Options Skew Analytics

META options analytics

META · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

META options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 44.7%, a move of about ±12.8% over the next month. That is higher than 86% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.19 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 91% of the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-28 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 8 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.3% and META moved 7.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 5 times out of 8.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
44.66%

Prices a move of about ±12.8% over 30 days, or ±2.8% on a typical day.

Higher than 86% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.19

Calls carry 1.19 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 9% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.51

The wings carry 0.51 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.003

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Higher than 36% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

44.7% — 86th percentile
23.4%57.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
86%
IV rank, 1 year
63%
IV percentile, 2 years
84%
IV rank, 2 years
49%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$777.59
30-day implied forward
$780.71
60-day ATM IV
47.09%
90-day ATM IV
44.78%
180-day ATM IV
44.96%
Expirations used
17
Total open interest
2,655,263
Put / call open interest
0.38

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 518 sessions

20%30%40%50%60%70%26 Aug6 Mar11 Sep20 Mar24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2444.66%-1.191.003$777.59
2026-09-2344.08%-1.631.020$744.10
2026-09-2242.84%-1.011.033$736.60
2026-09-2145.55%-1.400.994$741.25
2026-09-1837.99%-0.401.098$665.75
2026-09-1737.32%+0.411.109$682.31
2026-09-1638.82%+0.791.089$673.31
2026-09-1538.54%+0.521.091$670.24
2026-09-1438.02%+0.081.106$665.60
2026-09-1136.65%-0.171.140$648.03
2026-09-1038.82%-0.231.113$644.38
2026-09-0939.60%-0.641.096$653.69
2026-09-0838.46%-1.211.106$613.48
2026-09-0435.34%-0.741.162$616.77
2026-09-0334.70%+0.131.165$610.68
2026-09-0235.42%+0.331.157$592.85
2026-09-0135.15%+0.341.163$578.54
2026-08-3134.47%-0.531.175$572.34
2026-08-2834.21%-0.661.189$578.02
2026-08-2734.71%-1.041.180$571.10
2026-08-2636.22%-0.981.147$576.14
2026-08-2535.33%-0.531.180$570.05
2026-08-2435.57%-0.741.182$559.02
2026-08-2134.50%-0.681.203$549.90
2026-08-2035.76%-0.581.179$545.83
2026-08-1935.64%-0.671.172$546.03
2026-08-1835.89%-0.071.158$543.67
2026-08-1733.75%-0.831.190$568.97
2026-08-1432.13%-1.381.213$589.85
2026-08-1333.34%-0.861.193$594.97
2026-08-1233.29%-1.011.196$578.85
2026-08-1134.18%-0.301.155$599.12
2026-08-1034.58%-0.231.150$594.92
2026-08-0734.48%-0.831.153$592.10
2026-08-0637.03%+0.341.105$589.90
2026-08-0538.35%-0.901.070$588.77
2026-08-0438.00%-0.721.081$587.94
2026-08-0339.02%-0.001.044$590.24
2026-07-3138.44%+0.031.041$556.71
2026-07-3037.91%-1.081.035$539.03
2026-07-2951.73%-1.060.866$585.61
2026-07-2850.99%+0.560.861$593.41
2026-07-2750.36%+0.940.869$593.87
2026-07-2450.19%+0.550.871$595.19
2026-07-2353.93%-0.160.848$606.10
2026-07-2253.62%-1.410.848$627.17
2026-07-2153.52%-0.960.847$643.81
2026-07-2054.37%-1.130.845$645.85
2026-07-1755.61%-2.240.843$646.01
2026-07-1656.05%-2.090.836$664.54
2026-07-1556.82%-2.310.844$681.31
2026-07-1454.90%-2.150.849$661.04
2026-07-1355.68%-1.800.849$656.73
2026-07-1057.28%-3.230.836$669.21
2026-07-0954.61%-2.170.826$631.48
2026-07-0849.20%-0.750.851$603.12
2026-07-0748.81%-0.540.852$615.58
2026-07-0647.52%-0.150.858$600.29
2026-07-0246.95%-1.280.861$582.90
2026-07-0146.52%-1.500.868$612.91
2026-06-3043.86%+1.360.897$563.29
2026-06-2943.02%+0.000.925$562.60
2026-06-2637.85%+2.261.046$550.25
2026-06-2537.42%+0.221.068$542.87
2026-06-2435.20%+0.651.119$557.67
2026-06-2333.44%+0.971.161$562.20
2026-06-2234.54%-0.741.125$563.85
2026-06-1833.59%-0.531.158$577.22
2026-06-1734.50%-0.131.140$567.58
2026-06-1633.01%-0.541.154$600.21
2026-06-1532.88%-0.601.166$593.48
2026-06-1233.62%-0.331.167$566.98
2026-06-1134.42%+0.121.147$568.43
2026-06-1034.35%+0.431.141$570.98
2026-06-0934.26%+0.471.141$584.59
2026-06-0834.30%-0.321.144$585.39
2026-06-0535.30%+0.271.112$593.00
2026-06-0433.00%-1.361.153$627.57
2026-06-0334.93%-2.071.127$622.98
2026-06-0234.41%-3.891.142$597.63
2026-06-0136.28%-5.631.126$600.47
2026-05-2931.61%-2.271.176$632.51
2026-05-2830.97%-0.951.187$635.29
2026-05-2734.81%-4.011.129$635.26
2026-05-2630.82%-1.001.194$612.34
2026-05-2229.22%-0.561.223$610.26
2026-05-2129.89%+0.171.201$607.38
2026-05-2031.03%-0.221.169$605.06
2026-05-1931.40%-0.161.159$602.61
2026-05-1831.55%+0.281.141$611.21
2026-05-1532.38%+0.311.126$614.23
2026-05-1431.74%-0.111.138$618.43
2026-05-1331.78%+0.641.131$616.63
2026-05-1231.26%+1.021.131$603.00
2026-05-1131.02%-0.281.134$598.86
2026-05-0829.87%+0.281.151$609.63
2026-05-0730.60%+0.861.128$616.81
2026-05-0631.34%+0.721.102$612.88
2026-05-0530.07%+0.641.135$604.96
2026-05-0429.87%+0.941.130$610.41
2026-05-0130.71%-0.171.122$608.75
2026-04-3032.80%-1.261.056$611.91
2026-04-2944.47%-0.060.851$669.12
2026-04-2843.21%+0.590.868$671.34
2026-04-2744.19%+0.720.861$678.62
2026-04-2442.83%+1.750.868$675.03
2026-04-2343.08%+2.730.865$659.15
2026-04-2242.34%+2.680.865$674.72
2026-04-2142.28%+2.720.863$668.84
2026-04-2041.44%+2.630.868$670.91
2026-04-1741.08%+2.340.861$688.55
2026-04-1641.60%+2.620.864$676.87
2026-04-1542.85%+2.460.851$671.58
2026-04-1442.30%+2.630.855$662.49
2026-04-1341.09%+3.480.859$634.53
2026-04-1041.39%+4.420.868$629.86
2026-04-0943.09%+5.290.858$628.39
2026-04-0845.32%+4.660.844$612.42
2026-04-0745.61%+8.190.852$575.05
2026-04-0643.97%+7.450.868$573.02

The chart covers every session in the archive, 518 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 518 sessions

-10.00.010.020.026 Aug6 Mar11 Sep20 Mar24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 4d (2026-09-28) · 6d (2026-09-30)

40%50%60%70%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 64.33%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 63.38%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 62.73%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 62.14%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 61.45%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 61.25%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 61.05%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 60.83%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 60.81%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 60.66%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 60.15%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 60.34%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 60.54%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 60.42%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 60.37%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 60.41%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 60.74%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 61.48%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 63.62%1d2026-09-28 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 45.61%2026-09-28 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 44.79%2026-09-28 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 44.22%2026-09-28 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 43.81%2026-09-28 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 43.33%2026-09-28 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 43.29%2026-09-28 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 43.00%2026-09-28 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 42.74%2026-09-28 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 42.64%2026-09-28 (4d) — ATM — IV 42.63%2026-09-28 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 42.31%2026-09-28 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 42.10%2026-09-28 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 42.06%2026-09-28 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 42.09%2026-09-28 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 42.39%2026-09-28 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 42.43%2026-09-28 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 43.02%2026-09-28 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 43.48%2026-09-28 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 45.11%4d2026-09-30 (6d) — 5Δ C — IV 50.53%2026-09-30 (6d) — 10Δ C — IV 50.03%2026-09-30 (6d) — 15Δ C — IV 49.80%2026-09-30 (6d) — 20Δ C — IV 49.29%2026-09-30 (6d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.64%2026-09-30 (6d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.50%2026-09-30 (6d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.18%2026-09-30 (6d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.02%2026-09-30 (6d) — 45Δ C — IV 47.82%2026-09-30 (6d) — ATM — IV 47.75%2026-09-30 (6d) — 45Δ P — IV 47.82%2026-09-30 (6d) — 40Δ P — IV 47.66%2026-09-30 (6d) — 35Δ P — IV 47.65%2026-09-30 (6d) — 30Δ P — IV 47.61%2026-09-30 (6d) — 25Δ P — IV 47.36%2026-09-30 (6d) — 20Δ P — IV 47.41%2026-09-30 (6d) — 15Δ P — IV 47.82%2026-09-30 (6d) — 10Δ P — IV 48.74%2026-09-30 (6d) — 5Δ P — IV 50.77%6d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d4d6d
5Δ call64.33%45.61%50.53%
10Δ call63.38%44.79%50.03%
15Δ call62.73%44.22%49.80%
20Δ call62.14%43.81%49.29%
25Δ call61.45%43.33%48.64%
30Δ call61.25%43.29%48.50%
35Δ call61.05%43.00%48.18%
40Δ call60.83%42.74%48.02%
45Δ call60.81%42.64%47.82%
ATM60.66%42.63%47.75%
45Δ put60.15%42.31%47.82%
40Δ put60.34%42.10%47.66%
35Δ put60.54%42.06%47.65%
30Δ put60.42%42.09%47.61%
25Δ put60.37%42.39%47.36%
20Δ put60.41%42.43%47.41%
15Δ put60.74%43.02%47.82%
10Δ put61.48%43.48%48.74%
5Δ put63.62%45.11%50.77%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$778.2760.66%60.37%61.45%-1.08+0.2589
2026-09-284$778.3742.63%42.39%43.33%-0.94+0.2359
2026-09-306$778.8047.75%47.36%48.64%-1.27+0.2569
2026-10-028$778.9048.70%48.75%50.16%-1.40+0.7597
2026-10-0511$779.1244.78%44.94%45.80%-0.86+0.5970
2026-10-0713$778.1045.05%45.74%46.90%-1.16+1.2618
2026-10-0915$779.6245.96%45.82%47.13%-1.32+0.52100
2026-10-1622$780.0344.59%44.42%45.58%-1.16+0.41113
2026-10-2329$780.6043.52%43.46%44.60%-1.14+0.5095
2026-10-3036$781.3349.79%49.62%51.01%-1.39+0.53103
2026-11-2057$783.2947.44%47.34%48.38%-1.04+0.42144
2026-12-1885$785.5845.06%44.91%45.92%-1.01+0.35154
2027-01-15113$788.2543.78%43.66%44.42%-0.76+0.26113
2027-02-19148$791.9345.31%45.16%45.80%-0.64+0.1797
2027-03-19176$794.1944.95%44.70%45.55%-0.86+0.17135
2027-06-17266$802.9945.13%44.85%45.75%-0.90+0.1883
2027-09-17358$812.0145.36%44.88%46.11%-1.23+0.13129

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

17 listed expirations produced a usable reading

40%45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 60.66%2026-09-28 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 42.63%2026-09-30 — 6 days — at-the-money IV 47.75%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 48.70%2026-10-05 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 44.78%2026-10-07 — 13 days — at-the-money IV 45.05%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 45.96%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 44.59%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 43.52%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 49.79%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 47.44%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 45.06%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 43.78%2027-02-19 — 148 days — at-the-money IV 45.31%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 44.95%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 45.13%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 45.36%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$778.2760.66%$778.6789
2026-09-284 days$778.3742.63%$779.1559
2026-09-306 days$778.8047.75%$780.2669
2026-10-028 days$778.9048.70%$780.9397
2026-10-0511 days$779.1244.78%$781.4870
2026-10-0713 days$778.1045.05%$780.9118
2026-10-0915 days$779.6245.96%$783.02100
2026-10-1622 days$780.0344.59%$784.71113
2026-10-2329 days$780.6043.52%$786.5095
2026-10-3036 days$781.3349.79%$790.94103
2026-11-2057 days$783.2947.44%$797.18144
2026-12-1885 days$785.5845.06%$804.38154
2027-01-15113 days$788.2543.78%$811.99113
2027-02-19148 days$791.9345.31%$825.5997
2027-03-19176 days$794.1944.95%$833.84135
2027-06-17266 days$802.9945.13%$864.8483
2027-09-17358 days$812.0145.36%$898.23129

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
44.66%
60 days
47.09%
90 days
44.78%
180 days
44.96%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 518 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.6026 Aug6 Mar11 Sep20 Mar24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-28Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 8 reports

Landed inside the implied band
5 of 8
63% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.3%
Mean move that happened
7.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-29After the close10.7%-8.0%0.74×
2026-04-29After the close9.4%-8.6%0.91×
2026-01-28After the close8.8%+10.4%1.18×
2025-10-29After the close8.5%-11.3%1.34×
2025-07-30After the close7.5%+11.3%1.50×
2025-04-30After the close9.2%+4.2%0.46×
2025-01-29After the close9.3%+1.6%0.17×
2024-10-30After the close10.9%-4.1%0.37×
2024-07-31After the close———
2024-04-24After the close———
2024-02-01After the close———
2023-10-25After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.