Options Skew Analytics

NVDA options analytics

NVDA · Stock

Data as of 24 September 2026 (end of day)

NVDA options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 30.7%, a move of about ±8.8% over the next month. That is higher than 1% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 2.18 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 17% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-25 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 9 reports the options market priced an average move of ±9.3% and NVDA moved 4.3% on average, staying inside the priced band 8 times out of 9.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
30.66%

Prices a move of about ±8.8% over 30 days, or ±1.9% on a typical day.

Lower than almost every reading of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+2.18

Puts carry 2.18 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 22% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.45

The wings carry 0.45 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.172

90-day volatility is 17% above 30-day.

Higher than 95% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

30.7% — 1th percentile
30.4%56.3%
IV percentile, 1 year
1%
IV rank, 1 year
1%
IV percentile, 2 years
0%
IV rank, 2 years
1%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$224.58
30-day implied forward
$224.37
60-day ATM IV
36.28%
90-day ATM IV
35.95%
180-day ATM IV
37.51%
Expirations used
19
Total open interest
10,796,680
Put / call open interest
0.78

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 520 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%22 Aug5 Mar10 Sep19 Mar24 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2430.66%+2.181.172$224.58
2026-09-2331.04%+2.691.162$225.51
2026-09-2231.18%+2.221.154$228.87
2026-09-2131.30%+2.401.143$227.38
2026-09-1830.42%+2.611.167$222.27
2026-09-1730.65%+2.681.164$219.34
2026-09-1633.19%+3.111.121$213.90
2026-09-1533.39%+2.521.115$212.17
2026-09-1433.32%+2.741.126$210.96
2026-09-1131.44%+2.281.170$218.29
2026-09-1033.44%+2.391.140$218.36
2026-09-0934.09%+1.541.131$223.67
2026-09-0834.17%+1.681.129$225.73
2026-09-0433.36%+2.141.143$230.36
2026-09-0333.07%+2.351.134$228.45
2026-09-0232.57%+2.821.123$224.41
2026-09-0131.97%+2.661.150$217.44
2026-08-3130.75%+1.631.180$220.78
2026-08-2832.46%+1.161.151$217.55
2026-08-2733.19%+1.561.141$227.98
2026-08-2641.63%+0.670.957$209.66
2026-08-2540.87%+0.630.969$213.05
2026-08-2441.35%+1.320.965$208.48
2026-08-2139.99%+1.660.997$214.72
2026-08-2040.36%+2.010.994$216.85
2026-08-1939.62%+1.730.999$217.56
2026-08-1839.24%+2.201.001$219.74
2026-08-1738.64%+1.431.015$225.01
2026-08-1437.93%+1.341.028$225.16
2026-08-1338.81%+1.861.020$225.30
2026-08-1239.37%+1.431.007$224.09
2026-08-1138.92%+2.291.012$217.50
2026-08-1040.66%+2.060.998$217.55
2026-08-0739.85%+2.261.004$223.96
2026-08-0642.27%+2.270.982$218.99
2026-08-0542.95%+1.620.973$219.22
2026-08-0444.08%+1.670.960$211.94
2026-08-0344.33%+2.020.952$206.64
2026-07-3144.31%+3.910.952$200.75
2026-07-3044.82%+3.880.937$195.04
2026-07-2946.64%+7.120.932$190.01
2026-07-2845.50%+4.090.935$197.01
2026-07-2745.26%+5.590.948$196.51
2026-07-2441.13%+6.081.033$206.84
2026-07-2340.12%+5.261.068$208.76
2026-07-2238.34%+3.761.102$212.06
2026-07-2138.15%+4.721.091$207.29
2026-07-2039.23%+5.201.075$203.28
2026-07-1741.38%+4.651.050$202.81
2026-07-1639.99%+3.291.064$207.40
2026-07-1539.57%+2.471.068$212.50
2026-07-1439.91%+3.121.066$211.80
2026-07-1339.80%+2.331.071$203.53
2026-07-1038.48%+2.421.093$210.96
2026-07-0939.69%+2.231.067$202.78
2026-07-0841.52%+2.751.041$204.12
2026-07-0741.01%+2.771.034$196.93
2026-07-0639.05%+2.721.059$195.55
2026-07-0238.91%+3.691.074$194.83
2026-07-0137.69%+2.391.090$197.58
2026-06-3037.31%+2.401.099$200.09
2026-06-2937.37%+2.021.100$194.97
2026-06-2637.35%+2.851.106$192.53
2026-06-2537.61%+2.581.115$195.74
2026-06-2437.30%+1.801.110$199.00
2026-06-2337.26%+2.491.100$200.04
2026-06-2235.04%+1.781.156$208.65
2026-06-1835.44%+1.821.166$210.69
2026-06-1736.42%+1.701.138$204.65
2026-06-1635.67%+1.331.144$207.41
2026-06-1536.57%+0.601.128$212.45
2026-06-1236.96%+1.961.132$205.19
2026-06-1140.03%+1.851.075$204.87
2026-06-1041.51%+3.591.065$200.42
2026-06-0939.82%+2.561.077$208.19
2026-06-0839.32%+1.231.095$208.64
2026-06-0540.78%+1.791.072$205.10
2026-06-0438.64%-0.601.095$218.66
2026-06-0340.08%-0.441.070$214.75
2026-06-0241.16%-1.131.056$222.82
2026-06-0141.74%-1.811.029$224.36
2026-05-2940.13%-0.591.061$211.14
2026-05-2837.86%-0.771.075$214.25
2026-05-2737.64%-0.281.070$212.60
2026-05-2638.17%+0.581.063$214.86
2026-05-2237.04%+0.671.072$215.33
2026-05-2138.56%+0.151.039$219.51
2026-05-2044.86%-0.520.951$223.47
2026-05-1945.20%-0.600.945$220.61
2026-05-1846.20%-1.220.949$222.32
2026-05-1548.36%-0.300.931$225.32
2026-05-1448.61%-1.470.927$235.74
2026-05-1348.42%-0.140.913$225.83
2026-05-1245.97%+0.610.931$220.78
2026-05-1146.00%+0.120.923$219.44
2026-05-0844.67%+0.550.937$215.20
2026-05-0745.30%+1.280.922$211.50
2026-05-0645.80%+1.620.915$207.83
2026-05-0543.62%+2.840.919$196.50
2026-05-0443.11%+3.530.915$198.48
2026-05-0143.24%+3.320.925$198.45
2026-04-3044.65%+2.520.915$199.57
2026-04-2944.02%+3.260.927$209.25
2026-04-2843.53%+2.460.926$213.17
2026-04-2745.25%+2.240.907$216.61
2026-04-2442.79%+3.840.914$208.27
2026-04-2341.17%+5.400.925$199.64
2026-04-2240.97%+4.880.927$202.50
2026-04-2140.18%+5.430.943$199.88
2026-04-2038.95%+4.710.970$202.06
2026-04-1734.88%+3.621.069$201.68
2026-04-1634.82%+3.971.094$198.35
2026-04-1534.67%+4.171.102$198.87
2026-04-1433.73%+3.481.120$196.51
2026-04-1333.25%+5.341.142$189.31
2026-04-1032.62%+4.491.158$188.63
2026-04-0932.24%+6.351.150$183.91
2026-04-0832.81%+7.641.140$182.08
2026-04-0735.41%+8.041.108$178.10
2026-04-0634.46%+7.721.134$177.64

The chart covers every session in the archive, 520 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 520 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.022 Aug5 Mar10 Sep19 Mar24 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

1d (2026-09-25) · 4d (2026-09-28) · 6d (2026-09-30)

20%25%30%35%40%45%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ C — IV 36.68%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ C — IV 34.50%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ C — IV 33.69%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ C — IV 33.44%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ C — IV 33.29%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ C — IV 33.20%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ C — IV 33.15%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ C — IV 33.16%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ C — IV 33.22%2026-09-25 (1d) — ATM — IV 33.32%2026-09-25 (1d) — 45Δ P — IV 33.45%2026-09-25 (1d) — 40Δ P — IV 33.60%2026-09-25 (1d) — 35Δ P — IV 33.79%2026-09-25 (1d) — 30Δ P — IV 34.09%2026-09-25 (1d) — 25Δ P — IV 34.53%2026-09-25 (1d) — 20Δ P — IV 35.15%2026-09-25 (1d) — 15Δ P — IV 36.10%2026-09-25 (1d) — 10Δ P — IV 38.05%2026-09-25 (1d) — 5Δ P — IV 42.26%1d2026-09-28 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 27.06%2026-09-28 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 25.76%2026-09-28 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 25.21%2026-09-28 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 25.00%2026-09-28 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 24.89%2026-09-28 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 24.83%2026-09-28 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 24.79%2026-09-28 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 24.77%2026-09-28 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 24.78%2026-09-28 (4d) — ATM — IV 24.83%2026-09-28 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 24.92%2026-09-28 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 25.03%2026-09-28 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 25.21%2026-09-28 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 25.49%2026-09-28 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 25.84%2026-09-28 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 26.33%2026-09-28 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 27.11%2026-09-28 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 28.92%2026-09-28 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 32.95%4d2026-09-30 (6d) — 5Δ C — IV 30.09%2026-09-30 (6d) — 10Δ C — IV 28.70%2026-09-30 (6d) — 15Δ C — IV 28.29%2026-09-30 (6d) — 20Δ C — IV 28.08%2026-09-30 (6d) — 25Δ C — IV 28.02%2026-09-30 (6d) — 30Δ C — IV 28.00%2026-09-30 (6d) — 35Δ C — IV 28.00%2026-09-30 (6d) — 40Δ C — IV 28.05%2026-09-30 (6d) — 45Δ C — IV 28.10%2026-09-30 (6d) — ATM — IV 28.15%2026-09-30 (6d) — 45Δ P — IV 28.21%2026-09-30 (6d) — 40Δ P — IV 28.32%2026-09-30 (6d) — 35Δ P — IV 28.54%2026-09-30 (6d) — 30Δ P — IV 28.83%2026-09-30 (6d) — 25Δ P — IV 29.23%2026-09-30 (6d) — 20Δ P — IV 29.79%2026-09-30 (6d) — 15Δ P — IV 30.68%2026-09-30 (6d) — 10Δ P — IV 32.12%2026-09-30 (6d) — 5Δ P — IV 36.19%6d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta1d4d6d
5Δ call36.68%27.06%30.09%
10Δ call34.50%25.76%28.70%
15Δ call33.69%25.21%28.29%
20Δ call33.44%25.00%28.08%
25Δ call33.29%24.89%28.02%
30Δ call33.20%24.83%28.00%
35Δ call33.15%24.79%28.00%
40Δ call33.16%24.77%28.05%
45Δ call33.22%24.78%28.10%
ATM33.32%24.83%28.15%
45Δ put33.45%24.92%28.21%
40Δ put33.60%25.03%28.32%
35Δ put33.79%25.21%28.54%
30Δ put34.09%25.49%28.83%
25Δ put34.53%25.84%29.23%
20Δ put35.15%26.33%29.79%
15Δ put36.10%27.11%30.68%
10Δ put38.05%28.92%32.12%
5Δ put42.26%32.95%36.19%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-251$223.6933.32%34.53%33.29%+1.24+0.5919
2026-09-284$223.7324.83%25.84%24.89%+0.95+0.5426
2026-09-306$223.7428.15%29.23%28.02%+1.21+0.4737
2026-10-028$223.8529.57%30.90%29.29%+1.61+0.5246
2026-10-0511$223.6727.76%28.50%27.70%+0.80+0.3436
2026-10-0713$223.9228.59%29.94%28.53%+1.42+0.659
2026-10-0915$224.0529.64%31.05%29.16%+1.88+0.4649
2026-10-1622$224.2030.29%31.84%29.72%+2.12+0.4855
2026-10-2329$224.3530.55%32.11%29.92%+2.19+0.4648
2026-10-3036$224.5231.21%32.65%30.57%+2.08+0.4043
2026-11-0643$224.8531.65%33.43%31.01%+2.41+0.5727
2026-11-2057$225.1536.33%38.15%35.47%+2.68+0.4765
2026-12-1885$225.6735.94%37.95%35.08%+2.87+0.57128
2027-01-15113$226.4935.96%37.62%35.18%+2.45+0.4459
2027-02-19148$227.4936.01%37.79%35.26%+2.53+0.5159
2027-03-19176$228.1137.54%39.24%36.82%+2.42+0.4970
2027-04-16204$229.2137.34%39.16%36.64%+2.53+0.5668
2027-06-17266$230.6238.27%39.65%37.55%+2.10+0.3461
2027-09-17358$233.2538.64%39.75%38.17%+1.58+0.3161

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

19 listed expirations produced a usable reading

20%25%30%35%40%2026-09-25 — 1 days — at-the-money IV 33.32%2026-09-28 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 24.83%2026-09-30 — 6 days — at-the-money IV 28.15%2026-10-02 — 8 days — at-the-money IV 29.57%2026-10-05 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 27.76%2026-10-07 — 13 days — at-the-money IV 28.59%2026-10-09 — 15 days — at-the-money IV 29.64%2026-10-16 — 22 days — at-the-money IV 30.29%2026-10-23 — 29 days — at-the-money IV 30.55%2026-10-30 — 36 days — at-the-money IV 31.21%2026-11-06 — 43 days — at-the-money IV 31.65%2026-11-20 — 57 days — at-the-money IV 36.33%2026-12-18 — 85 days — at-the-money IV 35.94%2027-01-15 — 113 days — at-the-money IV 35.96%2027-02-19 — 148 days — at-the-money IV 36.01%2027-03-19 — 176 days — at-the-money IV 37.54%2027-04-16 — 204 days — at-the-money IV 37.34%2027-06-17 — 266 days — at-the-money IV 38.27%2027-09-17 — 358 days — at-the-money IV 38.64%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-251 day$223.6933.32%$223.7219
2026-09-284 days$223.7324.83%$223.8126
2026-09-306 days$223.7428.15%$223.8837
2026-10-028 days$223.8529.57%$224.0646
2026-10-0511 days$223.6727.76%$223.9336
2026-10-0713 days$223.9228.59%$224.259
2026-10-0915 days$224.0529.64%$224.4549
2026-10-1622 days$224.2030.29%$224.8255
2026-10-2329 days$224.3530.55%$225.1848
2026-10-3036 days$224.5231.21%$225.6043
2026-11-0643 days$224.8531.65%$226.1827
2026-11-2057 days$225.1536.33%$227.4865
2026-12-1885 days$225.6735.94%$229.09128
2027-01-15113 days$226.4935.96%$231.0759
2027-02-19148 days$227.4936.01%$233.5559
2027-03-19176 days$228.1137.54%$236.0070
2027-04-16204 days$229.2137.34%$238.3268
2027-06-17266 days$230.6238.27%$243.2661
2027-09-17358 days$233.2538.64%$250.9761

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
30.66%
60 days
36.28%
90 days
35.95%
180 days
37.51%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 520 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.4022 Aug5 Mar10 Sep19 Mar24 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-25Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 9 reports

Landed inside the implied band
8 of 9
89% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
9.3%
Mean move that happened
4.3%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-26After the close7.4%+8.7%1.18×
2026-05-20After the close7.4%-1.8%0.24×
2026-02-25After the close7.6%-5.5%0.71×
2025-11-19After the close9.0%-3.2%0.35×
2025-08-27After the close8.2%-0.8%0.10×
2025-05-28After the close8.5%+3.2%0.38×
2025-02-26After the close11.3%-8.5%0.75×
2024-11-20After the close10.7%+0.5%0.05×
2024-08-28After the close13.6%-6.4%0.47×
2024-05-22After the close———
2024-02-21After the close———
2023-11-21After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.