Options Skew Analytics

PLTR options analytics

PLTR · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

PLTR options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 48.1%, a move of about ±13.8% over the next month. That is higher than 17% of the 223 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 0.10 volatility points more than the calls, around the middle of its own range for the past year.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 15% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-11-02 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±17.3% and PLTR moved 154.3% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
48.05%

Prices a move of about ±13.8% over 30 days, or ±3.0% on a typical day.

Higher than 17% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+0.10

Puts carry 0.10 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 24% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.57

The wings carry 0.57 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.153

90-day volatility is 15% above 30-day.

Higher than 62% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 223 prior sessions (one-year window)

48.1% — 17th percentile
39.2%106.8%
IV percentile, 1 year
17%
IV rank, 1 year
13%
IV percentile, 2 years
17%
IV rank, 2 years
13%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$191.79
30-day implied forward
$192.20
60-day ATM IV
57.80%
90-day ATM IV
55.41%
180-day ATM IV
56.52%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
2,507,236
Put / call open interest
0.94

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 224 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%120%4 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2348.05%+0.101.153$191.79
2026-09-2246.22%+1.321.177$184.99
2026-09-2147.19%+1.411.159$183.09
2026-09-1846.59%+1.871.180$177.64
2026-09-1746.81%+1.511.182$176.24
2026-09-1648.88%+2.061.152$174.34
2026-09-1549.62%+1.121.137$172.56
2026-09-1448.22%+1.551.159$173.31
2026-09-1145.41%+1.391.200$167.23
2026-09-1047.54%+1.361.173$165.86
2026-09-0947.23%+0.551.181$169.53
2026-09-0847.82%+0.801.170$170.30
2026-09-0445.44%+1.581.203$174.33
2026-09-0347.24%+1.961.176$182.53
2026-09-0246.31%+2.921.171$169.46
2026-09-0145.50%+2.811.187$179.92
2026-08-3145.52%+2.491.193$186.38
2026-08-2844.40%+1.651.228$186.29
2026-08-2746.79%+1.441.196$185.93
2026-08-2647.46%+1.661.173$177.50
2026-08-2546.48%+2.051.185$172.73
2025-06-3054.24%+1.231.169$136.32
2025-06-2753.73%+5.971.177$130.74
2025-06-2648.32%+2.841.269$144.25
2025-06-2548.50%+2.331.269$142.90
2025-06-2448.04%+1.601.281$143.23
2025-06-2350.16%+3.691.254$139.92
2025-06-2051.47%+2.361.229$137.30
2025-06-1851.59%+3.111.241$139.96
2025-06-1755.04%+3.781.204$138.20
2025-06-1654.02%+2.681.232$141.41
2025-06-1355.55%+2.261.208$137.40
2025-06-1252.76%+1.851.250$135.19
2025-06-1156.24%+1.191.192$136.39
2025-06-1054.50%+1.361.219$132.81
2025-06-0954.62%+1.161.213$132.06
2025-06-0654.80%+2.321.213$127.72
2025-06-0563.82%+5.291.101$119.91
2025-06-0455.53%+1.741.215$130.01
2025-06-0356.56%+0.741.204$133.17
2025-06-0257.27%+2.731.196$132.04
2025-05-3060.20%+0.781.137$131.78
2025-05-2956.35%+2.931.178$122.32
2025-05-2857.87%+1.631.167$123.76
2025-05-2758.46%+3.851.164$123.39
2025-05-2357.66%+2.571.183$123.31
2025-05-2260.02%+1.931.131$122.29
2025-05-2158.96%+2.401.147$120.58
2025-05-2057.01%+0.941.169$125.59
2025-05-1956.69%+0.911.165$126.33
2025-05-1656.79%+0.121.155$129.52
2025-05-1558.72%+0.781.131$128.12
2025-05-1460.25%-1.261.115$130.18
2025-05-1357.10%-1.491.163$128.10
2025-05-1255.33%+3.071.148$118.46
2025-05-0958.11%+2.641.126$117.30
2025-05-0859.44%+2.681.119$119.15
2025-05-0762.71%+1.141.040$110.48
2025-05-0664.06%+3.711.044$108.86
2025-05-0588.44%+7.380.862$123.77
2025-05-0284.64%+2.780.875$124.28
2025-05-0184.06%+5.200.882$116.20
2025-04-3084.90%+8.730.893$118.44
2025-04-2985.86%+7.880.877$116.08
2025-04-2890.38%+4.810.835$114.65
2025-04-2589.36%+7.320.822$112.78
2025-04-2487.34%+9.920.847$107.78
2025-04-2386.01%+7.710.825$100.82
2025-04-2292.94%+6.770.795$93.99
2025-04-2193.12%+12.270.819$90.80
2025-04-1786.80%+10.060.840$93.78
2025-04-1692.25%+14.980.810$92.71
2025-04-1589.23%+12.260.829$98.40
2025-04-1490.51%+18.100.818$92.62
2025-04-1189.30%+23.550.841$88.55
2025-04-1092.45%+12.600.838$88.59
2025-04-0986.97%+5.160.887$92.01
2025-04-08106.78%+20.370.790$77.32
2025-04-07101.70%+19.420.805$77.84
2025-04-0494.62%+24.080.859$74.01
2025-04-0381.10%+6.590.932$83.60
2025-04-0272.17%+6.490.981$87.45
2025-04-0172.63%+5.060.998$84.68
2025-03-3168.85%+9.541.051$84.40
2025-03-2867.34%+6.861.073$85.85
2025-03-2763.62%+5.211.108$90.09
2025-03-2662.50%+6.371.116$92.28
2025-03-2560.27%+4.511.140$96.50
2025-03-2462.74%+4.511.114$96.75
2025-03-2161.30%+10.101.150$90.96
2025-03-2065.34%+7.631.066$87.39
2025-03-1967.04%+8.481.048$86.10
2025-03-1870.02%+7.701.034$83.89
2025-03-1768.49%+8.111.048$87.35
2025-03-1470.75%+8.401.028$86.24
2025-03-1380.82%+10.860.939$79.62
2025-03-1276.51%+7.910.985$83.65
2025-03-1184.78%+9.040.933$78.05
2025-03-1084.55%+11.880.932$76.38
2025-03-0774.06%+6.161.016$84.91
2025-03-0679.40%+9.590.978$80.46
2025-03-0573.52%+10.701.012$90.13
2025-03-0472.82%+2.371.028$84.40
2025-03-0371.49%+4.851.033$83.42
2025-02-2865.11%+10.781.108$84.92
2025-02-2768.06%+10.241.083$84.77
2025-02-2670.49%+3.171.020$89.31
2025-02-2571.44%+1.940.996$87.84
2025-02-2470.86%+4.781.022$90.68
2025-02-2166.08%+4.551.071$101.35
2025-02-2066.09%+2.031.085$106.27
2025-02-1965.22%+7.311.107$112.06
2025-02-1861.67%+0.82—$124.62
2025-02-1457.45%+1.301.204$119.16
2025-02-1357.20%+2.361.211$117.91
2025-02-1261.78%+0.441.148$117.39
2025-02-1161.44%+0.071.156$112.62
2025-02-1064.37%-0.291.099$116.65
2025-02-0764.04%-1.251.094$110.85
2025-02-0662.45%-0.631.092$111.28

The chart covers every session in the archive, 224 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 224 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.04 Sep25 Nov19 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

45%50%55%60%65%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ C — IV 60.75%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 57.42%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 55.80%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 55.11%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 54.56%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 54.01%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 53.68%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 53.45%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 53.34%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 53.42%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 53.63%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 53.83%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 53.99%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 54.16%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 54.41%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 54.75%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 55.27%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 56.19%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 59.20%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ C — IV 53.85%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 51.71%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 50.48%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 49.81%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 49.48%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 49.25%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 49.02%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.87%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.82%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 48.81%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.83%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.87%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.96%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 49.11%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 49.14%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 49.38%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 50.16%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 51.29%2026-10-02 (9d) — 5Δ P — IV 55.16%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ C — IV 52.87%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 50.70%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 49.70%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 49.08%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 48.63%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 48.53%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 48.38%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 48.26%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 48.23%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 48.20%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 48.14%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 48.18%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 48.23%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 48.42%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 48.60%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 48.92%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 49.59%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ P — IV 51.03%2026-10-09 (16d) — 5Δ P — IV 54.57%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
5Δ call60.75%53.85%52.87%
10Δ call57.42%51.71%50.70%
15Δ call55.80%50.48%49.70%
20Δ call55.11%49.81%49.08%
25Δ call54.56%49.48%48.63%
30Δ call54.01%49.25%48.53%
35Δ call53.68%49.02%48.38%
40Δ call53.45%48.87%48.26%
45Δ call53.34%48.82%48.23%
ATM53.42%48.81%48.20%
45Δ put53.63%48.83%48.14%
40Δ put53.83%48.87%48.18%
35Δ put53.99%48.96%48.23%
30Δ put54.16%49.11%48.42%
25Δ put54.41%49.14%48.60%
20Δ put54.75%49.38%48.92%
15Δ put55.27%50.16%49.59%
10Δ put56.19%51.29%51.03%
5Δ put59.20%55.16%54.57%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$191.5453.42%54.41%54.56%-0.15+1.0741
2026-10-029$191.7548.81%49.14%49.48%-0.34+0.5059
2026-10-0916$191.9048.20%48.60%48.63%-0.03+0.4154
2026-10-1623$192.0547.82%48.61%48.43%+0.17+0.7049
2026-10-2330$192.2048.05%48.67%48.58%+0.10+0.5750
2026-10-3037$192.4048.22%49.29%48.86%+0.43+0.8648
2026-11-2058$192.8458.03%58.71%58.62%+0.09+0.6342
2026-12-1886$193.4355.68%56.34%55.88%+0.46+0.4351
2027-01-15114$194.2154.17%54.84%54.32%+0.52+0.4156
2027-02-19149$195.2056.85%57.72%57.39%+0.33+0.7140
2027-03-19177$195.8956.47%57.35%57.06%+0.29+0.7442
2027-06-17267$198.1257.47%58.00%58.16%-0.15+0.6162

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

45%50%55%60%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 53.42%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 48.81%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 48.20%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 47.82%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 48.05%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 48.22%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 58.03%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 55.68%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 54.17%2027-02-19 — 149 days — at-the-money IV 56.85%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 56.47%2027-06-17 — 267 days — at-the-money IV 57.47%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$191.5453.42%$191.6941
2026-10-029 days$191.7548.81%$192.3159
2026-10-0916 days$191.9048.20%$192.8854
2026-10-1623 days$192.0547.82%$193.4449
2026-10-2330 days$192.2048.05%$194.0350
2026-10-3037 days$192.4048.22%$194.6848
2026-11-2058 days$192.8458.03%$198.0742
2026-12-1886 days$193.4355.68%$200.6351
2027-01-15114 days$194.2154.17%$203.3256
2027-02-19149 days$195.2056.85%$208.5140
2027-03-19177 days$195.8956.47%$211.6442
2027-06-17267 days$198.1257.47%$223.5562

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
48.05%
60 days
57.80%
90 days
55.41%
180 days
56.52%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 224 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.404 Sep26 Nov21 Feb9 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-11-02Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
17.3%
Mean move that happened
154.3%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-08-03After the close———
2026-05-04After the close———
2026-02-02After the close———
2025-11-03After the close———
2025-08-04After the close———
2025-05-05After the close18.0%+39.6%2.20×
2025-02-03After the close17.3%+106.3%6.13×
2024-11-04After the close16.7%+317.1%18.99×
2024-08-05After the close———
2024-05-06After the close———
2024-02-05After the close———
2023-11-02Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.