Options Skew Analytics

ADI options analytics

ADI · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

ADI options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 53.7%, a move of about ±15.4% over the next month. That is higher than 97% of the 244 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 8.38 volatility points more than the calls, which is further than on all but 6% of the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 13% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-18 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±6.9% and ADI moved 4.7% on average, staying inside the priced band 4 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
53.74%

Prices a move of about ±15.4% over 30 days, or ±3.4% on a typical day.

Higher than 97% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+8.38

Puts carry 8.38 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 94% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.06

The wings carry 0.06 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.872

90-day volatility is 13% below 30-day.

Higher than 7% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 244 prior sessions (one-year window)

53.7% — 97th percentile
23.0%69.6%
IV percentile, 1 year
97%
IV rank, 1 year
66%
IV percentile, 2 years
98%
IV rank, 2 years
66%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$394.66
30-day implied forward
$395.88
60-day ATM IV
48.27%
90-day ATM IV
46.89%
180-day ATM IV
45.48%
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
112,770
Put / call open interest
0.60

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 331 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%26 Aug24 Dec28 Apr22 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0953.74%+8.380.872$394.66
2026-11-0656.54%+8.360.863$363.56
2026-11-0559.71%+4.970.832$361.01
2026-11-0451.50%+1.660.887$406.24
2026-11-0352.93%+4.760.885$419.79
2026-11-0252.31%+2.230.891$412.85
2026-10-3048.27%+4.950.913$417.11
2026-10-2944.84%+4.220.932$433.28
2026-10-2843.29%+2.420.963$428.27
2026-10-2744.91%+6.160.932$425.35
2026-10-2643.34%+4.650.960$407.93
2026-10-2343.25%+3.770.947$391.07
2026-10-2244.27%+3.010.939$385.76
2026-10-2141.61%+2.670.976$405.96
2026-10-2041.25%+1.870.982$397.05
2026-10-1940.32%+2.250.981$394.35
2026-10-1641.44%+1.820.939$395.44
2026-10-1540.93%+3.030.964$403.95
2026-10-1440.58%+3.030.974$403.57
2026-10-1339.53%+2.470.984$414.70
2026-10-0938.07%+0.781.007$406.19
2026-10-0838.20%+1.231.019$405.93
2026-10-0736.18%+1.051.053$410.08
2026-10-0636.24%-0.461.038$420.55
2026-10-0536.87%+2.071.025$419.10
2026-10-0237.07%+0.561.058$417.15
2026-10-0137.52%+2.701.055$404.60
2026-09-3039.46%+1.381.001$396.71
2026-09-2938.82%+0.491.004$398.22
2026-09-2838.43%+2.851.029$395.43
2026-09-2537.72%+1.751.028$393.60
2026-09-2438.52%+1.741.032$382.61
2026-09-2338.17%+2.931.034$385.23
2026-09-2237.60%+1.681.048$390.37
2026-09-2138.30%+2.331.039$383.00
2026-09-1835.96%+2.101.100$375.72
2026-09-1734.81%+1.631.107$362.65
2026-09-1635.61%+2.171.093$362.04
2026-09-1535.95%+2.351.092$361.35
2026-09-1436.51%+1.861.063$361.02
2026-09-1135.68%+1.581.096$378.78
2026-09-1036.58%+2.071.063$361.25
2026-09-09———$365.07
2026-09-08———$363.20
2026-09-04———$362.25
2026-09-0334.26%+1.011.059$356.50
2026-09-0234.56%+0.891.061$355.71
2026-09-01———$354.52
2026-08-3134.01%+0.621.079$362.14
2026-08-2833.77%+0.751.090$361.78
2026-08-2735.24%+0.451.088$374.52
2026-08-2635.95%+1.991.059$371.80
2026-08-2535.35%+2.221.108$373.66
2026-08-2437.09%+2.601.075$371.17
2026-08-2135.77%+1.601.097$373.09
2026-08-2036.90%+1.891.078$370.24
2026-08-1939.55%+1.011.047$373.26
2026-08-1847.33%+1.480.949$376.63
2026-08-1746.42%+0.750.974$390.28
2025-09-2930.73%+3.521.002$244.79
2025-09-2629.35%+3.271.032$247.56
2025-09-2530.34%+3.331.024$247.53
2025-09-2429.03%+2.991.060$248.61
2025-09-2329.59%+4.151.042$246.78
2025-09-2228.87%+3.521.054$247.34
2025-09-1927.68%+3.381.088$245.33
2025-09-1827.34%+3.131.082$249.05
2025-09-1727.22%+3.351.070$246.32
2025-09-1627.73%+3.801.066$244.10
2025-09-1526.80%+2.921.074$244.91
2025-09-1225.47%+3.831.112$245.21
2025-09-1125.79%+3.271.074$248.24
2025-09-1025.74%+4.381.105$247.21
2025-09-0925.69%+4.121.088$248.18
2025-09-0825.30%+4.681.085$248.98
2025-09-0525.64%+4.551.093$247.07
2025-09-0425.55%+3.241.079$246.11
2025-09-0325.78%+4.181.091$244.55
2025-09-0226.12%+3.891.065$248.32
2025-08-2923.92%+3.221.127$251.31
2025-08-2822.99%+2.411.136$254.25
2025-08-2723.01%+1.241.165$255.50
2025-08-2624.90%+2.231.088$255.63
2025-08-2524.74%+3.091.041$254.49
2025-08-2224.71%+2.811.058$252.20
2025-08-2127.05%+3.501.037$246.95
2025-08-2026.74%+3.441.036$244.87
2025-08-1933.77%+6.770.915$230.44
2025-08-1833.09%+3.960.896$231.55
2025-08-1533.01%+4.080.892$231.63
2025-08-1433.04%+3.480.887$236.21
2025-08-1333.67%+2.470.872$237.63
2025-08-1232.54%+3.840.896$232.04
2025-08-1133.49%+4.260.882$224.07
2025-08-0833.13%+3.620.890$223.95
2025-08-0734.75%+2.920.873$223.12
2025-08-0635.69%+5.200.856$220.69
2025-08-0535.55%+4.050.859$220.68
2025-08-0435.63%+4.920.851$222.40
2025-08-0137.65%+4.750.831$221.71
2025-07-3135.13%+4.400.866$224.63
2025-07-3033.55%+5.030.878$231.11
2025-07-2932.95%+4.890.904$230.75
2025-07-2833.79%+4.860.860$230.77
2025-07-2531.75%+4.020.918$227.82
2025-07-2428.31%+3.821.020$226.37
2025-07-2329.25%+3.921.008$228.08
2025-07-2229.59%+4.270.979$235.50
2025-07-2131.13%+5.520.931$240.48
2025-07-1829.17%+4.330.993$241.85
2025-07-1729.91%+4.110.977$240.97
2025-07-1628.90%+5.351.016$240.61
2025-07-1529.67%+3.430.994$240.42
2025-07-1429.00%+3.921.010$243.46
2025-07-1128.95%+5.501.020$244.68
2025-07-1027.86%+5.381.037$245.13
2025-07-0928.17%+4.801.017$242.72
2025-07-0827.77%+4.481.052$245.15
2025-07-0728.97%+3.771.034$241.81
2025-07-0327.04%+3.671.071$245.68

The chart covers every session in the archive, 331 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 331 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.026 Aug24 Dec28 Apr22 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

40%50%60%70%80%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 60.35%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 59.58%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 62.70%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 62.84%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 65.21%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 65.35%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 66.37%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 64.80%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 66.51%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 68.29%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 70.25%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 69.37%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 69.44%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 50.04%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 51.69%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 51.55%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 52.28%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 53.86%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.48%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 55.19%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 55.73%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 55.90%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 57.76%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 58.94%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 59.21%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 60.18%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 60.73%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 63.54%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 51.31%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 52.89%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 52.48%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 54.44%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 55.47%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 56.28%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 56.91%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 58.01%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 59.73%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 59.80%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 60.89%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 61.38%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 61.29%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 62.71%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 63.58%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
10Δ call—50.04%—
15Δ call—51.69%51.31%
20Δ call60.35%51.55%52.89%
25Δ call59.58%52.28%52.48%
30Δ call62.70%53.86%54.44%
35Δ call62.84%53.48%55.47%
40Δ call65.21%55.19%56.28%
45Δ call65.35%55.73%56.91%
ATM66.37%55.90%58.01%
45Δ put64.80%57.76%59.73%
40Δ put66.51%58.94%59.80%
35Δ put68.29%59.21%60.89%
30Δ put70.25%60.18%61.38%
25Δ put69.37%60.73%61.29%
20Δ put69.44%63.54%62.71%
15Δ put——63.58%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$395.2066.37%69.37%59.58%+9.79-1.8921
2026-11-2011$395.2555.90%60.73%52.28%+8.45+0.6035
2026-11-2718$396.2458.01%61.29%52.48%+8.82-1.1332
2026-12-0425$396.0054.91%58.13%50.36%+7.77-0.6624
2026-12-1132$395.8453.37%57.80%49.22%+8.58+0.1414
2026-12-1839$395.9351.19%54.10%47.35%+6.75-0.4720
2027-01-1567$396.5747.69%49.72%44.66%+5.06-0.5022
2027-03-19130$398.8846.16%49.41%43.31%+6.10+0.1933
2027-06-17220$402.3645.16%48.28%42.72%+5.56+0.3441
2027-09-17312$405.5444.78%47.64%42.58%+5.06+0.3340

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%50%60%70%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 66.37%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 55.90%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 58.01%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 54.91%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 53.37%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 51.19%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 47.69%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 46.16%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 45.16%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 44.78%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$395.2066.37%$396.1621
2026-11-2011 days$395.2555.90%$397.1235
2026-11-2718 days$396.2458.01%$399.5432
2026-12-0425 days$396.0054.91%$400.1124
2026-12-1132 days$395.8453.37%$400.8114
2026-12-1839 days$395.9351.19%$401.5120
2027-01-1567 days$396.5747.69%$404.9422
2027-03-19130 days$398.8846.16%$414.3133
2027-06-17220 days$402.3645.16%$427.8741
2027-09-17312 days$405.5444.78%$441.8340

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
53.74%
60 days
48.27%
90 days
46.89%
180 days
45.48%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 331 sessions

0.700.800.901.001.101.2026 Aug24 Dec28 Apr22 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-18Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
4 of 5
80% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
6.9%
Mean move that happened
4.7%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-19Before the open7.8%-0.9%0.11×
2026-05-20Before the open———
2026-02-18Before the open———
2025-11-25Before the open———
2025-08-20Before the open7.7%+6.3%0.81×
2025-05-22Before the open6.3%-4.6%0.74×
2025-02-19Before the open6.6%+9.7%1.48×
2024-11-26Before the open6.1%-2.0%0.33×
2024-08-21Before the open———
2024-05-22Before the open———
2024-02-21Before the open———
2023-11-21Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.