Options Skew Analytics

META options analytics

META · Stock

Data as of 6 November 2026 (end of day)

META options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 41.3%, a move of about ±11.8% over the next month. That is higher than 72% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 5.34 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-20 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 11 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.2% and META moved 6.6% on average, staying inside the priced band 7 times out of 11.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
41.27%

Prices a move of about ±11.8% over 30 days, or ±2.6% on a typical day.

Higher than 72% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+5.34

Puts carry 5.34 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 88% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.53

The wings carry 0.53 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.010

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Higher than 36% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

41.3% — 72th percentile
23.4%57.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
72%
IV rank, 1 year
53%
IV percentile, 2 years
74%
IV rank, 2 years
42%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$610.15
30-day implied forward
$617.07
60-day ATM IV
40.12%
90-day ATM IV
41.67%
180-day ATM IV
42.30%
Expirations used
18
Total open interest
2,412,266
Put / call open interest
0.47

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 548 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%70%26 Aug18 Mar2 Oct22 Apr6 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0641.27%+5.341.010$610.15
2026-11-0544.14%+5.990.961$605.08
2026-11-0437.80%+2.061.036$630.00
2026-11-0339.35%+2.941.016$621.03
2026-11-0240.32%+3.411.009$606.73
2026-10-3038.82%+2.501.023$614.99
2026-10-2937.27%+0.171.039$624.52
2026-10-2838.01%-0.021.021$612.49
2026-10-2738.11%+0.461.010$620.19
2026-10-2638.46%+1.210.993$630.56
2026-10-2337.43%+1.340.995$642.62
2026-10-2238.15%+1.080.973$648.85
2026-10-2145.65%+2.120.857$697.52
2026-10-2045.77%+1.400.850$694.25
2026-10-1944.75%+1.650.861$705.44
2026-10-1644.75%+2.060.859$709.33
2026-10-1543.50%+0.260.879$736.72
2026-10-1443.79%+0.540.882$737.54
2026-10-1343.83%-0.040.896$762.50
2026-10-0943.90%+0.060.852$718.67
2026-10-0844.34%-0.070.852$720.89
2026-10-0744.11%-0.170.851$721.31
2026-10-0643.34%-0.360.868$738.88
2026-10-0543.72%-0.330.874$741.90
2026-10-0242.39%-0.290.894$728.08
2026-10-0145.06%-0.210.879$725.93
2026-09-3046.53%-0.890.872$725.18
2026-09-2945.48%-0.990.895$738.79
2026-09-2843.82%-0.900.920$715.62
2026-09-2541.29%-1.281.017$751.66
2026-09-2444.66%-1.191.003$777.59
2026-09-2344.08%-1.631.020$744.10
2026-09-2242.84%-1.011.033$736.60
2026-09-2145.55%-1.400.994$741.25
2026-09-1837.99%-0.401.098$665.75
2026-09-1737.32%+0.411.109$682.31
2026-09-1638.82%+0.791.089$673.31
2026-09-1538.54%+0.521.091$670.24
2026-09-1438.02%+0.081.106$665.60
2026-09-1136.65%-0.171.140$648.03
2026-09-1038.82%-0.231.113$644.38
2026-09-0939.60%-0.641.096$653.69
2026-09-0838.46%-1.211.106$613.48
2026-09-0435.34%-0.741.162$616.77
2026-09-0334.70%+0.131.165$610.68
2026-09-0235.42%+0.331.157$592.85
2026-09-0135.15%+0.341.163$578.54
2026-08-3134.47%-0.531.175$572.34
2026-08-2834.21%-0.661.189$578.02
2026-08-2734.71%-1.041.180$571.10
2026-08-2636.22%-0.981.147$576.14
2026-08-2535.33%-0.531.180$570.05
2026-08-2435.57%-0.741.182$559.02
2026-08-2134.50%-0.681.203$549.90
2026-08-2035.76%-0.581.179$545.83
2026-08-1935.64%-0.671.172$546.03
2026-08-1835.89%-0.071.158$543.67
2026-08-1733.75%-0.831.190$568.97
2026-08-1432.13%-1.381.213$589.85
2026-08-1333.34%-0.861.193$594.97
2026-08-1233.29%-1.011.196$578.85
2026-08-1134.18%-0.301.155$599.12
2026-08-1034.58%-0.231.150$594.92
2026-08-0734.48%-0.831.153$592.10
2026-08-0637.03%+0.341.105$589.90
2026-08-0538.35%-0.901.070$588.77
2026-08-0438.00%-0.721.081$587.94
2026-08-0339.02%-0.001.044$590.24
2026-07-3138.44%+0.031.041$556.71
2026-07-3037.91%-1.081.035$539.03
2026-07-2951.73%-1.060.866$585.61
2026-07-2850.99%+0.560.861$593.41
2026-07-2750.36%+0.940.869$593.87
2026-07-2450.19%+0.550.871$595.19
2026-07-2353.93%-0.160.848$606.10
2026-07-2253.62%-1.410.848$627.17
2026-07-2153.52%-0.960.847$643.81
2026-07-2054.37%-1.130.845$645.85
2026-07-1755.61%-2.240.843$646.01
2026-07-1656.05%-2.090.836$664.54
2026-07-1556.82%-2.310.844$681.31
2026-07-1454.90%-2.150.849$661.04
2026-07-1355.68%-1.800.849$656.73
2026-07-1057.28%-3.230.836$669.21
2026-07-0954.61%-2.170.826$631.48
2026-07-0849.20%-0.750.851$603.12
2026-07-0748.81%-0.540.852$615.58
2026-07-0647.52%-0.150.858$600.29
2026-07-0246.95%-1.280.861$582.90
2026-07-0146.52%-1.500.868$612.91
2026-06-3043.86%+1.360.897$563.29
2026-06-2943.02%+0.000.925$562.60
2026-06-2637.85%+2.261.046$550.25
2026-06-2537.42%+0.221.068$542.87
2026-06-2435.20%+0.651.119$557.67
2026-06-2333.44%+0.971.161$562.20
2026-06-2234.54%-0.741.125$563.85
2026-06-1833.59%-0.531.158$577.22
2026-06-1734.50%-0.131.140$567.58
2026-06-1633.01%-0.541.154$600.21
2026-06-1532.88%-0.601.166$593.48
2026-06-1233.62%-0.331.167$566.98
2026-06-1134.42%+0.121.147$568.43
2026-06-1034.35%+0.431.141$570.98
2026-06-0934.26%+0.471.141$584.59
2026-06-0834.30%-0.321.144$585.39
2026-06-0535.30%+0.271.112$593.00
2026-06-0433.00%-1.361.153$627.57
2026-06-0334.93%-2.071.127$622.98
2026-06-0234.41%-3.891.142$597.63
2026-06-0136.28%-5.631.126$600.47
2026-05-2931.61%-2.271.176$632.51
2026-05-2830.97%-0.951.187$635.29
2026-05-2734.81%-4.011.129$635.26
2026-05-2630.82%-1.001.194$612.34
2026-05-2229.22%-0.561.223$610.26
2026-05-2129.89%+0.171.201$607.38
2026-05-2031.03%-0.221.169$605.06
2026-05-1931.40%-0.161.159$602.61
2026-05-1831.55%+0.281.141$611.21

The chart covers every session in the archive, 548 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 548 sessions

-10.00.010.020.026 Aug18 Mar2 Oct22 Apr6 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

3d (2026-11-09) · 5d (2026-11-11) · 7d (2026-11-13)

30%40%50%60%70%2026-11-09 (3d) — 5Δ C — IV 35.81%2026-11-09 (3d) — 10Δ C — IV 34.87%2026-11-09 (3d) — 15Δ C — IV 34.58%2026-11-09 (3d) — 20Δ C — IV 34.59%2026-11-09 (3d) — 25Δ C — IV 34.75%2026-11-09 (3d) — 30Δ C — IV 34.93%2026-11-09 (3d) — 35Δ C — IV 35.13%2026-11-09 (3d) — 40Δ C — IV 35.46%2026-11-09 (3d) — 45Δ C — IV 35.81%2026-11-09 (3d) — ATM — IV 36.14%2026-11-09 (3d) — 45Δ P — IV 36.60%2026-11-09 (3d) — 40Δ P — IV 37.13%2026-11-09 (3d) — 35Δ P — IV 37.63%2026-11-09 (3d) — 30Δ P — IV 38.44%2026-11-09 (3d) — 25Δ P — IV 39.17%2026-11-09 (3d) — 20Δ P — IV 40.13%2026-11-09 (3d) — 15Δ P — IV 41.39%2026-11-09 (3d) — 10Δ P — IV 43.15%2026-11-09 (3d) — 5Δ P — IV 46.54%3d2026-11-11 (5d) — 5Δ C — IV 43.02%2026-11-11 (5d) — 10Δ C — IV 41.53%2026-11-11 (5d) — 15Δ C — IV 41.31%2026-11-11 (5d) — 20Δ C — IV 41.29%2026-11-11 (5d) — 25Δ C — IV 41.53%2026-11-11 (5d) — 30Δ C — IV 41.83%2026-11-11 (5d) — 35Δ C — IV 42.06%2026-11-11 (5d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.44%2026-11-11 (5d) — 45Δ C — IV 42.78%2026-11-11 (5d) — ATM — IV 43.19%2026-11-11 (5d) — 45Δ P — IV 43.42%2026-11-11 (5d) — 40Δ P — IV 44.09%2026-11-11 (5d) — 35Δ P — IV 44.60%2026-11-11 (5d) — 30Δ P — IV 45.38%2026-11-11 (5d) — 25Δ P — IV 46.23%2026-11-11 (5d) — 20Δ P — IV 47.44%2026-11-11 (5d) — 15Δ P — IV 48.88%2026-11-11 (5d) — 10Δ P — IV 51.10%2026-11-11 (5d) — 5Δ P — IV 55.07%5d2026-11-13 (7d) — 5Δ C — IV 43.93%2026-11-13 (7d) — 10Δ C — IV 42.68%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ C — IV 42.50%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ C — IV 42.52%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ C — IV 42.82%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ C — IV 43.19%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ C — IV 43.48%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ C — IV 43.93%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ C — IV 44.34%2026-11-13 (7d) — ATM — IV 44.79%2026-11-13 (7d) — 45Δ P — IV 45.28%2026-11-13 (7d) — 40Δ P — IV 45.94%2026-11-13 (7d) — 35Δ P — IV 46.48%2026-11-13 (7d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.32%2026-11-13 (7d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.39%2026-11-13 (7d) — 20Δ P — IV 49.65%2026-11-13 (7d) — 15Δ P — IV 51.37%2026-11-13 (7d) — 10Δ P — IV 53.74%2026-11-13 (7d) — 5Δ P — IV 58.51%7d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta3d5d7d
5Δ call35.81%43.02%43.93%
10Δ call34.87%41.53%42.68%
15Δ call34.58%41.31%42.50%
20Δ call34.59%41.29%42.52%
25Δ call34.75%41.53%42.82%
30Δ call34.93%41.83%43.19%
35Δ call35.13%42.06%43.48%
40Δ call35.46%42.44%43.93%
45Δ call35.81%42.78%44.34%
ATM36.14%43.19%44.79%
45Δ put36.60%43.42%45.28%
40Δ put37.13%44.09%45.94%
35Δ put37.63%44.60%46.48%
30Δ put38.44%45.38%47.32%
25Δ put39.17%46.23%48.39%
20Δ put40.13%47.44%49.65%
15Δ put41.39%48.88%51.37%
10Δ put43.15%51.10%53.74%
5Δ put46.54%55.07%58.51%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-093$615.0536.14%39.17%34.75%+4.42+0.8159
2026-11-115$615.2043.19%46.23%41.53%+4.70+0.6967
2026-11-137$615.4844.79%48.39%42.82%+5.56+0.82103
2026-11-1610$615.5841.28%44.57%39.47%+5.11+0.7480
2026-11-1812$615.8543.79%45.61%41.36%+4.26-0.3058
2026-11-2014$615.9543.94%47.81%41.75%+6.05+0.8483
2026-11-2721$616.4341.49%44.90%39.43%+5.47+0.6773
2026-12-0428$616.8841.38%44.52%39.19%+5.33+0.4778
2026-12-1135$617.5641.05%44.39%39.01%+5.37+0.6583
2026-12-1842$617.6141.23%44.28%39.11%+5.17+0.4693
2026-12-2448$617.7440.23%43.39%39.54%+3.85+1.2347
2027-01-1570$619.5240.06%42.86%38.13%+4.72+0.4367
2027-02-19105$622.3042.46%45.25%40.82%+4.43+0.5886
2027-03-19133$624.0441.96%44.50%40.36%+4.14+0.47119
2027-04-16161$626.2641.52%44.03%39.84%+4.20+0.4293
2027-05-21196$628.7242.84%44.91%41.34%+3.57+0.29101
2027-06-17223$630.1842.47%44.43%40.93%+3.50+0.21115
2027-09-17315$637.0242.41%44.09%41.15%+2.94+0.22133

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

18 listed expirations produced a usable reading

34%36%38%40%42%44%46%2026-11-09 — 3 days — at-the-money IV 36.14%2026-11-11 — 5 days — at-the-money IV 43.19%2026-11-13 — 7 days — at-the-money IV 44.79%2026-11-16 — 10 days — at-the-money IV 41.28%2026-11-18 — 12 days — at-the-money IV 43.79%2026-11-20 — 14 days — at-the-money IV 43.94%2026-11-27 — 21 days — at-the-money IV 41.49%2026-12-04 — 28 days — at-the-money IV 41.38%2026-12-11 — 35 days — at-the-money IV 41.05%2026-12-18 — 42 days — at-the-money IV 41.23%2026-12-24 — 48 days — at-the-money IV 40.23%2027-01-15 — 70 days — at-the-money IV 40.06%2027-02-19 — 105 days — at-the-money IV 42.46%2027-03-19 — 133 days — at-the-money IV 41.96%2027-04-16 — 161 days — at-the-money IV 41.52%2027-05-21 — 196 days — at-the-money IV 42.84%2027-06-17 — 223 days — at-the-money IV 42.47%2027-09-17 — 315 days — at-the-money IV 42.41%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-093 days$615.0536.14%$615.3859
2026-11-115 days$615.2043.19%$615.9967
2026-11-137 days$615.4844.79%$616.66103
2026-11-1610 days$615.5841.28%$617.0180
2026-11-1812 days$615.8543.79%$617.8058
2026-11-2014 days$615.9543.94%$618.2483
2026-11-2721 days$616.4341.49%$619.4973
2026-12-0428 days$616.8841.38%$620.9578
2026-12-1135 days$617.5641.05%$622.5783
2026-12-1842 days$617.6141.23%$623.6893
2026-12-2448 days$617.7440.23%$624.3547
2027-01-1570 days$619.5240.06%$629.1367
2027-02-19105 days$622.3042.46%$638.6586
2027-03-19133 days$624.0441.96%$644.38119
2027-04-16161 days$626.2641.52%$650.5293
2027-05-21196 days$628.7242.84%$660.47101
2027-06-17223 days$630.1842.47%$665.88115
2027-09-17315 days$637.0242.41%$688.42133

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
41.27%
60 days
40.12%
90 days
41.67%
180 days
42.30%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 548 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6026 Aug18 Mar2 Oct22 Apr6 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-20Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 11 reports

Landed inside the implied band
7 of 11
64% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.2%
Mean move that happened
6.6%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-11-04Time not stated3.5%-4.0%1.12×
2026-10-28Time not stated3.5%+2.0%0.56×
2026-10-21After the close8.6%-7.0%0.81×
2026-07-29After the close10.7%-8.0%0.74×
2026-04-29After the close9.4%-8.6%0.91×
2026-01-28After the close8.8%+10.4%1.18×
2025-10-29After the close8.5%-11.3%1.34×
2025-07-30After the close7.5%+11.3%1.50×
2025-04-30After the close9.2%+4.2%0.46×
2025-01-29After the close9.3%+1.6%0.17×
2024-10-30After the close10.9%-4.1%0.37×
2024-07-31After the close———
2024-04-24After the close———
2024-02-01After the close———
2023-10-25After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.