Options Skew Analytics

FICO options analytics

FICO · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

FICO options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 51.0%, a move of about ±14.6% over the next month. Its history here is 226 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta calls carry 0.38 volatility points more than the puts.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-29 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±11.4% and FICO moved 39.8% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
51.01%

Prices a move of about ±14.6% over 30 days, or ±3.2% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.38

Calls carry 0.38 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.67

The wings carry 0.67 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.996

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 154 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$914.48
30-day implied forward
$924.60
60-day ATM IV
54.64%
90-day ATM IV
50.80%
180-day ATM IV
51.74%
Expirations used
8
Total open interest
9,119
Put / call open interest
1.90

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 226 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%70%3 Sep25 Nov25 Feb30 Apr22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2251.01%-0.380.996$914.48
2026-09-2150.56%-0.681.032$924.52
2026-09-1846.31%+0.831.084$949.68
2026-09-1749.80%-1.361.042$966.30
2026-09-1648.94%+1.841.122$991.35
2026-09-15———$985.96
2026-09-14———$1,001.50
2026-09-11———$985.39
2026-09-1056.29%+0.840.995$960.67
2026-09-09———$983.19
2026-09-0851.83%+3.481.065$933.30
2026-09-0454.37%-1.181.000$932.26
2026-09-03———$1,118.93
2026-09-0247.63%+1.161.030$1,099.45
2026-09-01———$1,103.68
2026-08-3147.80%+1.031.055$1,147.21
2026-08-28———$1,153.57
2026-08-2748.91%+1.941.047$1,157.06
2026-08-2649.60%-0.361.023$1,133.70
2026-08-2551.19%+1.661.031$1,137.14
2026-08-2448.29%+3.851.090$1,166.40
2026-08-2149.57%+0.561.074$1,172.67
2025-06-3043.68%+9.660.921$1,827.96
2025-06-2742.51%+8.500.954$1,816.26
2025-06-2641.67%+3.670.960$1,815.84
2025-06-2537.60%+1.061.024$1,893.45
2025-06-2436.81%+5.051.066$1,926.52
2025-06-2336.94%+5.681.070$1,881.25
2025-06-2038.71%+4.461.051$1,804.82
2025-06-1836.76%+2.821.112$1,763.64
2025-06-17———$1,776.94
2025-06-16———$1,814.39
2025-06-13———$1,784.57
2025-06-12———$1,784.37
2025-06-1138.65%+5.881.043$1,805.00
2025-06-10———$1,785.00
2025-06-09———$1,749.41
2025-06-06———$1,775.10
2025-06-0538.10%+4.861.030$1,771.90
2025-06-0439.36%+4.821.018$1,755.03
2025-06-0340.32%+4.051.019$1,741.55
2025-06-0240.74%+5.891.031$1,748.26
2025-05-3041.46%+3.411.041$1,726.28
2025-05-2946.51%+7.781.039$1,685.00
2025-05-2852.86%+5.390.908$1,619.94
2025-05-2765.69%+6.870.811$1,503.62
2025-05-2339.99%+6.021.056$1,694.36
2025-05-2243.67%+4.590.970$1,700.32
2025-05-2159.20%+9.220.809$1,707.94
2025-05-20———$2,027.00
2025-05-19———$2,206.01
2025-05-16———$2,201.89
2025-05-15———$2,180.44
2025-05-14———$2,125.90
2025-05-13———$2,136.03
2025-05-12———$2,130.00
2025-05-09———$2,088.22
2025-05-08———$2,105.76
2025-05-07———$2,095.03
2025-05-0634.26%+6.101.051$2,060.86
2025-05-0534.28%+5.791.031$2,080.41
2025-05-02———$2,048.17
2025-05-0134.96%+6.151.022$2,001.68
2025-04-3036.11%+6.840.996$1,989.68
2025-04-2944.45%+9.360.867$1,961.50
2025-04-2845.51%+9.030.857$1,943.27
2025-04-2544.11%+9.550.862$1,952.31
2025-04-2442.95%+9.660.872$1,936.81
2025-04-2344.54%+10.200.874$1,926.06
2025-04-2246.41%+11.800.874$1,872.90
2025-04-2150.28%+12.920.853$1,816.08
2025-04-1746.98%+11.870.844$1,908.69
2025-04-1651.05%+15.100.825$1,899.78
2025-04-15———$1,923.93
2025-04-14———$1,932.74
2025-04-11———$1,888.45
2025-04-1055.64%+17.120.804$1,850.06
2025-04-0951.08%+11.370.824$1,848.00
2025-04-0866.51%+20.130.797$1,677.11
2025-04-0764.01%+19.450.813$1,713.20
2025-04-0462.13%+16.090.821$1,673.98
2025-04-0346.99%+6.590.890$1,801.05
2025-04-0240.94%+5.920.930$1,889.89
2025-04-0140.88%+6.790.935$1,868.47
2025-03-3141.32%+7.540.936$1,844.16
2025-03-2839.71%+6.950.962$1,835.24
2025-03-2737.28%+5.450.990$1,872.28
2025-03-2636.69%+5.621.005$1,887.00
2025-03-2533.61%+5.991.058$1,919.64
2025-03-2435.75%+6.201.024$1,897.66
2025-03-2135.46%+5.921.030$1,853.29
2025-03-2036.46%+5.271.015$1,853.46
2025-03-1936.79%+5.491.008$1,872.99
2025-03-1839.11%+6.120.975$1,813.61
2025-03-17———$1,845.85
2025-03-14———$1,799.90
2025-03-13———$1,743.54
2025-03-1240.04%+8.850.969$1,779.00
2025-03-1143.96%+8.130.927$1,722.85
2025-03-1044.99%+7.510.910$1,695.35
2025-03-0738.42%+6.550.971$1,834.13
2025-03-0640.78%+6.540.941$1,816.51
2025-03-0537.50%+6.110.979$1,873.01
2025-03-0439.77%+5.020.951$1,871.03
2025-03-0338.48%+5.350.970$1,864.88
2025-02-2836.08%+5.750.990$1,886.35
2025-02-2737.92%+4.320.967$1,836.18
2025-02-2636.61%+3.550.978$1,869.97
2025-02-2536.07%+4.700.980$1,816.76
2025-02-2433.99%+3.601.005$1,732.20
2025-02-2133.42%+3.051.022$1,698.11
2025-02-2033.55%+3.120.996$1,725.54
2025-02-1932.75%+3.861.019$1,755.26
2025-02-18———$1,794.24
2025-02-14———$1,799.19
2025-02-13———$1,802.79
2025-02-12———$1,767.41
2025-02-11———$1,797.17
2025-02-1032.52%+2.681.008$1,857.35
2025-02-0733.90%+2.600.978$1,858.86

The chart covers every session in the archive, 226 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 226 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.03 Sep25 Nov25 Feb30 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

24d (2026-10-16) · 59d (2026-11-20) · 87d (2026-12-18)

46%48%50%52%54%56%58%2026-10-16 (24d) — 10Δ C — IV 51.46%2026-10-16 (24d) — 15Δ C — IV 49.75%2026-10-16 (24d) — 20Δ C — IV 48.53%2026-10-16 (24d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.41%2026-10-16 (24d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.05%2026-10-16 (24d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.03%2026-10-16 (24d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.95%2026-10-16 (24d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.13%2026-10-16 (24d) — ATM — IV 48.96%2026-10-16 (24d) — 45Δ P — IV 47.69%2026-10-16 (24d) — 40Δ P — IV 47.01%2026-10-16 (24d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.81%2026-10-16 (24d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.13%2026-10-16 (24d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.24%2026-10-16 (24d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.24%2026-10-16 (24d) — 15Δ P — IV 48.20%2026-10-16 (24d) — 10Δ P — IV 49.50%24d2026-11-20 (59d) — 15Δ C — IV 54.47%2026-11-20 (59d) — 20Δ C — IV 55.43%2026-11-20 (59d) — 25Δ C — IV 54.47%2026-11-20 (59d) — 30Δ C — IV 54.71%2026-11-20 (59d) — 35Δ C — IV 54.11%2026-11-20 (59d) — 40Δ C — IV 55.05%2026-11-20 (59d) — 45Δ C — IV 54.33%2026-11-20 (59d) — ATM — IV 54.84%2026-11-20 (59d) — 45Δ P — IV 54.21%2026-11-20 (59d) — 40Δ P — IV 53.80%2026-11-20 (59d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.33%2026-11-20 (59d) — 30Δ P — IV 54.50%2026-11-20 (59d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.71%2026-11-20 (59d) — 20Δ P — IV 52.85%2026-11-20 (59d) — 15Δ P — IV 55.03%59d2026-12-18 (87d) — 15Δ C — IV 52.49%2026-12-18 (87d) — 20Δ C — IV 52.54%2026-12-18 (87d) — 25Δ C — IV 51.70%2026-12-18 (87d) — 30Δ C — IV 50.77%2026-12-18 (87d) — 35Δ C — IV 49.98%2026-12-18 (87d) — 40Δ C — IV 50.85%2026-12-18 (87d) — 45Δ C — IV 50.74%2026-12-18 (87d) — ATM — IV 50.82%2026-12-18 (87d) — 45Δ P — IV 52.45%2026-12-18 (87d) — 40Δ P — IV 52.92%2026-12-18 (87d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.45%2026-12-18 (87d) — 30Δ P — IV 52.43%2026-12-18 (87d) — 25Δ P — IV 53.73%2026-12-18 (87d) — 20Δ P — IV 52.50%87d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta24d59d87d
10Δ call51.46%——
15Δ call49.75%54.47%52.49%
20Δ call48.53%55.43%52.54%
25Δ call48.41%54.47%51.70%
30Δ call48.05%54.71%50.77%
35Δ call48.03%54.11%49.98%
40Δ call48.95%55.05%50.85%
45Δ call48.13%54.33%50.74%
ATM48.96%54.84%50.82%
45Δ put47.69%54.21%52.45%
40Δ put47.01%53.80%52.92%
35Δ put48.81%53.33%53.45%
30Δ put48.13%54.50%52.43%
25Δ put48.24%53.71%53.73%
20Δ put48.24%52.85%52.50%
15Δ put48.20%55.03%—
10Δ put49.50%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-1624$923.7148.96%48.24%48.41%-0.17-0.6328
2026-11-2059$928.9454.84%53.71%54.47%-0.75-0.7533
2026-12-1887$934.1450.82%53.73%51.70%+2.02+1.9025
2027-01-15115$935.0950.68%51.56%51.22%+0.34+0.7232
2027-03-19178$938.4251.84%51.55%50.72%+0.83-0.7133
2027-04-16206$945.6050.59%52.53%50.24%+2.29+0.8012
2027-06-17268$953.3451.11%52.87%50.36%+2.52+0.5041
2027-09-17360$963.9251.49%53.69%49.88%+3.81+0.2921

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

8 listed expirations produced a usable reading

48%50%52%54%56%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 48.96%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 54.84%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 50.82%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 50.68%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 51.84%2027-04-16 — 206 days — at-the-money IV 50.59%2027-06-17 — 268 days — at-the-money IV 51.11%2027-09-17 — 360 days — at-the-money IV 51.49%306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-1624 days$923.7148.96%$931.0228
2026-11-2059 days$928.9454.84%$951.8033
2026-12-1887 days$934.1450.82%$963.3425
2027-01-15115 days$935.0950.68%$973.6932
2027-03-19178 days$938.4251.84%$1,001.9733
2027-04-16206 days$945.6050.59%$1,016.4012
2027-06-17268 days$953.3451.11%$1,049.3041
2027-09-17360 days$963.9251.49%$1,098.5721

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
51.01%
60 days
54.64%
90 days
50.80%
180 days
51.74%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 226 sessions

0.700.800.901.001.101.203 Sep25 Nov25 Feb30 Apr22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-29Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
11.4%
Mean move that happened
39.8%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-29After the close———
2026-04-28After the close———
2026-01-28After the close———
2025-11-05After the close———
2025-07-30After the close———
2025-04-29After the close11.2%-40.2%3.60×
2025-02-04After the close12.5%-35.2%2.83×
2024-11-06After the close10.5%-43.9%4.17×
2024-07-31After the close———
2024-04-25After the close———
2024-01-25After the close———
2023-11-08After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.