Options Skew Analytics

MDB options analytics

MDB · Stock

Data as of 22 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

MDB options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 59.4%, a move of about ±17.0% over the next month. That is higher than 61% of the 220 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts and calls carry the same implied volatility, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 13% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-12-01 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 4 reports the options market priced an average move of ±18.2% and MDB moved 45.7% on average, staying inside the priced band 2 times out of 4.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
59.40%

Prices a move of about ±17.0% over 30 days, or ±3.7% on a typical day.

Higher than 61% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-0.01

Puts and calls the same distance from the money carry the same volatility.

Higher than 21% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.31

The wings carry 1.31 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.132

90-day volatility is 13% above 30-day.

Higher than 56% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 220 prior sessions (one-year window)

59.4% — 61th percentile
36.2%86.7%
IV percentile, 1 year
61%
IV rank, 1 year
46%
IV percentile, 2 years
61%
IV rank, 2 years
46%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$427.69
30-day implied forward
$433.11
60-day ATM IV
59.34%
90-day ATM IV
67.22%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
11
Total open interest
95,738
Put / call open interest
0.41

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 225 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%3 Sep22 Nov14 Feb7 May22 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2259.40%-0.011.132$427.69
2026-09-2156.81%+2.251.175$407.30
2026-09-1855.97%+0.921.149$383.56
2026-09-1755.93%+2.201.133$393.42
2026-09-1655.17%-0.841.165$376.34
2026-09-15———$377.67
2026-09-1456.25%+0.681.123$382.29
2026-09-1150.52%+1.991.190$362.21
2026-09-1053.58%+0.481.155$373.87
2026-09-09———$358.38
2026-09-0854.37%+1.491.094$356.00
2026-09-0453.07%-0.941.086$368.74
2026-09-0352.86%+0.001.064$384.45
2026-09-0254.76%-2.751.045$375.40
2026-09-0186.73%-5.860.792$434.21
2026-08-3186.16%-0.230.812$453.37
2026-08-2886.03%-2.23—$446.62
2026-08-2784.90%+0.01—$440.58
2026-08-2685.30%-3.380.820$406.11
2026-08-2584.49%-0.020.813$404.92
2026-08-2483.06%-0.550.827$402.69
2025-06-3040.76%+0.211.340$209.99
2025-06-2737.76%+4.331.431$209.92
2025-06-2640.27%+1.991.284$209.20
2025-06-2539.24%-0.721.342$206.76
2025-06-2439.05%+2.701.360$209.25
2025-06-2340.18%+3.591.344$203.24
2025-06-2039.84%+2.961.350$201.50
2025-06-1838.83%+4.221.378$204.15
2025-06-1741.26%+2.921.292$205.60
2025-06-1638.96%+4.911.352$202.50
2025-06-1340.54%+3.261.277$205.63
2025-06-1238.86%+2.341.330$210.66
2025-06-1139.27%+1.921.285$210.60
2025-06-1039.35%+2.401.309$213.03
2025-06-0938.74%+0.641.312$217.23
2025-06-0640.51%+1.821.243$220.14
2025-06-0544.48%+1.611.191$225.38
2025-06-0477.42%+6.750.813$199.73
2025-06-0375.04%+3.100.839$193.75
2025-06-0275.84%+2.450.843$193.00
2025-05-3076.70%+3.550.823$188.83
2025-05-2978.25%+2.800.804$189.36
2025-05-2877.13%+4.810.826$188.45
2025-05-2780.14%+1.910.801$188.95
2025-05-2380.38%+4.290.805$185.85
2025-05-2279.67%+4.290.792$188.58
2025-05-2186.42%+3.020.749$185.01
2025-05-2081.76%+3.150.764$188.94
2025-05-1982.03%+4.030.760$189.01
2025-05-1679.00%+5.740.780$191.29
2025-05-1577.58%+4.870.769$190.50
2025-05-1478.53%+5.490.773$193.74
2025-05-1376.38%+5.410.758$195.90
2025-05-1276.59%+10.200.782$191.61
2025-05-0979.12%+8.470.778$178.54
2025-05-0880.31%+7.410.758$179.26
2025-05-0778.45%+8.900.783$174.33
2025-05-0678.45%+11.380.811$172.22
2025-05-0574.42%+7.340.837$172.96
2025-05-0261.63%+7.681.006$171.64
2025-05-0155.53%+7.731.095$172.19
2025-04-30———$172.17
2025-04-2964.12%+7.180.990$174.69
2025-04-2859.88%+6.631.059$174.51
2025-04-2562.07%+11.491.047$173.50
2025-04-2465.01%+9.000.972$173.21
2025-04-2361.34%+6.851.053$162.66
2025-04-2265.08%+14.951.026$152.15
2025-04-2166.81%+11.431.018$151.67
2025-04-1760.04%+10.841.102$159.26
2025-04-1663.05%+9.010.992$160.04
2025-04-1558.83%+13.261.081$158.58
2025-04-1465.21%+12.660.992$158.04
2025-04-1165.52%+16.331.051$162.24
2025-04-1068.37%+16.670.991$161.10
2025-04-0961.53%+6.621.036$171.34
2025-04-0881.16%+16.570.896$145.85
2025-04-0783.99%+8.390.884$147.38
2025-04-0478.99%+10.630.994$154.39
2025-04-0365.91%+7.900.997$163.34
2025-04-0248.04%+15.371.281$180.19
2025-04-0153.02%+3.101.138$176.61
2025-03-3155.84%+10.871.087$175.40
2025-03-2855.01%+4.331.100$178.03
2025-03-2746.63%+2.661.275$188.64
2025-03-2646.87%+6.121.212$193.66
2025-03-2547.45%+2.711.195$198.66
2025-03-2445.78%+4.511.190$197.48
2025-03-2145.01%+1.931.275$192.54
2025-03-2050.31%+2.031.127$189.30
2025-03-1946.87%+8.081.235$190.06
2025-03-1852.11%+2.241.118$188.68
2025-03-1751.36%+3.881.082$193.05
2025-03-1450.85%+4.121.169$185.37
2025-03-1357.39%+3.731.048$185.10
2025-03-1257.07%+3.771.047$196.12
2025-03-1162.15%+6.210.980$195.70
2025-03-1065.72%+3.590.942$180.32
2025-03-0754.03%+2.371.023$187.65
2025-03-0655.19%+6.251.018$192.98
2025-03-0574.03%+8.580.823$264.13
2025-03-0477.67%-0.210.793$254.38
2025-03-0377.40%+2.170.800$259.02
2025-02-2875.45%-0.220.799$267.43
2025-02-2779.91%+0.650.788$262.41
2025-02-2680.40%+2.280.777$268.30
2025-02-2579.85%+4.030.776$259.71
2025-02-2479.56%+3.690.777$267.10
2025-02-2178.59%+1.810.767$273.26
2025-02-2075.48%+0.650.770$290.00
2025-02-1974.23%+0.330.774$295.00
2025-02-1875.22%+0.740.774$298.52
2025-02-1470.43%+1.810.780$289.63
2025-02-1373.59%+0.270.773$292.97
2025-02-1272.67%-0.480.782$292.46
2025-02-1169.05%+1.090.813$286.12
2025-02-1068.13%+0.650.832$286.36
2025-02-0760.27%+1.770.971$277.87
2025-02-0658.12%+2.080.963$278.10

The chart covers every session in the archive, 225 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 225 sessions

-10.00.010.020.03 Sep22 Nov14 Feb7 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-09-25) · 10d (2026-10-02) · 17d (2026-10-09)

55%60%65%70%75%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 70.31%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 70.24%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 69.59%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 72.40%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 66.33%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 67.25%2026-09-25 (3d) — ATM — IV 66.60%2026-09-25 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 65.57%2026-09-25 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 64.60%2026-09-25 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 65.24%2026-09-25 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 65.87%2026-09-25 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 65.12%2026-09-25 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 64.89%2026-09-25 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 66.49%2026-09-25 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 68.75%3d2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ C — IV 69.65%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ C — IV 68.60%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ C — IV 69.50%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ C — IV 68.49%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ C — IV 67.62%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ C — IV 67.30%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ C — IV 67.23%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ C — IV 66.00%2026-10-02 (10d) — ATM — IV 66.00%2026-10-02 (10d) — 45Δ P — IV 65.57%2026-10-02 (10d) — 40Δ P — IV 64.71%2026-10-02 (10d) — 35Δ P — IV 63.38%2026-10-02 (10d) — 30Δ P — IV 63.15%2026-10-02 (10d) — 25Δ P — IV 62.33%2026-10-02 (10d) — 20Δ P — IV 62.96%2026-10-02 (10d) — 15Δ P — IV 63.52%2026-10-02 (10d) — 10Δ P — IV 66.77%2026-10-02 (10d) — 5Δ P — IV 68.58%10d2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ C — IV 61.64%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ C — IV 63.94%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ C — IV 62.57%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ C — IV 61.88%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ C — IV 61.65%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ C — IV 61.85%2026-10-09 (17d) — ATM — IV 61.77%2026-10-09 (17d) — 45Δ P — IV 60.90%2026-10-09 (17d) — 40Δ P — IV 62.17%2026-10-09 (17d) — 35Δ P — IV 59.65%2026-10-09 (17d) — 30Δ P — IV 61.38%2026-10-09 (17d) — 25Δ P — IV 60.68%2026-10-09 (17d) — 20Δ P — IV 60.46%2026-10-09 (17d) — 15Δ P — IV 60.93%17d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d10d17d
10Δ call—69.65%—
15Δ call—68.60%—
20Δ call70.31%69.50%61.64%
25Δ call70.24%68.49%63.94%
30Δ call69.59%67.62%62.57%
35Δ call72.40%67.30%61.88%
40Δ call66.33%67.23%61.65%
45Δ call67.25%66.00%61.85%
ATM66.60%66.00%61.77%
45Δ put65.57%65.57%60.90%
40Δ put64.60%64.71%62.17%
35Δ put65.24%63.38%59.65%
30Δ put65.87%63.15%61.38%
25Δ put65.12%62.33%60.68%
20Δ put64.89%62.96%60.46%
15Δ put66.49%63.52%60.93%
10Δ put68.75%66.77%—
5Δ put—68.58%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-253$430.3866.60%65.12%70.24%-5.12+1.0824
2026-10-0210$431.0366.00%62.33%68.49%-6.16-0.6047
2026-10-0917$432.1361.77%60.68%63.94%-3.26+0.5427
2026-10-1624$432.4859.16%58.81%59.73%-0.93+0.1135
2026-10-2331$433.2259.43%60.95%60.84%+0.11+1.4624
2026-10-3038$434.3759.06%59.23%60.25%-1.02+0.6831
2026-11-2059$435.5558.86%59.19%60.85%-1.66+1.1637
2026-12-1887$437.6067.60%68.41%67.54%+0.87+0.3841
2027-01-15115$439.2164.81%65.74%65.36%+0.38+0.7447
2027-02-19150$440.8161.83%62.96%63.02%-0.06+1.1641
2027-03-19178$441.8466.49%66.52%66.10%+0.42-0.1846

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

11 listed expirations produced a usable reading

58%60%62%64%66%68%70%2026-09-25 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 66.60%2026-10-02 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 66.00%2026-10-09 — 17 days — at-the-money IV 61.77%2026-10-16 — 24 days — at-the-money IV 59.16%2026-10-23 — 31 days — at-the-money IV 59.43%2026-10-30 — 38 days — at-the-money IV 59.06%2026-11-20 — 59 days — at-the-money IV 58.86%2026-12-18 — 87 days — at-the-money IV 67.60%2027-01-15 — 115 days — at-the-money IV 64.81%2027-02-19 — 150 days — at-the-money IV 61.83%2027-03-19 — 178 days — at-the-money IV 66.49%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-253 days$430.3866.60%$431.1624
2026-10-0210 days$431.0366.00%$433.6147
2026-10-0917 days$432.1361.77%$435.9927
2026-10-1624 days$432.4859.16%$437.4935
2026-10-2331 days$433.2259.43%$439.7724
2026-10-3038 days$434.3759.06%$442.3331
2026-11-2059 days$435.5558.86%$447.9137
2026-12-1887 days$437.6067.60%$462.0941
2027-01-15115 days$439.2164.81%$469.2647
2027-02-19150 days$440.8161.83%$476.8441
2027-03-19178 days$441.8466.49%$492.1346

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
59.40%
60 days
59.34%
90 days
67.22%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 225 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.603 Sep22 Nov13 Feb6 May22 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-12-01Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 4 reports

Landed inside the implied band
2 of 4
50% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
18.2%
Mean move that happened
45.7%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-01After the close20.0%-13.5%0.68×
2026-05-28After the close———
2026-03-02After the close———
2025-12-01After the close———
2025-11-03Before the open———
2025-08-26After the close———
2025-06-04After the close17.4%+101.6%5.83×
2025-03-05After the close16.7%+52.5%3.15×
2024-12-09After the close18.8%+15.0%0.80×
2024-08-29After the close———
2024-05-30After the close———
2024-03-07After the close———
2023-12-05After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.