Options Skew Analytics

MDB options analytics

MDB · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

MDB options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 88.1%, a move of about ±25.3% over the next month. That is higher than 98% of the 249 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 6.04 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 19% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-12-01, after the close.

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±18.6% and MDB moved 54.1% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
88.13%

Prices a move of about ±25.3% over 30 days, or ±5.6% on a typical day.

Higher than 98% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+6.04

Puts carry 6.04 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 84% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.22

The wings carry 0.22 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.812

90-day volatility is 19% below 30-day.

Higher than 19% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 249 prior sessions (one-year window)

88.1% — 98th percentile
37.8%93.4%
IV percentile, 1 year
98%
IV rank, 1 year
91%
IV percentile, 2 years
99%
IV rank, 2 years
91%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$327.37
30-day implied forward
$331.34
60-day ATM IV
76.15%
90-day ATM IV
71.55%
180-day ATM IV
69.21%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
155,298
Put / call open interest
0.74

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%3 Sep30 Dec25 Apr20 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0988.13%+6.040.812$327.37
2026-11-0690.65%+10.160.814$312.83
2026-11-0593.36%+7.210.816$304.59
2026-11-0487.37%+6.560.847$328.38
2026-11-0388.94%+5.420.834$335.37
2026-11-0276.54%+5.260.966$330.43
2026-10-3070.72%+8.101.032$352.96
2026-10-2963.25%-0.241.082$384.95
2026-10-2860.99%+0.231.113$393.44
2026-10-2760.81%-1.821.109$389.84
2026-10-2670.15%+0.130.973$389.11
2026-10-2363.69%+3.021.081$371.09
2026-10-2264.37%+1.991.082$362.24
2026-10-2162.92%+0.981.062$390.75
2026-10-2063.10%+3.441.064$366.18
2026-10-1959.03%+3.491.131$348.69
2026-10-1665.04%+3.681.074$337.57
2026-10-1559.14%+2.481.145$366.49
2026-10-1458.60%+1.011.150$356.29
2026-10-1360.19%-0.421.101$373.07
2026-10-0957.04%-0.861.106$385.93
2026-10-0858.28%+0.271.069$371.35
2026-10-0757.72%-1.041.067$363.03
2026-10-0657.30%-2.841.076$360.71
2026-10-0558.06%-2.711.088$359.23
2026-10-0256.43%-0.791.118$357.96
2026-10-0158.81%-0.121.113$351.73
2026-09-3057.43%-2.361.118$348.61
2026-09-2963.12%+0.181.048$337.19
2026-09-2863.54%-1.891.059$334.68
2026-09-2558.44%-1.511.132$410.44
2026-09-2458.30%-0.241.133$421.40
2026-09-2360.21%-2.291.133$428.36
2026-09-2259.40%-0.011.132$427.69
2026-09-2156.81%+2.251.175$407.30
2026-09-1855.97%+0.921.149$383.56
2026-09-1755.93%+2.201.133$393.42
2026-09-1655.17%-0.841.165$376.34
2026-09-15———$377.67
2026-09-1456.25%+0.681.123$382.29
2026-09-1150.52%+1.991.190$362.21
2026-09-1053.58%+0.481.155$373.87
2026-09-09———$358.38
2026-09-0854.37%+1.491.094$356.00
2026-09-0453.07%-0.941.086$368.74
2026-09-0352.86%+0.001.064$384.45
2026-09-0254.76%-2.751.045$375.40
2026-09-0186.73%-5.860.792$434.21
2026-08-3186.16%-0.230.812$453.37
2026-08-2886.03%-2.23—$446.62
2026-08-2784.90%+0.01—$440.58
2026-08-2685.30%-3.380.820$406.11
2026-08-2584.49%-0.020.813$404.92
2026-08-2483.06%-0.550.827$402.69
2025-09-2941.26%+3.061.312$317.00
2025-09-2640.33%+0.621.326$318.41
2025-09-2541.68%-0.171.313$315.32
2025-09-2441.89%+0.541.326$315.30
2025-09-2342.68%+2.451.294$318.96
2025-09-2242.60%-0.651.296$323.59
2025-09-1942.31%+1.081.296$323.43
2025-09-1842.26%+1.291.319$316.30
2025-09-1744.93%-0.201.256$315.38
2025-09-1646.98%+0.541.172$327.37
2025-09-1546.11%+0.691.189$333.97
2025-09-1242.48%-1.001.211$330.10
2025-09-1142.19%+1.691.191$332.10
2025-09-1043.70%+1.491.180$334.87
2025-09-0942.89%+1.811.188$331.09
2025-09-0843.43%+2.311.137$323.29
2025-09-0543.81%+1.981.109$324.74
2025-09-0444.67%+1.841.073$322.05
2025-09-0346.82%-0.161.033$312.88
2025-09-0248.34%+4.321.014$318.29
2025-08-2946.86%+2.901.015$315.61
2025-08-2850.31%+3.010.949$318.10
2025-08-2751.72%+2.220.930$295.70
2025-08-2681.46%+8.220.735$214.34
2025-08-2581.80%+5.070.733$218.44
2025-08-2282.06%+2.930.737$219.06
2025-08-2183.64%+3.530.728$211.96
2025-08-2084.04%+4.250.738$212.70
2025-08-1979.51%+2.380.747$218.61
2025-08-1879.03%+1.520.742$227.06
2025-08-1578.75%+1.000.740$218.26
2025-08-1477.79%+0.870.764$204.37
2025-08-1379.28%+0.010.733$207.43
2025-08-1278.43%+1.970.762$207.82
2025-08-1180.83%-0.940.759$201.00
2025-08-0881.08%+0.520.739$209.18
2025-08-0776.73%+2.740.747$227.86
2025-08-0674.38%+1.150.754$235.82
2025-08-0565.39%+2.690.868$228.25
2025-08-0464.11%+2.710.892$226.56
2025-08-0159.93%+2.570.985$220.97
2025-07-3174.97%+4.770.737$237.89
2025-07-3058.35%+1.210.944$244.36
2025-07-2952.16%-0.901.049$240.88
2025-07-2850.66%+0.531.067$244.41
2025-07-2547.61%-0.291.142$241.37
2025-07-2451.60%+0.921.043$235.16
2025-07-2351.55%+1.921.071$228.25
2025-07-2248.21%-3.761.136$224.30
2025-07-2145.08%+2.511.236$222.24
2025-07-1846.45%+0.961.190$221.21
2025-07-1746.02%+0.481.202$218.53
2025-07-1645.80%+1.251.210$209.64
2025-07-1546.25%+1.131.207$208.66
2025-07-1445.43%+0.911.238$201.53
2025-07-1143.96%+1.861.255$202.51
2025-07-1043.92%-0.001.278$209.27
2025-07-0944.18%+0.651.242$217.12
2025-07-0843.80%+1.611.261$208.90
2025-07-0744.24%+3.121.261$210.01
2025-07-0340.65%+1.541.339$211.34
2025-07-0241.23%+2.381.332$204.43
2025-07-0140.35%+0.761.356$206.04
2025-06-3040.76%+0.211.340$209.99
2025-06-2737.76%+4.331.431$209.92
2025-06-2640.27%+1.991.284$209.20

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-10.00.010.020.03 Sep30 Dec25 Apr20 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

50%60%70%80%90%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 75.06%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 73.12%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 73.83%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 74.71%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 75.24%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 77.21%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 75.90%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 75.80%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 78.41%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 77.34%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 78.45%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 77.69%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 77.36%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 78.93%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 79.02%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 80.36%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 85.70%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 85.62%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ C — IV 64.91%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 65.72%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 65.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 66.64%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 68.15%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 69.25%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 69.74%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 70.83%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 71.53%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 71.29%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 70.87%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 71.34%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 72.30%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 72.82%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 74.74%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 78.38%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 76.73%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 79.40%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 61.72%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 62.18%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 62.34%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 63.37%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 63.10%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 64.28%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 64.42%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 65.93%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 62.34%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 66.84%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 67.64%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 67.69%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 67.69%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 69.78%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 69.54%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 71.21%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 75.10%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call75.06%64.91%—
10Δ call73.12%65.72%61.72%
15Δ call73.83%65.29%62.18%
20Δ call74.71%66.64%62.34%
25Δ call75.24%68.15%63.37%
30Δ call77.21%69.25%63.10%
35Δ call75.90%69.74%64.28%
40Δ call75.80%70.83%64.42%
45Δ call78.41%71.53%65.93%
ATM77.34%71.29%62.34%
45Δ put78.45%70.87%66.84%
40Δ put77.69%71.34%67.64%
35Δ put77.36%72.30%67.69%
30Δ put78.93%72.82%67.69%
25Δ put79.02%74.74%69.78%
20Δ put80.36%78.38%69.54%
15Δ put85.70%76.73%71.21%
10Δ put85.62%79.40%75.10%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$329.8077.34%79.02%75.24%+3.78-0.2131
2026-11-2011$329.8271.29%74.74%68.15%+6.60+0.1543
2026-11-2718$331.1362.34%69.78%63.37%+6.41+4.2335
2026-12-0425$331.1892.13%94.61%89.16%+5.44-0.2436
2026-12-1839$331.6383.29%86.51%79.70%+6.81-0.1934
2026-12-2445$331.4181.31%87.83%77.35%+10.47+1.2821
2027-01-1567$333.0574.47%78.44%71.62%+6.82+0.5639
2027-02-19102$333.6470.52%73.06%67.83%+5.23-0.0842
2027-03-19130$335.3372.43%78.06%71.03%+7.04+2.1256
2027-04-16158$333.9771.41%75.16%68.98%+6.18+0.6655
2027-05-21193$337.2668.13%74.85%66.54%+8.31+2.5757
2027-06-17220$338.3670.51%74.73%68.93%+5.81+1.3362

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%60%70%80%90%100%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 77.34%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 71.29%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 62.34%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 92.13%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 83.29%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 81.31%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 74.47%2027-02-19 — 102 days — at-the-money IV 70.52%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 72.43%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 71.41%2027-05-21 — 193 days — at-the-money IV 68.13%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 70.51%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$329.8077.34%$330.8831
2026-11-2011 days$329.8271.29%$332.3643
2026-11-2718 days$331.1362.34%$334.3235
2026-12-0425 days$331.1892.13%$340.9536
2026-12-1839 days$331.6383.29%$344.1534
2026-12-2445 days$331.4181.31%$345.1921
2027-01-1567 days$333.0574.47%$350.4439
2027-02-19102 days$333.6470.52%$357.6542
2027-03-19130 days$335.3372.43%$368.1756
2027-04-16158 days$333.9771.41%$372.9455
2027-05-21193 days$337.2668.13%$381.3057
2027-06-17220 days$338.3670.51%$393.0462

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
88.13%
60 days
76.15%
90 days
71.55%
180 days
69.21%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.603 Sep30 Dec24 Apr19 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-12-01After the closeAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 5
40% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
18.6%
Mean move that happened
54.1%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-01After the close20.0%-13.5%0.68×
2026-05-28After the close———
2026-03-02After the close———
2025-12-01After the close———
2025-11-03Before the open———
2025-08-26After the close20.2%+87.9%4.36×
2025-06-04After the close17.4%+101.6%5.83×
2025-03-05After the close16.7%+52.5%3.15×
2024-12-09After the close18.8%+15.0%0.80×
2024-08-29After the close———
2024-05-30After the close———
2024-03-07After the close———
2023-12-05After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.