Options Skew Analytics

PANW options analytics

PANW · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

PANW options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 69.4%, a move of about ±19.9% over the next month. That is higher than 98% of the 252 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 3.33 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 14% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-18, after the close.

Across its last 5 reports the options market priced an average move of ±10.5% and PANW moved 54.7% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 5.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
69.43%

Prices a move of about ±19.9% over 30 days, or ±4.4% on a typical day.

Higher than 98% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+3.33

Puts carry 3.33 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 72% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
-0.21

The wings carry 0.21 volatility points less than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.857

90-day volatility is 14% below 30-day.

Higher than 19% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 252 prior sessions (one-year window)

69.4% — 98th percentile
23.7%76.8%
IV percentile, 1 year
98%
IV rank, 1 year
86%
IV percentile, 2 years
99%
IV rank, 2 years
86%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$330.89
30-day implied forward
$331.36
60-day ATM IV
61.06%
90-day ATM IV
59.52%
180-day ATM IV
57.48%
Expirations used
13
Total open interest
350,351
Put / call open interest
0.80

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 321 sessions

0%20%40%60%80%100%3 Sep30 Dec28 Apr21 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0969.43%+3.330.857$330.89
2026-11-0670.65%+3.670.873$313.84
2026-11-0576.81%+2.040.826$314.67
2026-11-0468.15%+3.110.885$348.04
2026-11-0368.63%+4.850.891$350.20
2026-11-0269.44%+0.890.892$351.72
2026-10-3067.02%+4.970.932$365.87
2026-10-2962.32%-0.100.937$380.57
2026-10-2860.09%+2.470.957$394.49
2026-10-2761.93%+0.790.936$401.70
2026-10-2661.78%+2.540.942$390.46
2026-10-2363.64%+3.360.924$380.55
2026-10-2261.66%+3.770.930$354.92
2026-10-2160.91%+1.310.922$347.25
2026-10-2056.93%+4.800.957$340.28
2026-10-1955.11%+4.140.978$346.95
2026-10-1656.07%+5.430.990$342.00
2026-10-1550.71%+0.311.051$370.27
2026-10-1452.78%+0.441.022$375.04
2026-10-1350.52%+0.241.068$397.03
2026-10-0948.39%+1.401.098$418.78
2026-10-0849.22%-0.741.097$398.50
2026-10-0749.58%-1.711.085$405.57
2026-10-0648.36%+0.351.135$419.91
2026-10-0548.38%-0.121.112$406.76
2026-10-0249.67%+0.871.123$403.24
2026-10-0151.98%-1.131.090$396.25
2026-09-3052.00%-0.351.086$397.31
2026-09-2951.76%-1.261.097$388.41
2026-09-2852.90%+0.621.073$392.09
2026-09-2550.56%-1.091.103$374.74
2026-09-2451.60%-2.831.091$389.92
2026-09-2353.26%+1.251.094$393.30
2026-09-2251.61%-2.571.087$374.57
2026-09-2151.70%-1.161.079$371.76
2026-09-1848.78%-1.681.127$363.58
2026-09-1750.70%-0.471.081$375.06
2026-09-1652.06%-0.271.074$375.65
2026-09-1552.50%-0.911.061$375.09
2026-09-1452.70%-1.301.090$373.94
2026-09-1146.44%+0.271.130$330.65
2026-09-1048.41%+0.721.099$338.49
2026-09-0946.74%+1.081.124$335.10
2026-09-0849.50%+2.061.104$336.98
2026-09-0445.55%+0.631.114$333.26
2026-09-0344.47%+0.221.140$331.94
2026-09-0245.55%-1.441.093$328.48
2026-09-0160.75%-0.470.952$362.09
2026-08-3161.47%+0.290.944$382.13
2026-08-2860.06%-2.560.965$371.59
2026-08-2762.23%+0.210.946$382.85
2026-08-2662.76%+1.770.917$339.31
2026-08-2561.38%-1.570.921$339.90
2026-08-2462.66%+1.280.923$350.90
2025-09-2929.04%+0.631.195$203.96
2025-09-2629.28%+1.771.195$202.37
2025-09-2529.60%+3.561.204$202.21
2025-09-2429.95%+1.081.168$200.70
2025-09-2329.75%+1.761.174$203.25
2025-09-2228.86%+2.421.207$208.18
2025-09-1927.84%+0.041.214$208.19
2025-09-1828.53%+1.131.174$205.68
2025-09-1728.58%+2.231.168$203.12
2025-09-1628.93%+2.541.159$201.34
2025-09-1529.35%+2.031.137$201.28
2025-09-1227.55%+2.531.181$196.29
2025-09-1127.44%+1.971.189$198.33
2025-09-1027.71%+1.761.185$197.33
2025-09-0926.83%+2.261.206$197.55
2025-09-0827.12%+1.981.195$197.38
2025-09-0528.24%+0.511.129$194.46
2025-09-0427.10%+1.731.203$192.35
2025-09-0327.29%+4.021.215$191.53
2025-09-0228.54%+1.751.155$190.52
2025-08-2927.03%+2.191.188$190.52
2025-08-2826.75%+2.121.217$191.02
2025-08-2728.22%+1.141.162$187.61
2025-08-2628.08%+2.241.175$184.23
2025-08-2526.49%+2.201.232$184.55
2025-08-2227.43%+1.261.179$185.88
2025-08-2129.78%+1.571.108$183.32
2025-08-2029.99%+1.091.057$184.43
2025-08-1930.46%+1.581.094$181.56
2025-08-1845.17%+1.230.848$176.17
2025-08-1543.82%+1.140.867$177.09
2025-08-1443.66%+0.560.877$173.55
2025-08-1342.82%+1.860.872$176.86
2025-08-1241.89%+1.860.895$175.40
2025-08-1142.84%+1.670.884$168.17
2025-08-0842.67%+2.030.875$167.06
2025-08-0744.89%-0.610.845$168.10
2025-08-0642.33%+3.230.849$172.89
2025-08-0541.35%+0.480.877$169.09
2025-08-0443.20%+0.300.837$171.00
2025-08-0143.90%+1.250.836$172.88
2025-07-3143.33%-0.590.835$173.60
2025-07-3042.82%+2.530.809$183.03
2025-07-2946.67%+3.920.783$193.84
2025-07-2843.48%+1.570.769$204.50
2025-07-2540.41%+4.680.824$203.27
2025-07-2438.22%+1.860.865$201.16
2025-07-2337.01%+0.320.907$199.22
2025-07-2239.88%+4.540.848$196.73
2025-07-2132.71%+3.481.061$199.88
2025-07-1833.29%+4.081.003$195.78
2025-07-1731.03%+2.621.071$196.28
2025-07-1631.10%+2.221.095$192.59
2025-07-1530.65%+2.761.117$192.25
2025-07-1430.66%+3.001.119$190.72
2025-07-1130.87%+2.191.126$187.39
2025-07-1030.39%-0.411.166$192.07
2025-07-0927.42%+2.851.228$206.06
2025-07-0825.50%+4.621.334$203.99
2025-07-0727.59%+3.181.226$201.42
2025-07-0325.84%+2.621.308$201.82
2025-07-0227.73%+3.511.240$196.97
2025-07-0127.33%+1.761.257$197.58
2025-06-3025.83%+1.441.302$204.64
2025-06-2726.24%+2.701.282$200.57
2025-06-2625.36%+1.551.364$202.34

The chart covers every session in the archive, 321 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 321 sessions

-5.00.05.010.015.020.03 Sep30 Dec28 Apr21 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

60%70%80%90%100%110%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 71.05%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 71.21%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 71.38%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 71.79%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 72.10%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 72.18%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 72.82%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 72.68%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 73.15%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 73.49%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 74.39%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 74.64%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 75.31%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 76.12%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 77.27%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 78.69%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 80.46%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ P — IV 84.49%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ C — IV 84.43%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 84.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 83.77%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 83.92%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 84.28%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 84.51%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 84.98%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 85.58%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 86.12%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 86.94%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 87.64%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 88.22%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 88.86%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 89.75%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 90.42%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 91.57%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 93.02%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 95.14%2026-11-20 (11d) — 5Δ P — IV 99.25%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 72.87%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 70.47%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 70.56%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 71.19%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 73.28%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 74.22%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 74.87%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 72.85%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 72.79%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 76.67%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 77.21%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 80.55%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 81.34%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 78.65%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 79.15%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 80.71%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 87.10%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call—84.43%—
10Δ call71.05%84.02%72.87%
15Δ call71.21%83.77%70.47%
20Δ call71.38%83.92%70.56%
25Δ call71.79%84.28%71.19%
30Δ call72.10%84.51%73.28%
35Δ call72.18%84.98%74.22%
40Δ call72.82%85.58%74.87%
45Δ call72.68%86.12%72.85%
ATM73.15%86.94%72.79%
45Δ put73.49%87.64%76.67%
40Δ put74.39%88.22%77.21%
35Δ put74.64%88.86%80.55%
30Δ put75.31%89.75%81.34%
25Δ put76.12%90.42%78.65%
20Δ put77.27%91.57%79.15%
15Δ put78.69%93.02%80.71%
10Δ put80.46%95.14%87.10%
5Δ put84.49%99.25%—

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$332.3073.15%76.12%71.79%+4.33+0.8136
2026-11-2011$332.4786.94%90.42%84.28%+6.14+0.4152
2026-11-2718$332.1072.79%78.65%71.19%+7.46+2.1341
2026-12-0425$331.1372.59%73.22%70.22%+2.99-0.8738
2026-12-1132$331.4668.42%70.15%66.70%+3.44+0.0137
2026-12-1839$333.1965.24%69.34%63.68%+5.66+1.2738
2026-12-2445$332.9663.63%67.13%61.11%+6.01+0.4931
2027-01-1567$333.8760.23%62.58%58.37%+4.20+0.2549
2027-03-19130$335.6958.88%62.64%57.42%+5.22+1.1549
2027-04-16158$337.1557.71%62.26%55.07%+7.19+0.9549
2027-05-21193$338.5457.37%59.93%54.78%+5.16-0.0247
2027-06-17220$338.9558.72%60.43%56.26%+4.17-0.3765
2027-09-17312$342.1357.50%59.70%55.60%+4.10+0.1470

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

13 listed expirations produced a usable reading

50%60%70%80%90%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 73.15%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 86.94%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 72.79%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 72.59%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 68.42%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 65.24%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 63.63%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 60.23%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 58.88%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 57.71%2027-05-21 — 193 days — at-the-money IV 57.37%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 58.72%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 57.50%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$332.3073.15%$333.2836
2026-11-2011 days$332.4786.94%$336.2852
2026-11-2718 days$332.1072.79%$336.4741
2026-12-0425 days$331.1372.59%$337.1638
2026-12-1132 days$331.4668.42%$338.3337
2026-12-1839 days$333.1965.24%$340.8538
2026-12-2445 days$332.9663.63%$341.3831
2027-01-1567 days$333.8760.23%$345.1749
2027-03-19130 days$335.6958.88%$357.0749
2027-04-16158 days$337.1557.71%$362.3549
2027-05-21193 days$338.5457.37%$369.3247
2027-06-17220 days$338.9558.72%$376.0665
2027-09-17312 days$342.1357.50%$394.0670

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
69.43%
60 days
61.06%
90 days
59.52%
180 days
57.48%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 321 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.603 Sep30 Dec28 Apr21 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-18After the closeAnnounced

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 5 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 5
20% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
10.5%
Mean move that happened
54.7%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-09-01After the close12.1%-9.3%0.77×
2026-06-02After the close———
2026-02-17After the close———
2025-11-19After the close———
2025-08-18After the close10.2%+99.2%9.70×
2025-05-20After the close9.2%+80.4%8.70×
2025-02-13After the close10.4%+73.8%7.11×
2024-11-20After the close10.4%-10.7%1.02×
2024-08-19After the close———
2024-05-20After the close———
2024-02-20After the close———
2023-11-15After the close———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.