 26.71%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 26.24%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 26.31%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 26.50%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 26.29%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 25.91%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 26.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 26.84%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 27.30%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 27.50%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 27.71%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 28.01%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 28.47%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 29.38%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 30.21%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 31.22%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 32.58%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 25.68%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 25.52%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 25.71%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 25.89%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 25.94%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 26.08%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 26.28%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 26.45%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 26.59%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 26.68%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 26.74%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 26.81%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 27.16%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 27.66%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 28.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ P — IV 29.43%2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ P — IV 31.78%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
5Δ call30.69%27.43%—
10Δ call30.38%27.19%—
15Δ call30.35%26.71%25.68%
20Δ call30.28%26.24%25.52%
25Δ call30.17%26.31%25.71%
30Δ call30.11%26.50%25.89%
35Δ call30.12%26.29%25.94%
40Δ call30.15%25.91%26.08%
45Δ call30.20%26.11%26.28%
ATM30.26%26.84%26.45%
45Δ put30.33%27.30%26.59%
40Δ put30.44%27.50%26.68%
35Δ put30.59%27.71%26.74%
30Δ put30.78%28.01%26.81%
25Δ put31.07%28.47%27.16%
20Δ put31.66%29.38%27.66%
15Δ put32.38%30.21%28.33%
10Δ put32.78%31.22%29.43%
5Δ put33.49%32.58%31.78%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$82.1030.26%31.07%30.17%+0.90+0.369
2026-10-029$82.2126.84%28.47%26.31%+2.16+0.5512
2026-10-0916$82.2426.45%27.16%25.71%+1.45-0.0212
2026-10-1623$82.3033.16%33.83%32.15%+1.69-0.1730
2026-10-2330$82.3731.46%32.07%29.82%+2.26-0.5222
2026-10-3037$82.4929.51%31.51%28.91%+2.60+0.7016
2026-11-2058$82.2229.25%30.48%27.94%+2.54-0.0414
2026-12-1886$82.4528.19%29.95%27.09%+2.86+0.3317
2027-01-15114$82.8329.03%30.84%27.70%+3.14+0.2421
2027-03-19177$83.0628.30%30.73%27.53%+3.20+0.8319
2027-04-16205$83.3229.18%31.02%27.90%+3.12+0.2817
2027-06-17267$83.6428.89%30.87%27.56%+3.31+0.3323
2027-09-17359$84.0128.89%30.86%27.66%+3.20+0.3623

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

24%26%28%30%32%34%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 30.26%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 26.84%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 26.45%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 33.16%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 31.46%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 29.51%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 29.25%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 28.19%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 29.03%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 28.30%2027-04-16 — 205 days — at-the-money IV 29.18%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 28.89%2027-09-17 — 359 days — at-the-money IV 28.89%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$82.1030.26%$82.129
2026-10-029 days$82.2126.84%$82.2812
2026-10-0916 days$82.2426.45%$82.3712
2026-10-1623 days$82.3033.16%$82.5930
2026-10-2330 days$82.3731.46%$82.7122
2026-10-3037 days$82.4929.51%$82.8616
2026-11-2058 days$82.2229.25%$82.7814
2026-12-1886 days$82.4528.19%$83.2317
2027-01-15114 days$82.8329.03%$83.9321
2027-03-19177 days$83.0628.30%$84.6919
2027-04-16205 days$83.3229.18%$85.3417
2027-06-17267 days$83.6428.89%$86.2323
2027-09-17359 days$84.0128.89%$87.5323

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
31.46%
60 days
29.14%
90 days
28.34%
180 days
28.41%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 235 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4026 Aug20 Nov18 Feb13 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-13Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 3
67% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
7.8%
Mean move that happened
4.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-14Before the open———
2026-04-14Before the open———
2026-01-14Before the open———
2025-10-14Before the open———
2025-07-15Before the open———
2025-04-11Before the open11.9%-1.0%0.08×
2025-01-15Before the open5.8%+6.7%1.15×
2024-10-11Before the open5.8%+5.6%0.97×
2024-07-12Before the open———
2024-04-12Before the open———
2024-01-12Before the open———
2023-10-13Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.